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2014 United States Senate election in Kansas
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas |
| country | Kansas |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States Senate election in Kansas |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| next_election | 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas |
| next_year | 2020 |
| election_date | November 4, 2014 |
| image_size | x150px |
| image1 | File:Pat Roberts official Senate photo (cropped).jpg |
| nominee1 | **Pat Roberts** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **460,350** |
| percentage1 | **53.15%** |
| image2 | File:Orman52414D4-536 (1).jpg |
| nominee2 | Greg Orman |
| party2 | Independent |
| popular_vote2 | 368,372 |
| percentage2 | 42.53% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption | **Roberts:** |
| **Orman:** | |
| title | U.S. Senator |
| before_election | Pat Roberts |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Pat Roberts |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
Orman:
The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts was re-elected to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman and Libertarian nominee Randall Batson. The Democratic nominee, Chad Taylor, withdrew from the race.
Republican primary
Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy. Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia. The primary was held on August 5, 2014.
Primary opponent Milton R. Wolf, a radiologist, was under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.
Candidates
Declared
- Pat Roberts, incumbent senator
- D.J. Smith, former Osawatomie city councilwoman
- Milton R. Wolf, radiologist, conservative commentator and Barack Obama's second cousin
- Alvin Zahnter, truck driver and Vietnam War veteran
Declined
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. representative (re-elected to House)
- Kris Kobach, secretary of state of Kansas (re-elected as secretary of state)
- Dennis Pyle, state senator
- Todd Tiahrt, former U.S. representative (ran for KS-04)
Endorsements
- Sam Brownback, governor of Kansas
- Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida
- Jeff Colyer, lieutenant governor of Kansas
- Bob Dole, former U.S. senator (KS-R) and nominee for president of the United States in 1996
- Ron Estes, Kansas state treasurer
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. representative
- Lynn Jenkins, U.S. representative
- Kris Kobach, secretary of state of Kansas
- Jerry Moran, U.S. senator (KS-R)
- Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska, 2008 Republican nominee for vice president of the United States
- Mike Pompeo, U.S. representative
- Derek Schmidt, attorney general of Kansas
- Kevin Yoder, U.S. representative
Individuals
- Jana Goodman, former state representative
- Ron Highland, state representative
- Michael Houser, state representative
- Mark Levin, host of The Mark Levin Show
- Charlotte O'Hara, former state representative
- Josh Powell, state representative
- Marty Read, state representative
- Jim Ryun, former U.S. representative
Organizations
- Flint Hills Tea Party
- Kansans for Constitutional Government
- Kansans for Constitutional Integrity
- Madison Project
- National Association for Gun Rights
- Republican Liberty Caucus
- Senate Conservatives Fund
- Southeast Kansas Conservative Group
- Tea Party Express
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||||
| error | Pat | |||||||||
| Roberts | D.J. | |||||||||
| Smith | Milton | |||||||||
| Wolf | Alvin | |||||||||
| Zahnter | Other | Undecided | ||||||||
| The Tarrance Group^ | January 13–15, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.5% | **69%** | — | 15% | — | — | 16% | |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | **49%** | — | 23% | — | — | 28% | |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 508 | ± 4.4% | **56%** | — | 23% | — | 8% | 12% | |
| GEB International | July 9, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.28% | **42%** | — | 30% | — | — | 28% | |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 691 | ± 3.8% | **50%** | 6% | 30% | 3% | — | 12% | |
| Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys | August 4, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 3.1% | **53.4%** | — | 39.1% | — | — | 7.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Pat | ||||||
| Roberts | Someone more | ||||||
| conservative | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | **43%** | 39% | 18% | |
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | **42%** | 34% | 24% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Pat Roberts campaign
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Pat | ||||||
| Roberts | Tim | ||||||
| Huelskamp | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | **53%** | 22% | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Pat | ||||||
| Roberts | Kris | ||||||
| Kobach | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | **55%** | 19% | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Pat | ||||||
| Roberts | Todd | ||||||
| Tiahrt | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | **47%** | 26% | 27% |
Results
| | | | | | ]]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chad Taylor, Shawnee County district attorney
- Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Declined
- Kathleen Sebelius, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former governor of Kansas
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Chad | |||||||
| Taylor | Patrick | |||||||
| Wiesner | Undecided | |||||||
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 322 | ± 5.6% | **48%** | 17% | **35%** | ||
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 252 | ± 6.3% | **41%** | 16% | **43%** |
Results
| | | | | | | ]]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Randall Batson, nominee for the State House in 2012
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Orman, businessman, briefly ran in the Democratic primary in 2008 before dropping out
General election
Campaign
Republicans were worried about Roberts' campaign in August 2014, perceiving it as lethargic and inactive, that Roberts had a low favorability rating, and that internal polling suggested the race was rather close. At the behest of Senate Minority leader Mitch McConnell as well as former Senator Bob Dole, Roberts fired his longtime campaign manager Leroy Towns in early September 2014. Chris LaCivita was brought in to revamp the race, and LaCivita protege Corry Bliss replaced Towns as campaign manager. Bliss urged Roberts focus on a strategy of tying Orman to President Obama at every turn, as Obama had low favorability ratings in Kansas. Roberts also began spending more time in Kansas, living in a hotel in Topeka rather than his home in Alexandria, Virginia.
