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2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election |
| country | Pennsylvania |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 1998 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 1998 |
| next_election | 2006 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2006 |
| election_date | November 5, 2002 |
| image_size | x150px |
| image1 | File:Ed Rendell ID2004 crop (cropped).JPG |
| nominee1 | **Ed Rendell** |
| running_mate1 | **Catherine Baker Knoll** |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **1,913,235** |
| percentage1 | **53.41%** |
| nominee2 | Mike Fisher |
| running_mate2 | Jane Earll |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 1,589,408 |
| percentage2 | 44.37% |
| map_image | |
| map_size | 250px |
| map_caption | **Rendell**: |
| **Fisher**: | |
| **Tie**: | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Mark Schweiker |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Ed Rendell |
| after_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
| image2 | Image:MikeFisher (cropped).jpg |
Fisher:
Tie:
The 2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania. Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Schweiker, who took office in 2001 when Tom Ridge resigned to become Homeland Security Advisor, was eligible to run for a full term, but did not do so. Democrat Ed Rendell, the former mayor of Philadelphia and Chair of the Democratic National Committee, emerged from a competitive primary to win the general election against Republican Pennsylvania Attorney General Mike Fisher.
Rendell won the election, with commentators attributing his victory to "endless retail politicking" and a hard-working campaign. Fisher's strategy backfired; Rendell performed well in much of Eastern Pennsylvania and he was able to win by huge margins in even many traditionally Republican suburbs.
Rendell was the first official from Philadelphia to win the governorship since 1914. This was the first time since 1826 that a Democrat won all four of Philadelphia's suburban counties and the first time since 1970 that a Democrat won Montgomery County in a gubernatorial election.
Republican primary
Attorney General Mike Fisher ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. Although incumbent Governor Mark Schweiker was eligible to run for election to a full term (he had served only a partial term after Tom Ridge resigned to become Homeland Security Advisor), he chose not to seek his party's nomination. Despite polls showing that Schweiker polled well among the same groups that backed Ridge, the Republican establishment considered Schweiker to be a weak candidate and stood steadfast behind Fisher.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Ed Rendell, former Mayor of Philadelphia and candidate in 1986
- Bob Casey Jr., incumbent Auditor General and son of former Governor Bob Casey Sr.
Campaign
In the Democratic primary, former mayor of Philadelphia Ed Rendell defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Bob Casey Jr., bucking the "myth that a Philadelphian could never win" a statewide election. Despite strong support from organized labor for Casey, lackluster campaigning combined with Rendell's ability to cast himself as a strong executive allowed him to pull out a primary win.
Results
]]
General election
Campaign
Fisher emphasized Rendell's Philadelphia roots continuously during his campaign and described the mayor as an urban liberal whose programs would require huge tax increases.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin | |||||
| of error | Ed | |||||
| Rendell (D) | Mike | |||||
| Fisher (R) | Other / | |||||
| Undecided | ||||||
| SurveyUSA | October 26–28, 2002 | 668 (LV) | ± 3.9% | **56%** | 37% | 7% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | October 31, 2002 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 4, 2002 |
Results
Results by county
