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2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election

none

Field	Value
election_name	2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election
country	New Mexico
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2006 New Mexico gubernatorial election
previous_year	2006
next_election	2014 New Mexico gubernatorial election
next_year	2014
election_date	November 2, 2010
image1	File:Governor NewMexico.jpg
image_size	x150px
nominee1	Susana Martinez
running_mate1	John Sanchez
party1	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1	321,219
percentage1	53.29%
image2	File:Diane Denish.jpg
nominee2	Diane Denish
running_mate2	Brian Colón
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2	280,614
percentage2	46.55%
map_image
map_size	215px
map_caption	Martínez:

title	Governor
before_election	Bill Richardson
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Susana Martínez
after_party	Republican Party (United States)

Denish:
Tie:
The 2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Democratic Governor Bill Richardson was term limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

On June 1, 2010, the Republicans nominated Susana Martínez, the district attorney for Doña Ana County, New Mexico, and the Democrats nominated Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish.

While it was initially thought that Richardson would resign early to become Secretary of Commerce in the Obama administration, Richardson withdrew from the position due to allegations of corruption that were later cleared and he remained governor until the conclusion of his term.

Susana Martínez won the election on November 2, 2010, and became New Mexico's first elected female governor, as well as the first Latina governor of any state.

Primary election

Democratic party

The Democratic primary election was held on June 1, 2010.

Candidates

Diane Denish, lieutenant governor

Declined

Val Kilmer, actor, activist

Results

Republican party

The Republican primary was held on June 1, 2010.

Candidates

Declared

Janice Arnold-Jones, state representative
Pete Domenici Jr., attorney and son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici
Susana Martínez, Doña Ana County district attorney
Doug Turner, former campaign manager for former Governor of New Mexico Gary Johnson
Allen Weh, former chairman of the Republican Party of New Mexico

Declined

Steve Pearce, former U.S. representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 (ran for Congress)
Heather Wilson, former U.S. representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
Gregory Zanetti, former Bernalillo County Republican Party chair and New Mexico National Guard brigadier general

Convention

A pre-primary nominating convention was held on March 13, 2010. Susana Martinez was victorious, winning the support of 46.65 percent of delegates, while Allen Weh received 26.32%, Janice Arnold-Jones received 13.16%, Doug Turner won 9.43%, and Pete Domenici Jr. won 4.61%. Candidates who receive less than 20% of the convention vote are required to collect twice as many signatures as those who received 20% in order to appear on the primary ballot. Nonetheless, Arnold-Jones, Turner and Domenici all signaled their intention to remain in the race.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Janice Arnold-Jones	Pete Domenici Jr.	Susana Martínez	Doug Turner	Allen Weh	Undecided
SurveyUSA	May 23–25, 2010	—	—	3%	8%	43%	8%	33%	5%
New Mexico State University	February 9–13, 2010	—	—	2.5%	29.3%	11.5%	6.8%	7.4%	42.6%

Results

Results by county:

| | | |{{legend|#ffccd0| |{{legend|#ffccaa| | ]]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report		October 14, 2010
Rothenberg		October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics		November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball		October 28, 2010
CQ Politics		October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Diane
Denish (D)	Susana
Martínez (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	October 24, 2010	—	—	42%	52%	—	—
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210906093946/http://www.kob.com/article/stories/s1793653.shtml?cat=500	date=September 6, 2021 }}	October 15, 2010	—	—	42%	54%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	October 10, 2010	—	—	43%	52%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	September 29, 2010	—	—	41%	51%	—	—
Albuquerque Journal	September 27–30, 2010	—	—	41%	47%	—	—
Public Policy Polling	September 25–26, 2010	—	—	42%	50%	—	—
Public Opinion Strategies	September 11–13, 2010	—	—	40%	50%	—	—
Albuquerque Journal	August 23–27, 2010	—	—	39%	45%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	August 24, 2010	—	—	43%	48%	—	—
Magellan Strategies	June 21, 2010	—	—	43%	44%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	June 3, 2010	—	—	42%	44%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	May 25, 2010	—	—	43%	42%	—	—
SurveyUSA	May 23–25, 2010	—	—	43%	49%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	March 24, 2010	—	—	51%	32%	—	—
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2010	—	—	46%	32%	—	—

With Arnold-Jones

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Diane
Denish (D)	Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	May 25, 2010	—	—	45%	31%	—	—
SurveyUSA	May 23–25, 2010	—	—	49%	35%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	March 24, 2010	—	—	52%	30%	—	—
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2010	—	—	47%	33%	—	—

With Domenici Jr.

