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2014 United States Senate election in Illinois
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 United States Senate election in Illinois |
| country | Illinois |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States Senate election in Illinois |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| next_election | 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois |
| next_year | 2020 |
| election_date | November 4, 2014 |
| turnout | 48.16% |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| image1 | File:Durbin2014.jpg |
| nominee1 | **Dick Durbin ** |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **1,929,637** |
| percentage1 | **53.55%** |
| image2 | File:Jim oberweis.jpg |
| nominee2 | Jim Oberweis |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 1,538,522 |
| percentage2 | 42.69% |
| map_image | 2014 United States Senate election in Illinois results map by county.svg |
| map_size | 160px |
| map_caption | County results |
| **Durbin:** | |
| **Oberweis:** | |
| title | U.S. Senator |
| before_election | Dick Durbin |
| before_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
| after_election | Dick Durbin |
| after_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
Durbin:
Oberweis:
The 2014 United States Senate election in Illinois took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the election of the governor of Illinois, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin ran for re-election to a fourth term. He was unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republicans nominated state senator and perennial candidate for higher office Jim Oberweis.
Durbin defeated Oberweis and Libertarian Sharon Hansen with 53.5% of the vote, the smallest vote total of any of his Senate elections.
Background
Dick Durbin was first elected to the Senate in 1996, and was re-elected by increasingly larger margins in 2002 and 2008. He has served as Senate Majority Whip since 2007 and sought a fourth term in office.
For the primary election, turnout was 15.77%, with 1,183,429 votes cast. For the general election, turnout was 48.16%, with 3,603,519 votes cast.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Dick Durbin, incumbent U.S. senator
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jim Oberweis, state senator, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and 2004, candidate for governor in 2006, and nominee for IL-14 in 2008 special and 2008 general election
- Doug Truax, businessman
Removed
- Armen Alvarez, Multicultural Membership Development Manager of the Parent-Teacher Association (removed from the ballot)
- William Lee, blogger (removed from the ballot)
Declined
- Chad Koppie, Kane County Regional Board of Schools trustee, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992, 1996 and 2008 and candidate for governor in 1998
- Joe Walsh, conservative radio talk show host and former U.S. representative
Endorsements
Individuals
- Newt Gingrich, former United States speaker of the House of Representatives
- Aaron Schock, U.S. representative (R-IL)
- John Shimkus, U.S. representative (R-IL)
''Newspapers'''
- Chicago Tribune
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Jim | ||||||
| Oberweis | Doug | ||||||
| Truax | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Market Shares Corp. | February 5–8, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | **52%** | 15% | 2% | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||||||
| size | Margin of | |||||||||
| error | Chad | |||||||||
| Koppie | William | |||||||||
| Lee | Jim | |||||||||
| Oberweis | Joe | |||||||||
| Ruiz | Doug | |||||||||
| Truax | Other | Undecided | ||||||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 3% | 4% | **42%** | 1% | 7% | — | **42%** |
Results
| | | | ]]
Independents and third party
Candidates
Declared
- Sharon Hansen (Libertarian)
- Fuji Shioura, write-in candidate (Independent)
Removed from the ballot
- Chad Koppie (Constitution)
- Omar Lopez (Green)
General election
Fundraising
| Campaign Finance Reports through November 24, 2014 | Candidate | Raised | Spent | Source: OpenSecrets | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dick Durbin | $10,309,888 | $12,453,951 | |||||
| Jim Oberweis | $2,388,389 | $2,416,774 | |||||
| Sharon Hansen | $2,420 | $2,367 |
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 22, 2014
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Real Clear Politics | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Jim | ||||||
| Oberweis (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| We Ask America | September 24, 2013 | 1,434 | ± 2.86% | **50%** | 39% | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 557 | ± 4.2% | **51%** | 36% | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 9–10, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **51%** | 37% | 3% | 10% |
| We Ask America | June 12, 2014 | 1,116 | ± 2.93% | **52%** | 39% | — | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 5,324 | ± 2.1% | **48%** | 41% | 1% | 11% |
| We Ask America | July 30, 2014 | 1,049 | ± 3.04% | **53%** | 38% | — | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing | August 4–5, 2014 | 567 | ± 4% | **48%** | 38% | — | 14% |
| Harper Polling* | August 25–27, 2014 | 1,340 | ± 2.68% | **44%** | 38% | 8% | 10% |
| We Ask America | August 27, 2014 | 1,054 | ± 3.02% | **48%** | 41% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 4,363 | ± 3% | **50%** | 38% | 1% | 10% |
