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2014 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 Oklahoma gubernatorial election |
| country | Oklahoma |
| type | By-election |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2018 |
| election_date | November 4, 2014 |
| turnout | 40.7% |
| image_size | x150px |
| image1 | File:Governor Mary Fallin May 2015.jpg |
| nominee1 | **Mary Fallin** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **460,298** |
| percentage1 | **55.81%** |
| image2 | File:Joe Dorman (cropped).jpg |
| nominee2 | Joe Dorman |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 338,239 |
| percentage2 | 41.01% |
| map_image | 2014 Oklahoma gubernatorial election results map by county.svg |
| map_size | 300px |
| map_caption | County results |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Mary Fallin |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Mary Fallin |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
Fallin:
Dorman:
The 2014 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Governor Mary Fallin was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote over state representative Joe Dorman. Primaries were held on June 24, 2014. Fallin won the Republican nomination with more than 75% of the vote, and Dorman won the Democratic nomination uncontested.
Republican primary
Fallin, the incumbent, easily defeated Chad "The Drug Lawyer" Moody and Dax Ewbank who would run as a Libertarian for U.S. Senate in 2016. Ewbank and Moody both stressed ending the war on drugs and protecting 2nd Amendment rights.
Candidates
Declared
- Dax Ewbank
- Mary Fallin, incumbent governor
- Chad Moody, attorney
Withdrew
- Randy Brogdon, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2010 (ran for the U.S. Senate and lost)
Declined
- T.W. Shannon, former speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives (ran for the U.S. Senate and lost)
Results
Democratic primary
Dorman was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
Candidates
Declared
- Joe Dorman, state representative
Withdrew
- R. J. Harris, Libertarian candidate for president in 2012 and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2010 and 2012 (endorsed Dorman)
Declined
- Dan Boren, former U.S. representative (endorsed Dorman)
- David L. Boren, president of the University of Oklahoma, former U.S. senator and former governor (endorsed Dorman)
- Brad Henry, former governor (endorsed Dorman)
- M. Susan Savage, former mayor of Tulsa and former secretary of state of Oklahoma (endorsed Dorman)
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Richard Prawdzienski, former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma and candidate for lieutenant governor of Oklahoma in 2010
- Kimberly Willis
Disqualified
- Joe Sills
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 2, 2014
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Real Clear Politics | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Mary | ||||||
| Fallin (R) | Joe | ||||||
| Dorman (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Sooner Poll | October 25–29, 2014 | 949 | ± 3.18% | **48%** | 40% | 5% | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 995 | ± 5% | **56%** | 32% | 0% | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 1,244 | ± 3% | **58%** | 33% | 1% | 8% |
| Sooner Poll | September 27–29, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | **50%** | 36% | 6% | 8% |
| Clarity Campaigns* | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 841 | ± 3.47% | **45%** | 43% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 821 | ± 5% | **53%** | 35% | 1% | 10% |
| Sooner Poll | August 28–30, 2014 | 603 | ± 4% | **50%** | 32% | 3% | 15% |
| Cole Hargrave Snodgrass | July 20–25, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.3% | **44%** | 31% | 4% | 22% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,312 | ± 4.7% | **49%** | 40% | 6% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15–16, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **45%** | 40% | 7% | 8% |
-
- Internal poll for the Joe Dorman campaign
Results
Results by county
| County | Mary Fallin | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Dorman | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | All Others | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Independent | Margin | Total votes cast | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Totals | 460,298 | 55.81% | 338,239 | 41.01% | 26,294 | 3.19% | 122,059 | 14.80% | 824,831 | |||||||||||||
