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2010 United States Senate election in Iowa

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States Senate election in Iowa
countryIowa
flag_imageFlag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2004 United States Senate election in Iowa
previous_year2004
next_election2016 United States Senate election in Iowa
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex150px
image1Sen Chuck Grassley official (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Chuck Grassley**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**718,215**
percentage1**64.35%**
image2Roxanne1 (4525472836).jpg
nominee2Roxanne Conlin
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2371,686
percentage233.30%
map_image2010 United States Senate election in Iowa results map by county.svg
map_size240px
map_captionCounty results
**Grassley:**
**Conlin:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionChuck Grassley
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionChuck Grassley
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Grassley:
Conlin:

The 2010 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections in Iowa. The party primary elections were held on June 8, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley won reelection to a sixth term. This was the first time since 1986 where the losing Democratic United States Senate nominee carried any of the counties in Iowa for this seat.

This was one of the five Republican-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Barack Obama won in the 2008 presidential election.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Chuck Grassley, incumbent U.S. Senator

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Roxanne Conlin, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa
  • Bob Krause, former Iowa State Representative and nominee for Treasurer in 1978
  • Tom Fiegen, former Iowa State Senator

Campaign

Three Democrats sought the Democratic nomination. Former State Representative and Iowa Department of Transportation official Bob Krause drew attention for implying that Grassley had been in office too long, remarking to supporters in Des Moines: "As a good farmer, Sen. Grassley must recognize that 51 years, or 58 years at the end of his term, is a long time to go without rotating crops." Both Krause and former State Senator Tom Fiegen cited Grassley's support of deregulating the financial services industry as reasons for running. Krause said, "Please remember that Farmer Grassley was one that opened the barn door and let the cow out at AIG," while Fiegen, a bankruptcy lawyer, made reducing unemployment and tightening regulation of the financial services industry the cornerstones of his campaign.

Former Iowa Democratic Party Chairman Michael Kiernan said that he had recruited trial lawyer Roxanne Conlin to challenge Grassley. Kiernan's virtual endorsement of Conlin prior to her announcement drew the ire of party members, as it is counter to party rules when there is more than one candidate from the party competing in a primary race. Conlin had been criticized for being unwilling to debate her primary opponents, and for being unfamiliar with and unsupportive of her own party's platform.

On health care, Fiegen and Krause supported a public option, while Conlin didn't state a position, which she had been criticized for. Krause and Feigen claimed she supported supply-side economics. She also displayed an unfamiliarity with the Iowa Democratic Party's platform, repeatedly claiming there was no platform for her to support until after the June 12, 2010 convention.

Results

General election

Candidates

  • Roxanne Conlin (D), former U.S. Attorney
  • Chuck Grassley (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • John Heiderscheit (L), attorney

Campaign

Incumbent Chuck Grassley started the campaign moderately popular, but his approval ratings dropped somewhat during the campaign. However, the seat continued to be considered to be "Safe Republican" by many sources, with CQ Politics noting that Grassley is "one of Iowa's most durable politicians."

Conlin described herself as a "prairie progressive." She supported the recent landmark case of Varnum v. Brien, which legalized gay marriage in the state. She also supported repeal of "don't ask, don't tell."

Before the election, former political advisor John Maxwell claimed that Grassley would have his toughest race since his first U.S. Senate election in 1980, where he defeated incumbent John Culver with 53% of the vote. Grassley won all of his four re-election bids with nearly 70% of the vote against unknown opponents. Grassley won the election with 64.35% of the vote, which, in fact was his closest election since 1980.

Debates

Grassley and Conlin agreed to one debate. It was on October 26 on Des Moines radio station WHO and Iowa Public Television.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 26, 2010
RothenbergOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPoliticsOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredChuck
Grassley (R)Roxanne
Conlin (D)
DailyKos/Research 2000October 12–14, 2009**51%**39%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 26, 2010**59%**31%
KCCI-TVFebruary 15–17, 2010**56%**35%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 22, 2010**53%**36%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 17, 2010**55%**36%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 29, 2010**53%**40%
KCCIMay 3–5, 2010**49%**40%
Public Policy PollingMay 25–27, 2010**57%**31%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 14, 2010**54%**37%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 5, 2010**55%**35%
Des Moines RegisterSeptember 19–22, 2010**61%**30%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 22–23, 2010**55%**37%
Des Moines RegisterOctober 26–29, 2010**61%**30%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Charles Grassley (R)$5,566,686$4,962,347$3,457,651$6,913,216
Roxanne Conlin (D)$3,070,816$2,653,914$416,901$100,000
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Johnson (largest city: Iowa City)

References

References

  1. [http://www.sos.state.ia.us/pdfs/elections/2010/Winnerlist.pdf Winner List Primary Election – June 8, 2010] {{Webarchive. link. (November 22, 2010 Iowa Secretary of State)
  2. Beaumont, Thomas. (April 2023). "Democrat says Grassley has been in Senate too long". KCCI.
  3. (August 12, 2009). "Iowa Democrat to Challenge Grassley - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com.
  4. (October 26, 2009). "Conlin approached about Senate race in January". GazetteOnline.com.
  5. (September 25, 2009). "Iowa Democratic Party Chairman Michael Kiernan: September 25, 2009". Iowa Public Television.
  6. "Democrat senate hopefuls turn attacks to each other". Iowa Independent.
  7. (April 28, 2010). "Replay: Live chat with U.S. Senate candidate Roxanne Conlin". GazetteOnline.com.
  8. "Issues".
  9. (May 17, 2010). "Krause For Iowa's Future - On The Issues: Health Care". Krauseforiowa.com.
  10. Sullivan, Adam B. (May 26, 2010). "On the issues, Conlin sees few differences with her Democratic rivals". Iowa Independent.
  11. (May 28, 2010). "Conlin attacked over ties to lobbyist during second U.S. Senate forum". IowaPolitics.com.
  12. "Iowa Democrats".
  13. "Documents".
  14. [http://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2010/canvsummary.pdf Official Results Report]
  15. "IA Sr Sen Approval". SurveyUSA.
  16. "Senate Race Ratings Map for 2010". CQ Politics.
  17. "LGBT Issues {{!}} Roxanne Conlin for Iowa". Roxanneforiowa.com.
  18. (June 11, 2010). "Analysts: Roxanne Conlin likely to be Chuck Grassley's top rival since '80 {{!}} Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com.
  19. desmoinesdem. (2010-10-26). "IA-Sen: Grassley-Conlin debate discussion thread".
  20. "Senate". [[Cook Political Report]].
  21. "Senate Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  22. "Battle for the Senate". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  23. "2010 Senate Ratings". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  24. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". [[CQ Politics]].
  25. [http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/IA/398 DailyKos/Research 2000]
  26. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_election_iowa_senate_january_26_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  27. [http://www.kcci.com/politics/22603881/detail.html KCCI-TV]
  28. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_election_iowa_senate_february_18_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  29. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_election_iowa_senate_march_17_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  30. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  31. [http://www.kcci.com/politics/23478461/detail.html KCCI]
  32. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_604.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  33. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_senate Rasmussen Reports]
  34. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_iowa_senate_august_5_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  35. [https://archive.today/20130121111318/http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20100927/NEWS09/9270310/Iowa-Poll-Grassley-leads-big-over-Conlin Des Moines Register]
  36. [https://archive.today/20130121105748/http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20101031/NEWS09/101031012 Des Moines Register]
  37. (August 2019). "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Iowa". fec.gov.
  38. [http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010 ]
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