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2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas

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2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas

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FieldValue
election_name2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas
countryArkansas
flag_year1924
typepresidential
ongoingYes
previous_election2004 United States Senate election in Arkansas
previous_year2004
next_election2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image_size150x150px
image1John Boozman 109th pictorial.jpg
nominee1**John Boozman**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**451,617**
percentage1**57.90%**
image2Blanche Lincoln, 2007 (cropped).jpg
nominee2Blanche Lincoln
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2288,156
percentage236.95%
map_image{{switcher
default1
map_size200px
map_caption**Boozman:**
**Lincoln:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionBlanche Lincoln
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionJohn Boozman
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
turnout47.61%

|[[File:2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas results map by county.svg|210px]] |County results |[[File:2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas results map by congressional District.svg|210px]] |Congressional district results Lincoln:
The 2010 United States Senate election in Arkansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

This was one of the three Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that John McCain won in the 2008 presidential election along with North Dakota and West Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln ran for re-election to a third term, facing a strong primary challenge from Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter and prevailing only in a runoff. Lincoln then lost the general election to U.S. Representative John Boozman, the younger brother of Fay Boozman, whom Lincoln defeated in 1998. Boozman became the first Republican since Reconstruction in 1872 to win this seat. Lincoln's 21% margin of defeat was the largest for a sitting senator since the 1978 United States Senate election in Maine. With Democratic Governor Mike Beebe concurrently winning re-election, this is the last time that Arkansas simultaneously voted for gubernatorial and U.S. Senate candidates of different political parties.

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on May 18, 2010, with early voting from May 3 to 17. Lincoln was challenged by Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, who ran as a more liberal alternative. As no candidate received 50 percent of the vote, a runoff election was held on June 8, with early voting from June 1 to 7. Lincoln managed to narrowly defeat Halter in the runoff.

MoveOn.org supported Halter, criticizing Lincoln for her stance on issues such as health care and environmental regulations. Labor unions also backed Halter, and pledged to spend more than $3 million on his campaign.

Candidates

Nominee

  • Blanche Lincoln, incumbent U.S. Senator

Eliminated in runoff

  • Bill Halter, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas

Eliminated in primary

  • D.C. Morrison, businessman

Withdrew Before Primary

  • Drew Pritt, activist and 2006 candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBlanche
LincolnBill
HalterD.C.
MorrisonOtherUndecided
Research 2000May 10–12, 2010600± 5%**46%**37%6%—11%
Research 2000April 26–28, 2010600± 5%**43%**35%—7% (Drew Pritt)15%
Talk BusinessApril 13, 20101,167± 3%**38%**31%10%—20%
Research 2000March 22–24, 2010600± 4%**44%**31%——25%
Research 2000November 30 – December 2, 2009600± 4%**42%**26%——32%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

Runoff

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBlanche
LincolnBill
HalterUndecided
Research 2000June 2–4, 2010600± 4%45%**49%**6%
Research 2000May 24–26, 2010600± 4%44%**47%**9%

Results

Runoff results by county:

| | | | | | ]]

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on May 18, 2010, with early voting from May 3–17.

Candidates

Nominee

  • John Boozman, optometrist and U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district

Eliminated in primary

  • Randy Alexander, University of Arkansas Housing Director and vice chair of the Washington County Tea Party
  • Gilbert Baker, state senator
  • Curtis Coleman, businessman
  • Kim Hendren, minority leader of the Arkansas Senate
  • Jim Holt, former state senator, nominee for this U.S. Senate seat in 2004, and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas in 2006
  • Fred Ramey, real estate investment company owner
  • Conrad Reynolds, retired U.S. Army colonel

Straw poll

In December 2009, a straw poll was held for the current Republican candidates for U.S. Senate. The results were as follows:

  1. Gilbert Baker – 35%
  2. Curtis Coleman – 33%
  3. Conrad Reynolds – 23%
  4. Tom Cox – 4%
  5. Kim Hendren – 2%
  6. Fred Ramey – 2%
  7. Buddy Rogers – 1%

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRandy
AlexanderGilbert
BakerJohn
BoozmanCurtis
ColemanKim
HendrenJim
HoltFred
RameyConrad
ReynoldsOtherUndecided
Research 2000May 10–12, 2010–± 4%—12%**46%**—6%19%——4%13%
Talk BusinessApril 13, 20101,357± 3%3%14%**46%**5%3%8%1%3%—17%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | | | | | | | ]]

General election

Candidates

  • John Boozman, U.S. representative
  • Blanche Lincoln, incumbent senator
  • Trevor Drown (L), military veteran
  • John Gray (G), Mayor of Greenland

Campaign

Arkansas had previously only elected one Republican senator since the Reconstruction, Tim Hutchinson who was defeated after his first term in 2002 by Mark Pryor. Lincoln faced Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter and narrowly won the primary contest.