On September 3, Democratic nominee Chad Taylor withdrew from the race. On September 4, Kris Kobach, the Republican Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor would remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do. Taylor challenged the decision, and on September 18 the Kansas Supreme Court decided that his name would be taken off the ballot.
On the same day, Kobach demanded the chairman of the Democratic Party name a replacement in eight days, saying he would consider litigation to force the party if they refused.
A registered Democrat with family ties to Republican Governor Sam Brownback's campaign also filed a petition with the Kansas Supreme Court on September 18 to force the Democratic Party to name a new candidate. Kobach ordered ballots to be mailed to overseas voters on September 20 without a Democratic candidate, but included a disclaimer that another ballot will be sent if the Democratic Party names a replacement candidate.
The state district court in Shawnee County threw out the petition, meaning no replacement for Taylor needed to be named.
The efforts by Bliss and other Republican strategists would ultimately prove successful. Roberts' polling improved in October. Roberts defeated Orman in the general election, winning reelection to a fourth term in office.
If Orman had been elected, the U.S. Senate would have had three independent senators for the first time in the chamber's history. This—and the question of whom Orman would choose to caucus with if elected—were large questions in the electoral contest, and because the Kansas race was showing tight in the polls, a subject of considerable national political discourse as well.
Fundraising
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Debt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Orman (I) | $2,461,766 | $3,298,186 | $183,599 | $1,124,982 | |
| Pat Roberts (R) | $5,383,491 | $5,534,415 | $927,449 | 0 |
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 8, 2014
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2014
Endorsements
Individuals
- Tim Owens, Republican former state senator
- Jim Sherow, former mayor of Manhattan and Democratic nominee for KS-01
Organizations
- AFL-CIO
- The Centrist Project
- Human Rights Campaign
- Traditional Republicans for Common Sense
- Women for Kansas
National politicians
- Bob Dole, former U.S. senator (R-KS)
- Callista Gingrich, wife of Newt Gingrich
- Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the United States House of Representatives and candidate for president in 2012
- David Keene, former chairman of the American Conservative Union and former president of the National Rifle Association of America
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. representative (R-KS)
- Lynn Jenkins, U.S. representative (R-KS)
- Jerry Moran, U.S. senator (R-KS)
- Mike Pompeo, U.S. representative (R-KS)
- Kevin Yoder, U.S. representative (R-KS)
Kansas statewide politicians
- Sam Brownback, governor of Kansas
- Jeff Colyer, lieutenant governor of Kansas
- Ron Estes, state treasurer of Kansas
- Kris Kobach, secretary of state of Kansas
- Derek Schmidt, attorney general of Kansas
- Milton R. Wolf, radiologist, conservative commentator and Republican candidate for the seat
State senators
- Steve Abrams, state senator
- Pat Apple, state senator
- Tom Arpke, state senator
- Elaine Bowers, state senator
- Terry Bruce, state senate majority leader
- Jim Denning, state senator
- Leslie Donovan, state senator
- Jay Emler, former state senator
- Steve Fitzgerald, state senator
- Mitch Holmes, state senator
- Dan Kerschen, state senator
- Jeff King, state senate vice president
- Forrest Knox, state senator
- Jacob LaTurner, state senator
- Jeff Longbine, state senator
- Garrett Love, state senator
- Julia Lynn, state senator
- Ty Masterson, state senator
- Carolyn McGinn, state senator
- Jeff Melcher, state senator
- Michael O'Donnell, state senator
- Robert Olson, state senator
- Ralph Ostmeyer, state senator
- Mike Petersen, state senator
- Mary Pilcher-Cook, state senator
- Larry Powell, state senator
- Vicki Schmidt, state senator
- Clark Shultz, state senator
- Greg Smith, state senator
- Susan Wagle, state Ssnate president
- Kay Wolf, state senator
State representatives
- Stephen Alford, state representative
- Steve Anthimides, state representative
- John Barker, state representative
- Sue Boldra, state representative
- John Bradford, state representative
- Rob Bruchman, state representative
- Steven Brunk, state representative
- Larry Campbell, state representative
- Richard Carlson, state representative
- Will Carpenter, state representative
- Ward Cassidy, state representative
- Marshall Christmann, state representative
- J. R. Claeys, state representative
- Stephanie Clayton, state representative
- Susan Concannon, state representative
- Ken Corbet, state representative
- Travis Couture-Lovelady, state representative
- J. David Crum, state representative
- Erin Davis, state representative
- Peter DeGraaf, state representative
- Diana Dierks, state representative
- John Doll, state representative