| Adair | 2,238 | 53.94% | 1,737 | 41.87% | 174 | 4.19% | 501 | 12.08% | 4,149 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Alfalfa | 972 | 62.79% | 530 | 34.24% | 46 | 2.97% | 442 | 28.55% | 1,548 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Atoka | 1,825 | 52.34% | 1,527 | 43.79% | 135 | 3.87% | 298 | 8.55% | 3,487 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beaver | 1,110 | 73.22% | 343 | 22.63% | 63 | 4.16% | 767 | 50.59% | 1,516 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beckham | 2,785 | 59.87% | 1,701 | 36.56% | 166 | 3.57% | 1,084 | 23.30% | 4,652 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Blaine | 1,589 | 60.12% | 970 | 36.70% | 84 | 3.18% | 619 | 23.42% | 2,643 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bryan | 4,337 | 49.52% | 4,122 | 47.07% | 299 | 3.41% | 215 | 2.45% | 8,758 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Caddo | 2,625 | 45.11% | 3,082 | 52.96% | 112 | 1.92% | -457 | -7.85% | 5,819 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Canadian | 18,456 | 65.88% | 8,708 | 31.08% | 850 | 3.03% | 9,748 | 34.80% | 28,014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Carter | 5,990 | 55.85% | 4,241 | 39.54% | 494 | 4.61% | 1,749 | 16.31% | 10,725 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cherokee | 4,093 | 45.05% | 4,655 | 51.24% | 337 | 3.71% | -562 | -6.19% | 9,085 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Choctaw | 1,743 | 55.70% | 1,282 | 40.97% | 104 | 3.32% | 461 | 14.73% | 3,129 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cimarron | 576 | 75.29% | 137 | 17.91% | 52 | 6.80% | 439 | 57.39% | 765 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cleveland | 30,989 | 51.45% | 27,247 | 45.24% | 1,991 | 3.31% | 3,742 | 6.21% | 60,227 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal | 749 | 42.78% | 937 | 53.51% | 65 | 3.71% | -188 | -10.74% | 1,751 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Comanche | 10,091 | 50.46% | 9,299 | 46.50% | 610 | 3.05% | 792 | 3.96% | 20,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cotton | 902 | 53.56% | 730 | 43.35% | 52 | 3.09% | 172 | 10.21% | 1,684 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Craig | 1,958 | 54.94% | 1,491 | 41.84% | 115 | 3.23% | 467 | 13.10% | 3,564 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Creek | 9,618 | 62.71% | 5,210 | 33.97% | 509 | 3.32% | 4,408 | 28.74% | 15,337 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Custer | 4,210 | 64.59% | 2,124 | 32.59% | 184 | 2.82% | 2,086 | 32.00% | 6,518 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Delaware | 5,614 | 62.45% | 3,126 | 34.77% | 250 | 2.78% | 2,488 | 27.68% | 8,990 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dewey | 996 | 66.58% | 454 | 30.35% | 46 | 3.07% | 542 | 36.23% | 1,496 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ellis | 888 | 71.21% | 316 | 25.34% | 43 | 3.45% | 572 | 45.87% | 1,247 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Garfield | 7,247 | 57.14% | 4,906 | 38.68% | 530 | 4.18% | 2,341 | 18.46% | 12,683 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Garvin | 3,417 | 56.63% | 2,428 | 40.24% | 189 | 3.13% | 989 | 16.39% | 6,034 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Grady | 7,027 | 54.42% | 5,568 | 43.12% | 317 | 2.46% | 1,459 | 11.30% | 12,912 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Grant | 979 | 61.26% | 558 | 34.92% | 61 | 3.82% | 421 | 26.35% | 1,598 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Greer | 820 | 55.11% | 616 | 41.40% | 52 | 3.49% | 204 | 13.71% | 1,488 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Harmon | 404 | 58.89% | 269 | 39.21% | 13 | 1.90% | 135 | 19.68% | 686 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Harper | 750 | 69.64% | 289 | 26.83% | 38 | 3.53% | 461 | 42.80% | 1,077 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Haskell | 1,254 | 50.42% | 1,176 | 47.29% | 57 | 2.29% | 78 | 3.14% | 2,487 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hughes | 1,555 | 53.22% | 1,262 | 43.19% | 105 | 3.59% | 293 | 10.03% | 2,922 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jackson | 3,071 | 73.00% | 1,018 | 24.20% | 118 | 2.80% | 2,053 | 48.80% | 4,207 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jefferson | 640 | 51.61% | 555 | 44.76% | 45 | 3.63% | 85 | 6.85% | 1,240 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Johnston | 1,133 | 48.09% | 1,119 | 47.50% | 104 | 4.41% | 14 | 0.59% | 2,356 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kay | 6,131 | 61.38% | 3,551 | 35.55% | 307 | 3.07% | 2,580 | 25.83% | 9,989 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kingfisher | 2,662 | 71.83% | 948 | 25.58% | 96 | 2.59% | 1,714 | 46.25% | 3,706 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kiowa | 1,305 | 53.09% | 1,090 | 44.34% | 63 | 2.56% | 215 | 8.75% | 2,458 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Latimer | 1,016 | 43.05% | 1,266 | 53.64% | 78 | 3.31% | -250 | -10.59% | 2,360 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Le Flore | 5,281 | 53.78% | 4,074 | 41.49% | 465 | 4.74% | 1,207 | 12.29% | 9,820 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lincoln | 5,377 | 61.70% | 3,001 | 34.43% | 337 | 3.87% | 2,376 | 27.26% | 8,715 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Logan | 6,864 | 64.22% | 3,462 | 32.39% | 363 | 3.40% | 3,402 | 31.83% | 10,689 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Love | 1,177 | 54.82% | 877 | 40.85% | 93 | 4.33% | 300 | 13.97% | 