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2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
countryPennsylvania
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
previous_year2006
next_election2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex150px
image1File:Portrait of PA Governor Tom Corbett (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Tom Corbett**
running_mate1**Jim Cawley**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**2,172,763**
percentage1**54.49%**
image2File:Dan Onorato (cropped).jpg
nominee2Dan Onorato
running_mate2H. Scott Conklin
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,814,788
percentage245.51%
map_image
map_size250px
map_caption**Corbett**:
**Onorato**:
**Tie**:
titleGovernor
before_electionEd Rendell
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionTom Corbett
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
turnout41.7%

Onorato:
Tie:
The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams, and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.

Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin. As of 2025, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of Pennsylvania and the only time since 1998. This is also the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Allegheny, Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Dan Onorato, Allegheny County Chief Executive (from Pittsburgh)
  • Jack Wagner, Auditor General (from Pittsburgh)
  • Anthony Williams, State Senator (from Philadelphia)
  • Joe Hoeffel, Montgomery County Commissioner and former U.S. Representative (from Abington Township, Montgomery County)

Dropped Out

  • Chris Doherty, Mayor of Scranton
  • Tom Knox, healthcare executive (from Philadelphia)

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredDan
OnoratoJack
WagnerJoe
HoeffelAnthony
WilliamsChris
DohertyTom
KnoxUndecided
Muhlenberg/Morning CallMay 7, 2010**35%**8%11%10%——**36%**
Rasmussen ReportsMay 6, 2010**34%**17%9%17%——17%
QuinnipiacApril 28 – May 5, 2010**36%**8%9%8%——**37%**
Muhlenberg/Morning CallMay 2, 2010**41%**5%6%8%——40%
QuinnipiacMarch 31 – April 5, 2010**20%**13%15%5%——**47%**
Research 2000March 8–10, 2010**19%**10%12%3%——**56%**
Franklin and MarshallFebruary 23, 2010**6%****6%****6%**1%4%—**72%**
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 13, 2009**19%**14%11%—6%4%**37%**
QuinnipiacSeptember 30, 2009**14%**7%12%—5%4%**46%**

Results

Results by county:

]]

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Tom Corbett, attorney general (from Shaler Township)
  • Sam Rohrer, state representative (from Robeson Township)

Dropped Out

  • Jim Gerlach, U.S. Representative
  • Pat Meehan, Former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania (Ran for and won race for U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district)

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJim
GerlachTom
CorbettSam
RohrerUndecided
QuinnipiacMarch 31 – April 5, 2010—**58%**7%35%
Franklin and MarshallFebruary 23, 2010—**26%**4%**65%**
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 13, 200910%**54%**—30%
QuinnipiacSeptember 30, 200913%**42%**—**43%**

Results

Results by county:

]]

General election

Candidates

  • Tom Corbett (R), Pennsylvania Attorney General
  • Dan Onorato (D), Allegheny County Executive

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg Political ReportOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTom
Corbett (R)Dan
Onorato (D)
QuinnipiacOctober 25–30, 2010**52%**42%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 28, 2010**52%**43%
Muhlenberg/Morning CallOctober 28, 2010**52%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 21, 2010**50%**45%
Public Policy PollingOctober 17–18, 2010**48%**46%
QuinnipiacOctober 13–17, 2010**49%**44%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 15, 2010**54%**40%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 2, 2010**53%**41%
Franklin & Marshall College in LancasterSeptember 29, 2010**36%**32%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 24–27, 2010**47%**40%
Muhlenberg/Morning CallSeptember 18–23, 2010**46%**37%
CNN/TimeSeptember 17–21, 2010**52%**44%
QuinnipiacSeptember 15–19, 2010**54%**39%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 13, 2010**49%**39%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 30, 2010**50%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 16, 2010**48%**38%
Public Policy PollingAugust 14–16, 2010**48%**35%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 28, 2010**50%**39%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 14, 2010**48%**38%
QuinnipiacJuly 6–11, 2010**44%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 29, 2010**49%**39%
Public Policy PollingJune 19–21, 2010**45%**35%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 2, 2010**49%**33%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 19, 2010**49%**36%
QuinnipiacMay 4–10, 2010**43%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 15, 2010**45%**36%
QuinnipiacMarch 30 – April 5, 2010**45%**33%
Public Policy PollingMarch 29 – April 1, 2010**45%**32%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 16, 2010**46%**29%
Research 2000March 8–10, 2010**40%**34%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 10, 2010**52%**26%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 10, 2009**44%**28%
QuinnipiacSeptember 30, 2009**47%**28%

