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2016 Scottish Parliament election

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2016 Scottish Parliament election

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FieldValue
election_name2016 Scottish Parliament election
countryScotland
typeparliamentary
ongoingno
previous_election2011 Scottish Parliament election
previous_year2011
outgoing_members4th Scottish Parliament
elected_members5th Scottish Parliament
next_election2021 Scottish Parliament election
next_year2021
seats_for_electionAll 129 seats to the Scottish Parliament
majority_seats65
opinion_pollsOpinion polling in the 2016 Scottish Parliament election
election_date
3blankRegional vote
4blank% and swing
1blankConstituency vote
2blank% and swing
registered4,099,907
turnoutConstituency – 55.8% 5.3 pp
Regional – 55.8% 5.3pp
image1
leader1Nicola Sturgeon
leader_since1[14 November 2014](2014-scottish-national-party-leadership-election)
party1Scottish National Party
leaders_seat1Glasgow Southside
last_election169 seats
seats_before164
seats1**63**
seat_change16
3data1**953,587**
4data1**41.7%** 2.3%
1data1**1,059,898**
2data1**46.5%** 1.1%
image2
leader2Ruth Davidson
party2Scottish Conservatives
leaders_seat2Edinburgh Central
leader_since2[4 November 2011](2011-scottish-conservative-party-leadership-election)
last_election215 seats
seats_before215
seats231
seat_change216
3data2524,222
4data222.9% 10.6%
1data2501,844
2data222.0% 8.1%
image3
leader3Kezia Dugdale
party3Scottish Labour
leaders_seat3Lothian
leader_since3[15 August 2015](2015-scottish-labour-party-leadership-election)
last_election337 seats
seats_before338
seats324
seat_change313
3data3435,919
4data319.1% 7.2%
1data3514,261
2data322.6% 9.2%
image4
leader4Patrick Harvie /
Maggie Chapman
party4Scottish Greens
leaders_seat4Glasgow /
*Contested North
East Scotland *
last_election42 seats
leader_since422 November 2008 /
25 November 2013
seats_before42
seats46
seat_change44
3data4150,426
4data46.6% 2.2%
1data413,172
2data40.6% 0.6%
image5
leader5Willie Rennie
party5Scottish Liberal Democrats
leaders_seat5North East Fife
leader_since5[17 May 2011](2011-scottish-liberal-democrats-leadership-election)
last_election55 seats
seats_before55
seats55
seat_change5
3data5119,284
4data55.2%
1data5178,238
2data57.8% 0.1%
map_imageScottish Parliament election, 2016.svg
map_size450px
map_captionThe map shows the election results in single-member constituencies. The additional member MSPs in the 8 regions are shown around the map.
titleFirst Minister
posttitleFirst Minister after election
before_electionNicola Sturgeon
before_partyScottish National Party
after_electionNicola Sturgeon
after_partyScottish National Party

Regional – 55.8% 5.3pp Maggie Chapman *Contested North East Scotland * 25 November 2013 The 2016 Scottish parliament election was held on Thursday, 5 May 2016 to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the fifth election held since the devolved parliament was established in 1999. It was the first parliamentary election in Scotland in which 16 and 17 year olds were eligible to vote, under the provisions of the Scottish Elections (Reduction of Voting Age) Act (the voting age had previously been 16 in the 2014 Independence Referendum). It was also the first time the three largest parties were led by women.

Parliament went into dissolution on 24 March 2016, allowing the official period of campaigning to get underway. Five parties had MSPs in the previous parliament: Scottish National Party (SNP) led by First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, Scottish Labour led by Kezia Dugdale, Scottish Conservatives led by Ruth Davidson, Scottish Liberal Democrats led by Willie Rennie, Scottish Greens, led by their co-conveners Patrick Harvie and Maggie Chapman. Of those five parties, four changed their leader since the 2011 election.

During the campaign, a series of televised debates took place, including party leaders of the elected parties. BBC Scotland held the first leaders' debate on 24 March, STV broadcast the next on 29 March, and BBC Scotland hosted the final debate on 1 May.

The election resulted in a hung parliament with the Scottish National Party winning a third term in government, but falling two seats short of securing a second consecutive overall majority. The Conservatives saw a significant increase in support and replaced the Labour Party as the second-largest party and main opposition in the Scottish Parliament. This was the first time that Labour had finished in third place at a Scottish election in 98 years. The Scottish Greens won six seats on the regional list and overtook the Liberal Democrats, who remained on five seats.

Although the SNP had lost their majority, it was still by far the largest single party in the Scottish Parliament, with more than double the seats of the Conservatives. Accordingly, Sturgeon announced she would form a minority SNP government. She was voted in for a second term as First Minister on 17 May.

