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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin
countryWisconsin
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin
previous_year2010
next_election2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin
next_year2014
seats_for_electionAll 8 Wisconsin seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
party1Republican Party (United States)
last_election1**5**
seats1**5**
seat_change1
popular_vote11,401,995
percentage148.92%
swing15.54%
party2Democratic Party (United States)
last_election23
seats23
seat_change2
popular_vote2**1,445,015**
percentage2**50.42%**
swing26.57%
map_image
map_caption

Republican Democratic The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 113th Congress from January 2013 until January 2015. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012.

Wisconsin was one of five states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2012, the other states being Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin, 2012PartyVotesPercentageSeats BeforeSeats After+/–
Republican1,401,99548.92%**5****5**-
Democratic**1,445,015****50.42%**33-
Libertarian6,0540.20%00-
Independent9,2770.32%00-
Write-In260.00%00-
Scattering3,6830.13%00-
**Totals****2,956,050****100.00%****8****8****-**

District 1

Ryan:
Zerban:
Tie:
Republican Paul Ryan, who has represented Wisconsin's 1st congressional district since 1999, ran for reelection after deciding not to run for the U.S. Senate or seek the Republican presidential nomination in 2012.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Paul Ryan, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Rob Zerban, member of the Kenosha County Board and former small business owner

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Keith Deschler, factory worker

General election

Campaign

Though Ryan was selected to be the Republican nominee for Vice President of the United States on August 11, 2012, he was allowed, and continued to, run for re-election to his House seat.

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee

Polling

Poll
sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPaul
Ryan (R)Rob
Zerban (D)Keith
Deschler (L)Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Ryan)September 9–10, 2012400±4.9%**58%**33%3%6%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Zerban)August 21–23, 2012404±4.9%**47%**39%4%11%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 2

Pocan:
Lee:
Tie:
Democrat Tammy Baldwin, who represented Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district since 1999, ran for the U.S. Senate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Pocan, state representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Dennis Hall, former member of Janesville City Council
  • Kelda Roys, state representative
  • Matt Silverman, attorney and decorated combat veteran
Withdrawn
  • Dave Worzala, Dane County Treasurer
Declined
  • Tammy Baldwin, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Jon Erpenbach, state senator

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Chad Lee, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010

Results

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program
  • Human Rights Campaign
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 3

Boland:
|[[File:2012 WI-03.png|270px]] |County results |[[File:2012 WI-3 Election Results by Precinct.svg|260px]] |Precinct results

Democrat Ron Kind, who has represented Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district since 1997, did not run for the U.S. Senate and instead ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ron Kind, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ray Boland, former state Secretary of Veterans Affairs and former commander at Fort McCoy
Withdrawn
  • Edward Martin, retired Army sergeant
Declined
  • Bruce Evers, financial adviser and candidate for this seat in 2010

Results

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Human Rights Campaign

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 4

Moore:
Sebring:

Democrat Gwen Moore, who had represented Wisconsin's 4th congressional district since 2005, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gwen Moore, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dan Sebring, automobile repair shop owner and nominee for this seat in 2010

Results

Independents

  • Robert R. Raymond, perennial candidate

General election

Endorsements

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 5

Sensenbrenner:
Heaster:

Republican Jim Sensenbrenner, who has represented Wisconsin's 5th congressional district since 2003 (and previously represented Wisconsin's 9th congressional district from 1979 to 2003), ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jim Sensenbrenner, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dave Heaster, technology employee at the Kohler Company

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 6

Petri:
Kallas:
Tie:
Republican Tom Petri, who has represented Wisconsin's 6th congressional district since 1979, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Tom Petri, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Lauren Stephens, founder of a conservative political action committee.

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Kallas, former member of the Green Lake County Board and nominee for this seat in 2010

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 7

Duffy:
Kreitlow:
Tie:
Republican Sean Duffy, who has represented Wisconsin's 7th congressional district since 2011, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Sean Duffy, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Pat Kreitlow, former state Senator
Declined
  • Janet Bewley, state representative

Results

General election

Endorsements

Organizations

  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program

Polling

Poll
sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSean
Duffy (R)Pat
Kreitlow (D)Undecided
NMB Research (R-American Action Network)September 30–October 1, 2012400±4.9%**51%**40%9%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Kreitlow)September 25–26, 2012509±4.4%**44%**41%15%
Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)September 24–25, 2012694±3.7%**48%**44%7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

District 8

Ribble:
Wall:
Tie:

Republican Reid Ribble, who has represented Wisconsin's 8th congressional district since 2011, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Reid Ribble, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jamie Wall, business consultant and candidate for this seat in 2006

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorReid
Ribble (R)Jamie
Wall (D)Undecided
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)September 18–19, 2012400±4.9%**47%**41%12%

Endorsements

Organizations

  • National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
  • National Association of Letter Carriers

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2012
RothenbergNovember 2, 2012
Roll CallNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
*NY Times*November 4, 2012
RCPNovember 4, 2012
The HillNovember 4, 2012

