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2010 Iowa gubernatorial election

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2010 Iowa gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
countryIowa
flag_imageFlag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2006 Iowa gubernatorial election
previous_year2006
next_election2014 Iowa gubernatorial election
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_sizex150px
image1File:Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg
nominee1**Terry Branstad**
running_mate1**Kim Reynolds**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**592,494**
percentage1**52.81%**
image2File:Gov Chet Culver.jpg
nominee2Chet Culver
running_mate2Patty Judge
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2484,798
percentage243.21%
map_image
map_caption**Branstad:**
**Culver:**
titleGovernor
before_electionChet Culver
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionTerry Branstad
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Culver:
The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ticket. Along with the election in Ohio, this was one of the two gubernatorial elections where the incumbent lost re-election.

The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent Governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term Governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.

Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Chet Culver, incumbent Governor

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office:

  • Terry Branstad, former Governor
  • Rod Roberts, State Representative
  • Bob Vander Plaats, businessman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006

Withdrew

  • State Senator Paul McKinley withdrew after Terry Branstad formed an exploratory committee
  • Cedar Rapids businessman Christian Fong suspended his campaign due to a lack of campaign finances
  • Minority Leader of the Iowa House of Representatives Christopher Rants withdrew from the race due to lack of campaign funds
  • State Senator Jerry Behn withdrew from the race and endorsed Terry Branstad

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTerry
BranstadBob
Vander PlaatsRod
Roberts
Selzer & Co. Inc of Des MoinesJune 1–3, 2010**57%**29%8%
Public Policy PollingMay 25–27, 2010**46%**31%13%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | | | | ]]

General election

Branstad and Culver at a debate

Candidates

  • Chet Culver (D), incumbent governor; running with incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge.
  • Gregory James Hughes (I), running with Robin Prior-Calef.
  • Terry Branstad (R), former four-term governor; running with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
  • Eric Cooper (L), professor at Iowa State University; running with judicial administrator Nick Weltha.
  • Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines school board; running with truck driver Rick Marlar. Narcisse is a Democrat and Marlar is a Republican. Narcisse's campaign and that of Senate District 45 candidate Douglas William Phillips were not affiliated, though both appeared on the ballot under the "Iowa Party" name.
  • David Rosenfeld (SWP), running with Helen Meyers.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredChet
Culver (D)Terry
Branstad (R)
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 23, 201037%**55%**
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 5, 201036%**52%**
Rasmussen ReportsJune 14, 201031%**57%**
Public Policy PollingMay 25–27, 201037%**52%**
KCCI-TVMay 3–5, 201041%**48%**
Rasmussen ReportsApril 29, 201038%**53%**
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 17, 201036%**52%**
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 18, 201037%**53%**
KCCI-TVFebruary 15–17, 201038%**54%**
Selzer & Co. of Des MoinesJanuary 31 – February 3, 201033%**53%**
url=https://archive.today/20130121104024/http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20091114/NEWS09/911150335/Iowa-Poll-Low-rating-for-Culver-reveals-vulnerability&theme=IOWA_POLL/date=2013-01-21 }}November 8–11, 200933%**57%**
Daily Kos/Research 2000October 12–14, 200943%**48%**
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 22, 200934%**54%**
Iowa First FoundationJuly 23–July 26, 200934%**53%**
Concordia Group LLCJuly 200937%**53%**

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Adams (largest city: Corning)
  • Audubon (largest city: Audubon)
  • Benton (largest city: Vinton)
  • Emmet (largest city: Estherville)
  • Greene (largest city: Jefferson)
  • Hamilton (largest city: Webster City)
  • Hardin (largest city: Iowa Falls)
  • Iowa (largest city: Williamsburg)
  • Kossuth (largest city: Algona)
  • Palo Alto (largest city: Emmetsburg)
  • Warren (largest city: Indianola)
  • Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
  • Allamakee (largest city: Waukon)
  • Boone (largest city: Boone)
  • Bremer (largest city: Waverly)
  • Buchanan (largest city: Independence)
  • Cedar (largest city: Tipton)
  • Cerro Gordo (largest city: Mason City)
  • Chickasaw (largest city: New Hampton)
  • Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
  • Clayton (largest city: Guttenberg)
  • Clinton (largest city: Clinton)
  • Fayette (largest city: Oelwein)
  • Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
  • Howard (largest city: Cresco)
  • Jackson (largest city: Maquoketa)
  • Jasper (largest city: Newton)
  • Jones (largest city: Anamosa)
  • Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
  • Marshall (largest city: Marshalltown)
  • Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
  • Muscatine (largest city: Muscatine)
  • Poweshiek (largest city: Grinnell)
  • Scott (largest city: Davenport)
  • Tama (largest city: Tama)
  • Union (largest city: Creston)
  • Wapello (largest city: Ottumwa)
  • Webster (largest city: Fort Dodge)
  • Winneshiek (largest city: Decorah)
  • Worth (largest city: Northwood)
  • Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
  • Davis (Largest city: Bloomfield)
  • Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
  • Hancock (Largest city: Garner)
  • Henry (Largest city: Mount Pleasant)
  • Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
  • Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
  • Monroe (Largest city: Albia)
  • Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
  • Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
  • Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
  • Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)

