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2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

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2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
countryOklahoma
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2006 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
previous_year2006
next_election2014 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex160px
image1File:Mary Fallin official 110th Congress photo.jpg
nominee1**Mary Fallin**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**625,506**
percentage1**60.45%**
image2File:Jari Askins cropped.jpg
nominee2Jari Askins
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2409,261
percentage239.55%
map_image2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
map_size300px
map_captionCounty results
titleGovernor
before_electionBrad Henry
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionMary Fallin
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Fallin:
Askins: The 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits established by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic governor Brad Henry couldn't seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. This was the first time a woman challenged another woman for Governor of Oklahoma.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans), both of whom have also previously held the office of the lieutenant governor of Oklahoma, and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first female governor. In 2008, Republicans won majorities in both chambers of the state legislature for the first ever; as they expanded these majorities in the 2010 elections and Fallin won the governorship, a Republican state government trifecta was established for the first time since statehood when Fallin was sworn in on January 10, 2011.

Askins carried only four counties: her home county of Stephens and neighboring Comanche, Cotton, and Jefferson. While Fallin won all other 73 counties (of which she flipped 70), her margins varied, ranging from narrow wins in much of Eastern Oklahoma to a 66-point victory in staunchly Republican Beaver County.

Fallin was the first Republican to win Atoka County, Choctaw County, Coal County, Haskell County, Hughes County, Johnston County, Latimer County, LeFlore County, McCurtain County, Okfuskee County, Pittsburg County, and Pushmataha County in a gubernatorial election since Oklahoma statehood. Muskogee County and Sequoyah County voted Republican for the first time since 1907. Fallin was the first non-Democrat to win Tillman County, which had voted for the Democratic candidate for governor in each election since Oklahoma statehood, thus breaking a 103-year streak of voting Democratic Party.

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Jari Askins, incumbent lieutenant governor of Oklahoma
  • Drew Edmondson, incumbent attorney general of Oklahoma

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredDrew
EdmondsonJari
Askins
SoonerPoll.comJuly 16–21, 2010**49%**33%
Sooner SurveyJuly 18–20, 2010**38%**27%
SoonerPoll.comMay 25 – June 9, 2010**37%**36%
SoonerPoll.comJanuary 2–5, 2010**46%**36%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Mary Fallin, former lieutenant governor and current congresswoman for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district
  • Roger L. Jackson, retired businessman, former president of the Oklahoma Office Machine Dealers Association (OOMDA)
  • Randy Brogdon, state senator
  • Robert Hubbard, business owner of Piedmont, Oklahoma's "Hubbard Ranch Supply"

Declined

  • J. C. Watts, former congressman from Oklahoma's 4th congressional district
  • Mick Cornett, Mayor of Oklahoma City

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMary
FallinRandy
Brogdon
SoonerPoll.comJuly 16–21, 2010**56%**18%
Sooner SurveyJuly 18–20, 2010**50%**22%
SoonerPoll.comMay 25 – June 9, 2010**59%**10%
SoonerPoll.comJanuary 2–5, 2010**68%**16%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | | ]]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMary
Fallin (R)Jari
Askins (D)
SoonerPoll.comOctober 23, 2010**56%**39%
SoonerPoll.comOctober 7, 2010**54%**36%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 23, 2010**60%**34%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 26, 2010**52%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 28, 2010**57%**36%
SoonerPoll.comJuly 16–21, 2010**46%**40%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 30, 2010**55%**32%
SoonerPoll.comMay 25 – June 9, 2010**49%**36%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 24, 2010**51%**37%
SoonerPoll.comJanuary 2–5, 2010**52%**36%
Public Policy PollingMay 13–17, 2009**50%**34%

