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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina |
| country | North Carolina |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina |
| next_year | 2014 |
| seats_for_election | All 13 North Carolina seats in the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | 6 |
| seats1 | **9** |
| seat_change1 | 3 |
| popular_vote1 | 2,137,167 |
| percentage1 | 48.75% |
| swing1 | 5.38% |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | **7** |
| seats2 | 4 |
| seat_change2 | 3 |
| popular_vote2 | **2,218,357** |
| percentage2 | **50.60%** |
| swing2 | 5.35% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption |
Republican Democratic The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the 13 U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, N.C. gubernatorial election, statewide judicial elections, Council of State elections, and various local elections. Primary elections were held on May 8, 2012; for races in which no candidate received 40 percent of the vote in the primary, runoff elections (officially known as "second" primaries) were held on July 17.
North Carolina was one of five states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2012, along with Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Overview
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | No. | % | No. | +/– | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 13 | 2,137,167 | 48.75 | **9** | 3 | 69.23 | ||
| Democratic | 13 | 2,218,357 | 50.60 | 4 | 3 | 30.77 | ||
| Libertarian | 3 | 24,142 | 0.55 | 0 | 0.00 | |||
| Write-in | 1 | 4,446 | 0.10 | **0** | 0.00 | |||
| Total | 30 | 4,384,112 | 100.0 | 13 | 100.0 |
By district
Results of the 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | Democratic Party (United States)}}" | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 254,644 | 75.32% | 77,288 | 22.86% | 6,134 | 1.81% | 338,066 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 2 | 128,973 | 41.42% | 174,066 | 55.90% | 8,358 | 2.68% | 311,397 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 3 | 114,314 | 36.89% | 195,571 | 63.11% | 0 | 0.00% | 309,885 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 4 | 259,534 | 74.47% | 88,951 | 25.53% | 0 | 0.00% | 348,485 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 5 | 148,252 | 42.46% | 200,945 | 57.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 349,197 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 6 | 142,467 | 39.08% | 222,116 | 60.92% | 0 | 0.00% | 364,583 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 7 | 168,695 | 50.10% | 168,041 | 49.90% | 0 | 0.00% | 336,736 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| **District 8** | **137,139** | **45.37%** | **160,695** | **53.16%** | **4,446** | **1.47%** | **302,280** | **100.00%** | **Republican gain** | ||||||||
| District 9 | 171,503 | 45.65% | 194,537 | 51.78% | 9,650 | 2.57% | 375,690 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 10 | 144,023 | 43.01% | 190,826 | 56.99% | 0 | 0.00% | 334,849 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| **District 11** | **141,107** | **42.58%** | **190,319** | **57.42%** | **0** | **0.00%** | **331,426** | **100.00%** | **Republican gain** | ||||||||
| District 12 | 247,591 | 79.63% | 63,317 | 20.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 310,908 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| **District 13** | **160,115** | **43.20%** | **210,495** | **56.80%** | '**0** | **0.00%** | **370,610** | **100.00%** | **Republican gain** | ||||||||
| Total | 2,218,357 | 50.60% | 2,137,167 | 48.75% | 28,588 | 0.65% | 4,384,112 | 100.00% |
Redistricting
A redistricting map, drawn to reflect changes observed in the 2010 United States census, was passed into law in July 2011. The map must receive approval from either the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia or the U.S. Department of Justice before it can be enforced (under the 1965 Voting Rights Act). The North Carolina chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People challenged the map on the grounds that it reduces the influence of African American voters.