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Diane
Denish (D)	Pete
Domenici Jr. (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	May 25, 2010	—	—	47%	30%	—	—
SurveyUSA	May 23–25, 2010	—	—	46%	40%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	March 24, 2010	—	—	52%	35%	—	—
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2010	—	—	45%	40%	—	—

With Turner

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Diane
Denish (D)	Doug
Turner (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	May 25, 2010	—	—	47%	31%	—	—
SurveyUSA	May 23–25, 2010	—	—	50%	36%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	March 24, 2010	—	—	43%	34%	—	—
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2010	—	—	46%	32%	—	—

With Weh

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Diane
Denish (D)	Allen
Weh (R)	Other	Undecided
Rasmussen Reports	May 25, 2010	—	—	45%	39%	—	—
SurveyUSA	May 23–25, 2010	—	—	47%	42%	—	—
Rasmussen Reports	March 24, 2010	—	—	45%	35%	—	—
Public Policy Polling	February 18–20, 2010	—	—	48%	30%	—	—

Results

By county

Martinez was the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to carry Guadalupe County since Edwin L. Mechem in 1958.

County	Susana Martinez
Republican	Diane Denish
Democratic	Kenneth A. Gomez
Write-in	Margin	Total votes cast	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total	321,219	53.29%	280,614	46.55%	994	0.16%	40,605	6.74%	602,827
	Bernalillo		102,711		50.79%		99,278		49.10%		218		0.11%		3,433		1.70%		202,207
	Catron		1,472		77.60%		420		22.14%		5		0.26%		1,052		55.46%		1,897
	Chaves		11,279		70.32%		4,715		29.40%		46		0.29%		6,564		40.92%		16,040
	Cibola		3,176		48.52%		3,340		51.02%		30		0.46%		-164		-2.51%		6,546
	Colfax		2,916		60.21%		1,913		39.50%		14		0.29%		1,003		20.71%		4,843
	Curry		7,234		72.50%		2,700		27.06%		44		0.44%		4,534		45.44%		9,978
	De Baca		619		68.93%		276		30.73%		3		0.33%		343		38.20%		898
	Doña Ana		24,628		51.40%		23,190		48.40%		94		0.20%		1,438		3.00%		47,912
	Eddy		10,144		69.22%		4,498		30.69%		12		0.08%		5,646		38.53%		14,654
	Grant		5,165		48.76%		5,406		51.03%		22		0.21%		-241		-2.28%		10,593
	Guadalupe		1,100		57.05%		828		42.95%		0		0.00%		272		14.11%		1,928
	Harding		337		62.29%		204		37.71%		0		0.00%		133		24.58%		541
	Hidalgo		1,014		58.18%		728		41.77%		1		0.06%		286		16.41%		1,743
	Lea		9,661		74.18%		3,341		25.65%		21		0.16%		6,320		48.53%		13,023
	Lincoln		5,544		73.50%		1,990		26.38%		9		0.12%		3,554		47.12%		7,543
	Los Alamos		4,729		54.28%		3,972		45.59%		11		0.13%		757		8.69%		8,712
	Luna		3,588		58.73%		2,498		40.89%		23		0.38%		1,090		17.84%		6,109
	McKinley		5,850		34.69%		10,965		65.02%		50		0.30%		-5,115		-30.33%		16,865
	Mora		1,220		46.39%		1,410		53.61%		0		0.00%		-190		-7.22%		2,630
	Otero		11,085		69.70%		4,792		30.13%		27		0.17%		6,293		39.57%		15,904
	Quay		1,955		65.10%		1,036		34.50%		12		0.40%		919		30.60%		3,003
	Rio Arriba		4,818		40.47%		7,066		59.35%		22		0.18%		-2,248		-18.88%		11,906
	Roosevelt		3,162		71.59%		1,244		28.16%		11		0.25%		1,918		43.42%		4,417
	San Juan		24,857		69.59%		10,777		30.17%		86		0.24%		14,080		39.42%		35,720
	San Miguel		3,508		38.31%		5,641		61.60%		8		0.09%		-2,133		-23.29%		9,157
	Sandoval		24,097		56.50%		18,478		43.33%		72		0.17%		5,619		13.18%		42,647
	Santa Fe		17,441		32.61%		35,963		67.24%		82		0.15%		-18,522		-34.63%		53,486
	Sierra		2,887		65.78%		1,495		34.06%		7		0.16%		1,392		31.72%		4,389
	Socorro		3,317		52.93%		2,942		46.94%		8		0.13%		375		5.98%		6,267
	Taos		3,495		29.35%		8,415		70.65%		0		0.00%		-4,920		-41.31%		11,910
	Torrance		3,788		67.35%		1,827		32.49%		9		0.16%		1,961		34.87%		5,624
	Union		1,071		72.71%		400		27.16%		2		0.14%		671		45.55%		1,473
	Valencia		13,351		59.97%		8,866		39.83%		45		0.20%		4,485		20.15%		22,262