2,147 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Major | 1,417 | 64.41% | 693 | 31.50% | 90 | 4.09% | 724 | 32.91% | 2,200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Marshall | 1,792 | 52.41% | 1,494 | 43.70% | 133 | 3.89% | 298 | 8.72% | 3,419 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mayes | 5,158 | 54.23% | 4,016 | 42.22% | 3374 | 3.54% | 1,142 | 12.01% | 9,511 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McClain | 5,593 | 61.71% | 3,210 | 35.42% | 260 | 2.87% | 2,383 | 26.29% | 9,063 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McCurtain | 3,445 | 51.24% | 2,917 | 43.39% | 361 | 5.37% | 528 | 7.85% | 6,723 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McIntosh | 2,361 | 51.23% | 2,098 | 45.52% | 150 | 3.25% | 263 | 5.71% | 4,609 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Murray | 1,606 | 54.40% | 1,251 | 42.38% | 95 | 3.22% | 355 | 12.03% | 2,952 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Muskogee | 6,822 | 47.61% | 7,039 | 49.12% | 469 | 3.27% | -217 | -1.51% | 14,330 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Noble | 1,901 | 65.15% | 927 | 31.77% | 90 | 3.08% | 974 | 33.38% | 2,918 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nowata | 1,656 | 61.22% | 953 | 35.23% | 96 | 3.55% | 703 | 25.99% | 2,705 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Okfuskee | 1,290 | 48.96% | 1,254 | 47.59% | 91 | 3.45% | 36 | 1.37% | 2,635 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Oklahoma | 79,853 | 51.31% | 71,431 | 45.90% | 4,356 | 2.80% | 8,422 | 5.41% | 155,640 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Okmulgee | 4,165 | 50.79% | 3,780 | 46.09% | 256 | 3.12% | 385 | 4.69% | 8,201 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Osage | 5,861 | 52.08% | 5,009 | 44.51% | 383 | 3.40% | 852 | 7.57% | 11,253 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ottawa | 2,950 | 56.54% | 2,066 | 39.59% | 202 | 3.87% | 884 | 16.94% | 5,218 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pawnee | 2,191 | 59.65% | 1,346 | 36.65% | 136 | 3.70% | 845 | 23.01% | 3,673 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Payne | 7,954 | 51.38% | 7,088 | 45.79% | 438 | 2.83% | 866 | 5.59% | 15,480 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pittsburg | 5,163 | 50.77% | 4,599 | 45.22% | 408 | 4.01% | 564 | 5.55% | 10,170 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pontotoc | 3,664 | 45.96% | 4,051 | 50.82% | 257 | 3.22% | -387 | -4.85% | 7,972 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pottawatomie | 8,909 | 60.93% | 5,237 | 35.82% | 475 | 3.25% | 3,672 | 25.11% | 14,621 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pushmataha | 1,319 | 51.22% | 1,136 | 44.12% | 120 | 4.66% | 183 | 7.11% | 2,575 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Roger Mills | 778 | 63.82% | 409 | 33.55% | 32 | 2.63% | 369 | 30.27% | 1,219 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rogers | 14,048 | 64.01% | 7,167 | 32.66% | 730 | 3.33% | 6,881 | 31.36% | 21,945 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Seminole | 2,663 | 55.84% | 1,955 | 40.99% | 151 | 3.17% | 708 | 14.85% | 4,769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sequoyah | 4,676 | 54.12% | 3,649 | 42.23% | 315 | 3.65% | 1,027 | 11.89% | 8,640 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stephens | 6,393 | 56.24% | 4,613 | 40.58% | 362 | 3.18% | 1,780 | 15.66% | 11,368 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Texas | 2,466 | 76.39% | 639 | 19.80% | 123 | 3.81% | 1,827 | 56.60% | 3,228 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tillman | 991 | 58.54% | 644 | 38.04% | 58 | 3.43% | 347 | 20.50% | 1,693 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tulsa | 74,867 | 56.87% | 53,073 | 40.31% | 3,709 | 2.82% | 21,794 | 16.55% | 131,649 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wagoner | 10,675 | 63.77% | 5,500 | 32.85% | 566 | 3.38% | 5,175 | 30.91% | 16,741 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washington | 8,795 | 66.45% | 3,912 | 29.56% | 528 | 3.99% | 4,883 | 36.89% | 13,235 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washita | 1,943 | 63.41% | 1,039 | 33.91% | 82 | 2.68% | 904 | 29.50% | 3,064 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Woods | 1,440 | 58.68% | 916 | 37.33% | 98 | 3.99% | 524 | 21.35% | 2,454 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Woodward | 3,029 | 70.77% | 1,126 | 26.31% | 125 | 2.92% | 1,903 | 44.46% | 4,280 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Comanche (largest city: Lawton)
- Cotton (largest city: Walters)
- Jefferson (largest city: Waurika)
- Stephens (largest city: Duncan)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Caddo (largest city: Anadarko)
- Cherokee (largest city: Tahlequah)
- Coal (largest city: Coalgate)
- Latimer (largest city: Wilburton)
- Muskogee (largest city: Muskogee)
- Pontotoc (Largest city: Ada)
References
References
- (21 June 2014). "Fallin faces two candidates in GOP gubernatorial primary".
