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2014 United States Senate election in Alaska

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2014 United States Senate election in Alaska

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FieldValue
election_name2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
countryAlaska
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States Senate election in Alaska
previous_year2008
next_election2020 United States Senate election in Alaska
next_year2020
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image1File:Senator Dan Sullivan official (5and6cropped).jpg
nominee1**Dan Sullivan**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**135,445**
percentage1**47.96%**
image2File:Mark Begich, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped a little).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee2Mark Begich
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2129,431
percentage245.83%
map_caption**Sullivan:**
**Begich:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionMark Begich
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionDan Sullivan
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
map{{Switcher
State house district resultsdefault2

Begich:
| [[File:2014 United States Senate election in Alaska by State House District.svg|350px]] | State house district results| default = 2 | [[File:2014 United States Senate election in Alaska results map by borough and census area.svg|350px]] | Borough and census area results The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the election of the governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election. Incumbent Senator Mark Begich ran for re-election to a second term in office. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014. Begich was renominated and the Republicans picked former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan.

On November 7, Sullivan held an 8,000-vote lead, which on November 11 had shrunk slightly to 7,991 votes. Multiple media outlets called the race for Sullivan on November 12 and Begich conceded to Sullivan on November 17. Republican Sean Parnell simultaneously lost the gubernatorial election to independent candidate Bill Walker, marking just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which U.S. Senate and gubernatorial incumbents from different political parties were simultaneously defeated in the same state.

Background

Democrat Mark Begich won the 2008 election, defeating seven-term Republican incumbent Ted Stevens by just under 4,000 votes. A few days before the election, Stevens had been convicted of a felony, but the case against Stevens was later dismissed by the Justice Department after the election, when serious issues of prosecutorial misconduct emerged. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney easily won Alaska by 13 points, which made Begich a prime target during an election cycle in which Republicans needed a net gain of six seats to retake control of the Senate.

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Democratic candidates

Declared

  • Mark Begich, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • William Bryk, attorney and perennial candidate from New York

Alaskan Independence candidates

Declared

  • Zachary Kile, orthopedic surgeon
  • Vic Kohring, former Republican state representative

Libertarian candidates

Declared

  • Mark Fish, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party, former Sarah Palin and Joe Miller staffer and Republican nominee for the state house in 2008
  • Scott Kohlhaas, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party and perennial candidate
  • Thom Walker, University of Alaska Brooks Range research station operations manager

Declined

  • Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014

Results

Subsequent events

In an upset, the unknown Thom Walker won the Libertarian nomination despite not campaigning and raising no money. Libertarians speculated that he was a Republican "plant" designed to keep a more viable Libertarian from winning the nomination and then taking votes away from the Republican nominee in the general election. They further speculated that Walker was chosen because he shared a surname with Bill Walker (no relation), who was running as an independent candidate in the 2014 gubernatorial election, and that voters may have been confused because Bill Walker did not appear on the primary ballot and thus they may have voted for Thom Walker in error. This confusion could have extended to the general election, with voters picking Thom Walker for the Senate, thinking he was Bill Walker.

Walker withdrew from the race on August 27, saying that "my work location and schedule will have me out of town, out of contact and off the campaign trail for too long." The Libertarian executive board replaced him as the nominee with Mark Fish.

Alaskan Independence nominee Vic Kohring, who had changed his voter registration from Republican to Alaskan Independence just before the filing deadline, withdrew from the race on September 2 and endorsed Dan Sullivan. The Alaskan Independence Party did not name a replacement nominee before the deadline for them to do so had passed.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Bumper sticker from Sullivan's campaign
  • John Jaramillo, air force veteran
  • Joe Miller, former U.S. magistrate judge and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Dan Sullivan, former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources and former Alaska Attorney General
  • Mead Treadwell, Lieutenant Governor of Alaska

Withdrew

  • Kathleen Tonn, anti-abortion activist

Declined

  • Timothy Mark Burgess, judge on the United States District Court for the District of Alaska
  • Loren Leman, former lieutenant governor
  • Lesil McGuire, state senator
  • Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008
  • Sean Parnell, Governor of Alaska (ran for re-election and lost)
  • Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage (ran for Lieutenant Governor and lost)

Filed

  • Ted Stevens, former U.S. Senator. Stevens had filed to run for his old seat, but he was killed in a plane crash on August 9, 2010.

