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2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
countryPennsylvania
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image_sizex150px
image1File:Governor Tom Wolf official portrait 2015 (cropped2).jpg
nominee1**Tom Wolf**
running_mate1**Mike Stack**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,920,355 **
percentage1**54.93%**
image2File:Governor Corbett cropped portrait May 2014.jpg
nominee2Tom Corbett
running_mate2Jim Cawley
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,575,511
percentage245.07%
map_image
map_size250px
map_caption**Wolf:**
**Corbett:**
**Tie**:
titleGovernor
before_electionTom Corbett
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionTom Wolf
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
turnout36.1%(5.6%)

Corbett:
Tie:
The 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Governor Tom Corbett was defeated by Tom Wolf. This was the only governorship Democrats flipped in the 2014 midterms. Wolf was sworn in on January 20, 2015, marking the most recent time the Pennsylvania governor's office changed partisan control. This was one of nine Republican-held governorships up for election in a state that Barack Obama won in the 2012 presidential election. As of 2025, this is the only Pennsylvania gubernatorial election since William Bigler in 1854 where the incumbent was defeated.

Corbett was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. An August 2013 Franklin & Marshall College poll found that only 17% of voters thought Corbett was doing an "excellent" or "good" job, only 20% thought he deserved to be reelected, and 62% said the state was "off on the wrong track". Politico called Corbett the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the country, The Washington Post ranked the election as the most likely for a party switch, and the majority of election forecasters rated it "likely Democratic".

Wolf in 2014 managed to outperform Barack Obama and Bob Casey Jr.’s performances in the 2012 presidential and U.S. Senate races, respectively. He also won 20 counties that Corbett won in 2010: Erie, Lawrence, Beaver, Allegheny, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Centre, Clinton, Northumberland, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Carbon, Schuylkill, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. Meanwhile, this is the last time these counties have voted Democratic in a statewide election: Lawrence, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Clinton, Northumberland, Carbon, and Schuylkill.

This is the first Pennsylvania gubernatorial election since 1982 in which the winner was of the same party as the incumbent president, and the first time since 1934 this occurred during a Democratic administration. This also remains the last time that a Pennsylvania gubernatorial election has been decided by a single-digit margin, as Democrats have won each subsequent election with more than 56% of the vote. 2014 is also the most recent election where Pennsylvania voted for a gubernatorial candidate of a different party from fellow Rust Belt states Michigan and Wisconsin.

Background

Democrats and Republicans have alternated in the governorship of Pennsylvania every eight years from 1950 to 2010. This has been referred to as "the cycle", but it was broken with a Democratic Party win in 2014. Pennsylvania has also voted against the party of the sitting president in 18 of the last 19 gubernatorial contests dating back to 1938; Democrats lost 16 of the previous 17 Pennsylvania gubernatorial races with a Democratic president in the White House, a pattern begun in 1860. The last incumbent governor to be defeated for re-election was Democrat William Bigler in 1854. Until 1968, governors could only serve one term; the state constitution now allows governors to serve two consecutive terms. Libertarian nominee Ken Krawchuk failed to file the paperwork to be on the ballot in time and was excluded from the election as a result.

Republican primary

Incumbent Tom Corbett filed to run, as did Bob Guzzardi, an attorney and conservative activist. However, Guzzardi failed to file a statement of financial interests as required by law, after being told by an employee of the State Department that it was unnecessary. Four Republicans, backed by the state Republican Party, sued to have him removed from the race. The case reached the state Supreme Court, which ordered that Guzzardi's name be struck from the ballot. NASCAR Camping World Truck Series veteran Norm Benning backed Governor Corbett during the later half of the NASCAR season with "Re-Elect Tom Corbett" posted on his truck.

Candidates

Declared

  • Tom Corbett, incumbent governor of Pennsylvania

Disqualified

  • Bob Guzzardi, attorney, businessman and conservative activist

Declined

  • Bruce Castor, Montgomery County Commissioner
  • Jim Gerlach, U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2010
  • Tom Smith, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
  • Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator

Endorsements

Elected officials

  • Jim Cawley, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania
  • Jim Christiana, Pennsylvania state representative from the 15th District
  • Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey and Chairman of the Republican Governors Association
  • Hal English, Pennsylvania state representative from the 30th District
  • Mike Kelly, U.S. Representative of Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district
  • Tim Murphy, U.S. Representative of Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district
  • Sandra Schultz Newman, former and first female Justice of the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania
  • Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and former candidate for U.S. President in 2012
  • Tom Ridge, former Governor of Pennsylvania
  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator of Pennsylvania and former candidate for U.S. President in 2012
  • Mark Schweiker, former Governor of Pennsylvania
  • John J. Taylor, Pennsylvania state representative from the 177th District
  • Glenn Thompson, U.S. Representative of Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district
  • Dick Thornburgh, former Governor of Pennsylvania
  • Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator of Pennsylvania
  • Mike Turzai, Pennsylvania House Majority Leader from the 28th District
  • Randy Vulakovich, Pennsylvania state senator from the 40th District
  • Kim Ward, Pennsylvania state senator from the 39th District

Individuals

  • David L. Cohen, Executive Vice-President of Comcast Corporation and Democratic fundraiser/donor
  • Robert Gleason, Chairman of the Republican Party of Pennsylvania
  • Arnold Palmer, professional golfer
  • Michael Reagan, son of President Ronald Reagan

Others

  • National Right to Life Committee
  • Republican Governors Association
  • Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
CorbettBob
GuzzardiUndecided
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22, 2014956± ?**42%**23%35%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
CorbettSomeone
elseUndecided
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22, 2014956± ?38%**41%**22%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013491± 4.4%42%**47%**11%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013373± 5.1%37%**49%**13%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013490± 6%**45%**37%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
CorbettBruce
CastorJim
GerlachMike
KellyTom
SmithUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013491± 4.4%**42%**31%26%
**42%**31%27%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013373± 5.1%**43%**23%35%
**37%**33%30%
Harper PollingFebruary 27–28, 2013±**49.04%**21.07%29.89%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013490± 6%**51%**11%38%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Rob McCord, Pennsylvania Treasurer
  • Katie McGinty, former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
  • Allyson Schwartz, U.S. Representative
  • Tom Wolf, businessman and former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue

Withdrew

  • John Hanger, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
  • Jo Ellen Litz, Lebanon County Commissioner (failed to qualify)
  • Max Myers, businessman and former pastor
  • Ed Pawlowski, Mayor of Allentown
  • Jack Wagner, former Pennsylvania Auditor General, candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for Mayor of Pittsburgh in 2013

Declined

  • Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator
  • Scott Conklin, state representative and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010
  • Kathy Dahlkemper, former U.S. Representative
  • Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General
  • Kathleen Kane, Pennsylvania Attorney General
  • Tom Knox, businessman, candidate for Mayor of Philadelphia in 2007 and candidate for governor in 2010
  • Daylin Leach, state senator (running for Congress)
  • Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative
  • Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia
  • Ed Rendell, former governor
  • Joe Sestak, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Josh Shapiro, chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners
  • Tim Solobay, state senator
  • Michael J. Stack III, state senator (running for lieutenant governor)

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Bryan Barbin, state representative
  • Ryan Bizzarro, state representative
  • John Blake, state senator
  • Michael B. Carroll, state representative
  • John Cordisco, former state representative and Bucks County Democratic Committee chairman
  • Dom Costa, state representative
  • Florindo Fabrizio, state representative
  • Jaret Gibbons, state representative
  • Neal Goodman, state representative
  • Joseph Gurzenda, former state senator
  • Kevin Haggerty, state representative
  • Ted Harhai, state representative
  • Sid Michaels Kavulich, state representative
  • Deberah Kula, state representative
  • Jennifer Mann, former state representative
  • Joe Markosek, state representative
  • Robert Matzie, state representative
  • Ed Pawlowski, Mayor of Allentown
  • Chris Sainato, state representative
  • Tim Seip, former state representative
  • Pam Snyder, state representative
  • Tim Solobay, state senator
  • Sean Wiley, state senator
  • John Wozniak, state senator
  • John Yudichak, state senator

Organizations

  • American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 13
  • Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers Local 464
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 5
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 66
  • National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees District 1199c
  • Pennsylvania Conference of Teamsters
  • Pennsylvania State Education Association{{cite web|author=Brittany Foster|title=PA-Gov: In Major Development, PSEA Backs McCord
  • United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776

Individuals

  • Lester R. Brown, founder and President of the Earth Policy Institute
  • Carol Browner, former EPA Administrator and former director of the White House Office of Energy and Climate Change Policy
  • Peter Daley, state representative
  • Anthony M. DeLuca, state representative
  • Kathryn S. Fuller, former president and CEO of the World Wildlife Foundation
  • Al Gore, former Vice President of the United States
  • Patty Kim, state representative
  • Jonathan Lash, former president of the World Resources Institute
  • Carl Pope, former executive director of the Sierra Club
  • Bill Richardson, former Governor of New Mexico
  • Robert Rubin, former United States Secretary of the Treasury

