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2014 Illinois gubernatorial election

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2014 Illinois gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Illinois gubernatorial election
countryIllinois
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Illinois gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Illinois gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image1Bruce Rauner (Crop2).jpg
nominee1**Bruce Rauner**
running_mate1**Evelyn Sanguinetti**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,823,627**
percentage1**50.27%**
image2ASC hosts governor, AMC leadership, DoD logistician (3) (cropped3).jpg
nominee2Pat Quinn
running_mate2Paul Vallas
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,681,343
percentage246.35%
map_image{{Switcher
map_caption**Rauner:**
**Quinn:**
**Tie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionPat Quinn
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBruce Rauner
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
turnout48.48% 1.21 pp
image_sizex150px

| [[File:2014 Illinois gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|160px]] | County results | [[File:2014 Illinois gubernatorial election results map by Congressional District.svg|160px]] | Congressional district results |160px |Township results Quinn:
Tie:
The 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Illinois, concurrently with the election to Illinois's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Before this cycle, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor were nominated separately, and the primary winners ran on the same ticket in the general election. In 2011, the law was changed to allow candidates for governor to pick their own running mates. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon did not run for reelection, instead running unsuccessfully for comptroller. She was replaced as Quinn's running mate by Paul Vallas, a former CEO of Chicago Public Schools. Rauner chose Wheaton City councilwoman Evelyn Sanguinetti as his running mate and Grimm chose Alex Cummings.

Incumbent Democratic governor Pat Quinn ran for re-election to a second full term in office. Quinn, then the lieutenant governor, assumed the office of governor on January 29, 2009, upon the impeachment and removal of Rod Blagojevich. He narrowly won a full term in 2010. Primary elections were held on March 18, 2014. Quinn won the Democratic primary, while the Republicans chose businessman Bruce Rauner and the Libertarians nominated political activist Chad Grimm.

Rauner defeated Quinn in the general election with 50.3% of the vote to Quinn's 46.4%, winning every county in the state except for Cook County, home to the city of Chicago and 40% of the state's residents. Quinn was the only incumbent Democratic governor to lose a general election in 2014 and remained the last one to do so until Nevada's Steve Sisolak in 2022. Rauner became the second Republican to be elected governor of Illinois while carrying all but one county, the other being Jim Edgar in 1994. This was the only time since 1998 that a Republican was elected Governor of Illinois.

As of , this alongside the concurrent comptroller election is the only time since 2010 that Republicans won a statewide election in Illinois. This is also the most recent Illinois gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.

Background

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for federal (House and Senate) and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2014 Illinois elections.

For the primary election, turnout was 16.88%, with 1,267,028 votes cast. For the general election, turnout was 48.48%, with 3,627,690 votes cast.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Tio Hardiman, former director of CeaseFire
    • Running mate: Brunell Donald, attorney, author and motivational speaker.
  • Pat Quinn, incumbent governor of Illinois
    • Running mate: Paul Vallas, former CEO of Chicago Public Schools and candidate for governor in 2002

Withdrew

  • William M. Daley, former White House Chief of Staff and former United States Secretary of Commerce

Declined

  • John Atkinson, businessman
  • Tom Dart, Cook County Sheriff
  • Alexi Giannoulias, former Illinois Treasurer and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • David H. Hoffman, member of the Illinois Reform Commission, former Chicago Inspector General and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Daniel Hynes, former Illinois Comptroller, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010
  • Lisa Madigan, Illinois Attorney General (running for re-election)
  • Toni Preckwinkle, President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners
  • Kwame Raoul, state senator

Endorsements

  • Michael Bloomberg, former Mayor of New York City

  • Cook County Democratic Party

  • Barack Obama, President of the United States

  • Michelle Obama, First Lady of the United States

  • Danny K. Davis, U.S. representative (IL-07)

  • Luis Gutierrez, U.S. representative (IL-04)

  • Chicago Tribune

  • Democratic Party of Illinois

  • Teamsters Joint Council

  • Illinois Democratic County Chairmen's Association

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
QuinnTio
HardimanOtherUndecided
Strive StrategiesMarch 9, 2014563± 4.21%**64%**36%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
QuinnBill
DaleyLisa
MadiganKwame
RaoulOtherUndecided
We Ask AmericaAugust 6, 20131,528± ?**27%**23%13%**37%**
We Ask AmericaJuly 19, 20131,394± ?**38%**33%29%
We Ask AmericaJune 13, 20131,322± 2.8%21%22%**32%**25%
37%**38%**25%
33%**44%**23%
Paul Simon InstituteJanuary 27–February 8, 2013310± 5.5%22.9%11.9%**31.9%**4.8%28.4%
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20131,255± 3%20%15%**37%**18%
**38%**33%29%
26%**51%**23%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012319± 5.5%34%**37%**29%
20%**64%**17%

Results

County results

Republican primary

By early summer 2013, the field seeking the Republican nomination was set at four candidates. Two of them, state senators Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard, had sought the nomination in 2010, with Brady edging out Dillard by 193 votes, but ultimately losing to Pat Quinn by less than 1 percent. Dan Rutherford, who was elected state treasurer in 2010 after serving as a state representative and state senator, formally entered the race on June 2.