By congressional district

Branstad won four of five congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.

DistrictCulverBranstadRepresentative
47%**50%**Bruce Braley
**50%**46%Dave Loebsack
44%**51%**Leonard Boswell
42%**54%**Tom Latham
32%**65%**Steve King

References

References

  1. Boshart, Rod. "Terry Branstad 'ready to lead the charge' as Iowa's governor". [[The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier]].
  2. (June 8, 2010). "Iowa Governor Primary Results". Iowa Secretary of State.
  3. "Candidate Listing by Office, June 8, 2010 Primary Election". Iowa Secretary of State.
  4. (2010-01-19). "Gov. Terry Branstad announces 2010 run for governor | Branstad – Reynolds 2010". Governorbranstad2010.com.
  5. (June 2023). "Roberts claims GOP's fresh face in governor bid". Des Moines Register }}{{Dead link.
  6. "Paul McKinley for Iowa". Mckinleyforiowa.com.
  7. (2009-12-02). "GOP's Fong withdraws, will stay active". Christian Fong.
  8. (2010-02-18). "Politically Speaking". Sioux City Journal.
  9. (2009-12-22). "Behn out of GOP governor race, backs Branstad | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com.
  10. [http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20100607/NEWS09/6070323/-1/GETPUBLISHED03SCRIPTS/Iowa-Poll-Branstad-camp-covers-most-sectors-of-GOP/ Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines] {{Webarchive. link. (2013-01-21)
  11. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_601.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  12. "Polls open Tuesday for 2010 midterm general election - Mount Vernon - Lisbon Sun - www.mtvernonlisbonsun.com".
  13. Henderson, O. Kay. (April 26, 2010). "Libertarians nominate statewide candidates for '10". RadioIowa.
  14. Clayworth, Jason. (July 1, 2010). "Narcisse: I'm an independent candidate for gov". [[Des Moines Register]].
  15. Deeth, John. (August 26, 2010). "What's an Iowa Party?".
  16. (August 13, 2010). "Fifth candidate files for Iowa governor's race | Elections | qctimes.com".
  17. Boshart, Rod. (July 30, 2010). "Socialist party seeks state office".
  18. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
  19. "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  20. "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  21. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  22. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
  23. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  24. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_august_5_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  25. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_june_14_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  26. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_602.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  27. [https://web.archive.org/web/20111206113345/http://www.kcci.com/politics/23473645/detail.html KCCI-TV]
  28. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  29. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_iowa_governor_march_17_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  30. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_iowa_governor_election_february_18_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  31. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110605222139/http://www.kcci.com/news/22602994/detail.html KCCI-TV]
  32. [http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20100214/NEWS09/2140347/Iowa-Poll-Culver-rating-falls-even-among-base/ Selzer & Co. of Des Moines] {{Webarchive. link. (2013-01-21)
  33. link. (2013-01-21)
  34. [http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/IA/398 Daily Kos/Research 2000]
  35. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_s_race_september_22_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
  36. [http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2009/08/21/republican-survey-says-branstad-the-strongest-culver-challenger/ Iowa First Foundation]
  37. [https://web.archive.org/web/20090917084613/http://theiowarepublican.com/home/2009/07/17/former-governor-branstad-defeats-culver-53-to-37-in-head-to-head-matchup/ Concordia Group LLC]
  38. "2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results".
  39. "Our Campaigns - IA Governor Race - Nov 02, 2010".
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