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2014 Iowa gubernatorial election

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Field	Value
election_name	2014 Iowa gubernatorial election
country	Iowa
flag_image	Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
previous_year	2010
next_election	2018 Iowa gubernatorial election
next_year	2018
election_date	November 4, 2014
image_size	x150px
image1	File:Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg
nominee1	Terry Branstad
running_mate1	Kim Reynolds
party1	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1	666,032
percentage1	58.99%
image2	File:Jack Hatch - Official Portrait - 84th GA (cropped).jpg
nominee2	Jack Hatch
running_mate2	Monica Vernon
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2	420,787
percentage2	37.27%
map_image
map_caption	Branstad:
Hatch:
Tie:
title	Governor
before_election	Terry Branstad
before_party	Republican Party (United States)
after_election	Terry Branstad
after_party	Republican Party (United States)

Hatch:
Tie: The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad ran for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term. Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch, and on December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving governor in American history. He won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%, and carried every county in the state except Johnson, home to Iowa City and the University of Iowa. This was one of the nine Republican-held governorships up for election in a state that Barack Obama won in the 2012 presidential election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Terry Branstad, incumbent Governor
Tom Hoefling, political activist and America's Party and American Independent Party nominee for president in 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad	Tom
Hoefling	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	303	± 3.3%	66%	12%	22%
Loras College	April 7–8, 2014	600	± 4.0%	80%	4%	14%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	224	± 6.6%	70%	9%	21%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	283	± 5.8%	70%	11%	18%

Results

Democratic primary

Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate. When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party.

Candidates

Declared

Jack Hatch, state senator
Jonathan Narcisse, former member of the Des Moines School Board and Iowa Party nominee for governor in 2010

Withdrew

Paul Dahl, bus driver, retail sales associate, former librarian and candidate for Iowa's 5th congressional district in 1994
Tyler Olson, state representative and former chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party

Declined

Frank Cownie, Mayor of Des Moines
Chet Culver, former governor
Jeff Danielson, state senator
Michael Fitzgerald, state treasurer
Michael Gronstal, majority leader of the Iowa Senate and chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee
Fred Hubbell, insurance executive
Pam Jochum, president of the Iowa Senate
Bob Krause, former state representative, nominee for state treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Janet Petersen, state senator
Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former governor

Endorsements

Ako Abdul-Samad, state representative
Marti Anderson, state representative
Dennis Black, state senator
Leonard Boswell, former U.S. Representative
Joe Bolkcom, state senator
Thomas G. Courtney, state senator
Preston Daniels, former mayor of Des Moines
Dick Dearden, state senator
John Forbes, state representative
Ruth Ann Gaines, state representative
Fred Hubbell, insurance executive
Bruce Hunter, state representative
Bob Krause, former state representative, nominee for state treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Matt McCoy, state senator
Steve Sodders, state senator
Joe Seng, state senator
Rich Taylor, state senator
Frank Wood, state representative

Individuals

Bruce Bearinger, state representative
Dennis Cohoon, state representative
Jeff Danielson, state senator
David Dawson, state representative
Nancy Dunkel, state representative
Bob Dvorsky, state senator
Sue Dvorsky, former chairwoman of the Iowa Democratic Party
Chris Hall, state representative
Rob Hogg, state senator
Wally Horn, state senator
David Jacoby, state representative
Jerry Kearns, state representative
Dan Kelley, state representative
Liz Mathis, state senator
Helen Miller, state representative
Dan Muhlbauer, state representative
Jo Oldson, state representative
Rick Olson, state representative
Scott Ourth, state representative
Janet Petersen, state senator
Todd Prichard, state representative
Joe Riding, state representative
Patti Ruff, state representative
Kirsten Running-Marquardt, state representative
Brian Schoenjahn, state senator
Art Staed, state representative
Sharon S. Steckman, state representative
Sally Stutsman, state representative
Todd Taylor, state representative
Roger Thomas, state representative
Mary Wolfe, state representative

Organizations

American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 61
Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union Local 110