Rauner had announced the formation of an exploratory committee in March and made his entry into the Republican field official on June 5. Despite longstanding rumors that Rauner was committed to spending $50 million on his campaign, he denied in an interview ever specifying a dollar figure.

By the date of the primary, Rauner had broken the previous record for self-funding in an Illinois gubernatorial race by putting more than $6 million of his own money into his campaign. In total, he raised more than $14 million before the primary election.

On March 18, 2014, Rauner won the Republican primary, collecting 40% of the vote, compared to 37% for State Senator Kirk Dillard.

Candidates

Declared

  • Bill Brady, state senator, candidate for governor in 2006 and nominee for governor in 2010
    • Running mate: Maria Rodriguez, former Village President of Long Grove
  • Kirk Dillard, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010
    • Running mate: Jil Tracy, state representative
  • Bruce Rauner, businessman and former chairman of GTCR
    • Running mate: Evelyn Sanguinetti, Wheaton City Councilwoman
  • Dan Rutherford, Illinois Treasurer
    • Running mate: Steve Kim, Attorney and nominee for Illinois Attorney General in 2010

Removed

  • Peter Edward Jones (removed from the ballot)
    • Running mate: None

Declined

  • Adam Andrzejewski, businessman and candidate for governor in 2010
  • Dan Duffy, state senator
  • Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative
  • Ray LaHood, former United States Secretary of Transportation and former U.S. representative
  • Matt Murphy, state senator
  • Dan Proft, talk radio personality and candidate for governor in 2010
  • Christine Radogno, Minority Leader of the Illinois Senate
  • Aaron Schock, U.S. representative
  • Joe Walsh, conservative radio talk show host and former U.S. representative

Endorsements

  • Jim Edgar, former governor of Illinois

  • James R. Thompson, former governor of Illinois

  • Illinois Education Association

  • American Federation of State and Municipal Employees' Council 31

  • Illinois Federation of Teachers

  • The Daily Herald

  • Dan Duffy, state senator

  • Chicago Tribune

  • Crain's Chicago Business

  • Shaw Media

  • Cook County GOP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorAdam
AndrzejewskiBill
BradyKirk
DillardDan
ProftBruce
RaunerDan
RutherfordAaron
SchockJoe
WalshOtherUndecided
We Ask AmericaMarch 17, 20141,126± 3%19%27%**44%**9%
Illinois Mirror/WASMarch 16, 20141,162± 3%15%26%**32%**5%21%
We Ask AmericaMarch 11, 20141,235± 2.9%19%26%**46%**9%
Tribune/WGN-TVMarch 1–5, 2014600± 4%18%23%**36%**9%13%
We Ask AmericaMarch 4, 20141,262± 2.85%12%14%**40%**8%26%
We Ask AmericaFebruary 25, 20141,178± 3%13%17%**36%**7%27%
McKeon & Assoc.*February 18–19, 2014831± 3.6%24%13%**32%**3%18%
We Ask AmericaFebruary 18, 20141,323± ?14%13%**35%**8%30%
Tribune/WGN-TVFebruary 5–8, 2014600± 4%20%11%**40%**13%15%
We Ask AmericaJanuary 14, 20141,139± 2.9%17%9%**34%**15%25%
Ogden & FryJanuary 2014778± 2.5%8%6%**18%**10%**58%**
We Ask AmericaNovember 26, 20131,233± 2.79%18%10%**26%**17%**29%**
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013375± 5.1%17%10%**24%**14%**36%**
We Ask AmericaNovember 14, 20131,191± 2.94%**25%**14%11%18%**32%**
Battleground PollingNovember 3–11, 2013535± 3.97%13%12%12%**18%****45%**
We Ask AmericaAugust 13, 20131,102± ?**21%**10%14%17%**32%**
We Ask AmericaJune 20, 20131,310± 2.8%18%11%12%**22%****38%**
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141128001330/http://www.battlegroundpolling.com/?p=1093date=2014-11-28 }}May 20–27, 2013400± 4.8%19%14%13%5%**27%**22%
Paul Simon InstituteJanuary 27–February 8, 2013186± 7.2%2%10%3%2%**10%**9%6%5%**53%**
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012303± 5.6%14%12%7%**19%**18%8%7%15%
    • Internal poll for Bill Brady campaign

Results

County results

Third party and Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Chad Grimm (Libertarian), political activist, candidate for the State House in 2012 and candidate for the Peoria City Council in 2013
    • Running mate: Alex Cummings

Removed from ballot

  • Mike Oberline (Constitution)
    • Running mate: Don Stone
  • Scott Summers (Green)
    • Running mate: Bob Pritchett Jr.