Results

Results by county

CountyMary Fallin
RepublicanJari Askins
DemocraticMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%Totals625,50660.45%409,26139.55%216,24520.90%1,034,767
Adair3,02354.72%2,50145.28%5229.45%5,524
Alfalfa1,30163.84%73736.16%56427.67%2,038
Atoka2,23159.80%1,50040.20%73119.59%3,731
Beaver1,56482.97%32117.03%1,24365.94%1,885
Beckham3,47163.51%1,99436.49%1,47727.03%5,465
Blaine2,06165.20%1,10034.80%96130.40%3,161
Bryan6,11558.46%4,34641.54%1,76916.91%10,461
Caddo3,72350.83%3,60249.17%1211.65%7,325
Canadian24,96471.47%9,96428.53%15,00042.95%34,928
Carter8,47865.52%4,46134.48%4,01731.05%12,939
Cherokee5,85051.05%5,60948.95%2412.10%11,459
Choctaw2,22754.72%1,84345.28%3849.43%4,070
Cimarron73473.62%26326.38%47147.24%997
Cleveland42,79758.41%30,46741.59%12,33016.83%73,264
Coal1,05252.34%95847.66%944.68%2,010
Comanche10,82749.72%10,95050.28%-123-0.56%21,777
Cotton81844.82%1,00755.18%-189-10.36%1,825
Craig2,47057.39%1,83442.61%63614.78%4,304
Creek13,37765.54%7,03434.46%6,34331.08%20,411
Custer5,06165.60%2,65434.40%2,40731.20%7,715
Delaware7,30463.90%4,12736.10%3,17727.79%11,431
Dewey1,30770.12%55729.88%75040.24%1,864
Ellis1,10572.70%41527.30%69045.39%1,520
Garfield11,51568.41%5,31831.59%6,19736.81%16,833
Garvin5,25459.07%3,64140.93%1,61318.13%8,895
Grady10,03163.60%5,74136.40%4,29027.20%15,772
Grant1,19966.17%61333.83%58632.34%1,812
Greer89256.63%68343.37%20913.27%1,575
Harmon42055.70%33444.30%8611.41%754
Harper89973.09%33126.91%56846.18%1,230
Haskell1,90155.49%1,52544.51%37610.97%3,426
Hughes1,88153.39%1,64246.61%2396.78%3,523
Jackson3,95065.83%2,05034.17%1,90031.67%6,000
Jefferson88148.30%94351.70%-62-3.40%1,824
Johnston1,71358.19%1,23141.81%48216.37%2,944
Kay8,65663.53%4,97036.47%3,68627.05%13,626
Kingfisher3,50473.02%1,29526.98%2,20946.03%4,799
Kiowa1,42453.25%1,25046.75%1746.51%2,674
Latimer1,61052.32%1,46747.68%1434.65%3,077
Le Flore7,04054.20%5,95045.80%1,0908.39%12,990
Lincoln6,97664.51%3,83835.49%3,13829.02%10,814
Logan8,84868.35%4,09831.65%4,75036.69%12,946
Love1,55458.40%1,10741.60%44716.80%2,661
Major2,22173.74%79126.26%1,43047.48%3,012
Marshall2,52863.00%1,48537.00%1,04325.99%4,013
Mayes6,99259.46%4,76840.54%2,22418.91%11,760
McClain7,24865.50%3,81734.50%3,43131.01%11,065
McCurtain4,31251.66%4,03548.34%2773.32%8,347
McIntosh3,24452.62%2,92147.38%3235.24%6,165
Murray2,17754.71%1,80245.29%3759.42%3,979
Muskogee9,40552.98%8,34847.02%1,0575.95%17,753
Noble2,78269.86%1,20030.14%1,58239.73%3,982
Nowata1,98160.38%1,30039.62%68120.76%3,281
Okfuskee1,61953.54%1,40546.46%2147.08%3,024
Oklahoma111,61457.55%82,31642.45%29,29815.11%193,930
Okmulgee5,39352.36%4,90647.64%4874.73%10,299
Osage7,93855.08%6,47344.92%1,46510.17%14,411
Ottawa3,98555.95%3,13844.05%84711.89%7,123
Pawnee3,03062.56%1,81337.44%1,21725.13%4,843
Payne11,63358.48%8,25841.52%3,37516.97%19,891
Pittsburg6,80854.56%5,67145.44%1,1379.11%12,479
Pontotoc5,36554.87%4,41245.13%9539.75%9,777
Pottawatomie11,83264.42%6,53635.58%5,29628.83%18,368
Pushmataha1,90155.49%1,52544.51%37610.97%3,426
Roger Mills92369.09%41330.91%51038.17%1,336
Rogers18,87467.30%9,17132.70%9,70334.60%28,045
Seminole3,63757.49%2,68942.51%94814.99%6,326
Sequoyah5,65955.72%4,49744.28%1,16211.44%10,156
Stephens6,45844.01%8,21755.99%-1,759-11.99%14,675
Texas3,54579.95%88920.05%2,65659.90%4,434
Tillman1,08351.50%1,02048.50%633.00%2,103
Tulsa105,06062.31%63,55837.69%41,50224.61%168,618
Wagoner14,31468.19%6,67831.81%7,63636.38%20,992
Washington11,54869.62%5,03930.38%6,50939.24%16,587
Washita2,26562.95%1,33337.05%93225.90%3,598
Woods2,04266.19%1,04333.81%99932.38%3,085
Woodward4,08272.83%1,52327.17%2,55945.66%5,605