| We Ask America | September 4, 2014 | 1,014 | ± 3.08% | **49%** | 39% | 4% | 8% |
| Chicago Tribune | September 3–12, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | **55%** | 32% | 5% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 24–25, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **51%** | 37% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 3,955 | ± 2% | **51%** | 39% | 0% | 9% |
| We Ask America | October 7, 2014 | 1,086 | ± 2.98% | **51%** | 38% | 4% | 6% |
| UIS Survey Research | October 2–8, 2014 | 723 | ± 3.7% | **50%** | 35% | 1% | 14% |
| Southern Illinois University | September 23 – October 15, 2014 | 691 LV | ± 3.7% | **47%** | 37% | 0% | 12% |
| 1,006 RV | ± 3% | **49%** | 32% | 0% | 14% | ||
| APC Research | October 16–21, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | **50%** | 36% | 7% | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,519 | ± 3% | **52%** | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| McKeon & Associates | October 28, 2014 | 823 | ± 3.9% | **49%** | 39% | 4% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2014 | 1,064 | ± 3% | **51%** | 41% | 4% | 4% |
| **52%** | 44% | — | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Bob | ||||||
| Dold (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 26–28, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | **54%** | 33% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Patrick | ||||||
| Hughes (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 26–28, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | **53%** | 31% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Chad | ||||||
| Koppie (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 557 | ± 4.2% | **52%** | 35% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Doug | ||||||
| Truax (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 557 | ± 4.2% | **51%** | 33% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Joe | ||||||
| Walsh (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 26–28, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | **54%** | 29% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Dick | ||||||
| Durbin (D) | Generic | ||||||
| Republican | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | November 26–28, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | **52%** | 38% | — | 10% |
-
- Internal poll for the Jim Oberweis campaign.
Results
Durbin won the election, despite winning only 14 of Illinois' 102 counties.
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bond (largest city: Greenville)
- Bureau (largest city: Princeton)
- Cass (largest city: Beardstown)
- Christian (largest city: Taylorville)
- Clay (largest city: Flora)
- Clinton (largest city: Breese)
- Coles (largest city: Charleston)
- DeKalb (largest city: DeKalb)
- Fayette (largest city: Vandalia)
- Greene (largest city: Carrollton)
- Grundy (largest city: Morris)
- Hamilton (largest city: McLeansboro)
- Hancock (largest city: Hamilton)
- Hardin (largest city: Rosiclare)
- Jefferson (largest city: Mount Vernon)
- Jersey (largest city: Jerseyville)
- Jo Daviess (largest city: Galena)
- Kankakee (largest city: Kankakee)
- Lawrence (largest city: Lawrenceville)
- Marion (largest city: Centralia)
- Marshall (largest city: Henry)
- Mason (largest city: Havana)
- Massac (largest city: Metropolis)
- McDonough (largest city: Macomb)
- Moultrie (largest city: Sullivan)
- Piatt (largest city: Monticello)
- Pike (largest city: Pittsfield)
- Pope (largest city: Golconda)
- Randolph (largest city: Chester)
- Saline (largest city: Harrisburg)
- Schuyler (largest city: Rushville)
- Shelby (largest city: Shelbyville)
- Union (largest city: Anna)
- Vermilion (largest city: Danville)
- Warren (largest city: Monmouth)
- White (largest city: Carmi)
- Will (largest city: Joliet)
- Williamson (largest city: Marion)
- Winnebago (largest city: Rockford)
- Franklin (largest city: West Frankfort)
- Henry (largest city: Kewanee)
- LaSalle (largest city: Ottawa)
- Macon (largest city: Decatur)
- Macoupin (largest city: Carlinville)
- Montgomery (largest city: Litchfield)
- Perry (largest city: Du Quoin)
- Boone (largest city: Belvidere)
- Carroll (largest city: Savanna)
- DuPage (largest city: Aurora)
- Kane (largest city: Aurora)
- Kendall (largest village: Oswego)
- McHenry (largest city: Crystal Lake)
- McLean (largest city: Bloomington)
- Stephenson (largest city: Freeport)
- Adams (largest city: Quincy)
- Brown (largest city: Mount Sterling)
- Cumberland (largest city: Neoga)
- Crawford (largest city: Robinson)
- DeWitt (largest city: Clinton)
- Douglas (largest city: Tuscola)
- Clark (largest city: Marshall)
- Edgar (largest city: Paris)
- Effingham (largest city: Effingham)
- Ford (largest city: Paxton)
- Iroqouis (largest city: Watseka)
- Jasper (largest city: Newton)
- Lake (largest city: Waukegan)
- Livingston (largest city: Pontiac)
- Lee (largest city: Dixon)
- Logan (largest city: Lincoln)
- Madison (largest city: Granite City)
- Menard (largest city: Petersburg)
- Mercer (largest city: Aledo)
- Monroe (largest city: Waterloo)
- Morgan (largest city: Jacksonville)
- Ogle (largest city: Rochelle)
- Peoria (largest city: Peoria)
- Putnam (largest city: Hennpin)
- Richland (largest city: Olney)
- Sangamon (largest city: Springfield)
- Scott (largest city: Winchester)
- Tazewell (largest city: Pekin)
- Wabash (largest city: Mount Carmel)
- Washington (largest city: Nashville)
References
References
- Pearson, Rick. (March 8, 2013). "Durbin telling top Democrats he'll seek re-election in 2014". Chicago Tribune.