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008

Organizations

Individuals

  • Lyman Hoffman, member of the Alaska Senate (Democrat)
  • Condoleezza Rice, former United States Secretary of State
  • Tara Sweeney, co-chair of the Alaska Federation of Natives

Organizations

  • Club for Growth}}

Individuals

  • Jack Coghill, former lieutenant governor and Alaska Constitutional Convention delegate

  • Mark R. Hamilton, former President of the University of Alaska

  • Ryan Stassel, snowboarder

  • Sean Parnell, Governor of Alaska}}

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
JaramilloLoren
LemanJoe
MillerSarah
PalinSean
ParnellDan A.
SullivanDan S.
SullivanKathleen
TonnMead
TreadwellOther/
Undecided
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)August 4–5, 201450017%**42%**25%16%
Public Policy PollingJuly 31 – August 3, 2014337± 5.3%2%20%**35%**29%14%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)July 29–31, 2014375± 5.5%16%**35%**27%22%
Hellenthal & Assoc.June 17–28, 201421%**35%**31%13%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)June 16–18, 201450013%**36%**27%24%
Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)May 27–29, 2014500± 4.4%12%**37%**35%16%
Public Policy PollingMay 8–11, 2014313± 5.5%3%14%**40%**26%17%
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)April 27–28, 201412%**38%**22%29%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 30 – February 1, 2014442± 4.7%2%20%**30%**4%25%19%
Ivan MooreDecember 15–22, 201333519%29%**34%**18%
Public Policy PollingJuly 25–28, 2013507± 4.4%12%**36%**15%26%11%
24%25%**33%**19%
30%**53%**18%
Harper PollingMay 6–7, 2013379± 5.0%14%**32%**30%24%
19%**52%**29%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 2013537± 4.2%16%17%**24%**19%14%11%
20%19%**29%**23%9%
Harper PollingJanuary 29–30, 20131,157± 2.9%12%27%**32%**14%15%

Results

Results by state house district

| | | | ]]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Ted Gianoutsos, founder of the Veterans Party of Alaska and perennial candidate
  • Sid Hill, political gadfly
  • Stubbs, cat and mayor of Talkeetna, Alaska

Declined

  • Joe Miller, former magistrate judge and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010

General election

Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on HandDebt
Mark Begich (D)$7,918,887$8,487,590$721,5050
Dan Sullivan (R)$6,093,368$7,579,632$449,506$43,000

