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2006 Illinois gubernatorial election

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2006 Illinois gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2006 Illinois gubernatorial election
countryIllinois
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2002 Illinois gubernatorial election
previous_year2002
next_election2010 Illinois gubernatorial election
next_year2010
election_dateNovember 7, 2006
image1File:Rod Blagojevich (2911120436) 3x4.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Rod Blagojevich**
running_mate1**Pat Quinn**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,736,731**
percentage1**49.79%**
image2File:Judy Baar Topinka (cropped).jpg
nominee2Judy Baar Topinka
running_mate2Joe Birkett
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,369,315
percentage239.26%
image3File:Rich Whitney (cropped).jpg
nominee3Rich Whitney
running_mate3Julie Samuels
party3Green Party of the United States
popular_vote3361,336
percentage310.36%
map_image160px
map_size160px
map_captionCounty results
**Blagojevich:**
**Topinka:**
titleGovernor
before_electionRod Blagojevich
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionRod Blagojevich
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
turnout47.29% 2.76 pp

Blagojevich:
Topinka:

The 2006 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich won re-election to a second four-year term scheduled to have ended on January 10, 2011. However, Blagojevich did not complete his term, as he was impeached and removed from office in 2009. This was the first election since 1964 that a Democrat was re-elected governor.

Many observers expected the race to be close, especially considering the polling, which had shown Governor Blagojevich to have a high disapproval rating. However, the Republicans had fared poorly due to scandals involving prior Governor George Ryan, and the increasingly unpopular presidency of George W. Bush. Exit polls showed Topinka won white voters (46%–41%-13%), while Blagojevich performed well among African Americans (80%–16%-2%) and Latinos (83%–12%-4%). Democrats won Will County for the first time since 1964, and Lake County for the first time since 1960.

This was the second and last time in Illinois that a woman was a major party's nominee for governor, the other being 1994. This was also the last time a male lieutenant governor was on the winning ticket.

Background

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for Congress and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2006 Illinois elections.

For the primaries, turnout for the gubernatorial primaries was 23.13%, with 1,680,207 votes cast and turnout for the lieutenant gubernatorial primaries was 20.60% with 1,496,453 votes cast. For the general election, turnout was 47.29%, with 3,487,989 votes cast.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

  • Rod Blagojevich, incumbent governor of Illinois
  • Edwin Eisendrath, former Chicago Alderman and former HUD official

Results

County results {{collapsible list

| | | | | | ]]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

  • Pat Quinn, incumbent lieutenant governor of Illinois
  • Pamela R. Schadow

Results

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

  • Bill Brady, Illinois State Senator
  • Ron Gidwitz, businessman and former chairman of the Illinois State Board of Education
  • Andy Martin, perennial candidate
  • Jim Oberweis, owner of Oberweis Dairy
  • Judy Baar Topinka, Illinois State Treasurer

Declined

  • Jim Edgar, former governor

Campaign

On November 7, 2005, Topinka announced that she would not seek re-election as state treasurer — instead, she entered the gubernatorial primary, hoping to challenge Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich. The Republican primary was deeply divisive; her tenure as Party Chairman destroyed her support from the conservative wing of her party, and it was feared that her pro-choice and positive gay rights positions would be detrimental to her standing with the same conservatives. In December she announced that she would join forces with DuPage County State's Attorney Joe Birkett as a candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Illinois.

In February 2006, the candidates for the Republican nomination for Illinois Governor began running their first TV ads for the March statewide primary election. Rival candidate Ron Gidwitz's advertisements, attacking Topinka, were rebuked in the same week by the Illinois Republican Party: "In an unprecedented action, the Illinois Republican Party has officially rebuked the Gidwitz campaign for this ad because the Party found that the ad violates the Party's "Code of Conduct", which was enacted to police proper conduct among Republican candidates."

Later in February, candidate Jim Oberweis, another rival for the Republican Gubernatorial nomination, started a series of attack ads for television markets, against Topinka, that were even more widely criticized, mostly for using "fake" headlines on the images of actual Illinois newspapers. These ads, like Gidwitz's ads, also came under review by the Illinois Republican Party. Because of the controversy generated, several television stations withdrew Oberweis's ads.

Results

County results

]]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

  • Joe Birkett, DuPage County State's Attorney
  • Lawrence Bruckner, lawyer
  • Jeremy Bryan Cole
  • Steve Rauschenberger, member of the Illinois Senate
  • Sandy Wegman, Kane County Recorder

Results

County results

]]

General election

Candidates

On ballot

  • Rod Blagojevich (Democratic Party), incumbent governor of Illinois
  • Judy Baar Topinka (Republican Party), Illinois State Treasurer
  • Rich Whitney (Green Party), attorney

Write-ins

The following candidates were write-in candidates.

