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2012 United States presidential election in Vermont

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Vermont
countryVermont
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Vermont
previous_year2008
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Vermont
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex200px
image1President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee1**Barack Obama**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
home_state1Illinois
running_mate1**Joe Biden**
electoral_vote1**3 **
popular_vote1**199,239**
percentage1**66.57%**
image2Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee2Mitt Romney
party2Republican Party (United States)
home_state2Massachusetts
running_mate2Paul Ryan
electoral_vote20
popular_vote292,698
percentage230.97%
map{{switcher
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

|[[File:Vermont Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|x250px]] |County results |[[File:Vermont Presidential Election Results 2012 by Municipality.svg|x250px]] |Municipality results |[[File:VT President 2012.svg|x250px]] |Precinct results}} Obama Romney No data The 2012 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, U.S. Representative Paul Ryan.

A very liberal Northeastern state, and a former bastion of progressive Republicanism until the realignment election of 1992, Vermont was the second most Democratic state in the nation, weighing in as a whopping 31.74% more Democratic than the national average in the 2012 election. Repeating his success from 2008, Obama again carried Vermont in a landslide, taking 66.57% of the vote to Romney's 30.97%, a Democratic victory margin of 35.60%. Though this was slightly worse than his 2008 performance, when he received 67.46% of the vote to Republican Senator John McCain's 30.45%, a margin of 37.01%, this was still the second best performance for a Democrat in Vermont history, surpassing Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 performance.

Vermont historically was a bastion of northeastern Republicanism, voting Republican in every single election but one between 1856 and 1988, interrupted only in 1964. It also elected solely Republican governors from 1854 to 1962 and solely Republican Senators from 1855 to 1968. However, after migration from liberal northeastern cities such as Boston and New York to Vermont in the 1960s and 70s, it shifted sharply towards the Democratic Party with Bill Clinton's landslide victory in 1992, and has been part of the "Blue Wall" – the 19 jurisdictions, worth 238 electoral votes, that voted Democratic six times in a row from 1992 through 2012 – ever since. Vermont also has one of the greenest economies in the country, with its own Clean Air Act and a state trust that buys farmland to support local farming. This, and a virtual nonexistence of party loyalty in the state, guaranteed Obama's landslide victory.

Obama's best performance was in Windham County, where he received 73.05% of the vote, though he also racked up great margins in Chittenden, Rutland, and Washington Counties, the state's three largest counties and home to Burlington, Rutland, and the state capital of Montpelier, respectively. The only county where he won by a margin of less than 20% is in Essex County in the Northeast Kingdom, generally the most conservative region in the state, where he won by 13.40%.

The results of the 2012 election made Vermont the second most Democratic state in the nation, only surpassed by the 42.71% margin in Obama's birth state of Hawaii. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time in which the Democratic nominee won Essex County, and by extension, every county in the state.

To date, this is the last time that the towns of Baltimore, Belvidere, Benson, Berkshire, Bloomfield, Brighton, Brownington, Brunswick, Canaan, Charleston, Clarendon, Concord, Coventry, Danby, Derby, Eden, Fair Haven, Franklin, Granby, Groton, Guildhall, Highgate, Holland, Ira, Irasburg, Lowell, Lunenburg, Newport, Norton, Orange, Readsboro, Richford, Searsburg, Sheldon, Stamford, Sutton, Topsham, Troy, Victory, Wells, West Rutland, and Williamstown voted Democratic.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012. Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed. According to the Secretary of State of Vermont's office, he received 40,247 votes (97.28%) and all of the 27 delegates attending the 2012 Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina pledged to support his re-nomination. The remaining 2.72% of the vote was made up of 675 write-ins (1.63%) and 450 blank votes (1.09%).

Republican primary

|x230px |County results |x230px |Municipality results}}

The Republican primary also took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.

Vermont has 17 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates are bound by the primary results and awarded on a winner-take-all basis. The remaining 14 are awarded winner-take-all to the candidate who wins at least 50% of the vote statewide, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote statewide if no one gets a majority.

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney won the primary with a plurality, receiving 24,008 votes (39.45%) and 9 delegates. He won every single county. Representative from Texas's 14th district Ron Paul placed in second with 15,391 votes, or 25.29%, while former Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum received 14,368 votes, or 23.61%. Both were awarded 4 delegates. The only other candidate to receive over 5% of the vote was former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, with 8.13% of the vote.

