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2002 Arizona gubernatorial election

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Field	Value
election_name	2002 Arizona gubernatorial election
country	Arizona
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	1998 Arizona gubernatorial election
previous_year	1998
next_election	2006 Arizona gubernatorial election
next_year	2006
election_date	November 5, 2002
image_size	x150px
image1	File:Portrait Napolitano hires crop.JPG
nominee1	Janet Napolitano
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1	566,284
percentage1	46.19%
image2	File:Congressional Portrait of Matt Salmon.jpg
nominee2	Matt Salmon
party2	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2	554,465
percentage2	45.22%
image3	File:Richard Mahoney.jpg
nominee3	Richard Mahoney
party3	Independent
popular_vote3	84,947
percentage3	6.93%
map_image	2002 Arizona gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
map_size	220px
map_caption	County results
Napolitano:
Salmon:
title	Governor
before_election	Jane Dee Hull
before_party	Republican Party (United States)
after_election	Janet Napolitano
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)
turnout	56.33%

Napolitano:
Salmon:

Republican primary results by county

Democratic primary results by county

]]

Libertarian primary results by county

]] The 2002 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican Governor Jane Dee Hull was term limited. The Democratic nominee, Arizona Attorney General Janet Napolitano, narrowly defeated Republican Matt Salmon, a former U.S. Representative, in a victory that was considered a minor upset. Upon her inauguration, Napolitano became the first woman to succeed another woman as governor of a state. This was the last Arizona gubernatorial election in which the winning candidate did not win Maricopa County.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Matt Salmon, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 1st congressional district (1997-2001)

Eliminated in primary

Betsey Bayless, Secretary of State of Arizona (1997-2003)
Carol Springer, State Treasurer of Arizona (1993-2003)

Declined

Dan Quayle, former vice president (1989-1993) and U.S Senator from Indiana (1981-1989)

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Janet Napolitano, Attorney General of Arizona (1999-2003)

Eliminated in primary

Alfredo Gutierrez, state senator
Mike Newcomb, physician
Mark Osterloh, perennial candidate

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Barry Ness

Eliminated in primary

Garry Fallon

Results

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 30, 2002

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 4, 2002

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin
of error	Janet
Napolitano (D)	Matt
Salmon (R)	Richard
Mahoney (I)	Barry
Hess (L)	Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA	October 29–31, 2002	661 (LV)	± 3.9%	43%	41%	11%	3%	1%

Results

The election was extremely close: Napolitano won by just 11,819 votes out of 1,226,111 cast, the closest gubernatorial election in Arizona in many years. Napolitano also won without carrying Maricopa County. Under Arizonan law, the losing candidate may request a recount, for which that candidate must pay, if the margin of victory is less than one percent but greater than half of one percent. In 2002, the margin of victory was 1.0%, barely allowing a recount.

It soon became apparent that Napolitano had won the election and would be the next governor of Arizona. Salmon acknowledged that the chance of his prevailing in a recount was extremely small and decided not to ask for one (recounts seldom see a swing over 1,000 votes; he was losing by over 10,000). He officially called Napolitano on November 17 and congratulated her on her victory.

On November 20, Arizona Secretary of State Betsey Bayless certified the results of the election and declared Napolitano the winner.

Results by county

County	Janet Napolitano
Democratic	Matt Salmon
Republican	Richard D. Mahoney
Independent	Barry Hess
Libertarian	All others
Write-in	Margin	Total votes
cast	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Totals	566,284	46.19%	554,465	45.22%	84,947	6.93%	20,356	1.66%	59	0.00%	11,819	0.96%	1,226,111
	Apache		10,927		61.22%		4,041		22.64%		2,516		14.10%		365		2.04%		1		0.01%		6,886		38.58%		17,850
	Cochise		11,401		41.08%		13,210		47.60%		2,713		9.78%		426		1.53%		4		0.01%		-1,809		-6.52%		27,754
	Coconino		18,928		54.89%		11,585		33.59%		3,260		9.45%		709		2.06%		3		0.01%		7,343		21.29%		34,485
	Gila		7,331		47.44%		6,336		41.00%		1,467		9.49%		317		2.05%		1		0.01%		995		6.44%		15,452
	Graham		2,924		36.64%		4,491		56.27%		467		5.85%		99		1.24%		0		0.00%		-1,567		-19.63%		7,981
	Greenlee		966		44.91%		955		44.40%		180		8.37%		50		2.32%		0		0.00%		11		0.51%		2,151
	La Paz		1,488		41.04%		1,766		48.70%		259		7.14%		113		3.12%		0		0.00%		-278		-7.67%		3,626
	Maricopa		313,107		44.43%		337,954		47.95%		42,696		6.06%		10,966		1.56%		27		0.00%		-24,847		-3.53%		704,750
	Mohave		13,227		37.59%		18,431		52.38%		2,889		8.21%		639		1.82%		0		0.00%		-5,204		-14.79%		35,186
	Navajo		11,669		49.74%		9,423		40.17%		1,920		8.18%		444		1.89%		2		0.01%		2,246		9.57%		23,458
	Pima		118,896		51.74%		89,002		38.73%		17,751		7.72%		4,140		1.80%		14		0.01%		29,894		13.01%		229,803
	Pinal		18,300		48.13%		16,380		43.08%		2,658		6.99%		682		1.79%		3		0.01%		1,920		5.05%		38,023
	Santa Cruz		3,675		57.93%		2,069		32.61%		495		7.80%		105		1.66%		0		0.00%		1,606		25.32%		6,344
	Yavapai		23,238		40.50%		28,245		49.23%		4,866		8.48%		1,024		1.78%		3		0.01%		-5,007		-8.73%		57,376
	Yuma		10,207		46.67%		10,577		48.36%		810		3.70%		277		1.27%		1		0.00%		-370		-1.69%		21,872

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Coconino (largest municipality: Flagstaff)
Gila (largest city: Payson)
Greenlee (largest city: Clifton)
Navajo (largest city: Show Low)
Pima (largest municipality: Tucson)
Pinal (largest city: San Tan Valley)
Santa Cruz (largest municipality: Nogales)

Notes

References

"Voter Registration Statistics | Arizona Secretary of State".
"GOP candidate in Arizona concedes race".
Ayres, B. Drummond Jr.. (2001-02-11). "Political Briefing; From Arizona, Talk Of a Bid by Quayle (Published 2001)". The New York Times.
"State of Arizona Official Canvass 2002 Primary Election - September 10, 2002". Arizona Secretary of State.
(October 31, 2002). "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 {{!}} The Cook Political Report".
(November 4, 2002). "Governors Races".
[https://www.surveyusa.com/2002Elec.html SurveyUSA]
"State of Arizona Official Canvass 2002 General Election - November 5, 2002". Arizona Secretary of State.

Info: Wikipedia Source

This article was imported from Wikipedia and is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License. Content has been adapted to SurfDoc format. Original contributors can be found on the article history page.

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