- "Candidates for Federal, State and Legislative Offices". Oklahoma Secretary of State.
- (November 25, 2012). "12 Oklahoma candidates look to campaigns for 2014". News OK.
- (April 10, 2014). "OKC Republican, Independent join governor's race". [[The News & Observer]].
- (November 23, 2013). "Randy Brogdon Resigns as Deputy Commissioner of ISO, But What Is Next". The Okie Blaze.
- (2013-12-25). "Randy Brogdon, former Owasso mayor, says he will file papers to run for governor of Oklahoma in 2014". KJRH.
- Mills, Russell. (March 3, 2014). "Randy Brogdon announces US Senate run". KRMG.
- (May 30, 2013). "House speaker T.W. Shannon says he won't run for governor in 2014". Tulsa World.
- "OK Election Results". Oklahoma State Election Board.
- (February 4, 2014). "Dorman formally announces candidacy for governor". Tulsa World.
- Brewer, Graham Lee. (January 15, 2014). "R.J. Harris, Democratic candidate for Oklahoma governor, drops out of race". [[The Oklahoman]].
- (June 18, 2012). "Dan Boren doesn't rule out run for governor in 2018". Tulsa World.
- "The Voter's Self Defense System".
- (September 5, 2013). "Henry: 2014 Governor Bid Unlikely, NOT Impossible".
- (June 6, 2013). "Change Oklahoma".
- "Former Tulsa Mayor Susan Savage chosen as Morton Health philanthropy consultant". Legalpronews.findlaw.com.
- (July 6, 2013). "Former Tulsa Mayor Susan Savage chosen as Morton Health philanthropy consultant". Oklahoma Star.
- Knight, E. Zachary. (February 21, 2014). "Richard Prawdzienski Announces Independent Bid For Governor's Seat". Oklahomans for Ballot Access Reform.
- Coburn, James. (April 9, 2014). "Hundreds file for office Wednesday". [[Edmond Sun]].
- (April 21, 2014). "Guilty plea disqualifies independent candidate Joe Sills from Oklahoma governor race". KJRH-TV.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
- [http://ftpcontent.worldnow.com/griffin/NEWS9/PDF/1101/PollFinal.pdf Sooner Poll] {{Webarchive. link. (November 14, 2014)
- Richard Prawdzienski (I) 3%, Kimberly Willis (I) 2%
- [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://www.newson6.com/story/26692692/exclusive-poll-shows-tight-race-for-next-oklahoma-governor Sooner Poll]
- [https://www.scribd.com/doc/241482942/OK-Gov-Clarity-Campaigns-for-Joe-Dorman-Sept-2014 Clarity Campaigns*]
- [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-oklahoma/#OKgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://www.news9.com/story/26453718/exclusive-poll-fallin-leads-dorman-in-race-for-governor-but-many-voters-undecided Sooner Poll]
- Richard Prawdzienski (I) 1%, Joe Sills (I) 0%, Kimberly Willis (I) 1%
- [http://www.theokie.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Sooner-Survey-Vol-23-Num-4.pdf Cole Hargrave Snodgrass]
- Richard Prawdzienski (I) 1%, Joe Sills (I) 1%, Kimberly Willis (I) 2%
- [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/oklahoma/election_2014_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- "OK Election Results". Oklahoma State Election Board.
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