Date

Under the Scotland Act 1998, an ordinary election to the Scottish Parliament would normally have been held on the first Thursday in May four years after the 2011 election, i.e. in May 2015. In May 2010, the new UK Government stated in its coalition agreement that the next general election would also be held in May 2015. This proposal was criticised by the Scottish National Party and Labour, as it had been recommended after the 2007 election that elections with different voting systems should be held on separate days: a recommendation which all of the political parties had then accepted. In response to this criticism, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg offered the right to vary the date of the Scottish Parliament election by a year either way. All the main political parties then stated their support for delaying the election by a year. The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, a statute of the UK Parliament, moved the date of the Scottish Parliament election to 5 May 2016.

The date of the poll may be varied by up to one month either way by the monarch, on the proposal of the Presiding Officer.

If Parliament itself resolves that it should be dissolved, with at least two-thirds of the Members (i.e. 86 Members) voting in favour, the Presiding Officer proposes a date for an extraordinary election and the Parliament is dissolved by the monarch by royal proclamation.

It does not necessarily require a two-thirds majority to precipitate an extraordinary election, because under the Scotland Act Parliament is also dissolved if it fails to nominate one of its members to be First Minister within certain time limits, irrespective of whether at the beginning or in the middle of a parliamentary term. Therefore, if the First Minister resigned, Parliament would then have 28 days to elect a successor (s46(2)b and s46(3)a). If no new First Minister was elected then the Presiding Officer would ask for Parliament to be dissolved under s3(1)a. This process could also be triggered if the First Minister lost a vote of confidence by a simple majority (i.e. more than 50%), as they must then resign (Scotland Act 1998 s45(2)). To date the Parliament has never held a vote of no confidence in a First Minister.

No extraordinary elections have been held to date. Any extraordinary elections would be in addition to ordinary elections, unless held less than six months before the due date of an ordinary election, in which case they supplant it. The subsequent ordinary election reverts to the first Thursday in May, a multiple of four years after 1999.

It was envisaged that the election would still have taken place as scheduled if Scotland had voted in favour of independence in 2014.

Retiring MSPs

Constituency/RegionDeparting MSPPartyScottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Scottish Conservative Party}}"Presiding Officer of the Scottish Parliament}}"
Edinburgh CentralMarco BiagiScottish National Party
Cunninghame SouthMargaret Burgess
Caithness, Sutherland and RossRob Gibson
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleyAdam Ingram
Edinburgh EasternKenny MacAskill
Strathkelvin and BearsdenFiona McLeod
Aberdeenshire EastAlex Salmond
Skye, Lochaber and BadenochDave Thompson
North East ScotlandRichard BakerScottish Labour
Edinburgh Northern and LeithMalcolm Chisholm
Renfrewshire SouthHugh Henry
West ScotlandMargaret McDougall
Greenock and InverclydeDuncan McNeil
South ScotlandGraeme Pearson
Mid Scotland and FifeRichard Simpson
GlasgowDrew Smith
LothianGavin BrownScottish Conservatives
Cameron Buchanan
Galloway and West DumfriesAlex Fergusson
West ScotlandAnnabel Goldie
Highlands and IslandsJamie McGrigor
North East Scotlandurl=http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/1323016-conservative-msps-alex-fergusson-and-nanette-milne-to-stand-down/title=Conservative MSPs Alex Fergusson and Nanette Milne to stand downwork=STV Newsdate=16 June 2015access-date=8 November 2015archive-date=2 October 2015archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151002031752/http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/1323016-conservative-msps-alex-fergusson-and-nanette-milne-to-stand-down/url-status=live }}
Highlands and IslandsMary Scanlon
Mid Fife and GlenrothesTricia MarwickPresiding Officer

Deselected MSPs

Changes to the SNP's selection procedures the previous year in order to ensure gender balance of candidates meant that any incumbent constituency MSP who chose to retire would have their replacement selected from an all-woman shortlist. The only ways for a new male candidate to receive a constituency nomination would be to stand in a constituency currently held by an opposition MSP or to run a de-selection campaign against a sitting MSP. For that reason there were far more challenges than normal within the SNP, but only two were successful:

ConstituencySelected candidateDeselected MSPPartyRetained position on regional listScottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"
Angus North and MearnsMairi EvansNigel DonScottish National PartyYes (North East Scotland)
Edinburgh WesternToni GiuglianoColin KeirNo

Election system, seats, and regions

Main article: List of Scottish Parliament constituencies and electoral regions (2011–2026)

The total number of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament is 129.

