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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
countryArizona
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
previous_year2010
next_election2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
next_year2014
seats_for_electionAll 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1Democratic Party (United States)
last_election13
seats1**5**
seat_change12
popular_vote1946,994
percentage143.57%
swing11.7%
party2Republican Party (United States)
last_election2**5**
seats24
seat_change21
popular_vote2**1,131,663**
percentage2**52.07%**
swing21.0%
map_image{{Switcher
map_caption

| [[File:2012AZUSHouse.svg|230px]] | District results | [[File:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona results map by county.svg|230px]] | County results}} Republican Democratic The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts, including the newly created 9th district following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with other federal and state elections, including a quadrennial presidential election and a U.S. Senate election. Primary elections were held on August 28, 2012.

Arizona was one of five states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2012, the others being Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Overview

The table shows the number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost, by each political party in the 2012 elections for the United States House of Representatives in Arizona.

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeatsNo.%No.+/–%
Republican Party (United States)}};"Republican81,131,66352.07**4**144.44
Democratic Party (United States)}};"Democratic9946,99443.57**5**255.56
Libertarian Party (United States)}};"Libertarian782,2823.79**0**0.0
Americans Elect}};"Americans Elect26,7400.31**0**0.0
Green Party (United States)}};"Green15,6370.26**0**0.0
Write-in}};"Write-in110.00**0**0.0
Total282,173,317100.091100.0

By district

Results of the 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResultRepublican Party (United States)}}"Democratic Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
**District 1****113,594****45.15%****122,774****48.80%****15,227****6.05%****251,595****100.0%****Democratic gain**
District 2144,88449.57%147,33850.41%570.02%292,279100.0%Democratic hold
District 362,66337.15%98,46858.37%7,5674.49%168,698100.0%Democratic hold
**District 4****162,907****66.83%****69,154****28.37%****11,699****4.80%****243,760****100.0%****Republican win**
District 5183,47067.19%89,58932.81%00.00%273,059100.0%Republican hold
District 6179,70661.30%97,66633.31%15,8055.39%293,177100.0%Republican hold
District 700.00%104,48981.74%23,33818.26%127,827100.0%Democratic hold
District 8172,80963.35%95,63535.06%4,3471.59%272,791100.0%Republican hold
**District 9****111,630****44.63%****121,881****48.73%****16,620****6.64%****250,131****100.0%****Democratic gain**
Total1,131,66352.07%946,99443.57%94,6604.36%2,173,317100.0%

Redistricting

Due to population gains reflected in the 2010 United States census, Arizona's congressional delegation increased from eight members to nine in 2012. In accordance with the Arizona Constitution, the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission produced new congressional district maps for use in the 2012 and subsequent elections. In October 2011, the commission released a draft map and by November 5 that year had completed a round of public hearings for input on the draft map. The map became final after being cleared for compliance with the Voting Rights Act by the United States Department of Justice, and established the official district boundaries for the 2012 elections.

On November 1, 2011, Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, with the approval of the Arizona Senate, removed Colleen Mathis, the commission's chair, charging Mathis was guilty of "failure to apply the Arizona Constitution's redistricting provisions in an honest, independent and impartial fashion." On November 17, the Arizona Supreme Court overturned Brewer's decision and reinstated Mathis. On November 21, Brewer asked the Supreme Court to reconsider its decision and to temporarily reverse Mathis' reinstatement. The Supreme Court refused. The map was pre-cleared by the U.S. Department of Justice on April 9, 2012, and was in effect for the 2012 elections.