| District | Old PVI | New PVI | Incumbent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. K. Butterfield | ||||
| Renee Ellmers | ||||
| Walter B. Jones Jr. | ||||
| David Price | ||||
| Virginia Foxx | ||||
| Howard Coble | ||||
| Mike McIntyre | ||||
| Larry Kissell | ||||
| Sue Myrick | ||||
| Patrick McHenry | ||||
| Heath Shuler | ||||
| Mel Watt | ||||
| Brad Miller |
District 1
**Butterfield: **
Incumbent Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who had represented the district since 2004, ran for re-election. The 1st district, which is majority-minority and already strongly favored Democrats, favored them even more so after redistricting. The redrawn district had a PVI of D+17, whereas the old 1st had a PVI of D+9.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- G. K. Butterfield, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Daniel-Lynn Whittacre, high school teacher, HHS federal agent
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Pete DiLauro, former law enforcement officer
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- National Education Association
- North Carolina Association of Educators
- United Steelworkers
Organizations
- Humane Society of the United States
- Sierra Club
Newspapers
- Indy Week
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 2
Incumbent Republican Renee Ellmers, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. The 2nd district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting, with The Hill ranking Ellmers at second in its list of house members most helped by redistricting. The redrawn district had a PVI of R+11, whereas the old 2nd had a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Renee Ellmers, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Sonya Holmes
- Clement F. Munno
- Richard Speer, contract farmer
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Wilkins, retired U.S. Army officer and businessman
Eliminated in primary
- Toni Morris, professional counselor
Withdrawn
- Jim Bibbs
Declined
- Bob Etheridge, former U.S. representative (ran for governor)
Primary results
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Irving, retired U.S. Air Force officer
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- GOProud
- Maggie's List
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Susan B. Anthony List
- United States Chamber of Commerce Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- United Steelworkers
Newspapers
- Indy Week Newspapers
- Raleigh News & Observer
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 3
Incumbent Republican Walter B. Jones Jr., who had represented the district since 1995, ran for re-election. The 3rd district was made slightly more favorable to Democrats in redistricting, but continued to strongly favor Republicans. The redrawn district had a PVI of R+10, whereas the old 3rd had a PVI of R+16.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Walter B. Jones Jr., incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Frank Palombo, former New Bern police chief
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Erik Anderson, former U.S. Marine
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- National Association of Letter Carriers
Organizations
- Humane Society of the United States
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 4
Democrat David Price, who had represented North Carolina's 4th congressional district since 1997 and previously served from 1987 until 1995, ran for re-election. Brad Miller, who had represented the 13th district since 2003, considered challenging Price in the 4th district primary after having his home drawn into it, but announced in January 2012 that he would not seek either seat and would instead retire.
Democratic primary
Price was unopposed in the Democratic primary.
Candidates
Nominee
- David Price, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Brad Miller, incumbent U.S. representative for North Carolina's 13th congressional district
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tim D'Annunzio, businessman and candidate for North Carolina's 8th congressional district in 2010.
Eliminated in primary
- Jim Allen, electrical contractor
- George Hutchins, former US Marine, veteran of the first Gulf War and candidate for this district in 2010
Withdrawn
- Doug Yopp, director of the Friends of the Library at NC State
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- National Education Association
- North Carolina Association of Educators
- United Steelworkers
Organizations
- Human Rights Campaign
- Humane Society of the United States
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Sierra Club
Newspapers
- Indy Week
- Raleigh News & Observer
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 5
Republican Virginia Foxx, who had represented North Carolina's 5th congressional district since 2005, ran for re-election. The 5th district was made slightly more favorable to Democrats in redistricting, but continued to strongly favor Republicans.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Virginia Foxx, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Elisabeth Motsinger, Winston-Salem/Forsyth County School Board member
Eliminated in primary
- Bruce Peller, dentist
Withdrawn
- Treva Johnson, Wilkes County Democratic chairwoman
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- Maggie's List
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Susan B. Anthony List
- United States Chamber of Commerce Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- National Education Association
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 6
Republican Howard Coble, who had represented North Carolina's 6th congressional district since 1985, ran for re-election. The 6th district was expected to continue to strongly favor Republicans.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Howard Coble, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bill Flynn, former radio personality
- Billy Yow, Guilford County commissioner
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tony Foriest, former state senator from the 24th district
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Newspapers
- Greensboro News and Record Newspapers
- Indy Week
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 7
The home of Democrat Mike McIntyre, who had represented North Carolina's 7th congressional district since 1997, was drawn into the 8th district in redistricting. McIntyre, who had briefly considered running for governor following Bev Perdue's announcement that she would not seek re-election, decided to seek re-election in the newly redrawn 7th district. The district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting: 58% of its residents voted for Republican nominee John McCain in the 2008 presidential election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike McIntyre, incumbent U.S. representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Rouzer, state senator from the 12th district
Eliminated in primary
- Randy Crow, business executive
- Ilario Pantano, retired U.S. Marine and nominee for this district in 2010
Withdrawn
- Timothy Alan Wilkes
Primary results
General election
Campaign
McIntyre was heavily targeted by Republicans, especially after the GOP-controlled North Carolina General Assembly had redrawn congressional boundaries to put his home in Robeson County into the 8th district, something that McIntyre accused the GOP of doing “solely for the reason of giving my opponent a seat in Congress”.
Nearly $9 million was spent by both parties, with McIntyre airing ads stating he was a "strong conservative and Christian who walks his faith every day" and Rouzer trying to tie McIntyre to his votes for Nancy Pelosi and for the stimulus.