Results

Results by county

CountyTom Corbett
RepublicanDan Onorato
DemocraticMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%Totals2,172,76354.49%1,814,78845.51%357,9758.98%3,987,551
Adams22,69672.81%8,47427.19%14,22245.62%31,170
Allegheny213,88950.05%213,42949.95%4600.10%427,318
Armstrong16,09670.94%6,59529.06%9,50141.88%22,691
Beaver32,67056.49%25,16343.51%7,50712.98%57,833
Bedford12,87377.96%3,63922.04%9,23455.92%16,512
Berks66,75859.34%45,74640.66%21,01218.68%112,504
Blair26,19972.88%9,75027.12%16,44945.76%35,949
Bradford12,47472.46%4,74127.54%7,73344.92%17,215
Bucks126,19055.27%102,14444.73%24,04610.54%228,334
Butler47,15171.93%18,40428.07%28,74743.86%65,555
Cambria27,44457.72%20,10242.28%7,34215.44%47,546
Cameron1,10070.47%46129.53%63940.94%1,561
Carbon11,29759.05%7,83440.95%3,46318.10%19,131
Centre24,45854.51%20,40745.49%4,0519.02%44,865
Chester97,11255.96%76,44044.04%20,67211.92%173,552
Clarion8,82771.23%3,56628.77%5,26142.46%12,393
Clearfield15,68563.52%9,00736.48%6,67827.04%24,692
Clinton5,67661.03%3,62538.97%2,05122.06%9,301
Columbia12,15166.45%6,13633.55%6,01532.90%18,287
Crawford17,88366.79%8,89133.21%8,99233.58%26,774
Cumberland56,28469.65%24,53130.35%31,75339.30%80,815
Dauphin53,26160.47%34,81339.53%18,44820.94%88,074
Delaware95,44847.22%106,70452.78%-11,256-5.56%202,152
Elk6,37461.83%3,93538.17%2,43923.66%10,309
Erie42,75250.10%42,58149.90%1710.20%85,333
Fayette18,99455.70%15,10644.30%3,88811.40%34,100
Forest1,25766.51%63333.49%62433.02%1,890
Franklin33,55976.52%10,29523.48%23,26453.04%43,854
Fulton3,52178.84%94521.16%2,57657.68%4,466
Greene6,00053.80%5,15346.20%8477.60%11,153
Huntingdon9,76472.90%3,62927.10%6,13545.80%13,393
Indiana16,52065.14%8,84234.86%7,67830.28%25,362
Jefferson10,01774.55%3,42025.45%6,59749.10%13,437
Juniata5,83479.18%1,53420.82%4,30058.36%7,368
Lackawanna31,34245.00%38,30055.00%-6,958-10.00%69,642
Lancaster106,43071.10%43,26828.90%63,16242.20%149,698
Lawrence16,48958.91%11,49941.09%4,99017.82%27,988
Lebanon29,53474.07%10,34025.93%19,19448.14%39,874
Lehigh52,76954.95%43,26145.05%9,5089.90%96,030
Luzerne49,73453.41%43,39246.59%6,3426.82%93,126
Lycoming25,15473.05%9,27826.95%15,87646.10%34,432
McKean7,11772.03%2,76327.97%4,35444.06%9,880
Mercer21,14658.43%15,04741.57%6,09916.86%36,193
Mifflin9,64278.85%2,58721.15%7,05557.70%12,229
Monroe21,16253.92%18,08246.08%3,0807.84%39,244
Montgomery139,24448.29%149,08051.71%-9,836-3.42%288,324
Montour3,89668.22%1,81531.78%2,08136.44%5,711
Northampton45,98654.19%38,87145.81%7,1158.38%84,857
Northumberland17,78167.93%8,39332.07%9,38835.86%26,174
Perry11,56879.30%3,01920.70%8,54958.60%14,587
Philadelphia72,35217.11%350,43182.89%-278,079-65.78%428,841
Pike9,89464.39%5,47235.61%4,42228.78%15,366
Potter4,05376.33%1,25723.67%2,79652.66%5,310
Schuylkill28,65963.41%16,53536.59%12,12426.82%45,194
Snyder8,59176.01%2,71223.99%5,87952.02%11,303
Somerset18,54271.77%7,29428.23%11,24843.54%25,836
Sullivan1,65470.80%68229.20%97241.60%2,336
Susquehanna9,61268.63%4,39431.37%5,21837.26%14,006
Tioga9,06975.56%2,93324.44%6,13651.12%12,002
Union8,12168.89%3,66831.11%4,45337.78%11,789
Venango10,93768.82%4,95531.18%5,98237.64%15,892
Warren8,19467.22%3,99632.78%4,19834.44%12,190
Washington41,98459.81%28,21140.19%13,77319.62%70,195
Wayne10,74767.87%5,08732.13%5,66035.74%15,834
Westmoreland84,76267.70%40,44032.30%44,32235.40%125,202
Wyoming5,90166.17%3,01733.83%2,88432.34%8,918
York92,48370.86%38,03429.14%54,44941.72%130,517

