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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
countryOklahoma
typelegislative
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
previous_year2008
next_election2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
next_year2012
seats_for_electionAll 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
election_date
party1Republican Party (United States)
last_election1**4**
seats1**4**
seat_change1
popular_vote1**519,562**
percentage1**65.5%**
swing15.47%
party2Democratic Party (United States)
last_election21
seats21
seat_change2
popular_vote2221,966
percentage228.0%
swing29.67%
party3Independent (United States)
last_election30
seats30
seat_change3
popular_vote351,451
percentage36.48%
swing34.18%
map_image
map_caption

Republican Democratic The 2010 congressional elections in Oklahoma were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Oklahoma in the United States House of Representatives. Oklahoma has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. This election was the final one held in which congressional districts apportioned according to the 2000 U.S. census data. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.

Overview

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in OklahomaPartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Republican519,56265.5%440
Democratic221,96628.0%110
Independent51,4516.48%000
**Totals****792,979****100.00%****5****5****—**

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResultRepublican Party (United States)}}"Democratic Party (United States)}}"Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1151,17376.80%00.00%45,65623.20%196,829100.00%Republican hold
District 283,22643.48%108,20356.52%00.00%191,429100.00%Democratic hold
District 3161,92777.99%45,68922.01%00.00%207,616100.00%Republican hold
District 4Republican hold
District 5123,23662.52%68,07434.54%5,7952.94%197,105100.00%Republican hold
Total519,56265.52%221,96627.99%51,4516.49%792,979100.00%

District 1

This district was represented by Republican John Sullivan. Republican candidates Craig Allen, Nathan Dahm, Fran Moghaddam, Kenneth Rice, Patrick K. Haworth and Independent Angelia O'Dell all have filed to run against Sullivan. Sullivan entered the Betty Ford Center in California to receive treatment for his addiction to alcohol on May 28, 2009.{{cite web

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • None announced

Republican primary

Candidates

  • John Sullivan, incumbent
  • Kenneth Rice
  • Nathan Dahm, former missionary
  • Patrick Haworth
  • Craig Allen
  • Fran Moghaddam

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

District 2

This district was represented by Democrat Dan Boren. Democrat Jim Wilson and Republicans Daniel Edmonds, Charles Thompson, Chester Clem Falling, Daniel Arnett, Howard Houchen, and Raymond Wickson all filed to run against Boren.

Polling

Despite the poor approval ratings of Obama, of whom 27% in this district approve, and the high unpopularity of the Democratic healthcare bills, which were supported by 17% of second district residents, conservative Democrat Boren remains popular.

Boren vs. Edmonds

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Daniel Edmonds (R)
Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf))March 3, 2010**44%**28%

Boren vs. Thompson

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Charles Thompson (R)
Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf))March 3, 2010**45%**25%

Boren vs. Houchen

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Howard Houchen (R)
Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf))March 3, 2010**48%**26%

Boren vs. Arnett

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Dan Arnett (R)
Public Policy Polling ([Link](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_303.pdf))March 3, 2010**49%**22%

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Dan Boren, of Muskogee, incumbent
  • Jim Wilson, of Tahlequah, state senator

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Daniel Arnett, Henryetta
  • Daniel Edmonds, of Morris
  • Chester Clem Falling
  • Howard Houchen, of Hugo
  • Charles Thompson, of Hulbert
  • Raymond Wickson

Results

There was a runoff election between Daniel Edmonds and Charles Thompson on August 24. Charles Thompson was chosen to run against Dan Boren in November.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

District 3

This district was represented by Republican Frank Lucas. Democrat, Frankie Robbins, has filed to run for this office against Lucas. There will be no primary election for district 3

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

District 4

This district was represented by Republican Tom Cole. Republican R. J. Harris, ran for this seat against Cole., no Democrats contested this district.

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

District 5

This district was represented by Republican Mary Fallin, but the seat was opened as she has announced her candidacy for Governor of Oklahoma. The seat attracted the attention of several Republican candidates, including State Representative Mike Thompson, former State Representative Kevin Calvey, whom Fallin defeated in the 2006 Republican primary for this seat, physician Johnny Roy, who also ran in 2006, Harry Johnson, Rick Flanigan, Shane Jett and Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma employee James Lankford, as well as Democrats Tom Guild and Billy Coyle. Ultimately Republican James Lankford and Democrat Billy Coyle won their respective parties' nominations and faced off in the general election in November.

This district includes most of Oklahoma City as well as Pottawatomie and Seminole counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Billy Coyle, of Oklahoma City
  • Tom Guild, of Edmond

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • James Lankford, program director of Falls Creek
  • Kevin Calvey, former state representative
  • Mike Thompson, former state representative
  • Harry Johnson
  • Rick Flanigan
  • Johnny Roy
  • Shane Jett, state representative

Polling

First-choice polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorKevin
CalveyRick
FlaniganJames
LankfordJohnny
RoyMike
ThompsonHarry
JohnsonShane
JettUndecided
SoonerpollJuly 7–9, 2010306 (LV)5.6%28%20%2%14%1%6%29%
SoonerpollFebruary 25-March 8, 2010302 (LV)5.64%20%1%7%1%9%63%

Second-choice polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorKevin
CalveyRick
FlaniganJames
LankfordJohnny
RoyMike
ThompsonHarry
JohnsonShane
JettUndecided
SoonerpollJuly 7–9, 2010306 (LV)5.6%20%0%14%5%11%12%38%

Results

There was a runoff election held on August 24 between James Lankford and Kevin Calvey. Lankford was chosen to run against Billy Coyle in November.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2010
RothenbergNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2010
RCPNovember 1, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010
New York TimesNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEightNovember 1, 2010

Notes

References

References

  1. [http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/index.aspx Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives]
  2. Haas, Karen L.. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". [[Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  3. Oklahoma State Election Board. "Candidates for Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Offices".
  4. Oklahoma State Election Board. (July 27, 2010). "Unofficial Results Primary Election".
  5. (November 1, 2010). "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". [[The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.
  6. Rothenberg Political Report. (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
  7. [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-house Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  8. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/2010_elections_house_map.html RealClearPolitics], {{As of. 2010. 11. 01
  9. "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics.
  10. "House Race Ratings". [[The New York Times]].
  11. "Election Results". Oklahoma State Election Board.
  12. "OK-2: Boren looks safe (16-27 points)". Uselectionatlas.org.
  13. link. (2010-12-04, 2010 Election: Race for Congress)
  14. (2009-07-06). "Congressional candidate names campaign co-chairmen". Blog.newsok.com.
  15. "The Scorecard: 2008 Congressional campaign news and analysis". Politico.Com.
  16. "Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma".
  17. "James Lankford Candidacy Facebook Page".
  18. [https://assets.website-files.com/604a6284c2cf945575665724/6056bdaac53f67765cf0cb48_5th-District-GOP-Primary-Poll-Toplines-and-Crosstabs.pdf Soonerpoll]
  19. [https://assets.website-files.com/604a6284c2cf945575665724/6056bcb25e94b1b37f6ecf88_CD-5-Toplines-Crosstabs-March.pdf Soonerpoll]
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