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Bernalillo (largest city: Albuquerque)
Chaves (largest village: Roswell)
Colfax (largest city: Raton)
Curry (largest village: Clovis)
De Baca (largest city: Fort Sumner)
Doña Ana (largest city: Las Cruces)
Eddy (largest city: Carlsbad)
Guadalupe (largest city: Santa Rosa)
Harding (largest city: Roy)
Hidalgo (largest city: Lordsburg)
Lea (largest city: Hobbs)
Lincoln (largest city: Roidoso)
Los Alamos (largest city: Los Alamos)
Luna (largest city: Deming)
Otero (largest city: Alamogordo)
Quay (largest city: Tucumcari)
Roosevelt (largest city: Portales)
San Juan (largest city: Farmington)
Sandoval (largest city: Rancho)
Sierra (largest city: Truth or Consequences)
Socorro (largest city: Socorro)
Torrance (largest city: Moriarty)
Union (largest city: Clayton)
Valencia (largest village: Los Lunas)

References

(January 6, 2009). "Richardson withdrawal leaves cabinet gap". [[NBC News]].
Rudin, Ken. (January 25, 2010). "Your 2010 Election Calendar". [[National Public Radio]].
Jennings, Trip. (November 5, 2009). "Denish, running for governor, steps into budgetary fray". [[Center for Independent Media.
"Kilmer pursues role of governor".
"Kilmer says "probably not" running for governor - - POLITICO.com".
"Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010". New Mexico Secretary of State.
Haussamen, Heath. (March 13, 2010). "Martinez takes impressive 47 percent of votes at GOP convention". [[Center for Independent Media.
(August 1, 2009). "New Mexico Gov Field at Two With More Likely". [[Congressional Quarterly.
(January 16, 2010). "Pete Domenici Jr. to run for governor". [[KRQE]].
(February 9, 2010). "Susana Martinez officially declares candidacy for NM governor". [[Las Cruces Sun-News]].
(July 6, 2009). "Pearce Switches Races". [[Political Wire]].
(October 29, 2009). "Wilson: I won't run for governor". [[KRQE]].
Ornelas, Chris. (July 17, 2009). "GOP gubernatorial candidate drops out". [[KOB]].
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b843684b-4dff-4d4b-91c0-c096addfce84 SurveyUSA]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110929084538/http://extras.mnginteractive.com/live/media/site557/2010/0220/20100220_125258_10_02-18.R.Poll.results.pdf New Mexico State University]
"2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
"Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
"2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
"Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_mexico/election_2010_new_mexico_governor Rasmussen Reports]
link. (September 6, 2021)
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_mexico/new_mexico_governor_martinez_r_extends_lead_over_denish_d Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.abqjournal.com/cgi-bin/decision.pl?attempted=www.abqjournal.com/elex/2010generalelection/2010governorrace/0372212010governorrace10-03-10.html Albuquerque Journal]
[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/9/29/906109/-NM-Gov:-Dem-Denish-trailing Public Policy Polling]
[http://nmpolitics.net/Documents/PollMartinezPlus10.pdf Public Opinion Strategies]
[http://www.abqjournal.com/news/state/2923647state08-29-10.htm Albuquerque Journal]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_mexico/toplines/toplines_new_mexico_governor_august_24_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Magellan-New-Mexico-Governor-Survey-Release-062310.pdf Magellan Strategies]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_mexico/toplines/toplines_new_mexico_governor_june_3_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/new_mexico/election_2010_new_mexico_governor Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_224.pdf Public Policy Polling]
"Canvass of Returns of General Election Held on November 2, 2010". New Mexico Secretary of State.

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