Results

General election

Candidates

Terry Branstad (Republican), incumbent governor :* Running mate: Kim Reynolds, incumbent lieutenant governor
Jack Hatch (Democratic), state senator :* Running mate: Monica Vernon, Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman
Jim Hennager (New Independent Party), administrator, former city councillor and Reform Party nominee for governor in 1998 :* Running mate: Mary Krieg
Lee Hieb (Libertarian), orthopedic surgeon :* Running mate: Ryan Ketelsen, businessman
Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines School Board and nominee for governor in 2010 :* Running mate: Michael Richards, semi-retired businessman{{cite web|url=http://thegazette.com/subject/news/politics/iowa-party-lieutenant-governor-candidate-hopes-to-tap-voter-discontent-20140801|title=Iowa Party lieutenant governor candidate hopes to tap voter discontent

Debates

Complete video of debate, September 20, 2014 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Jack
Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 1–3, 2014	1,265	± 2.8%	51%	40%	5%	5%
54%	43%	—	4%
Quinnipiac University	October 28–November 2, 2014	778	± 3.5%	52%	41%	2%	6%
Iowa Poll	October 28–31, 2014	701	± 3.7%	59%	35%	2%	4%
YouGov	October 25–31, 2014	1,112	± 4.4%	49%	35%	4%	13%
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	911	± 3%	53%	36%	5%	6%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 23–29, 2014	1,129	± 3.3%	57%	34%	4%	5%
Quinnipiac	October 22–27, 2014	817	± 3.4%	56%	37%	2%	5%
Loras College	October 21–24, 2014	1,121	± 2.93%	55%	34%	2%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	2,322	± 3%	50%	37%	0%	13%
NBC News/Marist	October 18–22, 2014	772 LV	± 3.5%	59%	36%	2%	4%
1,052 RV	± 3%	58%	34%	2%	6%
Gravis Marketing	October 20–21, 2014	964	± 3%	53%	43%	—	4%
Monmouth University	October 18–21, 2014	423	± 4.8%	58%	37%	3%	2%
Quinnipiac University	October 15–21, 2014	964	± 3.2%	55%	37%	2%	5%
Suffolk University	October 11–14, 2014	500	± 4.4%	54%	37%	3%	7%
Quinnipiac University	October 8–13, 2014	967	± 3.2%	54%	39%	1%	6%
The Iowa Poll	October 3–8, 2014	1,000	± 3.1%	54%	39%	—	4%
Magellan	October 3, 2014	1,299	± 2.8%	55%	39%	—	7%
NBC News/Marist	September 27–October 1, 2014	778 LV	± 3.5%	58%	36%	1%	5%
1,093 RV	± 3%	58%	35%	1%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20–October 1, 2014	2,359	± 2%	52%	39%	0%	9%
Gravis Marketing	September 29–30, 2014	522	± 4%	51%	43%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	September 25–28, 2014	1,192	± 2.8%	50%	36%	4%	9%
52%	38%	—	10%
Iowa Poll	September 21–24, 2014	546	± 4.2%	48%	34%	6%	12%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17–18, 2014	750	± 4%	46%	40%	3%	10%
FOX News	September 14–16, 2014	600	± 4%	50%	37%	4%	8%
Quinnipiac	September 10–15, 2014	1,167	± 2.9%	60%	37%	1%	3%
Loras College	September 2–5, 2014	1,200	± 2.82%	56%	34%	—	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18–September 2, 2014	1,764	± 3%	51%	38%	1%	10%
Suffolk	August 23–26, 2014	500	± 4%	47%	35%	2%	16%
Public Policy Polling	August 22–24, 2014	915	± 3.2%	48%	35%	5%	12%
50%	37%	—	13%
Rasmussen Reports	August 11–12, 2014	750	± 4%	52%	35%	6%	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	2,044	± 2.7%	51%	40%	1%	8%
Gravis Marketing	July 17–18, 2014	1,179	± 3%	50%	42%	—	9%
NBC News/Marist	July 7–13, 2014	1,599	± 2.5%	53%	38%	1%	9%
Quinnipiac	June 12–16, 2014	1,277	± 2.7%	47%	38%	1%	14%
Vox Populi Polling	June 4–5, 2014	665	± 3.8%	51%	40%	—	9%
Loras College	June 4–5, 2014	600	± 4%	52%	38%	—	11%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4–5, 2014	750	± 4%	49%	40%	2%	8%
Global Strategy Group	May 13–15, 2014	602	± 4%	47%	40%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	48%	40%	—	12%
Victory Enterprises	April 30–May 1, 2014	400	± 4.9%	48%	33%	—	20%
Hickman Analytics	April 24–30	500	± 4.4%	50%	40%	—	10%
Vox Populi Polling	April 22–24, 2014	600	± 4%	45%	43%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	April 19–20, 2014	677	± 3.8%	43%	38%	—	19%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	42%	32%	2%	24%
Quinnipiac	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	46%	35%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	February 23–26, 2014	703	± 3.7%	44%	29%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	48%	36%	—	15%
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	49%	33%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	December 8–11, 2013	325	± ?%	52%	29%	8%	11%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	47%	35%	—	18%
Selzer & Co.	June 2–5, 2013	591	± 4%	55%	27%	9%	9%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	48%	33%	—	19%

