2008 United States presidential election in Hawaii

Caucuses

• Hawaii Democratic caucuses, 2008
• Hawaii Republican caucuses, 2008

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Listed below are their last predictions before election day:

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Hawaii

Just 3 pre-election polls were ever taken in the state, averaging Obama at 64% to McCain at 30%.

Fundraising

Obama raised $3,098,395. McCain raised $424,368.

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $113,838 while a conservative interest group spent $31. Obama visited the state once.

Results

By county

By congressional district

Obama won both congressional districts.

Electors

Main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Hawaii cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Hawaii is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 4 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:

1. Joy Kobashigawa
2. Marie Dolores
3. Amefil Agbayani
4. Frances K. Kagawa

Analysis

One of the most reliably blue states in the nation, Hawaii has only voted for two Republican candidates since statehood, both in national 49-state Republican landslides—Richard Nixon in 1972 and Ronald Reagan in 1984. A large concentration of Asian Americans makes the state very favorable to the Democrats. Although moderate Republicans occasionally win at the state level—for instance, then-Governor Linda Lingle and Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona were both Republicans—Hawaii has long been reckoned as a Democratic stronghold.

It came as something of a surprise in 2004 when John Kerry only carried Hawaii by 8.7 points, the worst performance for a Democrat since Reagan carried the state in 1984. However, the state reverted to form in dramatic fashion in 2008, with Barack Obama (who was born in Hawaii) winning the state in a landslide over Republican John McCain. Obama outperformed Kerry by 36.52%, making Hawaii Obama's biggest improvement from 2004. During the same election, Democrats picked up one seat in the Hawaii House of Representatives and two seats in the Hawaii Senate, giving them a supermajority in the Hawaii state legislature with 45 out of 51 seats in the Hawaii House and 23 out of 25 seats in the Hawaii Senate. This is the most recent election that the state voted more Democratic than the previous one.

References

References

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