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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election
countryHawaii
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image1Governor David Ige (cropped 2).jpg
nominee1**David Ige**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate1**Shan Tsutsui**
popular_vote1**181,106**
percentage1**49.45%**
image2Duke Aiona.jpg
nominee2Duke Aiona
party2Republican Party (United States)
running_mate2Elwin Ahu
popular_vote2135,775
percentage237.08%
image3Mufi Hannemann (2829422273) (cropped).jpg
nominee3Mufi Hannemann
party3Independent
running_mate3Les Chang
popular_vote342,934
percentage311.72%
map_image
map_size310px
map_caption**Ige:**
**Aiona:**
titleGovernor
before_electionNeil Abercrombie
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionDavid Ige
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Aiona:

The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governor Neil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by State Senator David Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Shan Tsutsui was renominated.

The Republicans nominated former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was former mayor of Honolulu Mufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election. As of 2025, 2014 was the Hawaii gubernatorial since 1994 where the winner failed to win a majority of the vote.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Neil Abercrombie, incumbent governor
  • David Ige, state senator
  • Van K. Tanabe, candidate for governor in 2010

Declined

  • Ed Case, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and 2012

Endorsements

Individuals

  • Barack Obama, President of the United States

Organizations

  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 1186
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 1260
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 1357

Individuals

  • George Ariyoshi, former Governor
  • Ben Cayetano, former Governor

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNeil
AbercrombieDavid
IgeOtherUndecided
title=hipoll_jul2014_govurl=http://hine.ws/specials/news/hipoll_jul2014_gov.pdfwebsite=Hawaii News Now}}July 21–29, 2014458± 4.6%36%**54%**—11%
Civil BeatJuly 24–28, 2014895± 3.3%41%**51%**—8%
Public Policy PollingJuly 23–24, 2014410± ?39%**49%**—12%
last=Blairfirst=Chaddate=2014-06-12title=Ige Holds Healthy Lead Over Abercrombie in Hawaii Governor's Raceurl=http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/06/ige-holds-healthy-lead-over-abercrombie-in-hawaii-governors-race/website=Honolulu Civil Beatlanguage=en}}June 7–9, 2014729± 3.6%37%**48%**—15%
SMS Research*March 24–April 25, 20141,402± 2.6%**42%**28%—30%
Civil BeatFebruary 12–15, 2014643± 3.9%**37%****37%**—26%
Ward ResearchJanuary 29–February 3, 2014528± 4.3%**47%**38%—14%
    • Internal poll for Neil Abercrombie campaign

Results

Results by county:

| | | ]]

Lieutenant governor

Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded by Shan Tsutsui, the president of the Hawaii Senate.

Candidates

Declared

  • Clayton Hee, state senator, candidate for lieutenant governor in 2002 and candidate for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district in 2006
  • Shan Tsutsui, incumbent lieutenant governor

Results

Results by county:

| | ]]

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Duke Aiona, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2010

Declined

  • Charles Djou, former U.S. Representative (running for HI-01)
  • Mufi Hannemann, Democratic former mayor of Honolulu, candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for HI-02 in 2012 (running as an Independent)

Endorsements

  • Manny Pacquiao

Results

Results by county:

| ]]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Elwin Ahu, pastor and former circuit court judge
  • Warner "Kimo" Sutton, businessman

Declined

  • David Chang, former chairman of the Hawaii Republican Party

Results

Libertarian nomination

Governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Jeff Davis, solar contractor and radio show host

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin

Results

Hawaii Independent primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Mufi Hannemann, Democratic former mayor of Honolulu, candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district in 2012

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Les Chang, former Honolulu parks and recreation director

Results

No Party primary

Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election. Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status.

Candidates

Disqualified

  • Misty Davis
  • Khis Dejean Caldwell
  • Richard Morse

Withdrew

  • Joe Spatola

Results

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDavid
Ige (D)Duke
Aiona (R)Mufi
Hannemann (I)OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,002± 6%**54%**22%5%0%19%
Civil BeatOctober 16–19, 20141,221± 2.8%**40%**34%11%6%8%
**27%**26%——**47%**
Tarrance Group/RGAOctober 2014800± 3.5%**39%**36%12%3%11%
Ward ResearchOctober 11–18, 2014605± 4%**47%**35%12%1%6%
Global Strategy GroupOctober 3–8, 2014600± 4%**45%**33%10%2%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20141,319± 4%**41%**35%6%0%18%
Civil BeatSeptember 11–14, 20141,055± 3%**43%**39%8%2%8%
**48%**45%——7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 9–10, 2014750± 4%**40%**39%14%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 2014655± 6%**37%**35%6%2%20%
Ward ResearchJuly 21–29, 2014612± 4%34%**41%**15%—10%
Civil BeatJune 7–9, 20141,078± 3%**31%****31%**17%—21%
Ward ResearchJanuary 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%34%**51%**——15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorNeil
Abercrombie (D)Duke
Aiona (R)Mufi
Hannemann (I)OtherUndecided
Ward ResearchJuly 21–29, 2014612± 4%30%**45%**14%—11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,083± 3%37%**40%**—14%7%
Civil BeatJune 7–9, 20141,078± 3%27%**33%**18%—22%
Ward ResearchJanuary 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%40%**48%**——12%