District 1

Kirkpatrick:

Paton:
Based upon the new map, the 1st district is slightly friendlier to Democrats than its predecessor. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar, first elected in 2010, ran for election in the more conservative 4th district.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jonathan Paton, state senator and candidate for the 8th district in 2010
Eliminated in primary
  • Patrick Gatti
  • Gaither Martin, former State Department official
  • Douglas Wade, contractor
Withdrawn
  • Doug McKee, contractor
Declined
  • Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative (running in the 4th)
  • Bill Konopnicki, former state representative
  • Gary Pierce, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ann Kirkpatrick, former U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Wenona Benally Baldenegro, attorney and member of the Navajo Nation
Withdrawn
  • Miguel Olivas, government consultant and former staffer for former U.S. Representative Rick Renzi

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • United Steelworkers

Organizations

  • Progressive Democrats of America

Primary results

Baldenegro would have been the first Native American woman to serve in Congress had she had won the seat.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kim Allen

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

U.S. senators

  • Jon Kyl, U.S. senator (1995–2013, 2018)

U.S. representatives

  • Trent Franks, U.S. representative from Arizona's 2nd congressional district (2003–2017)
  • Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from Arizona's 1st congressional district (2011–present)
  • Jim Kolbe, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (1985–2007)
  • Ben Quayle, U.S. representative from Arizona's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)
  • David Schweikert, U.S. representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2011–present)

State officials

  • Jan Brewer, governor of Arizona (2009–present)
  • Doug Ducey, State Treasurer of Arizona (2011–present)
  • John Huppenthal, Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction (2011–present)

State legislators

  • Steve Pierce, president of the Arizona Senate
  • Andy Tobin, speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives

Organizations

  • Gun Owners of America
  • National Federation of Independent Business
  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • Tea Party Express
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Newspapers

  • Arizona Daily Star
  • Arizona Republic U.S. representatives
  • Ron Barber, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2012–present)

State legislators

  • Pete Hershberger (R), state representative (2001–2008)

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
  • American Nurses Association
  • Fraternal Order of Police
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers
  • Service Employees International Union
  • United Transportation Union

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
  • EMILY's List
  • Feminist Majority
  • Human Rights Campaign
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America
  • National Organization for Women
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund

Newspapers

  • Arizona Daily Sun
  • White Mountain Independent Newspapers
  • Tucson Weekly

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJonathan
Paton (R)Ann
Kirkpatrick (D)Undecided
NRCCNRCC (R)October 4, 2012501±5.6%**50%**45%5%
North Star Opinion Research (R)July 25–26, 2012400±4.9%43%**46%**11%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 2

After redistricting, most of the 2nd district was composed of land previously located in the 8th district and was thus more favorable to Democrats. Democrat Gabby Giffords, who had represented the 8th district since 2007, was seriously wounded in a mass shooting in January 2011 and resigned her congressional seat in January 2012. A special election was held in June 2012 under the boundaries of the then current 8th district, with a primary election held in April 2012; in November 2012, another election took place under the new boundaries of the 2nd district, with a primary scheduled for August 2012.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ron Barber, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Matt Heinz, state representative
Withdrawn
  • Paula Aboud, state senator
  • Steve Farley, state representative
  • Nomiki Konst, journalist and University of Arizona alumna

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Martha McSally, retired U.S. Air Force colonel and candidate for the 8th District in 2012 (special)
Eliminated in primary
  • Mark Koskiniemi
Withdrawn
  • Frank Antenori, state senator
  • Jesse Kelly, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and nominee for the in 8th District in 2010 and 2012 (special)
Declined
  • John Lervold, U.S. Army veteran and interrogation instructor at Fort Huachuca
  • Dave Sitton, sports announcer for the University of Arizona and candidate for the 8th District in 2012 (special)

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Anthony Powell

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Council for a Livable World
  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program
  • Human Rights Campaign
  • League of Conservation Voters
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund

Newspapers

  • Arizona Daily Star
  • Arizona Republic
  • Sierra Vista Herald
  • Tucson Weekly

Individuals

  • General John A. Wickham Jr., former US Army Chief of Staff U.S. representatives
  • Jim Kolbe, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (1985–2007)

Organizations

  • Maggie's List
  • National Federation of Independent Business
  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRon
Barber (D)Martha
McSally (R)Undecided
OnMessage Inc (R-McSally)September 30–October 1, 2012400± 4.9%**48%**47%5%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC)September 27–30, 2012400± ?%**54%**40%6%
OnMessage Inc (R-McSally)August 7–8, 2012400± 4.9%**50%**45%5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Barber)July 17–22, 2012503± 4.4%**53%**40%7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 3