Organizations

  • Amalgamated Transit Union Local 85

Individuals

  • Bob Brady, U.S. Representative
  • Jay Costa, state senator
  • Maggie Hassan, Governor of New Hampshire
  • Brian Sims, state representative and former president of Equality Pennsylvania

Organizations

  • EMILY's List
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 98
  • Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals
  • Pennsylvania State Council of Sheet Metal Workers
  • Pittsburgh Federation of Teachers
  • Planned Parenthood Pennsylvania PAC
  • United Mine Workers of America
  • United Steelworkers Local 10-1

Individuals

  • Jim Brewster, state senator
  • Frank Burns, state representative
  • Andy Dinniman, state senator
  • Patrick Dougherty, Indiana County district attorney
  • Michael F. Doyle, U.S. Representative
  • Dwight E. Evans, state representative
  • Jim Ferlo, state senator
  • Mike Finnerty, Pittsburgh city councilman
  • Marty Flynn, state representative
  • Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive
  • Wayne D. Fontana, state senator
  • Edward Gainey, state representative
  • Rick Gray, Mayor of Lancaster
  • John Hanger, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
  • Vincent Hughes, state senator
  • Ron Klink, former U.S. Representative
  • Bill Kortz, state representative
  • Eddie Day Pashinski, state representative
  • Bill Peduto, mayor of Pittsburgh
  • Josh Shapiro, chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners
  • Mark Singel, former lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania
  • Matthew H. Smith, state senator
  • Mike Sturla, state representative
  • Rob Teplitz, state senator
  • Jake Wheatley, state representative
  • Robin Wiessmann, former state treasurer

Newspapers

  • The Patriot-News
  • Philadelphia Daily News
  • Philadelphia Tribune
  • Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
  • Pottstown Mercury
  • York Daily Record

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJohn
HangerTom
KnoxJo Ellen
LitzRobert
McCordKathleen
McGintyMax
MyersEd
Pawl-
owskiAllyson
SchwartzJoe
SestakTim
SolobayMike
StackJack
WagnerTom
WolfOtherUnde-
cided
MuhlenbergMay 13–15, 2014414±5%11%7%16%**41%**25%
HarperMay 12–13, 2014559±4.14%15%5%15%**50%**16%
F&M CollegeMay 6–12, 2014530±4.3%11%6%19%**41%**3%20%
MuhlenbergApril 28–30, 2014417±5%13%3%14%**42%**28%
GQR**Mar. 31–Apr. 3, 2014600±?14%5%12%**52%**16%
F&M CollegeMarch 25–31, 2014524±4.3%8%6%9%**40%**6%31%
HarperFeb. 22–23, 2014501±4.38%7%8%6%14%7%**40%**19%
F&M CollegeFeb. 18–23, 2014548±4.2%1%3%1%9%**36%**1%**48%**
PPPNov. 22–25, 2013436±4.7%8%2%10%9%2%4%**21%**17%2%**27%**
HarperNov. 9–10, 2013649±3.85%7%12%15%6%**22%**5%**34%**
GHY^Aug. 27–29, 2013506± 4.4%6%6%**25%**6%**57%**
BSG*July 16–18, 2013800±3.46%10%15%**34%**11%30%
QuinnipiacMay 30–Jun. 4, 2013460± 4.6%1%4%5%1%1%**18%**1%2%1%**63%**
QuinnipiacApril 19–24, 2013547± 4.2%0%3%1%**15%****15%**1%3%2%**60%**
GSGMarch 9–12, 2013601± 4%1%5%5%3%**18%**15%3%1%2%**47%**
1%7%7%3%**21%**3%2%2%**54%**
12%**31%**7%**49%**
GQR**March 2–7, 2013602±3.99%1%1%7%3%16%**21%**2%3%1%**45%**
HarperFeb. 27–28, 2013?±?0.82%2.88%7%18.52%**19.75%**1.23%**49.79%**
  • ** Internal poll for the Tom Wolf campaign
  • ^ Internal poll for the Kathleen McGinty campaign
    • Internal poll for the Allyson Schwartz campaign

Results

Results by county:

]]

General election

Candidates

  • Tom Corbett (R), incumbent governor
  • Paul Glover (G), activist
  • Jonathan D. Jewell (I), Independent
  • Ken Krawchuk (L), technology consultant and nominee for governor in 1998 and 2002
  • Tom Wolf (D), former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue

Debates

Spending

As of mid-October, Wolf had raised $27.6 million and spent $21.1 million while Corbett had raised $20.6 million and spent $19.3 million. The two campaigns had run over 21,000 television ads, costing over $13 million.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Tom
Wolf (D)OtherUndecided
Muhlenberg CollegeOctober 27–29, 2014409± 5%39%**51%**6%4%
Magellan StrategiesOctober 27–28, 20141,433± 2.6%43%**50%**7%
Harper PollingOctober 26–27, 2014680± 3.76%40%**50%**10%
Franklin & MarshallOctober 20–26, 2014326 LV± 5.1%40%**53%**1%5%
738 RV± 3.4%37%**53%**1%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,111± 3%39%**52%**0%8%
Magellan StrategiesOctober 13–14, 20141,131± 2.9%42%**49%**9%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 30 – October 5, 2014907± 3.3%38%**55%**2%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20143,283± 2%41%**50%**0%9%
Robert Morris UniversitySeptember 26–29, 2014500± 4%34%**57%**9%
Mercyhurst UniversitySeptember 15–24, 2014479± 4.48%28%**43%**2%27%
Franklin & MarshallSeptember 15–22, 2014231 LV± 6.4%37%**57%**2%5%
520 RV± 4.3%33%**54%**4%9%
Magellan StrategiesSeptember 17–18, 20141,120± 2.9%40%**49%**11%
Muhlenberg CollegeSeptember 16–18, 2014429± 5%33%**54%**4%9%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 3–8, 20141,161± 2.9%35%**59%**2%4%
Harper PollingSeptember 2–3, 2014665± 3.2%41%**52%**7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20143,560± 2%39%**50%**2%10%
Robert Morris UniversityAugust 18–22, 2014500± 4.5%25%**56%**20%
Franklin & MarshallAugust 18–25, 2014520± 4.3%24%**49%**1%25%
Magellan StrategiesJuly 30–31, 20141,214± 2.83%38%**50%**12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20144,150± ?39%**52%**2%7%
Franklin & MarshallJune 23–29, 2014502± 4.4%25%**47%**1%27%
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 29 – June 2, 20141,308± 2.7%33%**53%**1%13%
Public Policy PollingMay 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4%30%**55%**15%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 27–28, 2014750± 4%31%**51%**4%14%
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140227214745/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2012date=February 27, 2014 }}February 19–24, 20141,405± 2.6%33%**52%**1%13%
url=http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gravis-marketing-human-events-r-18756title=Gravis Marketingaccess-date=January 30, 2014archive-date=February 3, 2014archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140203085232/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gravis-marketing-human-events-r-18756url-status=dead }}January 22–23, 2014717± 4%34%**41%**24%
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131220013926/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1991date=December 20, 2013 }}December 11–16, 20131,061± 3%37%**44%**1%19%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%32%**44%**24%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%**39%****39%**2%20%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013504± 4.4%33%**42%**25%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**41%**29%30%

With Corbett

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)John
Hanger (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 19–24, 20141,405± 2.6%37%**40%**4%20%
Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 11–16, 20131,061± 3%**42%**37%2%19%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%32%**51%**16%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%**42%**41%2%15%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013504± 4.4%34%**41%**25%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**41%**37%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Kathleen
Kane (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**42%****42%**16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Tom
Knox (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%**40%**39%1%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Robert
McCord (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 19–24, 20141,405± 2.6%36%**43%**4%17%
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22–23, 2014717± 4%36%**48%**16%
Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 11–16, 20131,061± 3%39%**42%**2%18%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%31%**50%**18%
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130613021425/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1905date=June 13, 2013 }}May 30–June 4, 20131,032± 3.1%35%**43%**1%20%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 19–24, 20131,235± 2.8%35%**44%**1%20%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%**42%**38%1%19%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013504± 4.4%34%**45%**21%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**41%**35%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Kathleen
McGinty (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 19–24, 20141,405± 2.6%38%**40%**3%18%
Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 11–16, 20131,061± 3%37%**44%**1%18%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%32%**47%**21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Michael
Nutter (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**41%**38%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Ed
Pawlowski (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 11–16, 20131,061± 3%39%**41%**2%18%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%33%**45%**22%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%38%**44%**2%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Ed
Rendell (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%40%**46%**14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Allyson
Schwartz (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 19–24, 20141,405± 2.6%38%**44%**3%15%
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22–23, 2014717± 4%35%**44%**21%
Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 11–16, 20131,061± 3%37%**45%**1%16%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%33%**48%**20%
Benenson Strategy GroupAugust 6–8, 2013600± 4%41%**49%**10%
Quinnipiac UniversityMay 30–June 4, 20131,032± 3.1%35%**45%**1%19%
Public Opinion StrategiesApril 30–May 2, 2013600± 4%34%**46%**20%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 19–24, 20131,235± 2.8%34%**47%**2%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%39%**42%**1%18%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013504± 4.4%34%**45%**21%
Benenson Strategy GroupJanuary 15–17, 2013600± 4%42%**50%**9%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**41%**34%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Joe
Sestak (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 19–24, 20131,235± 2.8%34%**48%**1%17%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%38%**47%**1%14%
Public Policy PollingMarch 8–10, 2013504± 4.4%34%**45%**21%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–6, 2013675± 3.8%**42%**36%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Mike
Stack (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 6–11, 20131,116± 2.9%39%**40%**1%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Corbett (R)Jack
Wagner (D)OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 19–24, 20141,405± 2.6%37%**44%**3%15%
Quinnipiac UniversityDecember 11–16, 20131,061± 3%36%**48%**1%15%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%30%**50%**20%