Declined

  • Sam McCann (Independent), Republican state senator

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
Quinn (D)Bruce
Rauner (R)Chad
Grimm (L)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–2, 20141,064± 3%**47%**45%3%5%
**48%****48%**4%
McKeon & AssociatesOctober 28, 2014823± 3.9%**45%**42%4%9%
We Ask AmericaOctober 27–28, 20142,327± 3%**50%**45%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,519± 3%**45%**41%1%13%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 20–22, 20141,000± 3%47%**48%**2%4%
APC ResearchOctober 16–21, 2014800± 3.5%43%**45%**4%7%
Southern Illinois UniversitySeptember 23 – October 15, 20141,006 RV± 3%**41%**39%5%1%15%
691 LV± 3.7%41%**42%**3%1%13%
We Ask AmericaOctober 8, 20141,051± 3.02%**44%**41%7%8%
University of Illinois SpringfieldOctober 2–8, 2014723± 3.7%41%**43%**2%14%
We Ask AmericaOctober 6, 20141,097± 3%**44%**40%6%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20143,955± 2%**46%**43%1%10%
Communication ExpressSeptember 30, 20141,208± 2.87%37%**43%**5%16%
Fabrizio LeeSeptember 27–29, 2014600± 4%**41%**39%5%15%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 24–25, 2014750± 4%**44%**42%6%8%
Battleground PollingSeptember 23–24, 2014408± 4.8%**43%****43%**6%8%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 18–19, 20141,418± 3%41%**44%**6%9%
Global Strategy GroupSeptember 4–7, 2014605± 4%**43%**40%5%12%
APC ResearchSeptember 3–5, 2014800± 3.5%**48%**37%5%10%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 2, 20141,064± 3%37%**46%**7%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20144,363± 3%40%**44%**2%13%
Garin Hart Yang Research Group*August 12–14, 2014802± 3.5%43%**46%**11%
We Ask AmericaAugust 5–6, 20141,085± 3.12%38%**51%**11%
Gravis MarketingAugust 4–5, 2014567± 4%40%**48%**12%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 29–30, 2014750± 4%39%**44%**7%10%
We Ask AmericaJuly 28, 20141,087± 2.97%33%**47%**20%
Mellman Group^July 27–29, 2014600± 5%38%**39%**23%
Harstad Strategic ResearchJuly 17–22, 20141,003± 3.1%42%**46%**3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20145,298± 2.1%43%**46%**2%8%
McKeon & AssociatesJuly 9–10, 2014800± 3.9%34%**40%**26%
Capitol Fax/We Ask AmericaJuly 8, 2014940± 3.2%39%**51%**10%
We Ask AmericaJune 10–11, 20141,075± 3%37%**47%**16%
Where America StandsMay 12, 20141,168± 3%31%**49%**1%3%16%
We Ask AmericaApril 27, 2014?± 3.14%**44%****44%**12%
We Ask AmericaApril 21, 2014?± 3.21%38%**49%**13%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 9–10, 2014750± 4%40%**43%**6%10%
Where America StandsMarch 27, 20141,033± 3%32%**46%**1%2%19%
Gravis MarketingMarch 21–22, 2014806± 3%35%**43%**22%
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%39%**47%**14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%**41%**38%21%

With Quinn

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
Quinn (D)Bill
Brady (R)Undecided
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%39%**48%**13%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%**41%****41%**18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
Quinn (D)Kirk
Dillard (R)Undecided
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%37%**46%**17%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%**39%****39%**21%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%37%**44%**19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
Quinn (D)Dan
Rutherford (R)Undecided
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%37%**46%**17%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%39%**41%**20%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%39%**43%**18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorPat
Quinn (D)Aaron
Schock (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%**40%**39%21%

With Daley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
Daley (D)Kirk
Dillard (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%34%**36%**30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
Daley (D)Dan
Rutherford (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%37%**38%**25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
Daley (D)Aaron
Schock (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%**40%**35%25%

With Emanuel

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRahm
Emanuel (D)Dan
Rutherford (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%**40%**38%22%

With Hynes

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDaniel
Hynes (D)Dan
Rutherford (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%**34%****34%**32%

With Madigan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLisa
Madigan (D)Kirk
Dillard (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%**46%**37%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLisa
Madigan (D)Dan
Rutherford (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%**45%**40%15%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%**46%**37%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLisa
Madigan (D)Aaron
Schock (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%**46%**38%17%
    • Internal Poll for Dick Durbin campaign
  • ^ Internal Poll for Pat Quinn campaign

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Alexander (largest city: Cairo)
  • Jackson (largest city: Carbondale)
  • St. Clair (largest city: Belleville)

By congressional district

Rauner won 12 of 18 districts, including four that elected Democrats.

DistrictQuinnRaunerRepresentative
**71%**27%Bobby Rush
**73%**25%Robin Kelly
48.7%**48.8%**Dan Lipinski
**72%**25%Luis Gutierrez
**55%**43%Mike Quigley
32%**65%**Peter Roskam
**81%**18%Danny K. Davis
43%**54%**Tammy Duckworth
**54%**44%Jan Schakowsky
43%**55%**Brad Schneider
Robert Dold
46%**52%**Bill Foster
38%**56%**William Enyart
Mike Bost
38%**57%**Rodney Davis
32%**65%**Randy Hultgren
23%**71%**John Shimkus
35%**61%**Adam Kinzinger
43%**52%**Cheri Bustos
28%**66%**Aaron Schock

References

References

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