In the October 2011 redistricting, most of the 7th district became the 3rd district and was more favorable to Democrats. Incumbent Democrat Raúl M. Grijalva, first elected in 2002, said in February 2011 that he had no plans to run for the U.S. Senate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Raul Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Amanda Aguirre, former state senator
  • Manny Arreguin, OB/GYN
Withdrawn
  • David Crowe Robles, defense contractor

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • United Steel Workers

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gabriela Saucedo Mercer, conservative activist
Eliminated in primary
  • Jaime Vasquez, businessman
Declined
  • Ruth McClung, nominee for the 7th district in 2010

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Blanca Guerra

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers
  • National Education Association

Organizations

  • Council for a Livable World
  • Democracy for America
  • Human Rights Campaign
  • J Street
  • League of Conservation Voters
  • National Organization for Women
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee
  • Progressive Democrats of America
  • Sierra Club

Newspapers

  • Arizona Daily Star
  • Tucson Weekly State officials
  • Jan Brewer, governor of Arizona (2009–present)

Organizations

  • Family Research Council
  • Maggie's List
  • National Right to Life Committee

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 4

(New district) The new 4th congressional district encompasses most of the rural areas in the old 2nd district, as well as significant portions of the old 1st, 5th, and 6th districts, according to the final maps of the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. The district is heavily Republican.

Paul Gosar, who had represented the 1st district since 2011, moved to Prescott in order to run in this district.

Republican primary

Campaign

Babeu dropped his congressional bid on May 11, 2012, instead seeking re-election as sheriff. This came after he was accused of being lovers with an undocumented immigrant whom he threatened with deportation to guarantee his silence. The Arizona solicitor general later exonerated Babeu after an investigation.

Candidates

Nominee
  • Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative for the 1st District
Eliminated in primary
  • Ron Gould, state senator
  • Rick Murphy, founder and owner of Murphy Broadcasting
Withdrawn
  • Paul Babeu, sheriff of Pinal County

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Johnnie Robinson
Eliminated in primary
  • Mikel Weisser, author and political activist

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Pamelia, aerospace and defense professional

Primary results

Americans Elect primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Richard Grayson, writer, political activist and performance artist

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 5

With the October 2011 redistricting, most of the 6th district became the 5th district and continued to favor Republicans. Incumbent Republican Jeff Flake, who had represented this district since 2001, sought the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matt Salmon, former U.S. representative and nominee for governor in 2002
Eliminated in primary
  • Kirk Adams, former speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives
Withdrawn
  • Travis Grantham, Arizona Air National Guard captain
  • Chuck Gray, former majority leader of the Arizona Senate
Declined
  • Jeff Flake, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Russell Pearce, former president of the state senate

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Spencer Morgan, student at Mesa Community College

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

  • Club for Growth
  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Vanguard" Program
  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • Team America PAC
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 6

**Schweikert: **
**Jette: **

After redistricting, the bulk of David Schweikert's 5th district became the 9th district, while his home in Fountain Hills was drawn into the newly created 4th district. However, as soon as the maps were released, Schweikert announced he would run in the 6th district. That district had previously been the 3rd, represented by fellow Republican freshman Ben Quayle. In a statement announcing his re-election plans, Schweikert pointed out that he had grown up in Scottsdale—most of which had been drawn into the 6th as well—had represented it in both the state house and in Congress, and owned a second home there. Quayle, whose home in Phoenix had been drawn into the 9th but was just outside the boundaries of the 6th, opted to seek re-election in the 6th as well.

Republican primary

Campaign

During the bitter primary campaign, Schweikert was widely criticised for a mailer that accused Quayle of "going both ways", suggesting that he was bisexual. On the reverse, the mailer listed issues on which it claimed Quayle had taken both liberal and conservative positions. Senator Jon Kyl said that "such campaign tactics insult the voters, degrade politics and expose those who stoop to them as unworthy of high office". Senator John McCain said the mailer was one of the "worst that I have seen" and that it "crosses the boundary of decent political dialogue and discourse". Quayle's spokeswoman called the mailer "utterly false" and "a sleazy smear tactic". Schweikert's spokesman responded that people "should get their minds out of the gutter" because the mailer was "obviously" referring to "'both ways' – as in liberal and conservative". The Arizona Republic asked two political scientists to review the mailer, who both said that they had "never seen anybody accuse someone of flip-flopping [on political issues] that way" and said that it was "difficult to believe" that the sexual suggestion was unintentional.