- "Voter Turnout". Illinois State Board of Elections.
- "Election Results". Illinois State Board of Elections.
- Pearson, Rick. (November 22, 2013). "Oberweis to run for U.S. Senate seat held by Durbin". Chicago Tribune.
- Held, Kevin. (July 15, 2013). "Doug Truax announces challenge for Durbin's U.S. Senate seat". KSDK.com.
- (December 3, 2013). "Unknown Republicans File for Illinois Governor, US Senate, Legislature". Illinois Observer.
- (January 10, 2014). "Republican Candidate For Governor Kicked Off The Ballot". WUIS 919.
- Huston, Warner Todd. (April 15, 2013). "An Interview With Chad Koppie, Running for U.S. Senate From Illinois". Publius Forum.
- Riopell, Mike. (August 30, 2013). "Walsh weighing a bid for Durbin's U.S. Senate seat". [[Daily Herald (Arlington Heights).
- [https://www.chicagotribune.com/2014/03/05/choose-truax-to-challenge-durbin/ Choose Truax to challenge Durbin] ''Chicago Tribune'', March 5, 2014
- [http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ct-met-0212-republican-senate-poll-gfc-eps-20140211,0,2157928.graphic Market Shares Corp.]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_IL_112613.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- link. (January 12, 2015 Retrieved January 5, 2015.)
- "Sharon Hansen".
- "Fuji Shioura".
- "Who is Chad Koppie?".
- "Campaign 2014".
- [http://www.pantagraph.com/news/local/government-and-politics/illinois-green-party-on-sidelines-in-november/article_ec2435cc-783b-51a7-aba2-6c66b8badfb1.html Illinois Green Party on Sidelines in November] ''Pantagraph.com'', August 21, 2014. Retrieved August 25, 2014
- Elections. U.S. Senate] opensecrets.org
- "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
- "2014 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics.
- [http://capitolfax.com/2013/09/24/oberweis-considering-us-senate-bid-touts-poll-results/ We Ask America]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/illinois/election_2014_illinois_senate Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140623140114/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/06/13/uncategorized/mattdietrich/reboot-illinois-poll-durbin-dominant-illinois-u-s-senate-race/10350/ We Ask America]
- [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140804171659/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/07/31/editors-picks/mattdietrich/reboot-illinois-poll-dick-durbin-maintains-big-lead-bid-third-u-s-senate-term/21721/ We Ask America]
- [http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/illinois-polling-data-august-5th-2014/ Gravis Marketing]
- [https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/jimoberweis/pages/246/attachments/original/1409670661/PollGeneralResults.pdf?1409670661 Harper Polling*]
- [https://archive.today/20140831204753/http://politics.suntimes.com/article/washington/exclusive-poll-oberweis-gaining-durbin-us-senate-race/sun-08312014-1234pm We Ask America]
- Sharon Hansen (L)
- [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-illinois/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141010235834/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/09/05/editors-picks/mattdietrich/u-s-senate-race-poll/24566/ We Ask America]
- [http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/clout/ct-senate-race-met-20140915-story.html Chicago Tribune]
- [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141106190750/http://www.rebootillinois.com/2014/10/08/editors-picks/mattdietrich/durbin-maintains-double-digit-lead-oberweis-new-reboot-illinois-poll/26855/ We Ask America]
- [http://www.uis.edu/surveyresearchoffice/wp-content/uploads/sites/162/2014/09/SURVEY-OF-ILLINOIS-VOTERS.pdf UIS Survey Research]
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Simon_IL_101714.pdf Southern Illinois University]
- [http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-illinois-senate-race-met-1024-20141024-story.html APC Research]
- Sharon Hansen (L) 6%, Other 1%
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141030075900/http://politics.suntimes.com/article/springfield/exclusive-poll-dead-heat-gov-race-%E2%80%94divisions-downstate/thu-10302014-1230am McKeon & Associates]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/ILResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IL_113012.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- (November 5, 2014). "Quinn/Rauner a Squeaker? Durbin/Oberweis a Cakewalk? Think Again". [[Northern Illinois University.
- "November 4, 2014 General election Official results". Illinois Secretary of State.
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