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2010 United States Senate election in Kansas

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2010 United States Senate election in Kansas

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States Senate election in Kansas
countryKansas
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2004 United States Senate election in Kansas
previous_year2004
next_election2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image1File:Jerry Moran, official Congressional photo portrait.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Jerry Moran**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**587,175**
percentage1**70.09%**
image23x4.svg
nominee2Lisa Johnston
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2220,971
percentage226.38%
map_image2010 United States Senate election in Kansas results map by county.svg
map_size270px
map_captionCounty results
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionSam Brownback
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJerry Moran
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Moran:
Johnston:
The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Sam Brownback did not seek a third full term, but instead successfully ran for Governor of Kansas.

Fellow Republican and representative Jerry Moran won the open seat. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Kansas for this seat since 1968.

Background

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Tom Little, accountant
  • Bob Londerholm, former Attorney General of Kansas
  • Jerry Moran, U.S. Representative
  • Todd Tiahrt, U.S. Representative

Campaign

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006 to 2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.

Endorsements

Moran

  • U.S. Senator Richard Burr of North Carolina
  • U.S. Senator Tom Coburn of Oklahoma
  • U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina
  • U.S. Senator Mike Johanns of Nebraska
  • U.S. Senator and 2008 Republican nominee for President John McCain of Arizona
  • U.S. Senator John Thune of South Dakota
  • Former U.S. Senator Jim Talent of Missouri
  • U.S. Congressman Jeff Flake of Arizona

Tiahrt

  • State Senator Steve Abrams

  • State Senator Les Donovan

  • State Senator Dick Kelsey

  • State Senator Julia Lynn

  • State Senator Ty Masterson

  • State Senator Carolyn McGinn

  • State Senator Susan Wagle

  • Kansas House Majority Leader Ray Merrick

  • Kansas Speaker Pro Tempore Arlen Seigfreid

  • State Representative Steven Brunk

  • State Representative J. David Crum

  • State Representative Peter DeGraaf

  • State Representative Mario Goico

  • State Representative John Grange

  • State Representative Phil Hermanson

  • State Representative Steve Huebert

  • State Representative Aaron Jack

  • State Representative Kasha Kelley

  • State Representative Dan Kerschen

  • State Representative Brenda Landwehr

  • State Representative Joe McLeland

  • State Representative Virgil Peck

  • State Representative Marc Rhoades

  • State Representative Gene Suellentrop

  • U.S Senator James Inhofe of Oklahoma

  • Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania

  • U.S. Congressman Mike Rogers of Alabama

  • Former Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert of Illinois

  • Former U.S. Congressman Jim Ryun of Kansas

  • Former attorney general of the United States John Ashcroft

  • Former United States Secretary of Education Bill Bennett

  • Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and 2008 vice presidential nominee

  • James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Family

  • Erick Erickson, editor of the conservative weblog RedState

  • Steve Forbes, former Republican presidential candidate and editor-in-chief of Forbes

  • Gracia Burnham, Kansas resident and former missionary kidnapped in Philippines

  • Darla Jaye, talk show host on KMBZ

  • David Keene, Chairman of the American Conservative Union

  • Mark Levin, prominent conservative author and talk show host

  • Dick Morris, Fox News contributor

  • Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council

  • Phyllis Schlafly, founder of Eagle Forum

  • Karl Rove, former Deputy Chief of Staff and Senior Advisor for President George W. Bush

  • Former U.S. Congressman Tom Tancredo of Colorado

  • Eagle Forum PAC

  • Concerned Women for America PAC

  • Family Research Council Action PAC

  • Great American Forum PAC

  • Kansans for Government Reform PAC

  • Kansans for Life PAC

  • Kansas State University College Republicans

  • Pittsburg State University College Republicans

  • Benedictine College Republicans

  • Baker University College Republicans

  • Kansas Federation of College Republicans

  • Northwest Johnson County Republicans

  • Wichita State University College Republicans

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTodd TiahrtJerry Moran
Research 2000February 2–4, 2009**24%**19%
Survey USAApril 17–19, 200935%**39%**
Survey USAJune 12–14, 200938%**40%**
Survey USAOctober 2–4, 200927%**43%**
Survey USADecember 4–6, 200934%**37%**
Survey USAJanuary 29–31, 201033%**40%**
Survey USAMarch 26–28, 201032%**42%**
Survey USAMay 21–23, 201029%**52%**
Survey USAJune 24–27, 201033%**53%**
Survey USAJuly 15–18, 201036%**50%**
Survey USAJuly 29 – August 1, 201039%**49%**