Candidates

Nominee
  • David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative from the 5th District
Eliminated in primary
  • Ben Quayle, incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd District

Primary results

Republican primary results by county
Republican primary results by precinct:{{collapsible list

Although the 6th contained almost two-thirds of Quayle's constituents, Schweikert defeated Quayle in the Republican primary—the real contest in this heavily Republican district—by 51.5 percent to Quayle's 48.5 percent.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matt Jette, business professor at the Thunderbird School of Global Management and Republican candidate for governor in 2010
Eliminated in primary
  • W. John Williamson

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jack Anderson

Primary results

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Salazar

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

  • Campaign for Working Families
  • FreedomWorks
  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
  • National Right to Life Committee

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 7

In accordance with the redrawn boundaries, most of the 4th district became the 7th district and remained the most Democratic district in Arizona. Incumbent Democrat Ed Pastor considered a run for the U.S. Senate but decided against it.

State senator Kyrsten Sinema, who considered a bid for Congress and lived in the former 4th district, opted to run in the 9th district.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ed Pastor, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Rebecca DeWitt
Declined
  • Kyrsten Sinema, state senator

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Eliminated in primary
  • Scott Fistler, perennial candidate
Declined
  • José Peñalosa, attorney and candidate for 4th district in 2010

Primary results

Fistler did not receive enough write-in votes to appear on the general election ballot as a Republican.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Cobb, retired economist and nominee for this seat in 2008 & 2010

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Human Rights Campaign
  • Humane Society of the United States
  • J Street
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund
  • Sierra Club

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 8

**Franks: **
**Scharer: **

With the new map, most of the Maricopa County portion of the old 2nd district was renumbered as the 8th district and made more favorable to Republicans. Incumbent Republican Trent Franks, who had considered running for the U.S. Senate, instead ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Trent Franks, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Tony Passalacqua, Navy veteran

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gene Scharer, educator, nominee for this seat in 2000 and candidate in 2006

Primary results

Americans Elect primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Stephen Dolgos

Primary results

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

  • Campaign for Working Families
  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 9

With the new map, most of the old 5th district became the 9th district. It now encompassed portions of southern Phoenix, as well as all of Tempe and parts of Scottsdale, Mesa, Chandler and Paradise Valley. It was not considered safe for either party.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Vernon Parker, former mayor of Paradise Valley and candidate for the 3rd district in 2010
Eliminated in primary
  • Lisa Borowsky, Scottsdale city councilwoman
  • Leah Campos Schandlbauer, former CIA officer
  • Travis Grantham, Air Force veteran
  • Wendy Rogers, Air Force veteran
  • Martin Sepulveda, former Chandler city councilman
  • Jeff Thompson, former businessman
Withdrawn
  • Don Stapley, member of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors
Declined
  • Sal DiCiccio, member of the Phoenix City Council;
  • Hugh Hallman, mayor of Tempe
  • Steve Moak, businessman and candidate for the 3rd district in 2010
  • Gary Pierce, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission
  • Ben Quayle, incumbent U.S. representative from the 3rd District
  • David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative from the 5th District

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kyrsten Sinema, state senator
Eliminated in primary
  • Andrei Cherny, former Arizona Democratic Party chairman
  • David Schapira, minority leader of the Arizona Senate
Declined
  • Neil Giuliano, former mayor of Tempe
  • Jon Hulburd, lawyer, small businessman and nominee for the 3rd district in 2010
  • Harry Mitchell, former U.S. representative

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Primary results

General election

Debate

No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublicanLibertarianKey:
Participant Absent Not invited Invited WithdrawnDemocratic Party (US)}}"Republican Party (US)}}"Libertarian Party (US)}}"Kyrsten SinemaVernon ParkerPowell Gammill1
Oct. 18, 2012Arizona PBSTed Simons[Arizona PBS](https://azpbs.org/horizon/2012/10/vote-2012-congressional-district-9-debate/)

