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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma |
| country | Oklahoma |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| next_election | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma |
| next_year | 2012 |
| seats_for_election | All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | **4** |
| seats1 | **4** |
| seat_change1 | |
| popular_vote1 | **519,562** |
| percentage1 | **65.5%** |
| swing1 | 5.47% |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 1 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 221,966 |
| percentage2 | 28.0% |
| swing2 | 9.67% |
| party3 | Independent (United States) |
| last_election3 | 0 |
| seats3 | 0 |
| seat_change3 | |
| popular_vote3 | 51,451 |
| percentage3 | 6.48% |
| swing3 | 4.18% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption |
Republican Democratic The 2010 congressional elections in Oklahoma were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Oklahoma in the United States House of Representatives. Oklahoma has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. This election was the final one held in which congressional districts apportioned according to the 2000 U.S. census data. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.
Overview
| 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 519,562 | 65.5% | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| Democratic | 221,966 | 28.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Independent | 51,451 | 6.48% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| **Totals** | **792,979** | **100.00%** | **5** | **5** | **—** |
By district
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Democratic Party (United States)}}" | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District 1 | 151,173 | 76.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 45,656 | 23.20% | 196,829 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 2 | 83,226 | 43.48% | 108,203 | 56.52% | 0 | 0.00% | 191,429 | 100.00% | Democratic hold | ||||||||
| District 3 | 161,927 | 77.99% | 45,689 | 22.01% | 0 | 0.00% | 207,616 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Republican hold | ||||||||
| District 5 | 123,236 | 62.52% | 68,074 | 34.54% | 5,795 | 2.94% | 197,105 | 100.00% | Republican hold | ||||||||
| Total | 519,562 | 65.52% | 221,966 | 27.99% | 51,451 | 6.49% | 792,979 | 100.00% |
District 1
This district was represented by Republican John Sullivan. Republican candidates Craig Allen, Nathan Dahm, Fran Moghaddam, Kenneth Rice, Patrick K. Haworth and Independent Angelia O'Dell all have filed to run against Sullivan. Sullivan entered the Betty Ford Center in California to receive treatment for his addiction to alcohol on May 28, 2009.{{cite web
Democratic primary
Candidates
- None announced
Republican primary
Candidates
- John Sullivan, incumbent
- Kenneth Rice
- Nathan Dahm, former missionary
- Patrick Haworth
- Craig Allen
- Fran Moghaddam
Results
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
District 2
This district was represented by Democrat Dan Boren. Democrat Jim Wilson and Republicans Daniel Edmonds, Charles Thompson, Chester Clem Falling, Daniel Arnett, Howard Houchen, and Raymond Wickson all filed to run against Boren.
Polling
Despite the poor approval ratings of Obama, of whom 27% in this district approve, and the high unpopularity of the Democratic healthcare bills, which were supported by 17% of second district residents, conservative Democrat Boren remains popular.
Boren vs. Edmonds
| Poll source | Dates administered | Dan Boren (D) | Daniel Edmonds (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf)) | March 3, 2010 | **44%** | 28% |
Boren vs. Thompson
| Poll source | Dates administered | Dan Boren (D) | Charles Thompson (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf)) | March 3, 2010 | **45%** | 25% |
Boren vs. Houchen
| Poll source | Dates administered | Dan Boren (D) | Howard Houchen (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf)) | March 3, 2010 | **48%** | 26% |
Boren vs. Arnett
| Poll source | Dates administered | Dan Boren (D) | Dan Arnett (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf)) | March 3, 2010 | **49%** | 22% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Dan Boren, of Muskogee, incumbent
- Jim Wilson, of Tahlequah, state senator
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
- Daniel Arnett, Henryetta
- Daniel Edmonds, of Morris
- Chester Clem Falling
- Howard Houchen, of Hugo
- Charles Thompson, of Hulbert
- Raymond Wickson
Results
There was a runoff election between Daniel Edmonds and Charles Thompson on August 24. Charles Thompson was chosen to run against Dan Boren in November.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
District 3
This district was represented by Republican Frank Lucas. Democrat, Frankie Robbins, has filed to run for this office against Lucas. There will be no primary election for district 3
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
District 4
This district was represented by Republican Tom Cole. Republican R. J. Harris, ran for this seat against Cole., no Democrats contested this district.