The First Periodical Review of the Scottish Parliament's constituencies and regions by the Boundary Commission for Scotland, was announced on 3 July 2007. The Commission published its provisional proposals for the regional boundaries in 2009.

The Scottish Parliament uses an Additional Members System, designed to produce approximate proportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into smaller constituencies. There are a total of 73 constituencies. Each constituency elects one MSP by the plurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using an additional member system. A modified D'Hondt method, using the constituency results, is used to elect these additional MSPs.

The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous with Scottish Westminster constituencies since the 2005 general election, when the 72 former UK Parliament constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (see Scottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004). The boundaries used for the Scottish Parliament elections were then revised for the 2011 election. The Boundary Commission also recommended changes to the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament, which were also implemented in 2011.

Campaign

On 29 February 2016, BBC Scotland's Scotland 2016 current affairs programme held a debate focusing on education featuring the Education Minister Angela Constance and three party leaders: Kezia Dugdale, Ruth Davidson and Willie Rennie.

On 24 March 2016, BBC Scotland held a debate in Glasgow which was televised that featured Dugdale, Davidson, Rennie, Nicola Sturgeon, Patrick Harvie and David Coburn.

On 29 March 2016, STV hosted a televised leaders' debate, featuring the five leaders of the parties which held seats in the last Parliament.

From 5–26 April 2016, Scotland 2016 also held a series of weekly subject debates on Tuesday nights. The subjects were Tax, Health, Energy & Environment, and Housing. Of these, six parties (SNP, Labour, Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, the Scottish Greens and UKIP) were invited to the Tax debate.

Parties contesting the election

The official nomination period closed on 1 April 2016, lists of candidates were then published by local councils once the applications had been processed.

In March 2015, the Scottish Greens balloted their members to select candidates for their regional lists. The SNP released their regional candidate list in October 2015. The Conservative regional candidate list followed in December. In January 2016, RISE – Scotland's Left Alliance announced list candidates for all regions except the North East. Labour had announced a new selection process for regional candidates in November 2013, then revealed their full list of regional candidates in February 2016. UKIP's regional candidates were picked by their executive committee, prompting one prospective candidate to resign his party membership.

Contesting constituency and regional ballot

The SNP, the Scottish Labour, the Scottish Conservatives and the Scottish Liberal Democrats fielded candidates in all 73 constituencies.

  • Scottish National Party (SNP)
  • Scottish Labour
  • Scottish Conservatives
  • Scottish Liberal Democrats
  • Scottish Greens – contesting all regions and Coatbridge and Chryston, Edinburgh Central and Glasgow Kelvin constituencies.
  • Scottish Libertarian Party − contesting West of Scotland, Mid Scotland Fife, North East Scotland region only and Edinburgh Central constituency

Contesting regional ballot only

  • Clydesdale and South Scotland Independent – contesting South Scotland
  • Communist Party – contesting North East Scotland
  • National Front – contesting North East Scotland only
  • RISE – Respect, Independence, Socialism and Environmentalism – contesting all regions
  • Scottish Christian Party "Proclaiming Christ’s Lordship" – contesting Highlands and Islands and North East
  • Solidarity – Scotland's Socialist Movement – contesting all regions
  • UK Independence Party – contesting all regions
  • Women's Equality Party – contesting Lothian and Glasgow

Contesting constituency ballot only

  • Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition (TUSC): Glasgow Cathcart, Glasgow Pollok, Glasgow Shettleston, Renfrewshire North and West, Dundee City East and Dundee City West
  • Independent candidates

Opinion polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election

The chart shows the relative state of the parties since polling began from 2012, until the date of the election. The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Average 30 day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 29 January 2012 to 4 May 2016

Result

Election result with constituency names labeled
-
! rowspan=2 colspan=2
! colspan=5
! colspan=5
! colspan=5
-
! Votes !! % !! ± !! Seats !! ± !! Votes !! % !! ± !! Seats !! ± !! Total !! ± !! %
-
votes % = 46.5
AMS votes % = 41.7
Seats % = 48.8
votes % = 22.0
AMS votes % =22.9
Seats % = 24.0

|votes % = 22.6 |AMS votes % =19.1 |Seats % = 18.6 |votes % = 0.6 |AMS votes % =6.6 |Seats % = 4.7 |votes % = 7.8 |AMS votes % =5.2 |Seats % = 3.9 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 2.0 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.6 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = 0.1 |AMS votes % = 0.5 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.5 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.3 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.1 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = 0.0 |AMS votes % = 0.1 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.1 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = 0.0 |AMS votes % = 0.1 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.0 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = — |AMS votes % = 0.0 |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = 0.1 |AMS votes % = — |Seats % = 0.0 |votes % = 0.3 |AMS votes % = 0.2