Endorsements

Organizations

  • Gun Owners of America
  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program
  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund
  • National Right to Life Committee
  • United States Chamber of Commerce

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Education Association
  • United Steelworkers

Organizations

  • Council for a Livable World
  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
  • EMILY's List
  • Feminist Majority
  • Gay & Lesbian Political Victory Fund
  • Human Rights Campaign
  • Humane Society of the United States
  • League of Conservation Voters
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America
  • National Organization for Women
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorVernon
Parker (R)Kyrsten
Sinema (D)Undecided
Summit (R-Parker)October 15, 2012600±4.2%**44%**42%14%
Anzalone-Liszt (D-DCCC)September 9–11, 2012400±4.9%45%**48%**7%
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC)September 8–9, 2012400±4.9%41%**45%**14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

Kyrsten Sinema was officially declared the winner on November 12, 2012.

References

References

  1. "2011/2012 Election Important Dates". Office of the Secretary of State.
  2. (December 3, 2012). "State Of Arizona Official Canvass". [[Arizona Secretary of State]].
  3. "Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission notice of public meeting". Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission.
  4. Pitzl, Mary Jo. (November 3, 2011). "Brewer, GOP blasted over Arizona redistrict panel ouster". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  5. Pitzl, Mary Jo. (November 18, 2011). "Court orders reinstatement of redistricting official". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  6. Pitzl, Mary Jo. (November 22, 2011). "Arizona redistricting reinstatement delay requested by Brewer". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  7. Pitzl, Mary Jo. (April 20, 2012). "Arizona map-panel ruling unanimous". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  8. (January 7, 2012). "Gosar to run for Congress in new district". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  9. Smith, Dylan. (January 25, 2012). "Paton to seek CD1 seat in Congress". Tucson Sentinel.
  10. Bodfield, Rhonda. (February 12, 2012). "Political notebook: Local tea party leaders pass on advocacy torch". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  11. Cole, Cyndy. (March 30, 2011). "Kirkpatrick to run again". Arizona Daily Sun.
  12. (February 10, 2012). "Baldenegro seeks to become first Native American woman elected to Congress". Maricopa Monitor.
  13. Hansen, Ronald J.. (March 15, 2012). "Miguel Olivas enters race for District 1". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  14. "Endorsements".
  15. "CANDIDATES".
  16. "Arizona Endorsements". National Right to Life.
  17. "2012 ENDORSEMENTS".
  18. "Help With Voting".
  19. (10 October 2012). "Star endorsement stories". Arizona Daily Star.
  20. "Endorsements".
  21. "Election 2012: Boilermakers recommend candidates". International Brotherhood of Boilermakers.
  22. "NALC-ENDORSED CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATES". NALC.
  23. "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
  24. "Help Our Candidates Win!".
  25. "Feminist Majority 2012 Endorsed Candidates".
  26. "2012 ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS". Human Rights Campaign.
  27. "Pro-Choice Voter Guide".
  28. "2012 NOW PACs Endorsements: All Federal Races".
  29. "Planned Parenthood Action Voter guide - AZ". Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  30. (4 November 2012). "The Daily Sun's recommendations on Election Day, 2012". Arizona Daily Sun.
  31. (11 October 2012). "The Tucson Weekly 2012 Endorsements". The Tucson Weekly.
  32. [https://www.scribd.com/document/109369933/AZ-01-NRCC-IVR-Oct-2012 NRCC (R)]
  33. [https://images.politico.com/global/2012/08/az_01_release_memo.html North Star Opinion Research (R)]
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  42. (January 22, 2011). "Rep. Gabrielle Giffords retiring from Congress". [[The Washington Post]].