Results

Primary results by county.

| | | | | | | | ]]

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Robert Conroy, retired railroad employee
  • David Haley, state senator and nominee for Secretary of State in 2002 and 2006
  • Lisa Johnston, administrator at Baker University
  • Charles Schollenberger, retired communications executive
  • Patrick Wiesner, attorney and CPA

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredCharles SchollenbergerLisa JohnstonRobert ConroyDavid HaleyUndecided
Survey USAJune 24–27, 201016%**24%**11%11%**35%**
Survey USAJuly 15–18, 201014%**23%**7%12%**36%**
Survey USAJuly 29 – August 1, 201021%**29%**7%12%25%

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932. After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties: Wyandotte County and Douglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.

Debates

The two never met for a debate.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 26, 2010
RothenbergOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPoliticsOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredJerry MoranLisa Johnston
Rasmussen ReportsMay 11, 2010**61%**25%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 30, 2010**59%**23%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 4, 2010**61%**28%
Survey USAAugust 12–15, 2010**69%**23%
Survey USASeptember 14–16, 2010**66%**24%
Survey USAOctober 10–12, 2010**67%**27%
Survey USAOctober 22–26, 2010**66%**26%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Lisa Johnston (D)$10,627$4,530$6,096$1,131
Jerry Moran (R)$2,749,244$4,497,168$795,015$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Douglas (largest city: Lawrence)

Notes

References

References

  1. (July 13, 2010). "Londerholm drops out of Senate race".
  2. (November 8, 2008). "Moran now eyes U.S. Senate seat".
  3. (November 21, 2008). "Tiahrt preparing for Senate race in Kansas".
  4. (January 27, 2009). "Congressman Tiahrt Announces Senate Steering Committee - KWCH - Kansas News and Weather". KWCH.
  5. Clark, Matthew. (June 5, 2010). "POLITICS BLOG: Earmarks, earmarks and more earmarks - Pittsburg, KS". Morning Sun.
  6. (June 7, 2010). "Truth Test". YouTube.
  7. (June 2, 2010). "Jerry Moran Endorsements". Moran for Kansas.
  8. (June 2, 2010). "Todd Tiahrt Endorsements". Todd Tiahrt for Kansas.
  9. "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook.
  10. [https://web.archive.org/web/20090207133834/http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/2/5/145250/8955/1003/693618 Research 2000]
  11. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=8f81dfbd-e5cb-4de9-abd9-25a3f36cb619 Survey USA]
  12. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b3d19e14-c0c6-4bf9-9820-a605c88f57f8 Survey USA]
  13. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3b43021e-de50-43b1-b3dc-8e2b392d31c4 Survey USA]
  14. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fc12c8b0-0839-4e95-8061-ace8398d10d0 Survey USA]
  15. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b068ee9b-e4f9-4042-8323-dc2c38172ad6 Survey USA]
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  20. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ff0c097a-2a4a-4003-9453-7bfbc9fb5634 Survey USA]
  21. "State Sen. David Haley to enter race for U.S. Senate {{!}} Wichitopekington {{!}} Wichita Eagle Blogs". Blogs.kansas.com.
  22. (August 4, 2010). "Moran squeezes past Tiahrt, looks forward to Johnston". [[KCUR-FM]].
  23. (June 15, 2009). "The Hutchinson News Online Edition". Hutchnews.com.
  24. (August 3, 2010). "Kansas Primary results". Politico.
  25. (June 2024). "Canadian Press}}{{dead link".
  26. "Wyandotte County voters buck statewide trend".
  27. "Moran takes Senate seat - McPherson, KS - The McPherson Sentinel".
  28. "Senate". [[Cook Political Report]].
  29. "Senate Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  30. "Battle for the Senate". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  31. "2010 Senate Ratings". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  32. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". [[CQ Politics]].
  33. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kansas/election_2010_kansas_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  34. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kansas/toplines/toplines_kansas_senate_june_30_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  35. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kansas/toplines/toplines_kansas_senate_august_4_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  36. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=45ed9c10-34b9-435f-81fd-e040bdf76206 Survey USA]
  37. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c0e258e0-2f6b-46a1-886f-60059fbe0296 Survey USA]
  38. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=00ebdea2-8f30-4df7-8dc2-68d78d7309bf Survey USA]
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  40. "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kansas". fec.gov.
  41. "2010 General Election - Official Vote Totals".
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