With Branstad

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Bruce
Braley (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	47%	41%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	44%	40%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Chet
Culver (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	47%	42%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	50%	40%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	44%	42%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Michael
Gronstal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	50%	36%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Bob
Krause (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	49%	31%	1%	19%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Dave
Loebsack (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	48%	38%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Tyler
Olson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	50%	32%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	December 8–11, 2013	325	± ?%	51%	28%	8%	13%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	47%	33%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	47%	31%	—	22%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Terry
Branstad (R)	Tom
Vilsack (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	47%	46%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	43%	46%	—	11%

With Hoefling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Tom
Hoefling (R)	Jack
Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	30%	37%	—	33%
Suffolk University	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	23%	35%	3%	39%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	30%	34%	—	36%

With Reynolds

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kim
Reynolds (R)	Chet
Culver (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	38%	42%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kim
Reynolds (R)	Michael
Gronstal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	37%	37%	—	26%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kim
Reynolds (R)	Jack
Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	36%	33%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kim
Reynolds (R)	Tyler
Olson (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	36%	32%	—	32%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Black Hawk (largest city: Waterloo)
Des Moines (largest city: Burlington)
Dubuque (largest city: Dubuque)
Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
Jefferson (largest city: Fairfield)
Lee (largest city: Fort Madison)
Linn (Largest city: Cedar Rapids)
Story (Largest city: Ames)

By congressional district

Branstad won all four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

District	Branstad	Representative
55.95%	40.98%	Rod Blum
56.66%	39.85%	Dave Loebsack
56.55%	38.79%	David Young
67.25%	29.39%	Steve King