  43. Lederman, Josh. (February 12, 2012). "Arizona lawmaker who replaced Giffords in state Senate to run for her House seat". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  44. Celock, John. (March 19, 2012). "Ron Barber, Gabrielle Giffords Aide, Announces Run for Full Term". [[The Huffington Post]].
  45. Lederman, Josh. (March 30, 2012). "Field clearing for Ron Barber for full term in Giffords seat". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  46. McCombs, Brady. (February 14, 2012). "Konst, civil discourse group founder, joins congressional race". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  47. Hess, Bill. (February 15, 2012). "GOP candidates seeking nomination stands at five". San Pedro Valley News-Sun.
  48. McCombs, Brady. (January 27, 2012). "Antenori to seek Giffords' seat". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  49. McCombs, Brady. (February 3, 2012). "Jesse Kelly third Republican to join CD8 race". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  50. McCombs, Brady. (February 8, 2012). "Army vet becomes 4th candidate to join House GOP primary race". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  51. McCombs, Brady. (February 27, 2012). "Six file to run for Giffords' former seat". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  52. Smith, Dylan. (February 2, 2012). "Sportscaster Sitton enters CD8 scrum". TucsonSentinel.com.
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  58. (1 November 2012). "Barber Lands Veterans' Endorsement, Spars With Team McSally Over Spending Cuts". The Tucson Weekly.
  59. (26 September 2012). "Jim Kolbe Endorses Martha McSally".
  60. "Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates:". Maggie's List.
  61. "Upcoming Election - Arizona".
  62. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121024132318/http://mcsallyforcongress.com/category/martha-media-press-releases/ OnMessage Inc (R-McSally)]
  63. [https://www.tucsonweekly.com/TheRange/archives/2012/10/01/new-dccc-poll-shows-barber-leading-mcsally-by-14-percentage-points-but-nrcc-calls-survey-completely-bogus Grove Insight (D-DCCC)]
  64. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121005212604/http://mcsallyforcongress.com/images/SurveyMemo.pdf OnMessage Inc (R-McSally)]
  65. [https://www.tucsonweekly.com/TheRange/archives/2012/08/01/poll-barber-holds-big-lead-over-mcsally-in-general-election-bigger-lead-over-heinz-in-primary Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Barber)]
  66. Miller, Sean J.. (February 15, 2011). "Grijalva: 'Distinct possibility' Rep. Giffords runs for Senate". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  67. Nintzel, Jim. (February 14, 2012). "Tucson Physician Announces Plan To Challenge Grijalva". [[Tucson Weekly]].
  68. González, Daniel. (May 10, 2012). "Raul Grijalva challenger David Crowe Robles drops out". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  69. "Endorsements".
  70. Classen, Carolyn. (February 26, 2011). "Another "Gabby" for U.S. Congress: Gabriela Saucedo Mercer to announce for CD 7 on March 2". [[Tucson Citizen]].
  71. Pallack, Becky. (February 14, 2012). "Democrat Arreguin to run against Grijalva in CD3". [[Arizona Daily Star]].
  72. "Arizona AFL-CIO Announces Key 2012 Congressional Primary Election Endorsements". Arizona AFL-CIO.
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  81. (August 31, 2012). "Pinal Sheriff Paul Babeu exonerated". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  82. Camia, Catalina. (February 14, 2011). "GOP Rep. Jeff Flake kicks off Senate bid in Arizona". [[USA Today]].
  83. Trygstad, Kyle. (April 28, 2011). "Kyl Endorses Kirk Adams in Arizona Race to Succeed Flake". [[Roll Call]].
  84. (June 21, 2011). "Travis Grantham Announces Campaign for Congress in CD-6". [[Tucson Citizen]].
  85. Small, Jim. (February 18, 2011). "Gray announces run for Flake's House seat". [[Arizona Capitol Times]].