Debates

Begich and Sullivan participated in a televised debate regarding fisheries on August 27, 2014, at the University of Alaska Anchorage. Another televised debate concerning natural resources was held on October 1 in Kodiak, Alaska.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Dan
Sullivan (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–2, 20141,052± 3.0%45%**46%**4%5%
46%**47%**7%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 27–30, 2014887± 4.0%42%**47%**11%
Ivan MooreOctober 24–26, 2014544**48%**42%7%4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 2014561± 9.0%44%**48%**0%9%
Harstad Strategic ResearchOctober 18–22, 2014700**44%****44%**4%7%
Hellenthal & AssociatesOctober 15–21, 2014403± 4.9%**49%**39%7%6%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 8–12, 2014700± 4.0%45%**48%**3%3%
Fox NewsOctober 4–7, 2014706± 3.5%40%**44%**6%10%
CNN/ORCOctober 1–6, 2014704 LV± 3.5%44%**50%**5%
875 RV± 3.4%44%**48%**8%
Hickman AnalyticsSeptember 26 – October 2, 2014400± 4.9%41%**46%**4%9%
CBS News/New York TimesSeptember 20 – October 1, 2014593± 5.0%42%**48%**2%8%
Rassmussen ReportsSeptember 23–24, 2014750± 4.0%43%**48%**5%4%
Marc HellenthalSeptember 12–24, 201440042%**46%**7%5%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 18–21, 2014880± 3.3%41%**43%**5%11%
42%**45%**13%
DittmanSeptember 14–17, 2014800± 3.5%43%**49%**8%
Hays Research/AFL-CIOSeptember 13–14, 2014500± 4.4%**41%**36%23%
Harstad Strategic ResearchSeptember 7–10, 2014709± 4.0%**45%**40%7%8%
CBS News/New York TimesAugust 18 – September 2, 2014412± 6.0%38%**43%**6%12%
Harstad Strategic ResearchAugust 24–27, 2014807± 4.0%**41%**40%10%8%
ccAdvertisingAugust 21–24, 20144,40331%**42%**27%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 20–21, 2014750± 4%45%**47%**3%4%
Public Policy PollingJuly 31 – August 1, 2014673± 3.8%**43%**37%7%12%
**45%**41%14%
Harstad Strategic ResearchJuly 20–24, 2014808± 4.0%**44%**37%10%9%
CBS News/New York TimesJuly 5–24, 2014452± 5.2%**46%**35%9%10%
Basswood ResearchJune 29–30, 2014500± 4.4%40%**45%**15%
Moore Information (R-Sullivan)June 16–18, 2014500± 4.0%**43%****43%**14%
Public Policy PollingMay 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%**42%**37%7%14%
Moore Information (R-Sullivan)April 27–28, 2014500± 4.0%**44%**42%14%
Magellan StrategiesApril 14, 2014603± 4.0%41%**46%**7%6%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 19–20, 2014750± 4.0%**44%****44%**3%9%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%**41%**37%9%13%
Harper PollingJanuary 20–22, 2014677± 3.8%41%**47%**12%
Harper PollingSeptember 24–25, 2013731± 3.6%**43%**41%16%
Public Policy PollingJuly 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%**46%**39%15%

with Leman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Loren
Leman (R)Zachary
Kile (AIP)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%**50%**40%10%

with Miller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Joe
Miller (R)Zachary
Kile (AIP)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 31 – August 1, 2014673± 3.8%**45%**32%12%11%
Public Policy PollingMay 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%**43%**27%4%2%23%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 19–20, 2014750± 4%**49%**38%3%10%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%**45%**25%5%3%21%
Harper PollingJanuary 20–22, 2014677± 3.76%**51%**32%17%
Harper PollingSeptember 24–25, 2013731± 3.62%**55%**28%18%
Public Policy PollingJuly 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%**55%**32%13%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%**58%**30%12%
Harper PollingJanuary 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%**52%**29%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Dan
Sullivan (R)Joe
Miller (I)OtherUndecided
Hays Research GroupFebruary 9, 2014502± 3.3%**45%**33%10%

with Palin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Sarah
Palin (R)Zachary
Kile (AIP)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%**41%**35%6%3%15%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%**44%**40%4%2%11%
Hays Research GroupAugust 14–15, 2013388± 4.9%**55%**37%8%
Public Policy PollingJuly 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%**52%**40%8%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%**54%**38%8%
Harper PollingJanuary 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%**47%**40%13%

with Parnell

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Sean
Parnell (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%**48%****48%**4%
Harper PollingJanuary 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%40%**46%**14%

with Dan A. Sullivan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Dan A.
Sullivan (R)Undecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%**47%**41%12%

