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2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election |
| country | Iowa |
| flag_image | Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | Yes |
| previous_election | 2006 Iowa gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2006 |
| next_election | 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2014 |
| election_date | November 2, 2010 |
| image_size | x150px |
| image1 | File:Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg |
| nominee1 | **Terry Branstad** |
| running_mate1 | **Kim Reynolds** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **592,494** |
| percentage1 | **52.81%** |
| image2 | File:Gov Chet Culver.jpg |
| nominee2 | Chet Culver |
| running_mate2 | Patty Judge |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 484,798 |
| percentage2 | 43.21% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption | **Branstad:** |
| **Culver:** | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Chet Culver |
| before_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
| after_election | Terry Branstad |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
Culver:
The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ticket. Along with the election in Ohio, this was one of the two gubernatorial elections where the incumbent lost re-election.
The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent Governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term Governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Chet Culver, incumbent Governor
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
On ballot
As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office:
- Terry Branstad, former Governor
- Rod Roberts, State Representative
- Bob Vander Plaats, businessman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006
Withdrew
- State Senator Paul McKinley withdrew after Terry Branstad formed an exploratory committee
- Cedar Rapids businessman Christian Fong suspended his campaign due to a lack of campaign finances
- Minority Leader of the Iowa House of Representatives Christopher Rants withdrew from the race due to lack of campaign funds
- State Senator Jerry Behn withdrew from the race and endorsed Terry Branstad
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Terry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branstad | Bob | |||
| Vander Plaats | Rod | |||
| Roberts | ||||
| Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines | June 1–3, 2010 | **57%** | 29% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | **46%** | 31% | 13% |
Results
| | | | | | | | | ]]
General election
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Candidates
- Chet Culver (D), incumbent governor; running with incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge.
- Gregory James Hughes (I), running with Robin Prior-Calef.
- Terry Branstad (R), former four-term governor; running with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
- Eric Cooper (L), professor at Iowa State University; running with judicial administrator Nick Weltha.
- Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines school board; running with truck driver Rick Marlar. Narcisse is a Democrat and Marlar is a Republican. Narcisse's campaign and that of Senate District 45 candidate Douglas William Phillips were not affiliated, though both appeared on the ballot under the "Iowa Party" name.
- David Rosenfeld (SWP), running with Helen Meyers.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | October 14, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | October 28, 2010 | |
| RealClearPolitics | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 28, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Chet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culver (D) | Terry | |||
| Branstad (R) | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23, 2010 | 37% | **55%** | |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5, 2010 | 36% | **52%** | |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 14, 2010 | 31% | **57%** | |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | 37% | **52%** | |
| KCCI-TV | May 3–5, 2010 | 41% | **48%** | |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 29, 2010 | 38% | **53%** | |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 17, 2010 | 36% | **52%** | |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 18, 2010 | 37% | **53%** | |
| KCCI-TV | February 15–17, 2010 | 38% | **54%** | |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines | January 31 – February 3, 2010 | 33% | **53%** | |
| url=https://archive.today/20130121104024/http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20091114/NEWS09/911150335/Iowa-Poll-Low-rating-for-Culver-reveals-vulnerability&theme=IOWA_POLL/ | date=2013-01-21 }} | November 8–11, 2009 | 33% | **57%** |
| Daily Kos/Research 2000 | October 12–14, 2009 | 43% | **48%** | |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22, 2009 | 34% | **54%** | |
| Iowa First Foundation | July 23–July 26, 2009 | 34% | **53%** | |
| Concordia Group LLC | July 2009 | 37% | **53%** |
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Adams (largest city: Corning)
- Audubon (largest city: Audubon)
- Benton (largest city: Vinton)
- Emmet (largest city: Estherville)
- Greene (largest city: Jefferson)
- Hamilton (largest city: Webster City)
- Hardin (largest city: Iowa Falls)
- Iowa (largest city: Williamsburg)
- Kossuth (largest city: Algona)
- Palo Alto (largest city: Emmetsburg)
- Warren (largest city: Indianola)
- Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
- Allamakee (largest city: Waukon)
- Boone (largest city: Boone)
- Bremer (largest city: Waverly)
- Buchanan (largest city: Independence)
- Cedar (largest city: Tipton)
- Cerro Gordo (largest city: Mason City)
- Chickasaw (largest city: New Hampton)
- Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
- Clayton (largest city: Guttenberg)
- Clinton (largest city: Clinton)
- Fayette (largest city: Oelwein)
- Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
- Howard (largest city: Cresco)
- Jackson (largest city: Maquoketa)
- Jasper (largest city: Newton)
- Jones (largest city: Anamosa)
- Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
- Marshall (largest city: Marshalltown)
- Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
- Muscatine (largest city: Muscatine)
- Poweshiek (largest city: Grinnell)
- Scott (largest city: Davenport)
- Tama (largest city: Tama)
- Union (largest city: Creston)
- Wapello (largest city: Ottumwa)
- Webster (largest city: Fort Dodge)
- Winneshiek (largest city: Decorah)
- Worth (largest city: Northwood)
- Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
- Davis (Largest city: Bloomfield)
- Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
- Hancock (Largest city: Garner)
- Henry (Largest city: Mount Pleasant)
- Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
- Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
- Monroe (Largest city: Albia)
- Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
- Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
- Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
- Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
By congressional district
Branstad won four of five congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.