  86. Lee Myers, Amanda. (December 27, 2011). "Chuck Gray pulls out of congressional race". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  87. Nowicki, Dan. (April 25, 2012). "Democrat, 26, to seek congressional seat in District 5". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  88. [http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/10/04/1022899/-Arizona-Redistricting-Commission-releases-draft-map Arizona Redistricting: Commission releases draft map]. [[Daily Kos]], 2011-10-04
  89. Livingston, Abby. (October 5, 2011). "New Arizona Lines Mean Battle Between GOP Freshmen". [[Roll Call]].
  90. Livingston, Abby. (February 6, 2012). "Arizona: Quayle Opts to Run Against Schweikert". [[Roll Call]].
  91. [https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/08/29/schweikert-beats-quayle-in-arizona/ Schweikert defeats Quayle]
  92. Sunnucks, Mike. (August 6, 2012). "Kyl faults Schweikert after mailer says Quayle 'goes both ways'".
  93. Nowicki, Dan. (August 3, 2012). "District 6 race: David Schweikert says 'I like the fight' in D.C.".
  94. (August 15, 2012). "McCain endorses Quayle, scolds Schweikert for mailer".
  95. Trujillo, Mario. (August 16, 2012). "McCain blasts Arizona Republican who accused Quayle of 'going both ways'".
  96. (August 29, 2012). "Arizona House primary results: Ben Quayle booted from Congress". Politico.
  97. Christie, Bob. (March 9, 2012). "1st Democrat announces run for Ariz. 6th District". [[Wausau Daily Herald]].
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  101. Trygstad, Kyle. (June 9, 2011). "Arizona State Senator Interested in House Bid". [[Roll Call]].
  102. Garcia, Michelle. (January 4, 2012). "Bi Politician Announces Congressional Bid". [[The Advocate (LGBT magazine).
  103. (February 14, 2012). "José Peñalosa announces candidacy for Arizona's 7th Congressional District seat". [[KPHO-TV]].
  104. "Scott Fistler – Write-in (R-AZ-7)". Tea Party Cheer.
  105. "Humane USA PAC".
  106. Duda, Jeremy. (April 1, 2011). "Franks bows out of Senate race". [[Arizona Capitol Times]].
  107. Sunnucks, Mike. (March 19, 2012). "Vernon Parker running for Congress; Scottsdale's Lisa Borowsky deciding soon". [[American City Business Journals.
  108. Sunnucks, Mike. (May 7, 2012). "Lisa Borowsky joins House race, Schapira picks up union endorsement". [[American City Business Journals.
  109. Hurtado, Allison. (March 31, 2012). "Former CIA operations officer joins race for CD 9". EastValley.com.
  110. (January 11, 2012). "Grantham announces run for Congress". [[KPHO-TV]].
  111. Hendley, Matthew. (March 5, 2012). "Wendy Rogers Becomes Seventh Person to Announce Run for Congress in CD9". Phoenix New Times.
  112. Geiger, Kim. (August 28, 2012). "Arizona primary: Three important races to watch". [[Los Angeles Times]].
  113. Myers, Amanda Lee. (August 12, 2012). "Wide field in Arizona's toss-up 9th Congressional District race". [[East Valley Tribune]].
  114. (March 13, 2012). "Maricopa County Supervisor Stapley withdraws Congressional bid". [[The Arizona Republic]].
  115. Hurtado, Allison. (May 3, 2012). "DiCiccio endorses Martin Sepulveda for Congress". [[Ahwatukee Foothills News]].
  116. Duda, Jeremy. (March 19, 2012). "Parker poised to enter CD9 race". [[Arizona Capitol Times]].
  117. Small, Jim. (December 21, 2011). "Ex-Tempe mayor Giuliano decides against congressional run". [[Arizona Capitol Times]].
  118. Sanders, Rebekah L.. (January 4, 2012). "Sinema to resign seat for shot at 9th District". [[USA Today]].
  119. (22 March 2012). "Kyrsten Sinema picks up AFL-CIO support in 9th District race". Phoenix Business Journal.
  120. "Our Candidates". Gay & Lesbian Political Victory Fund.
  121. [https://web.archive.org/web/20150909210121/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/summit-r-parker-16040 Summit (R-Parker)]
  122. [https://web.archive.org/web/20150921044152/http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/anzalone0911az09.pdf Anzalone-Liszt (D-DCCC)]
  123. [https://images.politico.com/global/2012/09/az09_poll_release_091312.html GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC)]
  124. Livingston, Abby. (November 12, 2012). "Arizona: Kyrsten Sinema Declared Winner in 9th District". [[Roll Call]].
  125. Hendley, Matthew. (November 12, 2012). "Kyrsten Sinema Called Winner in CD-9, Defeating Vernon Parker". [[Phoenix New Times]].
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