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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico |
| country | New Mexico |
| type | legislative |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico |
| next_year | 2014 |
| seats_for_election | All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives |
| election_date | |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| last_election1 | **2** |
| seats1 | **2** |
| seat_change1 | |
| popular_vote1 | **422,189** |
| percentage1 | **55.11%** |
| swing1 | 3.53% |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| last_election2 | 1 |
| seats2 | 1 |
| seat_change2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 343,269 |
| percentage2 | 44.81% |
| swing2 | 3.61% |
| map_image | |
| map_caption |
Democratic Republican The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with those for other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election.
Overview
| United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012 | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | **422,189** | **55.11%** | **2** | **2** | **-** | |
| Republican | 343,269 | 44.81% | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Independent (Write-in) | 173 | 0.02% | - | |||
| Green Party (Write-in) | 459 | 0.06% | - | |||
| **Totals** | **766,090** | **100%** | **3** | **3** | **-** |
District 1
The redrawn 1st district serves the central area of New Mexico, including almost three-fourths of Albuquerque. Incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich, first elected in 2008, did not seek reelection, but instead ran for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Jeff Bingaman.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michelle Lujan Grisham, Bernalillo County commissioner and candidate for this seat in 2008
Eliminated in primary
- Marty Chávez, former Albuquerque mayor
- Eric Griego, state senator
Declined
- Hector Balderas, state auditor
- Terry Brunner, head of rural development for the U.S. Department of Agriculture in New Mexico and Jeff Bingaman’s former state director
- Diane Denish, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2010
- Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. representative
- Timothy M. Keller, state senator
- James B. Lewis, state treasurer
- Moe Maestas, state representative
- Stuart Paisano, former governor of Sandia Pueblo
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Janice Arnold-Jones, former state representative
Withdrawn
- Dan Lewis, Albuquerque City Councilmember
Disqualified
- Gary Smith, Army veteran
Declined
- Jon Barela, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010
Primary results
General election
Endorsements
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- EMILY's List
Organizations
- Maggie's List
Polling
| Poll | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| source | Date(s) | |||||
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Michelle | |||||
| Lujan Grisham (D) | Janice | |||||
| Arnold-Jones (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Research & Polling Inc | October 23–25, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | **51%** | 36% | 13% |
| Research & Polling Inc | October 9–11, 2012 | 402 | ± 4.9% | **51%** | 37% | 12% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham) | October 8–9, 2012 | 407 | ± 5.0% | **55%** | 40% | 5% |
| Research & Polling Inc | September 3–6, 2012 | 409 | ± 4.8% | **46%** | 34% | 20% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham) | July 10–15, 2012 | 502 | ± 4.0% | **50%** | 42% | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
Results
District 2
Incumbent Republican Steve Pearce was elected in 2010, having previously served from 2003 until 2009. Pearce sought reelection in 2012.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Pearce, incumbent U.S. representative
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Evelyn Madrid Erhard, former teacher at New Mexico State University
Withdrawn
- Martin Resendiz, mayor of Sunland Park
Disqualified
- Frank McKinnon, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2008
Declined
- Nate Cote, state representative
- Edgar Lopez, head of a real estate company
- Harry Teague, former U.S. representative
Primary results
General election
Polling
| Poll | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| source | Date(s) | |||||
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Steve | |||||
| Pearce (R) | Evelyn | |||||
| Madrid Erhard (D) | Undecided | |||||
| Research & Polling Inc | October 23–25, 2012 | 113 | ± 9.2% | **56%** | 38% | 6% |
| Research & Polling Inc | October 9–11, 2012 | 116 | ± 9.1% | **55%** | 31% | 15% |
| Research & Polling Inc | September 3–6, 2012 | 119 | ± 9.0% | **56%** | 30% | 14% |
Results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
District 3
Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján was first elected in 2008. In April 2011 Luján declined to enter the U.S. Senate race and instead chose to seek reelection to the House of Representatives.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ben Ray Luján, incumbent U.S. representative
Declined
- Sean Closson, artist and hotel worker
- Harry Montoya, Santa Fe County executive
Primary results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jefferson Byrd, rancher
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Newton, businessman
Primary results
General election
Polling
| Poll | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| source | Date(s) | |||||
| administered | Sample | |||||
| size | Margin of | |||||
| error | Ben Ray | |||||
| Luján (D) | Jefferson | |||||
| Byrd (R) | Undecided | |||||
| Research & Polling Inc | October 23–25, 2012 | 148 | ± 8.0% | **53%** | 35% | 12% |
| Research & Polling Inc | October 9–11, 2012 | 140 | ± 8.3% | **58%** | 34% | 8% |
| Research & Polling Inc | September 3–6, 2012 | 139 | ± 8.3% | **57%** | 31% | 12% |
Results
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 5, 2012 | |
| Rothenberg | November 2, 2012 | |
| Roll Call | November 4, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| *NY Times* | November 4, 2012 | |
| RCP | November 4, 2012 | |
| The Hill | November 4, 2012 |
References
References
- Blake, Aaron. (April 2, 2011). "Heinrich to run for Senate in New Mexico". [[The Washington Post]].