Results
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
District 5
This district was represented by Republican Mary Fallin, but the seat was opened as she has announced her candidacy for Governor of Oklahoma. The seat attracted the attention of several Republican candidates, including State Representative Mike Thompson, former State Representative Kevin Calvey, whom Fallin defeated in the 2006 Republican primary for this seat, physician Johnny Roy, who also ran in 2006, Harry Johnson, Rick Flanigan, Shane Jett and Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma employee James Lankford, as well as Democrats Tom Guild and Billy Coyle. Ultimately Republican James Lankford and Democrat Billy Coyle won their respective parties' nominations and faced off in the general election in November.
This district includes most of Oklahoma City as well as Pottawatomie and Seminole counties.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Billy Coyle, of Oklahoma City
- Tom Guild, of Edmond
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
- James Lankford, program director of Falls Creek
- Kevin Calvey, former state representative
- Mike Thompson, former state representative
- Harry Johnson
- Rick Flanigan
- Johnny Roy
- Shane Jett, state representative
Polling
First-choice polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||||||
| size | Margin | ||||||||||
| of error | Kevin | ||||||||||
| Calvey | Rick | ||||||||||
| Flanigan | James | ||||||||||
| Lankford | Johnny | ||||||||||
| Roy | Mike | ||||||||||
| Thompson | Harry | ||||||||||
| Johnson | Shane | ||||||||||
| Jett | Undecided | ||||||||||
| Soonerpoll | July 7–9, 2010 | 306 (LV) | 5.6% | 28% | 20% | 2% | 14% | 1% | 6% | 29% | |
| Soonerpoll | February 25-March 8, 2010 | 302 (LV) | 5.64% | 20% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 63% |
Second-choice polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||||||
| size | Margin | ||||||||||
| of error | Kevin | ||||||||||
| Calvey | Rick | ||||||||||
| Flanigan | James | ||||||||||
| Lankford | Johnny | ||||||||||
| Roy | Mike | ||||||||||
| Thompson | Harry | ||||||||||
| Johnson | Shane | ||||||||||
| Jett | Undecided | ||||||||||
| Soonerpoll | July 7–9, 2010 | 306 (LV) | 5.6% | 20% | 0% | 14% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 38% |
Results
There was a runoff election held on August 24 between James Lankford and Kevin Calvey. Lankford was chosen to run against Billy Coyle in November.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 1, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 1, 2010 | |
| RCP | November 1, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 | |
| New York Times | November 1, 2010 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 1, 2010 |
Notes
References
References
- [http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/index.aspx Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives]
- Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
- Oklahoma State Election Board. "Candidates for Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Offices".
- Oklahoma State Election Board. (July 27, 2010). "Unofficial Results Primary Election".
- (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
- Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
- "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
- "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
- "Election Results". Oklahoma State Election Board.
- "OK-2: Boren looks safe (16-27 points)". Uselectionatlas.org.
- link. (2010-12-04, 2010 Election: Race for Congress)
- (2009-07-06). "Congressional candidate names campaign co-chairmen". Blog.newsok.com.
- "The Scorecard: 2008 Congressional campaign news and analysis". Politico.Com.
- "Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma".
- "James Lankford Candidacy Facebook Page".
- [https://assets.website-files.com/604a6284c2cf945575665724/6056bdaac53f67765cf0cb48_5th-District-GOP-Primary-Poll-Toplines-and-Crosstabs.pdf Soonerpoll]
- [https://assets.website-files.com/604a6284c2cf945575665724/6056bcb25e94b1b37f6ecf88_CD-5-Toplines-Crosstabs-March.pdf Soonerpoll]
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