  • Marvin Koch, Chicago-area property manager and naval reservist.
  • Mark McCoy (Libertarian Party), legal Scholar and Rights Defender
  • Angel Rivera, lung transplant procurement coordinator at the University of Chicago Medical Center
  • Mike Shorten

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 6, 2006

Polling

Polling on 14 October 2006
SourceDateRod
Blagojevich (D)Judy Baar
Topinka (R)Rich
Whitney (G)Other
Survey USANovember 2, 2006**45%**37%14%4%
Survey USAOctober 23, 2006**44%**34%14%8%
RasmussenOctober 19, 2006**44%**36%9%11%
Zogby/WSJOctober 16, 2006**47.1%**33.2%11.3%8.4%
Glengariff GroupOctober 15, 2006**39%**30%9%22%
Tribune/WGN-TVOctober 11, 2006**43%**29%9%19%
Survey USASeptember 20, 2006**45%**39%7%9%
RasmussenSeptember 13, 2006**48%**36%16%
Sun-Times/NBC5September 12, 2006**56%**26%3%15%
Tribune/WGN-TVSeptember 11, 2006**45%**33%6%16%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 11, 2006**46.5%**33.6%19.9%
Research 2000August 31, 2006**47%**39%2%12%
Zogby/WSJAugust 28, 2006**44.8%**37.6%17.6%
RasmussenAugust 10, 2006**45%**37%18%
Survey USAJuly 25, 2006**45%**34%21%
Zogby/WSJJuly 24, 2006**44.4%**36.4%19.2%
RasmussenJuly 13, 2006**45%**34%21%
Zogby/WSJJune 21, 2006**41.1%**37.5%21.4%
Glengariff GroupJune 1–3, 2006**41%**34%25%
Survey USAMay 23, 2006**43%**37%20%
RasmussenApril 24, 200638%**44%**18%
RasmussenMarch 31, 200641%**43%**16%
RasmussenFebruary 25, 2006**42%**36%22%
RasmussenFebruary 7, 200637%**48%**15%
Research 2000January 22, 2006**45%**37%18%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Will (Largest city: Joliet)
  • Williamson (Largest city: Marion)
  • Boone (largest city: Belvidere)
  • Mercer (largest city: Aledo)
  • Monroe (largest city: Waterloo)
  • Henderson (Largest village: Oquawka)
  • Knox (Largest city: Galesburg)
  • Lake (largest city: Waukegan)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Jackson (largest city: Carbondale)
  • Cass (Largest city: Beardstown)
  • Christian (Largest city: Taylorville)
  • Clinton (Largest city: Breese)
  • Marion (Largest city: Centralia)
  • Mason (Largest city: Havana)
  • Greene (Largest city: Carrollton)
  • Macoupin (largest city: Carlinville)
  • Macon (largest city: Decatur)
  • Montgomery (largest city: Litchfield)
  • Crawford (largest city: Robinson)

Aftermath

The Green Party became an established political party statewide, according to Illinois state election law, when Rich Whitney received more than 5% of the total vote for governor. The new status provided the party with several new advantages, such as lower signature requirements for ballot access, primary elections, free access to additional voter data, the ability to elect precinct committeemen, run a partial slate of candidates at any jurisdictional level, and slate candidates without petitioning. The only other statewide established political parties were the Democratic and Republican Parties. It is rare for a new political party to become established statewide in Illinois, the last to do so being the Solidarity Party in 1986 and the Progressive Party before that.

References

References

  1. "SurveyUSA News Poll #8260". Surveyusa.com.
  2. "Voter Turnout". Illinois State Board of Elections.
  3. "Election Results". Illinois State Board of Elections.
  4. (30 September 2005). "Jim Edgar says no to run for Illinois Governor".
  5. (2006-03-21). "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov.
  6. (21 January 2006). "Prosecutor removes office from case". Chicago Tribune.
  7. (November 7, 2006). "Official Vote Cast at the General Election November 7, 2006". Illinois State Board of Elections.
  8. "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006".
  9. (6 November 2006). "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".
  10. "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  11. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics.
  12. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10617".
  13. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10435".
  14. "Election Polls 2006: Illinois Governor".
  15. "info-elections06".
  16. [http://www.belleville.com/mld/belleville/news/politics/15775001.htm Glengariff Group]
  17. "Tribune/WGN-TV".
  18. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10314".
  19. [https://web.archive.org/web/20061021125029/http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/IllinoisGovernor.htm Rasmussen]
  20. Celizic, Mike. (October 29, 2009). "Politics, "Dates" Put Bumps in Obamas' Marriage".
  21. "Tribune/WGN-TV".
  22. "WSJ.com".
  23. (June 2023). "Research 2000}}{{Dead link".
  24. (August 19, 2006). "Election Poll 2006: Illinois Governor".
  25. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9827".
  26. "ilGovernor".
  27. "Glengariff Group".
  28. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9283".
  29. "Election 2006 Poll".
  30. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060406183537/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/March%202006/Illinois%20Governor%20March.htm Rasmussen]
  31. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060308082836/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/February%202006/Illinois%20Governor%20February.htm Rasmussen]
  32. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060209034758/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/January%202006/Illinois%20Governor%20January.htm Rasmussen]
  33. [http://www.belleville.com/mld/belleville/news/state/13684776.htm?source=rss&channel=belleville_state Research 2000]
  34. (2006-11-07). "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov.
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