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- National Education Association
- North Carolina Association of Educators
- United Steelworkers
Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Newspapers
- The Robesonian
- Star-News
- Tabor-Loris Tribune
- Wilmington Journal
- Wilmington Morning Star
U.S. senators
- Lauch Faircloth, former U.S. senator (1993–1999)
U.S. representatives
- Renee Ellmers, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 2nd congressional district (2011–present)
- Patrick McHenry, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 10th congressional district (2005–present)
Statewide officials
- Steve Troxler, North Carolina Commissioner of Agriculture (2005–present)
State legislators
- Phil Berger, president pro tempore of the North Carolina Senate (2011–present)
- Thom Goolsby, state senator from the 9th district (2011–present)
- W. Brent Jackson, state senator from the 10th district (2011–present)
- Bill Rabon, state senator from the 8th district (2011–present)
- Thom Tillis, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2011–present)
Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
- Tea Party Express
Local officials
Individuals
- Dorothy Helms, widow of U.S. Senator Jesse Helms
McIntyre was the lone Democratic federal candidate endorsed by National Right to Life Committee in this election cycle.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Mike | |||||
| McIntyre (D) | David | |||||
| Rouzer (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Wenzel Strategies | October 23–24, 2012 | 600 | ± 3.98% | 39% | **45%** | 17% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R-YG Action) | August 12–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | **49%** | 40% | 11% |
| Grove Insight | July 26–29, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | **52%** | 34% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies Rouzer (R) | July 22–23, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | **44%** | 40% | 15% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
The election outcome left McIntyre the winner by 655 votes. A recount requested by Rouzer began on November 26, 2012; two days later, Rouzer conceded the race to McIntyre. This was the closest House race in 2012.
District 8
Democrat Larry Kissell, who had represented North Carolina's 8th congressional district since 2009, ran for re-election. The home of Kissell's fellow Democrat Mike McIntyre, who had represented the 7th district since 1997, was drawn into the 8th district in redistricting, but McIntyre sought re-election in the 7th district. The 8th district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting: only 42% of its residents voted for Democratic nominee Barack Obama in the 2008 presidential election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Larry Kissell, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Marcus Williams, attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2008
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Richard Hudson, former U.S. Representative Robin Hayes' district director
Eliminated in primary
- Scott Keadle, former Iredell County commissioner
- Vernon Robinson, former Winston-Salem city council member and nominee for the 13th district in 2006
- Fred Steen, state representative
- John Whitley, neurosurgeon
Withdrawn
- Daniel Barry, insurance executive
Declined
- Justin Burr, state representative
- Jerry Dockham, state representative
- Pat Molamphy, businessman
- Harold Johnson, sportscaster and candidate for this district in 2010
Endorsements
Organizations
- Club for Growth
Primary results
Runoff results
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- International Association of Fire Fighters
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- National Education Association
- North Carolina Association of Educators
- United Steelworkers
Organizations
- Alliance for Retired Americans
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
- NRA Political Victory Fund U.S. senators
- Lauch Faircloth, former U.S. senator (1993–1999)
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (1993–2007) and candidate for president in 2012
U.S. representatives
- Mike Conaway, U.S. representative from Texas's 11th congressional district (2005–present)
- Virginia Foxx, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 5th congressional district (2005–present)
- Paul Ryan, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (1999–present)
Statewide officials
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas (1996–2007) and candidate for president in 2008
- James G. Martin, former governor of North Carolina (1985–1993)
State legislators
- Fred Steen, state representative (2004–present)
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- Gun Owners of America
- Huck PAC
- National Association of Realtors
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
- National Right to Life Committee
- Tea Party Express
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Newspapers
- The Charlotte Observer
Local officials
Individuals
- Dorothy Helms, widow of U.S. Senator Jesse Helms
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Larry | |||||
| Kissell (D) | Richard | |||||
| Hudson (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Anzalone Liszt Research Kissell (D) | September 25–27, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | **40%** | 39% | 21% |
| NRCC | September 25, 2012 | 784 | ±3.5% | 41% | **50%** | 9% |
| Anzalone Liszt Research Kissell (D) | August 6–9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | **43%** | 39% | 18% |
| Anzalone Liszt Research Kissell (D) | March 15–20, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | **46%** | 36% | 18% |
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 24, 2012
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Result
District 9
Republican Sue Myrick, who had represented North Carolina's 9th congressional district since 1995, did not seek another term. Curtis Campbell ran as the Libertarian nominee.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Robert Pittenger, former state senator from the 39th district and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2008
Eliminated in primary
- Dan Barry, mayor pro tem of Weddington
- Andy Dulin, member of Charlotte City Council
- Jon Gauthier, financial adviser
- Ric Killian, former state representative
- Ken Leonwyzk, lawyer and ordained minister
- Richard Lynch, business owner
- Edwin Peacock, member of Charlotte City Council
- Jim Pendergraph, Mecklenburg County commissioner
- Michael Steinberg, businessman
Withdrawn
- Michael Schaffer, real estate broker (endorsed Barry)
Declined
- Sue Myrick, incumbent U.S. representative
- Bob Rucho, state senator from the 39th district
In the Republican primary, Pittenger and Pendergraph qualified for the runoff election, earning 33% and 25% of the vote, respectively. On July 17, Pittenger won the primary runoff.