with Treadwell

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMark
Begich (D)Mead
Treadwell (R)Zachary
Kile (AIP)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 31 – August 1, 2014673± 3.8%**42%**37%8%12%
**44%**41%15%
CBS News/New York TimesJuly 5–24, 2014452± 5.8%**47%**45%9%10%
Public Policy PollingMay 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%**41%**33%6%3%17%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 19–20, 2014750± 4%43%**47%**3%6%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 30 – February 1, 2014850± 3.4%**43%**37%5%2%13%
Harper PollingJanuary 20–22, 2014677± 3.76%41%**47%**12%
Harper PollingSeptember 24–25, 2013731± 3.62%**43%**42%15%
Hays Research GroupAugust 14–15, 2013388± 4.9%**50.4%**38.5%11.1%
Public Policy PollingJuly 25–28, 2013890± 3.3%**44%**40%17%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 4–5, 20131,129± 2.9%**47%**39%14%
Harper PollingJanuary 29–30, 20131,157± 2.88%**44%**34%22%

Results

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Fairbanks North Star (largest city: Fairbanks)
  • Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
  • Petersburg

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped Republican to Democratic

  • Aleutians East Borough (largest city: Akutan)

References

Notes

References

  1. State of Alaska Division of Elections. "2014 Election Dates and Hours".
  2. (November 6, 2014). "After noisy U.S. Senate campaign, both candidates go quiet with votes still uncounted". Alaska Dispatch News.
  3. (November 11, 2014). "Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election". Alaska Dispatch News.
  4. (November 12, 2014). "Republican Dan Sullivan Beats Sen. Mark Begich to Win Alaska Race". NBC News.
  5. (November 12, 2014). "Another Senate Loss for Democrats". The Atlantic.
  6. "Republicans Take the Senate – Debates Continue on Health Care and Immigration Reform – The Bi-College News".
  7. Joseph, Cameron. [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/224455-begich-concedes-alaska-senate-race/ Begich concedes Alaska Senate race], ''[[The Hill (newspaper). The Hill]]'', November 17, 2014.
  8. Ostermeier, Eric. (November 19, 2014). "Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat". Smart Politics.
  9. (April 8, 2009). "Stevens files candidacy for 2014 election". ADN.com.
  10. Zaz Hollander. (November 21, 2013). "Brooklyn lawyer takes on Begich - without leaving home". Anchorage Daily News.
  11. Scott Rhode. (June 3, 2014). "Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates". [[KENI]].
  12. Amanda Coyne. (May 14, 2014). "Alaska Libertarian Mark Fish runs for U.S. Senate seat". Amanda Coyne.
  13. (August 18, 2014). "U.S. Senate — Scott Kohlhaas". NewsMiner.com.
  14. Alexandra Gutierrez. (August 22, 2014). "Walker wins primary … for Libertarian Senate nomination". KTOO.
  15. Joseph, Cameron. (June 26, 2014). "Sen. Begich faces tough reelection challenge in GOP-friendly Alaska". [[Roll Call]].
  16. Joseph, Cameron. (August 15, 2014). "Joe Miller says he'll back GOP nominee against Begich in Alaska". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  17. "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections.
  18. (August 22, 2014). "Walker -- no, the other Walker -- wins Libertarian US Senate nomination". Alaska Dispatch New.
  19. (August 27, 2014). "Alaska Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate withdraws". Alaska Dispatch New.
  20. (September 3, 2014). "Independence party candidate exits US Senate race". NewsMiner.com.
  21. Anderson, Ben. (May 28, 2013). "Joe Miller takes another step toward 2014 US Senate run". Alaska Dispatch.
  22. Burns, Alexander. (May 28, 2013). "Joe Miller files papers for Senate". Politico.
  23. Hohmann, James. (September 12, 2013). "Alaska Senate race 2014: Dan Sullivan to run". [[Politico]].
  24. Trygstad, Kyle. (June 18, 2013). "Republican Announces Begich Challenge". Roll Call.
  25. (July 16, 2013). "Begala scheduled to headline fundraiser for Democrat Begich in Alaska". Newsminer.
  26. Bailey, Chris. (February 1, 2014). "Tonn Out of Senate Primary Race". Alaska Commons.
  27. Mauer, Rich. (February 23, 2013). "Miller Mulls a Begich Challenge". Anchorage Daily News.
  28. Trygstad, Kyle. (November 13, 2012). "Alaska: Republicans Lining Up to Take on Mark Begich". Roll Call.
  29. Hopkins, Kyle. (June 5, 2013). "McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor". [[Anchorage Daily News]].
  30. (June 2, 2014). "McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline". [[Anchorage Daily News]].
  31. [http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/12/sarah-palin-tw-shannon_n_4951731.html Sarah Palin Ups Her 2014 Game, Endorses In Competitive GOP Senate Primary]