- Willie Dove, state representative
- John Edmonds, state representative
- Joe Edwards, state representative
- Keith Esau, state representative
- Bud Estes, state representative
- John Ewy, state representative
- Blaine Finch, state representative
- Shanti Gandhi, state representative
- Mario Goico, state representative
- Daniel Hawkins, state representative
- Dennis Hedke, state representative
- Phil Hermanson, former state representative
- Larry Hibbard, state representative
- Don Hill, state representative
- Don Hineman, state representative
- Kyle Hoffman, state representative
- Jim Howell, state representative
- Steve Huebert, state representative
- Russ Jennings, state representative
- Steven Johnson, state representative
- Kevin Jones, state representative
- Mark Kahrs, state representative
- Jim Kelly, state representative
- Mike Kiegerl, state representative
- Lance Kinzer, state representative
- Marvin Kleeb, state representative
- Jerry Lunn, state representative
- Charles Macheers, state representative
- Craig McPherson, state representative
- Kelly Meigs, state representative
- Ray Merrick, state house speaker
- Robert Montgomery, former state representative
- Connie O'Brien, state representative
- Leslie Osterman, state representative
- Reid Petty, state representative
- Tom Phillips, state representative
- Richard Proehl, state representative
- Marc Rhoades, state representative
- Allan Rothlisberg, state representative
- John Rubin, state representative
- Ron Ryckman Jr., state representative
- Don Schroeder, state representative
- Scott Schwab, state representative
- Sharon Schwartz, state representative
- Joe Seiwert, state representative
- Tom Sloan, state representative
- Gene Suellentrop, state representative
- Bill Sutton, state representative
- Vern Swanson, state representative
- Jack Thimesch, state representative
- Kent Thompson, state representative
- James Todd, state representative
- Jene Vickrey, state house majority leader
- Troy Waymaster, state representative
Organizations
- American Conservative Union
- Kansans For Life
- Kansas Black Republican Council (KBRC)
- Kansas Farm Bureau
- Kansas State Rifle Association
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Tea Party Express
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Real Clear Politics | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||||
| error | Pat | |||||||||
| Roberts (R) | Chad | |||||||||
| Taylor (D) | Greg | |||||||||
| Orman (I) | Randall | |||||||||
| Batson (L) | Other | Undecided | ||||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | **48%** | 32% | — | — | — | 20% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **50%** | 32% | — | — | 5% | 13% | |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | **43%** | 33% | 7% | 5% | — | 12% | |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | **38%** | 33% | 14% | 4% | — | 10% | |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,281 | ± 6.1% | **53%** | 37% | — | — | 7% | 4% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 6–7, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **44%** | 40% | — | — | 7% | 8% | |
| Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | 903 | ± 3.3% | **32%** | 25% | 23% | 3% | — | 17% | |
| **43%** | 39% | — | — | — | 17% | |||||
| 33% | — | **43%** | — | — | 24% | |||||
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | August 20–23, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | **37%** | 32% | 20% | 4% | — | 6% | |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 839 | ± 5% | **47%** | 35% | — | — | 2% | 15% | |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | September 4–7, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 36% | 10% | **37%** | 6% | — | 11% | |
| Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% | 34% | 6% | **41%** | 4% | — | 15% | |
| 36% | — | **46%** | — | — | 17% | |||||
| Fox News | September 14–16, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | **40%** | 11% | 38% | 4% | — | 8% | |
| 42% | — | **48%** | — | — | 8% | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | 3% | **45%** | — | 2% | 10% | |
| **39%** | 9% | 38% | — | 2% | 12% | |||||
| Remington Research | September 23, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.91% | 42% | — | **50%** | 3% | — | 5% | |
| Suffolk University | September 27–30, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41.2% | — | **46.4%** | 0.8% | — | 11.6% | |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3% | **40%** | — | **40%** | 2% | 0% | 17% | |
| NBC News/Marist | September 27 – October 1, 2014 | 511 LV | ± 4.3% | 38% | — | **48%** | 5% | 1% | 9% | |
| 848 RV | ± 3.4% | 36% | — | **46%** | 5% | 1% | 12% | |||
| Gravis Marketing | September 30 – October 1, 2014 | 850 | ± 3% | 40% | — | **47%** | — | — | 13% | |
| SurveyUSA | October 2–5, 2014 | 549 | ± 4.3% | 42% | — | **47%** | 4% | — | 7% | |
| CNN/ORC | October 2–6, 2014 | 687 | ± 3.5% | **49%** | — | 48% | — | — | 3% | |
| Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 702 | ± 3.5% | **44%** | — | 39% | 3% | 4% | 12% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7–8, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | — | **52%** | — | 4% | 4% | |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,081 | ± 3% | 41% | — | **44%** | 5% | — | 10% | |
| 43% | — | **46%** | — | — | 11% | |||||
| Remington Research | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,091 | ± 2.97% | **48%** | — | 46% | 2% | — | 4% | |
| Monmouth University | October 16–19, 2014 | 429 | ± 4.7% | **46%** | — | **46%** | — | 3% | 5% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20–21, 2014 | 960 | ± 3% | 44% | — | **49%** | — | 3% | 5% | |
| Gravis Marketing | October 20–21, 2014 | 1,124 | ± 3% | 45% | — | **47%** | — | — | 8% | |
| NBC News/Marist | October 18–22, 2014 | 757 LV | ± 3.6% | 44% | — | **45%** | 4% | 7% | ||
| 1,055 RV | ± 3% | 42% | — | **45%** | 4% | 1% | 9% | |||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,973 | ± 4% | **42%** | — | 38% | 1% | 0% | 18% | |
| Survey USA | October 22–26, 2014 | 623 | ± 4% | 42% | — | **44%** | 4% | — | 10% | |
| Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | 907 | ± 3% | 43% | — | **44%** | 3% | 1% | 8% | |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,137 | ± 4.8% | **38%** | — | 37% | 2% | 2% | 22% | |
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 752 | ± ? | **47%** | — | 46% | 3% | — | 4% | |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 46% | — | **47%** | 3% | — | 4% | |
| 47% | — | **49%** | — | — | 3% |
With Huelskamp
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Tim | |||||||
| Huelskamp (R) | Carl | |||||||
| Brewer (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | **40%** | 36% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Tim | |||||||
| Huelskamp (R) | Mark | |||||||
| Parkinson (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | **41%** | 35% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Tim | |||||||
| Huelskamp (R) | Kathleen | |||||||
| Sebelius (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | **46%** | 41% | — | 13% |
With Roberts
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Pat | |||||||
| Roberts (R) | Carl | |||||||
| Brewer (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | **50%** | 34% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Pat | |||||||
| Roberts (R) | Mark | |||||||
| Parkinson (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | **49%** | 34% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Pat | |||||||
| Roberts (R) | Kathleen | |||||||
| Sebelius (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **54%** | 37% | 5% | 4% | |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | **52%** | 38% | — | 10% | |
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | **51%** | 40% | — | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||||
| error | Pat | |||||||||
| Roberts (R) | Patrick | |||||||||
| Wiesner (D) | Randall | |||||||||
| Batson (L) | Greg | |||||||||
| Orman (I) | Other | Undecided | ||||||||
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | **45%** | 29% | 6% | 8% | — | 12% | |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | **40%** | 27% | 5% | 17% | — | 11% |
With Wolf
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||
| error | Milton | |||||||
| Wolf (R) | Kathleen | |||||||
| Sebelius (D) | Other | Undecided | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | **46%** | 39% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||||||
| error | Milton | ||||||||||
| Wolf (R) | Chad | ||||||||||
| Taylor (D) | Randall | ||||||||||
| Batson (L) | Greg | ||||||||||
| Orman (I) | Other | Undecided | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | **33%** | 32% | — | — | — | **35%** | ||
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | 33% | **36%** | 6% | 7% | — | 18% | ||
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | 33% | **34%** | 5% | 14% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||||
| error | Milton | |||||||||
| Wolf (R) | Patrick | |||||||||
| Wiesner (D) | Randall | |||||||||
| Batson (L) | Greg | |||||||||
| Orman (I) | Other | Undecided | ||||||||
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | **36%** | 30% | 6% | 8% | — | 20% | |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | **35%** | 28% | 5% | 16% | — | 16% |
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent
- Douglas (largest city: Lawrence)
- Wyandotte (largest city: Kansas City)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent
- Shawnee (largest city: Topeka)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Atchison (largest city: Atchison)
By congressional district
Roberts won three of four congressional districts, with Orman winning the remaining one, which elected a Republican.
| District | Roberts | Orman | Representative | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **63%** | 32% | Tim Huelskamp | |||||||||
| **49%** | 46% | Lynn Jenkins | |||||||||
| 47% | **50%** | Kevin Yoder | |||||||||
| **54%** | 41% | Mike Pompeo |
Notes
References
References
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