The political blog FiveThirtyEight ranked Lincoln the most vulnerable senator of this electoral cycle. RealClearPolitics claimed that in 2010 Lincoln had the potential for the lowest percentage of the vote for any incumbent since the nation first began directly electing senators. Boozman received 58% of the vote in the general election and defeated Lincoln (37%), Independent Trevor Drown (3%) and Green John Gray (2%).

Lincoln heavily criticized Boozman for supporting the FairTax and privatization of Social Security, as well as trying to tie her name, and beliefs to Bill Clinton She released an advertisement touting her support for earmarks.

Debates

No.DateLinkDemocraticRepublicanParticipant Absent Non-invitee InviteeBlanche LincolnJohn Boozman1
October 13, 2010c-spanc-span

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 9, 2010
Inside ElectionsOctober 8, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsOctober 9, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 9, 2010

Fundraising

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Blanche Lincoln (D)$9,508,007$8,431,989$1,886,132$0
John Boozman (R)$1,452,241$968,318$483,923$11,905
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBlanche
Lincoln (D)John
Boozman (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 28, 2010500± 4.5%36%**55%**5%4%
CNN/Time/Opinion ResearchOctober 15–19, 20101,505± 2.5%41%**55%**——
Mason-DixonOctober 15–19, 2010625± 4%34%**55%**6%5%
Talk BusinessOctober 14, 20101,953± 2.2%36%**49%**8%7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 30, 2010500± 4.5%37%**55%**3%5%
Reuters/IpsosSeptember 17–19, 2010600± 4%39%**53%**1%7%
Mason-DixonSeptember 12–14, 2010625± 4%34%**51%**4%11%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 18, 2010500± 4.5%27%**65%**4%3%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 20, 2010500± 4.5%35%**60%**2%3%
Reuters/IpsosJuly 16–18, 2010600± 4%35%**54%**1%10%
Talk BusinessJuly 17, 2010793± 3.7%32%**57%**5%6%
Magellan StrategiesJuly 12, 2010879± 3.3%29%**60%**4%6%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 15, 2010500± 4.5%32%**61%**4%3%
Research 2000May 24–26, 2010600± 4%38%**58%**—4%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 19, 2010500± 4.5%28%**66%**2%4%
Research 2000May 10–12, 2010—± 4%40%**54%**——
Research 2000April 26–28, 2010600± 5%42%**52%**——
Rasmussen ReportsApril 26, 2010500± 4.5%30%**57%**9%5%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 30, 2010500± 4.5%36%**51%**6%7%
Research 2000March 22–24, 2010600± 4%42%**49%**—9%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 1, 2010500± 4.5%39%**48%**6%7%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 1, 2010500± 4.5%35%**54%**4%7%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 29–31, 2010810± 3.4%33%**56%**—11%
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBlanche
Lincoln (D)Gilbert
Baker (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling ([report](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AR_325.pdf))March 20–22, 2009600± 4%**48%**37%—16%
Public Policy Polling ([report](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AR_826424.pdf))August 21–24, 2009784± 3.5%40%**42%**—18%
Research 2000 ([report](https://web.archive.org/web/20090923034259/http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/9/10/AR/371))September 8–10, 2009600± 4%**44%**37%—19%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_september_28_2009))September 28, 2009500± 4.5%39%**47%**5%8%
Zogby ([report](https://web.archive.org/web/20100202022455/http://www.zogby.com/news/wf-Arkansas.pdf))November 16–17, 2009501± 4.5%**41%**39%2%18%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/2010_arkansas_senate_lincoln_runs_behind_four_gop_challengers))December 1, 2009500± 4.5%41%**47%**6%7%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/12/3/810421/-AR-Sen:-Primary-bound-))November 30 – December 2, 2009—± 4%**42%**41%——
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_january_5_2010))January 5, 2010500± 4.5%39%**51%**3%7%
Public Policy Polling ([report](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AR_202424.pdf))January 29–31, 2010810± 3.4%35%**50%**—15%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))February 1, 2010500± 4.5%33%**52%**6%8%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%40%**45%**6%8%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%41%**49%**—10%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%36%**51%**6%7%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%31%**53%**12%4%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%40%**47%**——
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%39%**45%**——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBlanche
Lincoln (D)Kim
Hendren (R)OtherUndecided
Research 2000 ([report](https://web.archive.org/web/20090923034259/http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/9/10/AR/371))September 8–10, 2009600± 4%**47%**28%—25%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_september_28_2009))September 28, 2009500± 4.5%41%**44%**5%10%
Zogby ([report](https://web.archive.org/web/20100202022455/http://www.zogby.com/news/wf-Arkansas.pdf))November 16–17, 2009501± 4.5%**45%**29%2%24%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/2010_arkansas_senate_lincoln_runs_behind_four_gop_challengers))December 1, 2009500± 4.5%39%**46%**6%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/12/3/810421/-AR-Sen:-Primary-bound-))November 30 – December 2, 2009—± 4%**46%**30%——
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_january_5_2010))January 5, 2010500± 4.5%39%**47%**4%10%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))February 1, 2010500± 4.5%35%**51%**7%7%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%38%**43%**7%12%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%43%**48%**—9%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%35%**51%**5%8%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%30%**51%**11%8%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%40%**50%**——
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%40%**46%**——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBlanche
Lincoln (D)Curtis
Coleman (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling ([report](http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AR_826424.pdf))August 21–24, 2009784± 3.5%40%**41%**—19%
Research 2000 ([report](https://web.archive.org/web/20090923034259/http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/9/10/AR/371))September 8–10, 2009600± 4%**45%**37%—18%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_september_28_2009))September 28, 2009500± 4.5%41%**43%**5%11%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/2010_arkansas_senate_lincoln_runs_behind_four_gop_challengers))December 1, 2009500± 4.5%40%**44%**7%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/12/3/810421/-AR-Sen:-Primary-bound-))November 30 – December 2, 2009—± 4%**44%**39%——
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_january_5_2010))January 5, 2010500± 4.5%38%**48%**4%9%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))February 1, 2010500± 4.5%34%**50%**7%9%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%41%**43%**7%10%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%44%**47%**—9%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%36%**48%**7%8%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%32%**52%**8%7%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%42%**46%**——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBlanche
Lincoln (D)Jim
Holt (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%38%**45%**6%10%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%35%**51%**7%7%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%31%**54%**6%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%41%**44%**——