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Allegheny (Largest city: Pittsburgh)
  • Beaver (largest city: Beaver)
  • Berks (largest borough: Reading)
  • Bucks (largest municipality: Bensalem)
  • Cambria (largest municipality: Johnstown)
  • Carbon (largest municipality: Lehighton)
  • Centre (largest municipality: State College)
  • Chester (largest municipality: West Chester)
  • Clearfield (Largest city: DuBois)
  • Clinton (Largest city: Lock Haven)
  • Columbia (Largest city: Bloomsburg)
  • Elk (Largest city: St. Marys)
  • Erie (largest municipality: Erie)
  • Fayette (largest borough: Uniontown)
  • Greene (largest municipality: Waynesburg)
  • Lawrence (largest municipality: New Castle)
  • Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
  • Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)
  • Mercer (largest municipality: Hermitage)
  • Monroe (largest borough: Stroudsburg)
  • Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)
  • Northumberland (largest borough: Sunbury)
  • Pike (largest municipality: Matamoras)
  • Schuylkill (Largest city: Pottsville)
  • Susquehanna (largest municipality: Forest City)
  • Warren (Largest city: Warren)
  • Washington (largest municipality: Peters Township)
  • Wayne (largest municipality: Honesdale)
  • Wyoming (largest municipality: Tunkhannock)

References

References

  1. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120306032645/http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/Release5-7.pdf Muhlenberg/Morning Call]
  2. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_democratic_primary_for_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  3. [https://archive.today/20100505202355/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1452 Quinnipiac]
  4. [https://web.archive.org/web/20121024191547/http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/PADemocraticPrimary.pdf Muhlenberg/Morning Call]
  5. [https://archive.today/20100410010248/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1441 Quinnipiac]
  6. [http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/10/PA/457 Research 2000]
  7. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110504060657/https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyfeb10_1.pdf Franklin and Marshall]
  8. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/pennsylvania/2010_governor_election/election_2010_pennsylvania_democratic_primary_for_governor/ Rasmussen Reports]
  9. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110605052109/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1378%2F Quinnipiac]
  10. (May 18, 2010). "Pennsylvania Governor Primary Results". PA Secretary of State.
  11. "Meehan quits governor's race".
  12. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_gop_governor_primary_october_13_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
  13. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
  14. "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  15. "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  16. (October 28, 2010). "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  17. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
  18. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101104015119/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1529 Quinnipiac]
  19. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  20. [http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/2010TrackingRelease9_October28.doc.pdf Muhlenberg/Morning Call] {{Webarchive. link. (January 23, 2011)
  21. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_1020.pdf Public Policy Polling]
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  23. [http://webarchive.loc.gov/all/20110504060326/http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keysep10_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster]
  24. [http://www.suffolk.edu/43904.html Suffolk University] {{Webarchive. link. (September 30, 2010)
  25. [http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-poll-results-0926,0,4689018.acrobat Muhlenberg/Morning Call] {{Dead link. (August 2019)
  26. [http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/22/topstate3.pdf CNN/Time]
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  28. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_i_august_30_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  29. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_august_16_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
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  31. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_governor/ Rasmussen Reports]
  32. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_july_14_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
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  34. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_june_29_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
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  36. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_june_2_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  37. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_pennsylvania_governor_may_19_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  38. (August 2019)
  39. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_governor Rasmussen Reports]
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  42. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_pennsylvania_governor_election_february_10_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  43. (November 2, 2010). "2010 General Election". Pennsylvania Department of State.
  44. "2010 General Election (Official Returns)". Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
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