Results

External links

References

References

  1. Marley, Patrick. (November 17, 2011). "Walker signs bills on partisan primary, nursing home penalties". [[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]].
  2. Shear, Michael D.. (May 17, 2011). "Paul Ryan Opts Out of Wisconsin Senate Run". [[The New York Times]].
  3. Drucker, David M.. (August 22, 2011). "Paul Ryan Won't Run for President". [[Roll Call]].
  4. "Canvass Results for 2012 PARTISAN PRIMARY - 8/14/2012". [[Wisconsin Government Accountability Board]].
  5. Taylor, Jessica. (June 16, 2011). "The Big Get". [[National Journal]].
  6. Potente, Joe. (August 18, 2012). "Libertarian to vie for Ryan's seat". [[Kenosha News]].
  7. (August 10, 2012). "Romney picks Paul Ryan as running mate". [[The Washington Post]].
  8. Bauter, Alison. (August 11, 2012). "Ryan to stay on ballot for re-election". [[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]].
  9. "Wisconsin AFL-CIO Endorses Candidates for November 2012 Elections". Wisconsin AFL-CIO.
  10. (23 October 2012). "Election 2012: Boilermakers recommend candidates". International Brotherhood of Boilermakers.
  11. "NALC-ENDORSED CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATES". NALC.
  12. "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
  13. "Candidates".
  14. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121004064648/http://wispolitics.com/1006/Ryanpollingmemo.pdf Public Opinion Strategies (R-Ryan)]
  15. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140303142929/http://zh.scribd.com/doc/105735721/Poll-Memo Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Zerban)]
  16. (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
  17. (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
  18. [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
  19. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
  20. [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
  21. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
  22. (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
  23. (November 21, 2012). "Wisconsin Government Accountability Board County by County Congress Seats". State of Wisconsin Government Accountability Board.
  24. (February 28, 2013). "Election Statistics US House of Representatives - 2012". Karen Haas, Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  25. Glauber, Bill. (September 6, 2011). "Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat". [[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]].
  26. Novak, Bill. (May 8, 2012). "Worzala quits race for Congress". [[The Capital Times]].
  27. Spicuzza, Mary. (September 7, 2011). "State Reps. Kelda Helen Roys, Mark Pocan to run for US Congress". [[Wisconsin State Journal]].
  28. Linscheid, Leah. (November 29, 2011). "UW grad enters congressional race against Madison reps". [[The Badger Herald]].
  29. Van Egeren, Jessica. (September 14, 2011). "Dane County treasurer enters race for Congress". [[The Capital Times]].
  30. Van Egeren, Jessica. (September 27, 2011). "Erpenbach says he's not running for Baldwin's seat". [[The Capital Times]].
  31. "Chad Lee 'Leaps' Into Race". [[The Wheeler Report]].
  32. "2012 ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS". Human Rights Campaign.
  33. Joseph, Cameron. (September 15, 2011). "Rep. Kind did't run for Senate in Wisconsin". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  34. Lamoreaux, Kim. (September 1, 2012). "Rep. Kind hears common themes; Congressman, who is losing Sauk County from district, visits Reedsburg". Reedsburg Times-Press.
  35. Hubbuch, Chris. (December 6, 2011). "Former Wis. Veterans secretary to challenge Kind". [[La Crosse Tribune]].
  36. Hubbuch, Chris. (March 27, 2012). "Chippewa Falls veteran seeks to challenge Kind". [[La Crosse Tribune]].
  37. (July 1, 2012). "Dan Sebring, Republican Candidate for 4th U.S. Congressional District". [[Patch Media.
  38. "Robert R. Raymond". Wisconsin Vote.
  39. Engelking, Carl. (April 5, 2012). "Sensenbrenner Will Again Seek Re-election". [[Patch Media.
  40. "Dave Heaster". Wisconsin Vote.
  41. Ramde, Dinesh. (August 3, 2012). "2nd, 6th House districts face primaries". [[WLUK-TV]].
  42. Opoien, Jessica. (February 27, 2012). "Democrat Joe Kallas to oppose Rep. Tom Petri in 6th Congressional District". [[Oshkosh Northwestern]].
  43. (August 9, 2012). "Duffy announces bid for reelection". [[WEAU-TV]].
  44. Kleefeld, Eric. (April 25, 2011). "Sean Duffy Gets First Opponent Of 2012 Cycle". [[Talking Points Memo]].
  45. Simonson, Mike. (October 5, 2011). "Bewley won't challenge Duffy for congress". Superior Telegram.
  46. "Candidates". NRCC.
  47. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140429044821/http://americanactionnetwork.org/sites/default/files/WI_CD_7_Memo_0.pdf NMB Research (R-American Action Network)]
  48. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/108584705/WI-07-FM3-for-Pat-Kreitlow-Sept-2012 Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Kreitlow)]
  49. [https://www.scribd.com/document/107176574/WI-07-PPP-for-CREDO-Sept-2012 Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)]
  50. (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
  51. Vinson, Michael Louis. (August 26, 2011). "PACs help U.S. Rep. Reid Ribble, R-De Pere, amass campaign war chest". [[The Post-Crescent]].
  52. Vinson, Michael Louis. (October 5, 2011). "Green Bay business consultant Jamie Wall first Democrat to enter race against Congressman Reid Ribble". [[The Post-Crescent]].
  53. [https://web.archive.org/web/20160402074935/http://wispolitics.com/1006/Wall_Sept_Poll_Memo_Final.pdf Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Wall)]
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