References

"Governor Terry Branstad announces gubernatorial run, tours Iowa". KWWL.
(March 4, 2014). "HAYWORTH: Republican Hoefling aiming to challenge Branstad in 2014". Sioux City Journal.
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_Iowa%200521.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2014/Republicans-Give-Branstad-High-Marks-and-Primary-V.aspx Loras College]
[http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University] {{Webarchive. link. (November 9, 2018)
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
(June 3, 2014). "Official Iowa Secretary of State Elections Results". [[Iowa Secretary of State]].
Iowa Supreme Court. (March 31, 2014). "Opinion in ''Narcisse v. Schultz'', No. 14-0512".
Bleeding Heartland. (April 1, 2014). "IA-Gov: Iowa Supreme Court rejects Narcisse bid for spot on primary ballot". Bleeding Heartland.
The Des Moines Register. (July 30, 2014). "Jonathan Narcisse to run for governor as third-party candidate".
The Des Moines Register. (August 9, 2014). "Register Soapbox: Governor candidate Jonathan Narcisse".
Noble, Jason. (September 16, 2013). "State Sen. Jack Hatch officially enters 2014 race for Iowa governor". [[The Des Moines Register]].
Horsch, Lauren. (January 18, 2014). "Narcisse says he'll seek Democratic nomination in gubernatorial race". [[Des Moines Register]].
Hayworth, Bret. (October 2, 2013). "4th Democrat enters race for governor; Sioux City stop planned". [[Sioux City Journal]].
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(May 10, 2013). "New Hatch committee aimed at run for governor". [[The Des Moines Register]].
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Jacobs, Jennifer. (June 4, 2013). "Waterloo Democrat Jeff Danielson won't run for higher office". [[The Des Moines Register]].
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Jacobs, Jennifer. (July 30, 2013). "Democrats Mike Gronstal and Pam Jochum won't run for governor (updated)". [[Des Moines Register]].
Petroski, William. (October 11, 2013). "Hatch names steering committee for Iowa governor's race". [[The Des Moines Register]].
(2 January 2014). "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch". Des Moines Register.
Dorman, Todd. (January 2, 2014). "Petersen won't run for governor". [[The Gazette (Cedar Rapids).
Jacobs, Jennifer. (June 5, 2013). "Tom Vilsack won't run for Iowa governor again". [[The Des Moines Register]].
(October 10, 2013). "IA-Gov: Leonard Boswell, 14 legislators endorse Jack Hatch (updated)". Bleeding Heartland.
"Bleeding Heartland:: IA-Gov: Jack Hatch running "Smokey and the Branstad" ad (updated)".
(September 16, 2013). "IA-Gov: Hatch rolls out campaign, Olson rolls out endorsements (updated)". Bleeding Heartland.
Danielson, Jeff. (August 20, 2013). "Why Tyler Has My Support". Tyler Olson for Governor.
"Sue Dvorsky on Twitter". Twitter.
Hon, Dave. (October 15, 2013). "Rep. Dan Kelley endorses Tyler Olson for governor". [[Newton Daily News]].
(October 30, 2013). "State's largest union backs Olson for governor". WCF Courier.
(September 19, 2013). "Tyler Olson claims first union endorsement of Democratic race for governor". Des Moines Register.
Noble, Jason. (June 18, 2014). "Monica Vernon signs on as Jack Hatch's lieutenant governor". [[The Des Moines Register]].
(October 14, 2014). "Meet the Candidate: Iowa Governor: Jim Hennager, New Independent Party Iowa". Des Moines Register.
Aronsen, Gavin. (March 25, 2014). "Iraq war vet among libertarians nominated at state convention". [[Ames Tribune]].
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[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/IAResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]
Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
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[http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/uim532sqyk/toplines_likely_IA.pdf YouGov]
[http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/31/fox-news-poll-iowa-senate-race/ Fox News]
[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Reuters_Ipsos_Iowa_103114.pdf Reuters/Ipsos]
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[https://web.archive.org/web/20141028182840/http://loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/cf/cfc0b5ab-7022-4a39-bc9a-73d4aa84c583.pdf Loras College]
[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/IApolls/IA141018/Complete%20October%2026,%202014%20Iowa%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf NBC News/Marist]
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[https://web.archive.org/web/20141030192342/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/aabe1590-1bbe-458d-8c71-c3ee4dec4c5b.pdf Monmouth University]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20141023130402/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2100 Quinnipiac University]
[http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_15_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University] {{Webarchive. link. (October 17, 2014)
Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
[https://archive.today/20141015114401/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2095 Quinnipiac University]
[http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/10/13/iowa-poll-governor-terry-branstad-jack-hatch/17228281/ The Iowa Poll]
[https://images.politico.com/global/2014/10/06/p4i_toplines.pdf Magellan]
[http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/iowa_october_2014_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news_marist_poll.pdf NBC News/Marist]
[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-results/ Gravis Marketing]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_9301982.pdf Public Policy Polling]
Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
[http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/09/29/iowa-poll-iowa-governor-terry-branstad-jack-hatch/16455501/ Iowa Poll]
Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/iowa/election_2014_iowa_governor Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/09/17/senate-battleground-iowa/ FOX News]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20140922061209/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2081 Quinnipiac]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20140910195335/http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/b2/b28e8e7d-f9b9-493e-9a27-5d38812dcc01.pdf Loras College]
[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-iowa/#IAgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_27_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk] {{Webarchive. link. (September 3, 2014)
Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_826930.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
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