| District | Culver | Branstad | Representative | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | **50%** | Bruce Braley | |||||||||||
| **50%** | 46% | Dave Loebsack | |||||||||||
| 44% | **51%** | Leonard Boswell | |||||||||||
| 42% | **54%** | Tom Latham | |||||||||||
| 32% | **65%** | Steve King |
References
References
- Boshart, Rod. "Terry Branstad 'ready to lead the charge' as Iowa's governor". [[The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier]].
- (June 8, 2010). "Iowa Governor Primary Results". Iowa Secretary of State.
- "Candidate Listing by Office, June 8, 2010 Primary Election". Iowa Secretary of State.
- (2010-01-19). "Gov. Terry Branstad announces 2010 run for governor | Branstad – Reynolds 2010". Governorbranstad2010.com.
- (June 2023). "Roberts claims GOP's fresh face in governor bid". Des Moines Register }}{{Dead link.
- "Paul McKinley for Iowa". Mckinleyforiowa.com.
- (2009-12-02). "GOP's Fong withdraws, will stay active". Christian Fong.
- (2010-02-18). "Politically Speaking". Sioux City Journal.
- (2009-12-22). "Behn out of GOP governor race, backs Branstad | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com.
- [http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20100607/NEWS09/6070323/-1/GETPUBLISHED03SCRIPTS/Iowa-Poll-Branstad-camp-covers-most-sectors-of-GOP/ Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines] {{Webarchive. link. (2013-01-21)
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_601.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- "Polls open Tuesday for 2010 midterm general election - Mount Vernon - Lisbon Sun - www.mtvernonlisbonsun.com".
- Henderson, O. Kay. (April 26, 2010). "Libertarians nominate statewide candidates for '10". RadioIowa.
- Clayworth, Jason. (July 1, 2010). "Narcisse: I'm an independent candidate for gov". [[Des Moines Register]].
- Deeth, John. (August 26, 2010). "What's an Iowa Party?".
- (August 13, 2010). "Fifth candidate files for Iowa governor's race | Elections | qctimes.com".
- Boshart, Rod. (July 30, 2010). "Socialist party seeks state office".
- "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
- "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
- "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
- "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_august_5_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_june_14_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_602.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20111206113345/http://www.kcci.com/politics/23473645/detail.html KCCI-TV]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_iowa_governor_march_17_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_2010_iowa_governor_election_february_18_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20110605222139/http://www.kcci.com/news/22602994/detail.html KCCI-TV]
- [http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20100214/NEWS09/2140347/Iowa-Poll-Culver-rating-falls-even-among-base/ Selzer & Co. of Des Moines] {{Webarchive. link. (2013-01-21)
- link. (2013-01-21)
- [http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/IA/398 Daily Kos/Research 2000]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_s_race_september_22_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2009/08/21/republican-survey-says-branstad-the-strongest-culver-challenger/ Iowa First Foundation]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20090917084613/http://theiowarepublican.com/home/2009/07/17/former-governor-branstad-defeats-culver-53-to-37-in-head-to-head-matchup/ Concordia Group LLC]
- "2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results".
- "Our Campaigns - IA Governor Race - Nov 02, 2010".
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