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Adair (Largest city: Stilwell)
  • Alfalfa (Largest city: Cherokee)
  • Atoka (Largest city: Atoka)
  • Beckham (Largest city: Elk City)
  • Blaine (Largest city: Watonga)
  • Bryan (Largest city: Durant)
  • Caddo (Largest city: Anadarko)
  • Canadian (Largest city: Yukon)
  • Carter (Largest city: Ardmore)
  • Cherokee (Largest city: Tahlequah)
  • Choctaw (Largest city: Hugo)
  • Cleveland (Largest city: Norman)
  • Coal (Largest city: Coalgate)
  • Craig (Largest city: Vinita)
  • Creek (Largest city: Sapulpa)
  • Custer (Largest city: Weatherford)
  • Delaware (Largest city: Grove)
  • Dewey (Largest city: Seiling)
  • Ellis (Largest city: Shattuck)
  • Garfield (Largest city: Enid)
  • Garvin (Largest city: Pauls Valley)
  • Grady (Largest city: Chickasaw)
  • Grant (Largest city: Medford)
  • Greer (Largest city: Mangum)
  • Harmon (Largest city: Hollis)
  • Harper (Largest city: Laverne)
  • Haskell (Largest city: Stigler)
  • Hughes (Largest city: Holdenville)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Altus)
  • Johnston (Largest city: Tishomingo)
  • Kay (Largest city: Ponca City)
  • Kingfisher (Largest city: Kingfisher)
  • Kiowa (Largest city: Hobart)
  • Latimer (Largest city: Wilburton)
  • Le Flore (Largest city: Poteau)
  • Lincoln (Largest city: Chandler)
  • Logan (Largest city: Guthrie)
  • Love (Largest city: Marietta)
  • Major (Largest city: Fairview)
  • Marshall (Largest city: Madill)
  • Mayes (Largest city: Pryor Creek)
  • McClain (Largest city: Newcastle)
  • McCurtain (Largest city: Idabel)
  • McIntosh (Largest city: Checotah)
  • Murray (Largest city: Sulphur)
  • Muskogee (Largest city: Muskogee)
  • Noble (Largest city: Perry)
  • Nowata (Largest city: Nowata)
  • Okfuskee (Largest city: Okemah)
  • Oklahoma (Largest city: Oklahoma City)
  • Okmulgee (Largest city: Okmulgee)
  • Osage (Largest city: Hominy)
  • Ottawa (Largest city: Miami)
  • Pawnee (Largest city: Cleveland)
  • Payne (Largest city: Stillwater)
  • Pittsburg (Largest city: McAlester)
  • Pontotoc (Largest city: Ada)
  • Pottawatomie (Largest city: Shawnee)
  • Pushmataha (Largest city: Antlers)
  • Roger Mills (Largest city: Cheyenne)
  • Rogers (Largest city: Claremore)
  • Seminole (Largest city: Seminole)
  • Sequoyah (Largest city: Sallisaw)
  • Tillman (Largest city: Frederick)
  • Tulsa (Largest city: Tulsa)
  • Wagoner (Largest city: Coewta)
  • Washington (Largest city: Bartlesville)
  • Washita (Largest city: New Cordell)
  • Woods (Largest city: Alva)
  • Woodward (Largest city: Woodward)

References

References

  1. McNutt, Michael. [http://newsok.com/oklahoma-lt.-gov.-jari-askins-said-she-will-run-for-governor-in-2010/article/3335299 "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010."] NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
  2. "Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010".
  3. [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=262&articleid=20100725_16_A1_Rpbiaa706184 SoonerPoll.com]
  4. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120121113319/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Volume%2020%20Number%204.pdf Sooner Survey]
  5. [http://soonerpoll.com/democratic-gubernatorial-primary-tightens/ SoonerPoll.com]
  6. [http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=12&articleid=20100110_16_A1_FifthD914789 SoonerPoll.com]
  7. "Summary Results - Primary Election - July 27, 2010". Oklahoma State Election Board.
  8. [https://news.yahoo.com/s/cq/20090303/pl_cq_politics/politics3065172_1]{{dead link. (August 2010)
  9. "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com.
  10. (2009-04-18). "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World.
  11. Estus, John, "[http://newsok.com/oklahoma-candidate-filing-period-marks-start-of-busy-campaign-season/article/3465038 Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season]", ''The Oklahoman'', May 31, 2010.
  12. Casteel, Chris. (May 22, 2009). "J.C. Watts rules out run for Oklahoma governor". [[The Oklahoman]].
  13. [http://soonerpoll.com/fallin-continues-to-dominate-republican-gubernatorial-race/ SoonerPoll.com]
  14. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
  15. "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  16. "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  17. (October 28, 2010). "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  18. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
  19. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 SoonerPoll.com]
  20. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/oklahoma/toplines_oklahoma_governor_september_23_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  21. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/toplines/toplines_oklahoma_governor_august_26_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  22. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/election_2010_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  23. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/toplines/toplines_oklahoma_governor_june_30_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  24. [http://soonerpoll.com/one-on-one-match-ups-find-fallin-leading-governor-race/ SoonerPoll.com]
  25. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/oklahoma/election_2010_oklahoma_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  26. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_520.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  27. "General Election Results". Oklahoma State Election Board.
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