| County | Ed Rendell | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Fisher | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Republican | Ken Krawchuk | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Libertarian | Michael Morrill | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Green | Margin | Total votes cast | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Totals | 1,913,235 | 53.41% | 1,589,408 | 44.37% | 40,923 | 1.14% | 38,423 | 1.07% | 323,827 | 9.04% | 3,581,989 | ||||||||||||||||
| Adams | 7,732 | 31.99% | 15,950 | 65.98% | 199 | 0.82% | 292 | 1.21% | -8,218 | -33.99% | 24,173 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Allegheny | 209,708 | 53.66% | 169,414 | 43.35% | 6,673 | 1.71% | 4,991 | 1.28% | 40,294 | 8.31% | 390,786 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Armstrong | 7,965 | 39.11% | 11,898 | 58.43% | 288 | 1.41% | 213 | 1.05% | -3,933 | -19.32% | 20,364 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beaver | 27,322 | 52.05% | 23,744 | 45.23% | 791 | 1.51% | 636 | 1.21% | 3,578 | 6.82% | 52,493 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bedford | 4,516 | 30.24% | 10,190 | 68.23% | 98 | 0.66% | 130 | 0.87% | -5,674 | -37.99% | 14,934 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Berks | 56,592 | 55.20% | 43,790 | 42.71% | 1,027 | 1.00% | 1,119 | 1.09% | 12,802 | 12.49% | 102,528 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Blair | 10,356 | 29.99% | 23,530 | 68.15% | 307 | 0.89% | 336 | 0.97% | -13,174 | -38.16% | 34,529 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bradford | 4,947 | 30.83% | 10,815 | 67.40% | 130 | 0.81% | 155 | 0.97% | -5,868 | -36.57% | 16,047 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bucks | 127,850 | 63.28% | 70,000 | 34.64% | 2,685 | 1.33% | 1,516 | 0.75% | 57,850 | 28.64% | 202,051 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Butler | 18,145 | 34.91% | 32,400 | 62.34% | 768 | 1.48% | 659 | 1.27% | -14,255 | -27.43% | 51,972 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cambria | 20,305 | 43.39% | 25,556 | 54.61% | 480 | 1.03% | 455 | 0.97% | -5,251 | -11.22% | 46,796 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cameron | 571 | 35.07% | 1,032 | 63.39% | 10 | 0.61% | 15 | 0.92% | -461 | -28.32% | 1,628 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Carbon | 8,598 | 54.79% | 6,600 | 42.05% | 288 | 1.84% | 208 | 1.33% | 1,998 | 12.74% | 15,692 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Centre | 14,557 | 41.71% | 19,027 | 54.52% | 397 | 1.14% | 918 | 2.63% | -4,470 | -12.81% | 34,899 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chester | 81,996 | 57.41% | 58,669 | 41.08% | 1,159 | 0.81% | 990 | 0.69% | 23,327 | 16.33% | 142,814 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Clarion | 3,934 | 34.08% | 7,397 | 64.08% | 103 | 0.89% | 109 | 0.94% | -3,463 | -30.00% | 11,543 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Clearfield | 10,221 | 41.64% | 13,822 | 56.32% | 232 | 0.95% | 269 | 1.10% | -3,601 | -14.68% | 24,544 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Clinton | 4,341 | 47.79% | 4,434 | 48.81% | 115 | 1.27% | 194 | 2.14% | -93 | -1.02% | 9,084 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Columbia | 7,004 | 41.89% | 9,304 | 55.65% | 147 | 0.88% | 263 | 1.57% | -2,300 | -13.76% | 16,718 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Crawford | 9,155 | 35.74% | 15,551 | 60.71% | 498 | 1.94% | 411 | 1.60% | -6,396 | -24.97% | 25,615 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cumberland | 24,237 | 36.31% | 40,966 | 61.37% | 761 | 1.14% | 788 | 1.18% | -16,729 | -25.06% | 66,752 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dauphin | 33,537 | 42.05% | 44,231 | 55.45% | 1,016 | 1.27% | 980 | 1.23% | -10,694 | -13.40% | 79,764 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Delaware | 123,117 | 65.12% | 62,649 | 33.14% | 2,044 | 1.08% | 1,260 | 0.67% | 60,468 | 31.98% | 189,070 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elk | 3,917 | 40.87% | 5,468 | 57.05% | 105 | 1.10% | 95 | 0.99% | -1,551 | -16.18% | 9,585 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Erie | 32,774 | 41.72% | 43,095 | 54.85% | 1,071 | 1.36% | 1,623 | 2.07% | -10,321 | -13.13% | 78,563 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fayette | 19,082 | 56.56% | 13,878 | 41.14% | 497 | 1.47% | 279 | 0.83% | 5,204 | 15.42% | 33,736 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forest | 613 | 33.76% | 1,170 | 64.43% | 14 | 0.77% | 19 | 1.05% | -557 | -30.67% | 1,816 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Franklin | 10,335 | 29.93% | 23,689 | 68.61% | 222 | 0.64% | 279 | 0.81% | -13,354 | -38.68% | 34,525 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fulton | 1,138 | 29.47% | 2,681 | 69.42% | 33 | 0.85% | 10 | 0.26% | -1,543 | -39.95% | 3,862 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Greene | 5,013 | 53.02% | 4,209 | 44.52% | 89 | 0.94% | 144 | 1.52% | 804 | 8.50% | 9,455 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Huntingdon | 3,697 | 31.18% | 7,842 | 66.13% | 77 | 0.65% | 242 | 2.04% | -4,145 | -34.95% | 11,858 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Indiana | 9,897 | 41.26% | 13,462 | 56.12% | 203 | 0.85% | 424 | 1.77% | -3,565 | -14.86% | 23,986 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jefferson | 3,879 | 30.02% | 8,745 | 67.67% | 150 | 1.16% | 149 | 1.15% | -4,866 | -37.65% | 12,923 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Juniata | 2,187 | 29.76% | 5,027 | 68.40% | 62 | 0.84% | 73 | 0.99% | -2,840 | -38.64% | 7,349 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lackawanna | 40,206 | 58.22% | 26,099 | 37.79% | 1,888 | 2.73% | 868 | 1.26% | 14,107 | 20.43% | 69,061 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lancaster | 40,791 | 32.23% | 83,607 | 66.07% | 871 | 0.69% | 1,280 | 1.01% | -42,816 | -33.84% | 126,549 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lawrence | 14,628 | 52.01% | 13,010 | 46.25% | 244 | 0.87% | 245 | 0.87% | 1,618 | 5.76% | 28,127 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lebanon | 12,712 | 35.17% | 22,659 | 62.69% | 452 | 1.25% | 323 | 0.89% | -9,947 | -27.52% | 36,146 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lehigh | 48,150 | 56.72% | 34,738 | 40.92% | 1,074 | 1.27% | 934 | 1.10% | 13,412 | 15.80% | 84,896 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Luzerne | 45,641 | 52.61% | 38,760 | 44.68% | 891 | 1.03% | 1,454 | 1.68% | 6,881 | 7.93% | 86,746 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lycoming | 9,937 | 31.47% | 20,751 | 65.72% | 357 | 1.13% | 532 | 1.68% | -10,814 | -34.25% | 31,577 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McKean | 3,215 | 32.76% | 6,373 | 64.94% | 131 | 1.33% | 94 | 0.96% | -3,158 | -32.18% | 9,813 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mercer | 14,161 | 45.13% | 16,429 | 52.36% | 343 | 1.09% | 444 | 1.42% | -2,268 | -7.23% | 31,377 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mifflin | 3,362 | 31.32% | 7,122 | 66.35% | 161 | 1.50% | 89 | 0.83% | -3,760 | -35.03% | 10,734 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Monroe | 14,570 | 47.34% | 15,258 | 49.57% | 447 | 1.45% | 503 | 1.63% | -688 | -2.23% | 30,778 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Montgomery | 175,157 | 67.16% | 81,835 | 31.38% | 2,121 | 0.81% | 1,690 | 0.65% | 93,322 | 35.78% | 260,803 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Montour | 1,847 | 38.00% | 2,873 | 59.10% | 57 | 1.17% | 84 | 1.73% | -1,026 | -21.10% | 4,861 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Northampton | 42,554 | 58.52% | 28,228 | 38.82% | 1,088 | 1.50% | 846 | 1.16% | 14,326 | 19.70% | 72,716 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Northumberland | 10,774 | 41.52% | 14,479 | 55.80% | 382 | 1.47% | 313 | 1.21% | -3,705 | -14.28% | 25,948 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Perry | 3,426 | 26.28% | 9,286 | 71.22% | 165 | 1.27% | 161 | 1.23% | -5,860 | -44.94% | 13,038 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Philadelphia | 339,697 | 84.08% | 59,223 | 14.66% | 1,976 | 0.49% | 3,129 | 0.77% | 280,474 | 69.42% | 404,025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pike | 