  32. Forgey, Pat. (May 4, 2013). "Neither Democrats nor Republicans shocked Parnell is running again". Alaska Dispatch.
  33. Gonzales, Nathan L.. (May 23, 2013). "Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  34. (August 10, 2010). "Former Senator Ted Stevens Killed in Plane Crash". The New York Times.
  35. (August 15, 2014). "Sarah Palin endorses Joe Miller, again".
  36. (December 23, 2013). "Combat Veterans for Congress PAC Endorses Joe Miller for U.S. Senate". Joe Miller for Senate.
  37. "GOA Political Victory Fund Endorses Miller for Senate". Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund.
  38. Matheson, Ben. (October 24, 2014). "Lyman Hoffman Endorses Dan Sullivan for Senate".
  39. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140325040319/http://www.therepublic.com/w/AK--Alaska-Senate-Sullivan US Senate hopeful Sullivan out with new ad, casts self as fighter Alaska needs], therepublic.com; accessed November 6, 2014.
  40. Sweeney, Tara. (October 25, 2020). "Sullivan has been a champion for rural Alaska".
  41. Caitlin Huey-Burns. (March 12, 2014). "Club for Growth Backs Sullivan in Alaska Race". Real Clear Politics.
  42. Buxton, Matt. (September 13, 2013). "Treadwell campaigns in Fairbanks for U.S. Senate seat". [[Fairbanks Daily News-Miner]].
  43. Treadwell, Mead. (September 13, 2013). "I am honored and humbled to have the support of Mark Hamilton". Twitter.
  44. Trygstad, Kyle. (February 20, 2014). "Olympic Snowboarder Makes Senate Endorsement". [[Roll Call]].
  45. Hohmann, James. (November 21, 2013). "Parnell staying out of Alaska Sen. race". [[Politico]].
  46. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-has-sullivan-surging-leading-treadwell-by-17-points-miller-by-25/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
  47. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_8051205.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  48. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/polls-show-tightening-in-gop-senate-primary/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
  49. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-shows-a-tightening-in-senate-race-oil-tax-repeal-winning/ Hellenthal & Assoc.]
  50. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140701033239/http://juneauempire.com/state/2014-06-26/dan-sullivan-still-leads-primary-pack#.U7JGjtxvX-s/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
  51. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-shows-gop-senate-candidates-treadwell-and-sullivan-neck-and-neck/ Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)]
  52. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_513.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  53. [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/205191-sullivan-narrowly-trails-begich-in-internal-poll/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
  54. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_204.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  55. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/early-republican-senate-race-poll-released/ Ivan Moore]
  56. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_073013.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  57. [http://harperpolling.com/polls/alaska-senate-primary-palin-leads#palin Harper Polling]
  58. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_020713.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  59. [https://web.archive.org/web/20130203211803/http://conservativeintel.com/2013/01/31/palin-in-u-s-senate-poll/ Harper Polling]
  60. "November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State.
  61. Andrew Wellner. (June 6, 2014). "Crowded field files for state elections". Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman.
  62. Campbell, Colin. (November 4, 2014). "A Cat Mayor Just 'Announced' His Campaign For Senate In Alaska". Business Insider.
  63. Forrest A. Nabors. (April 22, 2014). "She Can See This Disaster From Her House". Politico.
  64. Herz, Nathaniel. (October 1, 2014). "Tough topic, tough audience for Sullivan in debate with Begich on fisheries issues in Kodiak". Alaska Dispatch News.
  65. Herz, Nathaniel. (October 23, 2014). "Begich, Sullivan spar over natural resources in US Senate debate". Alaska Dispatch News.
  66. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
  67. (November 3, 2014). "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
  68. "2014 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  69. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics.