With Gerlach

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorJim
Gerlach (R)Allyson
Schwartz (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%31%**39%**29%

With Guzzardi

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBob
Guzzardi (R)Robert
McCord (D)OtherUndecided
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22–23, 2014717± 4%31%**43%**26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBob
Guzzardi (R)Allyson
Schwartz (D)OtherUndecided
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22–23, 2014717± 4%33%**42%**25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBob
Guzzardi (R)Tom
Wolf (D)OtherUndecided
Gravis MarketingJanuary 22–23, 2014717± 4%30%**38%**31%

With Kelly

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Kelly (R)Allyson
Schwartz (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%33%**41%**27%

Results

Mike Stack

Results by county

CountyTom Wolf
DemocraticTom Corbett
RepublicanMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%Totals1,920,35554.93%1,575,51145.07%344,8449.86%3,495,866
Adams11,13039.86%16,79060.14%-5,660-20.28%27,920
Allegheny207,01758.30%148,05741.70%58,96016.60%355,074
Armstrong7,19538.45%11,52061.55%-4,325-23.10%18,715
Beaver24,45651.21%23,30248.79%1,1542.42%47,758
Bedford4,78634.59%9,05065.41%-4,264-30.82%13,836
Berks51,84050.90%50,00549.10%1,8351.80%101,845
Blair12,80041.94%17,71858.06%-4,918-16.12%30,518
Bradford5,08233.91%9,90566.09%-4,823-32.18%14,987
Bucks103,81252.33%94,58447.67%9,2284.66%198,396
Butler20,17136.03%35,81863.97%-15,647-27.94%55,989
Cambria22,02154.58%18,32545.42%3,6969.16%40,346
Cameron60943.88%77956.12%-170-12.24%1,388
Carbon9,16353.81%7,86446.19%1,2997.62%17,027
Centre22,39357.59%16,48942.41%5,90415.18%38,882
Chester80,70151.80%75,09748.20%5,6043.60%155,798
Clarion4,37140.51%6,41859.49%-2,047-18.98%10,789
Clearfield9,68246.45%11,16153.55%-1,479-7.10%20,843
Clinton4,58353.84%3,92946.16%6547.68%8,512
Columbia6,57243.36%8,58556.64%-2,013-13.28%15,157
Crawford9,99443.05%13,21956.95%-3,225-13.90%23,213
Cumberland31,31141.78%43,62558.22%-12,314-16.44%74,936
Dauphin40,37650.80%39,11149.20%1,2651.60%79,487
Delaware110,93460.91%71,18039.09%39,75421.82%182,114
Elk4,27348.51%4,53651.49%-263-2.98%8,809
Erie42,11558.09%30,38941.91%11,72616.18%72,504
Fayette18,10257.96%13,12942.04%4,97315.92%31,231
Forest81549.85%82050.15%-5-0.30%1,635
Franklin12,46132.47%25,91367.53%-13,452-35.06%38,374
Fulton1,11129.54%2,65070.46%-1,539-40.92%3,761
Greene5,23056.18%4,08043.82%1,15012.36%9,310
Huntingdon5,50043.15%7,24756.85%-1,747-13.70%12,747
Indiana10,22345.59%12,19954.41%-1,976-8.82%22,422
Jefferson4,37536.97%7,45863.03%-3,083-26.06%11,833
Juniata2,17232.89%4,43167.11%-2,259-34.22%6,603
Lackawanna41,68069.74%18,08130.26%23,59939.48%59,761
Lancaster57,59440.91%83,17959.09%-25,585-18.18%140,773
Lawrence11,99651.79%11,16648.21%8303.58%23,162
Lebanon13,62937.48%22,73862.52%-9,109-25.04%36,367
Lehigh44,65854.76%36,89445.24%7,7649.52%81,552
Luzerne41,60956.07%32,60543.93%9,00412.14%74,214
Lycoming10,99735.36%20,10664.64%-9,109-29.28%31,103