with Bill Halter

Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBill
Halter (D)John
Boozman (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%33%**52%**6%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%40%**48%**—12%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%34%**48%**8%11%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%31%**56%**7%7%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%42%**47%**——
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%41%**50%**——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBill
Halter (D)Gilbert
Baker (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%37%**44%**5%13%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%44%**46%**—10%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%36%**44%**7%12%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%33%**48%**10%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%43%**44%**——
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%**42%****42%**——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBill
Halter (D)Kim
Hendren (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%35%**42%**7%15%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%44%**45%**—11%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%34%**42%**10%13%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%33%**45%**15%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%43%**45%**——
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%**42%****42%**——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBill
Halter (D)Curtis
Coleman (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%35%**38%**9%18%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/24/AR/465))March 22–24, 2010600± 4%**45%**44%—11%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%37%**40%**10%13%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%37%**43%**11%9%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/4/29/861915/-AR-Sen:-Bill-Halter-is-within-single-digits-of-Blanche-Lincoln))April 26–28, 2010600± 5%**43%**41%——
Poll SourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBill
Halter (D)Jim
Holt (R)OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 1, 2010500± 4.5%38%**42%**8%12%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))March 30, 2010500± 4.5%34%**43%**9%13%
Rasmussen Reports ([report](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/election_2010_arkansas_senate))April 26, 2010500± 4.5%31%**49%**12%8%
Research 2000 ([report](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/13/12462/7480))May 10–12, 2010—± 4%42%**43%**——

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Bradley (Largest city: Warren)
  • Calhoun (Largest city: Hampton)
  • Cleveland (Largest city: Rison)
  • Columbia (Largest city: Magnolia)
  • Conway (Largest city: Morrilton)
  • Faulkner (Largest city: Conway)
  • Franklin (Largest city: Ozark)
  • Fulton (Largest city: Salem)
  • Garland (Largest city: Hot Springs)
  • Grant (Largest city: Sheridan)
  • Howard (Largest city: Nashville)
  • Independence (Largest city: Batesville)
  • Johnson (Largest city: Clarksville)
  • Logan (Largest city: Booneville)
  • Miller (Largest city: Texarkana)
  • Perry (Largest city: Perryville)
  • Prairie (Largest city: Des Arc)
  • Sevier (Largest city: De Queen)
  • Sharp (Largest city: Cherokee Village)
  • Union (Largest city: El Dorado)
  • Van Buren (Largest city: Clinton)
  • Washington (Largest city: Fayetteville)
  • Yell (Largest city: Dardanelle)
  • Ashley (Largest city: Crossett)
  • Craighead (Largest city: Jonesboro)
  • Cross (Largest city: Wynne)
  • Dallas (Largest city: Fordyce)
  • Drew (Largest city: Monticello)
  • Greene (Largest city: Paragould)
  • Hot Spring (Largest city: Malvern)
  • Izard (Largest city: Horseshoe Bend)
  • Lafayette (Largest city: Stamps)
  • Nevada (Largest city: Prescott)
  • Ouachita (Largest city: Camden)
  • Bradley (largest city: Warren)
  • Clay (largest city: Piggott)
  • Hempstead (largest city: Hope)
  • Little River (largest city: Ashdown)
  • Poinsett (largest city: Harrisburg)

References

References

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