  70. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/AKResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  71. Mark Fish (L) 2%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%
  72. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  73. [http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ivan-moore-21129 Ivan Moore]
  74. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  75. [https://web.archive.org/web/20141025030858/http://www.senatemajority.com/wpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Harstad-AlaskaSenate-PollUpdate-Memo.Oct23.pdf Harstad Strategic Research]
  76. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/244305469/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-Hellenthal-Associates-Oct-2014 Hellenthal & Associates]
  77. Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 4%
  78. [http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/08/fox-news-poll-sullivan-has-44-40-percent-advantage-over-begich-in-alaska/ Fox News]
  79. Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Other 2%
  80. [http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/08/aksenaterace.pdf CNN/ORC]
  81. [https://web.archive.org/web/20141019233602/http://consumerenergyalliance.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/AK-Topline-Tables-Release.pdf Hickman Analytics]
  82. Mark Fish (L) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
  83. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/New York Times]
  84. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_senate Rassmussen Reports]
  85. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/another-local-poll-shows-senate-candidate-leading-against-begich/#more-6823 Marc Hellenthal]
  86. Mark Fish (L)
  87. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_923925.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  88. Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%
  89. [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/218922-gop-poll-dem-trails-in-alaska-senate-race/ Dittman]
  90. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/239975371/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-for-AFL-CIO-Sept-2014 Hays Research/AFL-CIO]
  91. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/239641767/AK-Sen-Harstad-Research-for-Senate-Majority-PAC Harstad Strategic Research]
  92. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/2014-battleground-tracker-wave-2-alaska/ CBS News/New York Times]
  93. [http://gallery.mailchimp.com/0a361110a8a816b64fb4521ff/files/AK_FLYER_14_824.pdf ccAdvertising]
  94. Mark Fish (L) 4%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0%
  95. [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/New York Times]
  96. [http://amandacoyne.com/politics/maryland-based-pollster-has-sullivan-beating-begich-by-5-points/ Basswood Research]
  97. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140701033239/http://juneauempire.com/state/2014-06-26/dan-sullivan-still-leads-primary-pack#.U7JGjtxvX-s Moore Information (R-Sullivan)]
  98. Zachary Kile 5%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1%
  99. [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/205191-sullivan-narrowly-trails-begich-in-internal-poll/ Moore Information (R-Sullivan)]
  100. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Alaska_0414.pdf Magellan Strategies]
  101. Zachary Kile 6%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
  102. [http://www.americancrossroads.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/AC-Toplines-2-7-14.pdf Harper Polling]
  103. [https://images.politico.com/global/2013/10/14/alaska.html Harper Polling]
  104. Mark Fish (L) 6%, Vic Kohring (AI) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Sidney Hill (I) 1%
  105. Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 2%
  106. [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/140936-sen-begich-leads-in-gop-poll/ Harper Polling]
  107. [http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20140211/treadwell-camp-says-new-us-senate-poll-ignores-space-time-continuum Hays Research Group]
  108. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140416174109/http://www.haysresearch.com/resources/Hays-Palin-Begich-release-082113.pdf Hays Research Group]
  109. Mark Fish (L) 5%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0%
  110. Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2%
  111. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140117042040/http://www.haysresearch.com/resources/Hays-Release-4-Begich-Treadwell.pdf Hays Research Group]
  112. (November 11, 2014). "2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results". elections.alaska.gov.
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