Results

By county

CountyDavid Ige
DemocraticDuke Aiona
RepublicanAll Others#%#%#%HawaiiHonoluluKauaiMauiTotals
**25,674****51.54%**15,38730.89%8,75117.57%
**119,312****48.12%**100,27940.44%28,38111.45%
**12,451****53.14%**7,49531.99%3,48314.77%
**23,699****52.6%**12,61428.03%8,71419.36%
**181,106****49.45%**135,77537.08%49,32913.47%

References

References

  1. (April 29, 2013). "Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie says he will seek second term".
  2. (July 9, 2013). "Hawaii Gov. Abercrombie gets a primary challenger". The Washington Post.
  3. (July 9, 2014). "Candidate Q&A — Governor of Hawaii: Van Tanabe". Civil Beat.
  4. (July 12, 2013). "Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over". Honolulu Civil Beat.
  5. (December 20, 2013). "President endorses Abercrombie for re-election". [[Honolulu Star-Advertiser]].
  6. (June 7, 2013). "IBEW backs Governor Abercrombie for Re-Election". [[Hawaii News Now]].
  7. Kerr, Keoki. (November 18, 2013). "Cayetano drops support for Abercrombie, backs Ige". [[Hawaii News Now]].
  8. "hipoll_jul2014_gov".
  9. Blair, Chad. (2014-08-01). "Civil Beat Poll: Ige Maintains Solid Lead Over Abercrombie".
  10. (July 2014). "HI-Sen, HI-Gov PPP For LCV". Public Policy Polling.
  11. Blair, Chad. (2014-06-12). "Ige Holds Healthy Lead Over Abercrombie in Hawaii Governor's Race".
  12. Blair, Chad. (2014-06-03). "Abercrombie Campaign Manager Claims 14 Point Lead Over Ige".
  13. Blair, Chad. (2014-02-19). "Civil Beat Poll — A Referendum on Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie?".
  14. [http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/specials/hipoll2014_tb1-22.pdf Ward Research] {{Webarchive. link. (February 24, 2014)
  15. "Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide". Hawaii Office of Elections.
  16. Tran, Cam. (December 27, 2012). "Tsutsui's promotion causes ripple effect: Senate to vote on new president on opening day". [[KITV]].
  17. (May 11, 2014). "Hee Candidacy Shakes Up Gov and Lt. Gov Races, and Hawaii Senate". Honolulu Civil Beat.
  18. (May 31, 2013). "Lt. Governor Shan Tsutsui Will Run in 2014". Hawaii Reporter.
  19. (May 19, 2014). "Republican Duke Aiona officially enters Hawaii race for governor; race has echoes of 2010". The Republic.
  20. Ian Scheuring. (March 21, 2014). "State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run". [[Hawaii News Now]].
  21. Derrick DePledge. (January 17, 2014). "'In discussions ...'". Governing.
  22. (October 14, 2014). "Boxer Manny Pacquiao endorses Duke Aiona for governor". KITV4.
  23. (February 27, 2014). "Pastor to seek Republican nomination for lieutenant gov". Honolulu Star Advertiser.
  24. DePledge, Derrick. (June 3, 2014). "Hannemann picks ex-parks chief as gubernatorial running mate". Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
  25. "Pastor seeks GOP nomination for lieutenant governor". Find Law.
  26. (January 9, 2014). "Jeff 'The Solar Guy' Davis Running for Hawaii Governor".
  27. (April 25, 2014). "Mufi Hannemann announces candidacy for Hawaii governor's race". Hawaii News Now.
  28. (August 10, 2014). "No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot". Ballot Access News.
  29. (June 25, 2014). "Nonpartisans in Hawaii governor race disqualified". West Hawaii Today.
  30. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
  31. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
  32. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  33. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
  34. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  35. [http://www.slideshare.net/civilbeat/oct-2014-civil-beat-poll-governors-race-40781754 Civil Beat]
  36. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/244279809/HI-Gov-Tarrance-Group-for-RGA-Oct-2014 Tarrance Group/RGA]
  37. [http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/26880495/ige-leads-in-governor-poll-hes-up-19-points-from-july Ward Research]
  38. Jeff Davis (L)
  39. [https://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-score/2014/10/arkansas-airwaves-get-busier-soros-son-raising-cash-for-orman-how-the-senate-will-be-won-212543 Global Strategy Group]
  40. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  41. [http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/09/civil-beat-poll-democrat-ige-leads-republican-aiona-by-4-percent/ Civil Beat]
  42. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/hawaii/election_2014_hawaii_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  43. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-hawaii/#HIgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  44. [http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/specials/hipoll2014_tb1-22.pdf Ward Research] {{Webarchive. link. (February 24, 2014)
  45. [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  46. [http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/specials/hipoll2014_tb1-22.pdf Ward Research] {{Webarchive. link. (February 24, 2014)
  47. "2014 General election results".
Info: Wikipedia Source

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