Vermont Republican presidential primary, March 6, 2012CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
[[File:America Symbol.svg14px]] **Mitt Romney****24,008****39.45%****9**
Ron Paul15,39125.29%4
Rick Santorum14,36823.61%4
Newt Gingrich4,9498.13%0
Jon Huntsman1,1981.97%0
Rick Perry5440.89%0
Write-in3920.64%0
**Unprojected delegates:****0**
**Total:****60,850****100.00%****17**

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Candidate ballot access

  • Barack Obama / Joe Biden, Democratic
  • Mitt Romney / Paul Ryan, Republican
  • Gary Earl Johnson / James Polin Gray, Libertarian
  • Rocky Anderson / Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice
  • Peta Lindsay / Yari Osorio, Socialism and Liberation The following candidates had write-in ballot access:
  • Ron Paul, Republican
  • Jill Stein / Cheri Honkala, Green
  • Virgil Goode / Jim Clymer, Constitution
  • Roseanne Barr / Cindy Sheehan, Peace and Freedom

Results

2012 United States presidential election in VermontPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Democratic****Barack Obama** **(incumbent)****Joe Biden** **(incumbent)****199,239****66.57%****3**
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan92,69830.97%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray3,4871.17%0
Write-ins*Write-ins2,0430.68%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1,1280.38%0
Socialism and LiberationPeta LindsayYari Osorio6950.23%0
**Totals****299,290****100.00%****3**
  • Write-ins included Ron Paul, Republican; and Jill Stein, Green.

By county

CountyBarack Obama
DemocraticMitt Romney
RepublicanVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%Totals199,23966.57%92,69830.97%7,3532.46%106,54135.60%299,290
Addison12,25768.44%5,20329.05%4502.51%7,05439.39%17,910
Bennington11,51465.45%5,68732.33%3922.22%5,82733.12%17,593
Caledonia8,19259.97%5,08837.24%3812.79%3,10422.73%13,661
Chittenden53,62669.57%21,57127.99%1,8832.44%32,05541.58%77,080
Essex1,53955.00%1,16441.60%953.40%37513.40%2,798
Franklin12,05760.62%7,40537.23%4262.15%4,65223.39%19,888
Grand Isle2,53162.11%1,47136.10%731.79%1,06026.01%4,075
Lamoille8,37169.83%3,34227.88%2752.29%5,02941.95%11,988
Orange9,07664.58%4,58832.65%3892.77%4,48831.93%14,053
Orleans7,11760.87%4,30636.83%2692.30%2,81124.04%11,692
Rutland17,08859.73%10,83537.87%6862.40%6,25321.86%28,609
Washington20,35169.44%8,09327.61%8632.95%12,25841.83%29,307
Windham16,02673.05%5,34724.37%5642.58%10,67948.68%21,937
Windsor19,49467.93%8,59829.96%6072.11%10,89637.97%28,699

|[[File:2008-2012_presidential_election_swing_in_each_Vermont_county.svg|300px]]|Shift by county |[[File:2008-2012_presidential_election_trend_in_each_Vermont_county.svg|300px]]|Trend relative to the state by county | | | | | | | |}}}}}}

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentativeAt-large
30.97%**66.57%**Peter Welch

References

References

  1. "Vermont Presidential Election Voting History".
  2. Moskowitz, Seth. (January 20, 2020). "The Road to 270: Vermont".
  3. Cohen, Micah. (October 1, 2012). "'New' Vermont Is Liberal, but 'Old' Vermont Is Still There".
  4. (March 6, 2012). "2012 President Democratic Primary". [[Vermont Secretary of State]].
  5. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN.
  6. "Presidential Primary Dates". [[Federal Election Commission]].
  7. Nate Silver. (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
  8. (March 6, 2012). "2012 President Republican Primary". [[Vermont Secretary of State]].
  9. [http://vermont-elections.org/elections1/2012%20ElecionResults/2012VTOfficialCanvassofVotesPE.pdf Official Report of the Canvassing Committee] {{Webarchive. link. (2012-08-22, Retrieved March 22, 2012)
  10. [https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/VT-R The Green Papers], January 14, 2012
  11. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  12. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  13. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  14. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  15. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  16. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  17. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  18. "Vermont Secretary of State".
  19. n/a, Jason. (2013). "Our Campaigns - VT US President Race - Nov 06, 2012". ourcampaigns.com.
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