McKean2,94535.67%5,31164.33%-2,366-28.66%8,256
Mercer14,46648.44%15,39751.56%-931-3.12%29,863
Mifflin3,49232.30%7,31867.70%-3,826-35.40%10,810
Monroe19,86456.90%15,04643.10%4,81813.80%34,910
Montgomery156,20059.86%104,72640.14%51,47419.72%260,926
Montour2,12342.27%2,90057.73%-777-15.46%5,023
Northampton40,75354.99%33,35445.01%7,3999.98%74,107
Northumberland10,85250.43%10,66649.57%1860.86%21,518
Perry4,34433.36%8,67966.64%-4,335-33.28%13,023
Philadelphia333,53988.05%45,26811.95%288,27176.10%378,807
Pike5,36541.53%7,55358.47%-2,188-16.94%12,918
Potter1,52432.68%3,14067.32%-1,616-34.64%4,664
Schuylkill20,54454.48%17,16845.52%3,3768.96%37,712
Snyder3,98240.82%5,77259.18%-1,790-18.36%9,754
Somerset9,59942.20%13,15057.80%-3,551-15.60%22,749
Sullivan77836.99%1,32563.01%-547-26.02%2,103
Susquehanna4,30035.52%7,80564.48%-3,505-28.96%12,105
Tioga3,54130.87%7,92969.13%-4,388-38.26%11,470
Union4,78447.15%5,36252.85%-578-5.70%10,146
Venango6,33344.90%7,77155.10%-1,438-10.20%14,104
Warren4,96544.49%6,19455.51%-1,229-11.02%11,159
Washington29,05848.22%31,20351.78%-2,145-3.56%60,261
Wayne6,08744.40%7,62155.60%-1,534-11.20%13,708
Westmoreland45,50142.84%60,71657.16%-15,215-14.32%106,217
Wyoming3,49144.35%4,38155.65%-890-11.30%7,872
York52,38642.94%69,60457.06%-17,218-14.12%121,990

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Allegheny (largest city: Pittsburgh)
  • Beaver (largest city: Beaver)
  • Berks (largest borough: Reading)
  • Bucks (largest municipality: Bensalem)
  • Cambria (largest municipality: Johnstown)
  • Carbon (largest municipality: Lehighton)
  • Centre (largest municipality: State College)
  • Chester (largest municipality: West Chester)
  • Clinton (largest city: Lock Haven)
  • Dauphin (largest municipality: Harrisburg)
  • Erie (largest municipality: Erie)
  • Fayette (largest borough: Uniontown)
  • Greene (largest municipality: Waynesburg)
  • Lawrence (largest municipality: New Castle)
  • Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
  • Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)
  • Monroe (largest borough: Stroudsburg)
  • Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)
  • Northumberland (largest borough: Sunbury)
  • Schuylkill (largest city: Pottsville)

By congressional district

Corbett won ten of 18 congressional districts, despite losing statewide to Wolf. However, at the time, most of the districts were gerrymanders drawn by Republican legislators. Wolf won the 6th, 7th and 8th districts, which all elected Republicans to the House.

DistrictCorbettWolfRepresentative1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th
16%**84%**Bob Brady
8%**92%**Chaka Fattah
**54%**46%Mike Kelly
**56%**44%Scott Perry
**51%**49%Glenn Thompson
49%**51%**Jim Gerlach
Ryan Costello
48%**52%**Patrick Meehan
48%**52%**Mike Fitzpatrick
**55%**45%Bill Shuster
**59%**41%Tom Marino
**53%**47%Lou Barletta
**53%**47%Keith Rothfus
30%**70%**Brendan Boyle
30%**70%**Mike Doyle
**50%**50%Charlie Dent
**54%**46%Joe Pitts
39%**61%**Matt Cartwright
**54%**46%Tim Murphy

Notes

References

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