- (June 6, 2012). "Lujan Grisham wins hotly contested CD-1 primary". [[KOAT-TV]].
- Trygstad, Kyle. (June 29, 2011). "Ex-Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez Running in 1st District". [[Roll Call]].
- Miller, Sean J.. (May 2, 2011). "Field grows in race for Heinrich's NM House seat". [[The Hill (newspaper).
- Reichbach, Matthew. (April 13, 2011). "Balderas won't seek Heinrich's seat". [[American Independent News Network.
- Haussamen, Heath. (June 29, 2011). "Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't". NMPolitics.net.
- Haussamen, Heath. (April 19, 2011). "Keller won't run for Congress". NMPolitics.net.
- (June 8, 2011). "No Moe in US House race". Capitol Report New Mexico.
- Flores, Danielle. (July 16, 2011). "Second Republican enters Congressional race". [[KOB]].
- Reichbach, Matthew. (March 20, 2012). "Dan Lewis drops out of congressional race". New Mexico Telegram.
- Haussamen, Heath. (April 4, 2011). "Lewis formally enters congressional race". NMPolitics.net.
- Trygstad, Kyle. (November 3, 2011). "Sierra Club Backs Eric Griego in New Mexico Primary". [[Roll Call]].
- Reichbach, Matthew. (April 16, 2012). "CD1: District court judge takes Smith off GOP primary ballot". New Mexico Telegram.
- Haussamen, Heath. (January 21, 2012). "Barela won't run for CD1 seat". NMPolitics.net.
- "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC.
- "Help Our Candidates Win!".
- "Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates". Maggie's List.
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130507094928/http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/10/30/news/lujn-leads-in-race-for-house.html Research & Polling Inc]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130507083910/http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/10/16/news/pearce-has-wide-lead-over-democrat.html Research & Polling Inc]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140109214828/http://www.michellelujangrisham.com/files/NMCD1-General-Election-Poll-Results.pdf Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130514150123/http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/09/10/news/journal-poll.html Research & Polling Inc]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140104131838/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gqr-d-lujan-grisham-15743 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)]
- (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
- (November 2, 2012). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com.
- [http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball], {{As of. 2012. 11. 05
- [http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings], ''The New York Times'', {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html], {{As of. 2012. 11. 04
- (November 3, 2012). "House Ratings". The Hill.
- "Statewide Results". New Mexico Secretary of State.
- (April 17, 2012). "Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K". [[Las Cruces Sun-News]]}}{{Dead link.
- (December 1, 2011). "Mesilla Democrat Seeks 2nd Congressional District Seat". [[Albuquerque Journal]].
- Reichbach, Matthew. (March 10, 2012). "Heinrich, Griego win pre-primaries, Balderas with a strong showing". New Mexico Telegram.
- (October 7, 2011). "Sunland Park mayor won't run for Congress". [[Associated Press]].
- (November 5, 2011). "Democratic longshot takes on Steve Pearce". Capitol Report New Mexico.
- Haussamen, Heath. (June 29, 2011). "Congressional run isn't likely, Cote says". NMPolitics.net.
- Haussamen, Heath. (May 5, 2011). "Sunland Park mayor running for Congress; Cote might too". NMPolitics.net.
- (January 7, 2011). "Harry Teague: I won't run again". [[KRQE]].
- Catanese, David. (April 25, 2011). "Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate". [[Politico (newspaper).
- Terrell, Steve. (November 18, 2011). "Artist, hotel worker takes on Luján in Democratic primary". [[The Santa Fe New Mexican]].
- Haussamen, Heath. (January 20, 2012). "Montoya to challenge Luján in CD3 Dem primary". NMPolitics.net.
- Simonich, Milan. (May 11, 2012). "Congressional candidate urges 2,000-mile barricade along US southern border". [[Carlsbad Current-Argus]].
- Terrell, Steve. (October 31, 2011). "Security-tech entrepreneur seeks to challenge Rep. Luján". [[The Santa Fe New Mexican]].
- [http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_state/NM_US_House_0605.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS AP results]
- (November 5, 2012). "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com.
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