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2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election
countryHawaii
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2006 Hawaii gubernatorial election
previous_year2006
next_election2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election
next_year2014
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image1File:Neil Abercrombie (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Neil Abercrombie**
running_mate1**Brian Schatz**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**222,724**
percentage1**58.22%**
image2File:Duke Aiona.jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee2Duke Aiona
running_mate2Lynn Finnegan
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2157,311
percentage241.12%
map_image2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
map_size310px
map_captionCounty results
**Abercrombie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionLinda Lingle
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionNeil Abercrombie
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Abercrombie:
The 2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Republican governor Linda Lingle was term-limited and not eligible to run for re-election. The Democratic Party nominated Neil Abercrombie, and the Republican Party nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Duke Aiona. In the election, Abercrombie won and was sworn in as the state's 7th governor on December 6, 2010. Aiona later unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Hawaii in 2014 and 2022.

As of 2024, this was the last time the Republican candidate for governor received over 40% of the vote in Hawaii.

This marked the first time since 1966 where both the governor and lieutenant governor of Hawaii were white and the first time both were born outside of Hawaii.

Primary results

Democratic

  • Neil Abercrombie, former U.S. representative and candidate for U.S. Senate in 1970
  • Mufi Hannemann, former Mayor of Honolulu, nominee for HI-01 in 1986, and candidate in 1990
  • Arturo P. (Art) Reyes
  • Miles Shiratori
  • Van K. Tanabe
Results by county:

| | | ]]

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredNeil AbercrombieMufi HannemannUndecided
Honolulu Star-AdvertiserAugust 10–17, 2010**49%**44%8%
Mason DixonJanuary 8–12, 2010**37%**34%29%
Research 2000June 15–17, 2009**42%**22%36%

Republican

  • Duke Aiona, Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii
  • John Carroll, former state senator and representative
Results by county:

| ]]

Non-partisan

  • Tony Clapes
  • Paul Manner
  • Thomas (Tom) W. Pollard, critical care Doctor of Osteopathic Medicine

Free Energy Party

  • Daniel H. Cunningham

Lieutenant governor primary

Eleven candidates ran for their political parties' nominations in the lieutenant governor primary election on September 18: seven Democrats, two Republicans, one independent, and one Free Energy Party candidate.

Democratic Party

  • Lyla Berg, 59, Hawaiian state representative first elected in 2004 to represent the Kāhala area; former teacher and principal
  • Robert Bunda, 63, state legislator since 1983: state representative from 1983 until 1994 and senator from 1994 until 2010; president of the Hawaii Senate for five years. Resigned from office to run for lieutenant governor.
  • Steve Hirakami, 64, principal of a charter school in Pahoa, on the Big Island of Hawai'i
  • Gary Hooser, 56, former state senator from Kauai. Campaign based largely on support of civil unions.
  • Jon Riki Karamatsu, 35, state legislator first elected in 2002 to represent the Waipahu area; chairman of the state House Judiciary Committee
  • Norman Sakamoto, 63, sitting state senator first elected in 1996 to represent the Kalihi, Salt Lake, and Pearl Ridge neighborhoods of Honolulu; chairman of the state Senate Education and Housing Committee; opponent of civil unions
  • Brian Schatz, 37, former state legislator and former chairman of the Hawaiian Democratic Party. Resident of Honolulu.
Results by county:

| | ]]

Republican Party

  • Lynn Finnegan, 39, state legislator since 2002; Republican leader in the State House since 2005. Resident of Aiea, Hawaii.
  • Adrienne King, 62, lawyer for more than thirty years. Resident of Honolulu,

Free Energy Party

  • Deborah Spence, no age provided, campaigns for the revival of hemp, which she calls the "most utilitarian plant", for use as a cellulose and biofuel. Resident of Hilo.

Independent

  • Leonard Kama, 67, retired security guard and deckhand campaigning on education and a reduction of homelessness. Resident of Kapolei.

General election

Neil Abercrombie and his running mate Brian Schatz on the day of the election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredNeil
Abercrombie (D)Duke
Aiona (R)
Public Policy PollingOctober 2–3, 2010**49%**47%
Honolulu Star-AdvertiserAugust 10–17, 2010**53%**41%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 24, 2010**58%**32%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 24, 2010**54%**31%
Mason DixonJanuary 8–12, 2010**43%**34%
Research 2000June 15–17, 2009**45%**36%

Candidates

  • Neil Abercrombie (D)
    • Abercrombie's running mate was former state Democratic Party chairman Brian Schatz
  • Duke Aiona (R)
    • Aiona's running mate was State Rep. Lynn Finnegan
  • Daniel Cunningham (FE)
    • Cunningham's running mate was Deborah Spence
  • Tom Pollard (I)
    • Pollard's running mate was Leonard Kama

Results

|}}

By county

CountyNeil Abercrombie
DemocraticDuke Aiona
RepublicanAll Others#%#%#%HawaiiHonoluluKauaiMauiTotals
**33,095****61.99%**19,80737.1%4840.9%
**150,554****56.9%**112,52742.53%1,4920.57%
**13,559****59.82%**8,95339.5%1560.69%
**25,516****60.85%**16,02438.21%3960.94%
**222,724****58.22%**157,31141.12%2,5280.66%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Hawaii (largest community: Hilo)
  • Honolulu
  • Kalawao (largest community: Kalaupapa)
  • Kauai (largest community: Kapa'a)
  • Maui (largest community: Kahului)

References

References

  1. Sample, Herbert A.. (2010-09-15). "11 vying for Hawaii's second highest post". [[Honolulu Star-Advertiser]].
  2. DePledge, Derrick. (March 9, 2009). "Abercrombie kicks off run for governor". [[The Honolulu Advertiser]].
  3. DePledge, Derrick. (July 21, 2010). "Off and running; Gubernatorial hopefuls punch, counterpunch as the state's election filing deadline passes". [[Honolulu Star-Advertiser]].
  4. (2010-09-29). "PRIMARY ELECTION 2010 - State of Hawaii - Statewide". Office of Elections, State of Hawaii.
  5. [http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/20100822_Abercrombie_has_edge.html Honolulu Star-Advertiser]
  6. [http://www.starbulletin.com/news/20100118_abercrombie_in_slight_lead_for_governor.html Mason Dixon]
  7. [http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/17/HI/311/ Research 2000]
  8. [https://www.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/20090204/BREAKING01/90204035/-1 Aiona leads money race for 2010 governor's seat]
  9. "Physician Profile on Dr. Thomas Pollard". HealthGrades web site.
  10. "About Adrienne". Adrienne King Lieutenant Governor web site.
  11. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
  12. "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  13. "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  14. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  15. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
  16. [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/10/2/HI/10/uMymt Public Policy Polling]
  17. [http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/20100824_Aiona_trails_Democratic_contenders.html Honolulu Star-Advertiser]
  18. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/hawaii/toplines/toplines_hawaii_governor_june_24_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  19. [https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/hawaii/election_2010_hawaii_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  20. (November 16, 2010). "General Election—State of Hawaii—Statewide Final Summary Report". Hawaii office of Elections.
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