2008 United States presidential election in Vermont

Primaries

• 2008 Vermont Democratic presidential primary
• 2008 Vermont Republican presidential primary

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Vermont

Obama won every single pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 59% to 35%.

Fundraising

Obama raised a total of $2,071,271 in the state. McCain raised $206,395.

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign spent any money on advertising in Vermont. Neither campaign visited the state.

Analysis

Vermont was once the quintessential Yankee Republican state. It identified with the newly formed GOP in 1856 and remained in the Republican fold for over 130 years. From 1856 to 1988, it only voted for a Democrat once, in Lyndon Johnson's 44-state landslide of 1964. Vermont and Maine were the only states that Franklin D. Roosevelt didn't carry in any of his four elections.

However, the brand of Republicanism practiced in Vermont has historically been a moderate one. Coupled with an influx of more liberal newcomers from out of state, this made Vermont considerably friendlier to Democrats as the national GOP moved further to the right. After narrowly supporting George H. W. Bush in 1988, Vermont gave Bill Clinton a 16-point margin in 1992. Republicans have not seriously contested the state since then, and Vermont is now reckoned as part of a bloc of solidly blue states spanning most of the Northeast.

The 2008 race kept this tradition going. Obama won with 67% of the vote to McCain's 30%. The state was called for Obama almost as soon as the polls closed, and was the first state called for Obama. Obama was the first Democrat to get over 70% of the vote in any Vermont county since 1964, and the first for either party since 1972.

Vermont was Obama's second-best state and his best in the contiguous 48 states; only topped by the staggering 71% he received in Hawaii, the state where he was born. The Obama-Biden ticket won every county in the state, including several northeastern counties which had a history of voting Republican. Obama also performed better than John Kerry in every county. As a measure of how Republican Vermont once was, George W. Bush was at the time the only Republican to win the White House without carrying Vermont.

Results

• Others include Cynthia McKinney, Green; Róger Calero, Socialist Workers; Gloria La Riva, Socialism and Liberation; and Brian Moore, Liberty Union.

By county

Democratic Republican ]]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Essex (largest town: Lunenburg)

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Vermont, as they do in every state, cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Vermont is allocated three electors because it has 1 congressional district and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were elected at large as members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:

1. Claire Ayer
2. Euan Bear
3. Kevin Christie

References

References

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2. (2009-01-01). "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.".
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4. (2009-04-22). "Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions".
5. "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".
6. Based on Takeaway
7. "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".
8. "RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map".
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10. (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times.
11. (2008-10-31). "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN.
12. (April 27, 2010). "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News.
13. "roadto270".
14. "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".
15. "Election 2008 Polls".
16. "Presidential Campaign Finance".
17. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
18. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN.
19. "CHAPTER 13: Toward the 21st Century". The New York Times.
20. (2009). "Our Campaigns - VT US President Race - Nov 04, 2008". ourcampaigns.com.
21. "Electoral College". [[California Secretary of State]].
22. "Elections {{!}} Home {{!}} Vermont Secretary of State".