4,049 | 37.46% | 6,482 | 59.97% | 124 | 1.15% | 154 | 1.42% | -2,433 | -22.51% | 10,809 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Potter | 1,357 | 27.67% | 3,471 | 70.76% | 38 | 0.77% | 39 | 0.80% | -2,114 | -43.09% | 4,905 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Schuylkill | 25,233 | 51.47% | 22,692 | 46.29% | 515 | 1.05% | 585 | 1.19% | 2,541 | 5.18% | 49,025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Snyder | 2,599 | 27.59% | 6,623 | 70.32% | 67 | 0.71% | 130 | 1.38% | -4,024 | -42.73% | 9,419 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Somerset | 8,088 | 32.64% | 16,244 | 65.56% | 189 | 0.76% | 257 | 1.04% | -8,156 | -32.92% | 24,778 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sullivan | 856 | 36.27% | 1,441 | 61.06% | 31 | 1.31% | 32 | 1.36% | -585 | -24.79% | 2,360 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Susquehanna | 4,244 | 33.35% | 8,175 | 64.25% | 104 | 0.82% | 201 | 1.58% | -3,931 | -30.90% | 12,724 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tioga | 3,275 | 29.41% | 7,696 | 69.12% | 62 | 0.56% | 101 | 0.91% | -4,421 | -39.71% | 11,134 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Union | 3,153 | 33.27% | 6,058 | 63.93% | 74 | 0.78% | 191 | 2.02% | -2,905 | -30.66% | 9,476 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Venango | 5,551 | 36.54% | 9,188 | 60.48% | 238 | 1.57% | 214 | 1.41% | -3,637 | -23.94% | 15,191 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Warren | 4,823 | 40.45% | 6,823 | 57.22% | 125 | 1.05% | 153 | 1.28% | -2,000 | -16.77% | 11,924 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washington | 30,368 | 50.67% | 28,368 | 47.33% | 642 | 1.07% | 560 | 0.93% | 2,000 | 3.34% | 59,938 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wayne | 4,395 | 33.87% | 8,118 | 62.56% | 119 | 0.92% | 344 | 2.65% | -3,723 | -28.69% | 12,976 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Westmoreland | 48,992 | 44.77% | 58,018 | 53.01% | 1,447 | 1.32% | 980 | 0.90% | -9,026 | -8.24% | 109,437 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wyoming | 2,938 | 35.31% | 5,152 | 61.92% | 70 | 0.84% | 161 | 1.93% | -2,214 | -26.61% | 8,321 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| York | 33,248 | 33.27% | 63,894 | 63.94% | 1,691 | 1.69% | 1,088 | 1.09% | -30,646 | -30.67% | 99,921 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Allegheny (Largest city: Pittsburgh)
- Beaver (largest city: Beaver)
- Fayette (largest city: Uniontown)
- Carbon (largest municipality: Lehighton)
- Schuylkill (Largest city: Pottsville)
- Bucks (largest municipality: Bensalem)
- Berks (largest city: Reading)
- Chester (largest municipality: West Chester)
- Greene (largest municipality: Waynesburg)
- Delaware (largest city: Upper Darby)
- Lackawanna (largest city: Scranton)
- Montgomery (largest city: Lower Merion)
- Lawrence (largest municipality: New Castle)
- Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)
- Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
- Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)
- Washington (largest municipality: Peters Township)
Notes
References
References
- (September 2016). ["The Best and Worst Campaigns'02"](http://www.politicspa.com/FEATURES/best+and+worst2.htm}}{{dead link). The Publius Group.
- Kennedy, John J.. (2006). "Pennsylvania Elections: Statewide Contests From 1950–2004". University Press of America.
- (September 2016). ["The Best and Worst of Primary '02"](http://www.politicspa.com/FEATURES/best+and+worst.htm}}{{dead link). The Publius Group.
- (2004). "Governor, 2002 General Primary". Pennsylvania Department of State.
- [https://www.surveyusa.com/2002Elec.html SurveyUSA]
- (October 31, 2002). "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 {{!}} The Cook Political Report".
- (November 4, 2002). "Governors Races".
- (2004). "Governor, 2002 General Election". Pennsylvania Department of State.
- "2002 General Election (Official Returns)". Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
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