2007 Valencian regional election

Overview

Under the 1982 Statute of Autonomy, the Corts Valencianes were the unicameral legislature of the Valencian Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.

Electoral system

Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Spaniards abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote ().

The Corts Valencianes were entitled to a minimum of 99 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied regionally.

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency was entitled the following seats:

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes.

Election date

The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. Amendments in 2006 would allow the term of the Corts to expire after an early dissolution, but these were to take effect after the 2007 election. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 27 May 2007.

The Corts could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament, except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, after which they were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.

The Corts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 3 April 2007 with the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOGV, setting election day for 27 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 14 June.

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. Amendments to the electoral law in 2007 introduced requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes (45 until 11 April 2006).

;Color key:

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Valencian Government.

Results

Overall

Distribution by constituency

Aftermath

Government formation

Notes

References

;Opinion poll sources

;Other

Bibliography

References

1. {{harvp. Statute. 1982 (2006)
2. {{harvp. LECV. 1987
3. {{harvp. LOREG. 1985
4. {{harvp. LOREG. 1985
5. Reig Pellicer, Naiara. (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote".
6. {{harvp. Statute. 1982 (2006)
7. {{harvp. LECV. 1987
8. (3 April 2007). "Decreto 4/2007, de 2 de abril, del president de la Generalitat, de disolución de Les Corts y convocatoria de elecciones a las mismas".
9. {{harvp. LECV. 1987
10. {{harvp. LOREG. 1985
11. {{harvp. Statute. 1982 (2002)
12. {{harvp. LOREG. 1985
13. {{harvp. Statute. 1982 (2006)
14. {{harvp. Statute. 1982 (2006)
15. Lozano, Carles. "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (des de 1983)".
16. (12 November 2005). "Un diputado autonómico del PP por Castellón se fuga con el escaño a un partido 'ultra'". El País.
17. {{harvp. LECV. 1987
18. {{harvp. LOREG. 1985
19. {{harvp. LOREG. 1985
20. (28 April 2004). "Francisco Camps sustituye a Zaplana en la presidencia del PP valenciano". El Mundo.
21. (20 November 2004). "Francisco Camps, reelegido presidente de los populares valencianos con el 78% de los votos". La Voz de Galicia.
22. (23 May 2006). "El PPCV propone a Camps como candidato a la presidencia de la Generalitat en las elecciones autonómicas de 2007". Europa Press.
23. (26 July 2004). "Pla presenta una dirección a su medida de cara al 2007 y con escasas concesiones". El País.
24. (19 April 2006). "Pla será proclamado candidato a la Generalitat el próximo 20 de mayo". El País.
25. (4 June 2006). "Joan Ignasi Pla fue aclamado como candidato socialista a la presidencia de la Generalitat". El País.
26. García del Moral, Juanjo. (6 November 2006). "Glòria Marcos repite al frente de EU y anuncia nuevos contactos para el pacto". El País.
27. Bono, Ferran. (14 January 2007). "El 77% de los militantes de EU aprueba el pacto con el Bloc para desbancar al PP". El País.
28. Vázquez, Cristina. (27 January 2007). "EU y Bloc firman su coalición por el cambio". El País.
29. "Elecciones Cortes Valencianas 2007".
30. (14 June 2007). "Resolución de 10 de junio de 2007, de la Junta Electoral de la Comunitat Valenciana, por la que se publican los resultados finales y la relación de diputados y diputadas electos en las elecciones a las Corts Valencianes celebradas el día 27 de mayo de 2007". [[Diari Oficial de la Comunitat Valenciana.
31. "Resultados electorales. Datos electorales - Elecciones autonómicas: 2007". [[Corts Valencianes]].