Primary results
Runoff results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jennifer Roberts, Mecklenburg County commissioner
Declined
- Patrick Cannon, mayor pro tem of Charlotte
General election
Endorsements
Statewide officials
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas (1996–2007) and candidate for President in 2008
Organizations
- Eagle Forum
- FreedomWorks
- Huck PAC
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- United States Chamber of Commerce Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
Organizations
- Sierra Club
Newspapers
- The Charlotte Observer
Local officials
- Lynda Paxton, Republican mayor of Stallings
Individuals
- Hugh McColl, former chairman and CEO of Bank of America
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 10
Republican Patrick McHenry, who had represented North Carolina's 10th congressional district since 2005, ran for re-election. Though the 10th district was made more favorable to Democrats in redistricting, it was expected to continue to strongly favor Republicans.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Patrick McHenry, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ken Fortenberry, newspaper publisher
- Don Peterson
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Patsy Keever, state representative
Eliminated in primary
- Terry Bellamy, mayor of Asheville
- Timothy Murphy
Withdrawn
- Heath Wynn, adjunct professor at Catawba Valley Community College
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- United States Chamber of Commerce Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- National Education Association
Organizations
- Democracy for America
- National Organization for Women
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Sierra Club
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 11
Democrat Heath Shuler, who had represented North Carolina's 11th congressional district since 2007, chose not to run for re-election. The 11th district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting: more than three-quarters of voters in Asheville were removed from the district, while Avery, Burke, Caldwell and Mitchell counties, all of which favor Republicans, were added to it.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Hayden Rogers, Rep. Shuler's former chief of staff
Eliminated in primary
- Cecil Bothwell, Asheville city council-member
- Tom Hill, retired defense industry worker
Declined
- Heath Shuler, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Meadows, real estate investor
Eliminated in primary
- Spence Campbell, retired U.S. Army colonel and nominee for this district in 2008
- Susan Harris, accountant
- Jeff Hunt, Henderson, Polk and Transylvania counties district attorney
- Vance Patterson, business owner and Tea Party member
- Chris Petrella, economic development consultant
- Kenny West, Clay County Republican Party chairman
- Ethan Wingfield, businessman
Withdrawn
- Dan Eichenbaum, ophthalmologist
Declined
- Jeff Miller, businessman and nominee for this district in 2010
Primary results
Runoff results
General election
Endorsements
U.S. representatives
- Heath Shuler, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2007–present)
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- National Education Association
- North Carolina Association of Educators
- United Steelworkers
Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- Sierra Club
U.S. representatives
- Patrick McHenry, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 10th congressional district (2005–present)
State legislators
- Phillip Frye, state representative (2003–present)
- Jim Jacumin, state senator from the 44th district (2005–2011)
Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- Eagle Forum
- Family Research Council
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
- National Right to Life Committee
- Tea Party Express
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 12
Democrat Mel Watt, who had represented North Carolina's 12th congressional district since 1993, ran for re-election. The 12th district was made more favorable to Democrats in redistricting.
Watt faced Republican Jack Brosch and Libertarian Lon Cecil in the general election in November.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mel Watt, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Newton, attorney and former Occupy movement protester
Declined
- Melvin Alston, Guilford County commissioner
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jack Brosch, business owner
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- National Association of Letter Carriers
- National Education Association
- North Carolina Association of Educators
- United Steelworkers
Organizations
- Human Rights Campaign
- J Street
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Sierra Club
Newspapers
- The Charlotte Observer
- Greensboro News and Record
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 13
Democrat Brad Miller, who had represented North Carolina's 13th congressional district since 2003, did not seek re-election. The 13th district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charles Malone, state employee and nominee for state senate's 15th district in 2010.
Eliminated in primary
- Bernard Holliday, Baptist minister
Declined
- Brad Miller, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- George Holding, former U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of North Carolina
Eliminated in primary
- Paul Coble, Wake County commissioner
- Bill Randall, U.S. Navy retiree and nominee for this district in 2010
Declined
- Phil Berger Jr., Rockingham County district attorney
- B.J. Lawson, entrepreneur, chief software architect and nominee for the 4th district in 2008 and 2010
- Vernon Robinson, former Winston-Salem city council member and nominee for this district in 2006 (running in the 8th district)
- Nathan Tabor, candidate for the 5th district in 2004
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
Newspapers
- Indy Week
Statewide officials
- I. Beverly Lake Jr., chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2001–2006) and nominee for governor in 1980
State legislators
- N. Leo Daughtry, state representative (1993–2017) and candidate for governor in 2000
Organizations
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Newspapers
- Raleigh News & Observer
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
References
References
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