Seats % = 0.0
-
-
!style="text-align:left"; colspan="2"
-
}

Votes summary

Central Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Monica Lennon Mark Griffin Elaine Smith Graham Simpson Alison Harris

Glasgow

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Johann Lamont James Kelly Pauline McNeill Annie Wells

Highlands and Islands

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Edward Mountain Donald Cameron David Stewart

Lothian

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Gordon Lindhurst Jeremy Balfour Neil Findlay Andy Wightman

Margo MacDonald had been elected on the Lothian regional list in 2011, as an Independent; she died in 2014.

Mid Scotland and Fife

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Liz Smith Alexander Stewart Dean Lockhart Alex Rowley

North East Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Ross Thomson Peter Chapman Liam Kerr Lewis MacDonald

South Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Emma Harper Paul Wheelhouse Brian Whittle Colin Smyth

West Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result

|- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |-

Neil Bibby Ken Macintosh Maurice Golden Maurice Corry

Target seats

Below are listed all the constituencies which required a swing of less than 5% from the 2011 result to change hands.

SNP targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2011Swing to gainSNP's place 2011Result
1East Lothian0.242ndScottish Labour Party}}"
2Greenock & Inverclyde0.91Scottish National Party}}"**SNP Gain**
3Edinburgh Northern & Leith0.97Scottish National Party}}"
4Motherwell & Wishaw1.21Scottish National Party}}"
5Uddingston & Bellshill1.43Scottish National Party}}"
6Galloway & West Dumfries1.44Scottish Conservative Party}}"Conservative Hold
7Ayr1.67Scottish Conservative Party}}"
8Glasgow Pollok1.36Scottish National Party}}"**SNP Gain**
9Cowdenbeath2.43Scottish National Party}}"
10Dumbarton2.87Scottish Labour Party}}"Labour Hold
11Glasgow Maryhill & Springburn3.15Scottish National Party}}"**SNP Gain**
12Rutherglen3.28Scottish National Party}}"
13Renfrewshire South4.81Scottish National Party}}"

Labour targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2011Swing to gainLabour's place 2011Result
1Glasgow Anniesland0.022ndScottish National Party}}"
2Kirkcaldy0.33Scottish National Party}}"
3Edinburgh Central0.41Scottish Conservative Party}}"**Conservative Gain**
4Paisley0.49Scottish National Party}}"SNP Hold
5Edinburgh Southern1.03Scottish Labour Party}}"**Labour Gain**
6Aberdeen Central1.23Scottish National Party}}"SNP Hold
7Clydebank & Milngavie1.26Scottish National Party}}"
8Glasgow Shettleston1.39Scottish National Party}}"
9Glasgow Kelvin1.80Scottish National Party}}"
10Strathkelvin & Bearsden2.67Scottish National Party}}"
11Renfrewshire North & West2.85Scottish National Party}}"
12Glasgow Cathcart3.04Scottish National Party}}"
13East Kilbride3.26Scottish National Party}}"
14Edinburgh Eastern3.64Scottish National Party}}"
15Airdrie and Shotts4.19Scottish National Party}}"
16Hamilton, Larkhall & Stonehouse4.37Scottish National Party}}"
17Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley4.50Scottish National Party}}"

Conservative targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2011Swing to gainCon place 2011Result
1Edinburgh Pentlands2.932ndScottish National Party}}"
2Eastwood3.162ndScottish Conservative Party}}"
3Dumfriesshire4.972ndScottish Conservative Party}}"

Liberal Democrat targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2011Swing to gainLD's place 2011Result
1Edinburgh Southern2.453rdScottish Labour Party}}"
2Edinburgh Western4.022ndScottish Liberal Democrats}}"
3North East Fife4.372ndScottish Liberal Democrats}}"

Incumbents defeated

Constituency/RegionMSPPartyMSP SinceOffice previously heldScottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish Labour Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish National Party}}"Scottish Liberal Democrats}}"Scottish Liberal Democrats}}"Scottish Green Party}}"RISE – Scotland's Left Alliance}}"
Uddingston and BellshillMichael McMahonLabour1999Shadow Minister for Community
Central ScotlandSiobhan McMahon2011Shadow Minister for Public Services and Wealth Creation
Margaret McCulloch2011
Motherwell, Wishaw and HamiltonJohn Pentland2011Shadow Minister for Opportunity
Glasgow Maryhill and SpringburnPatricia Ferguson1999
Glasgow ProvanPaul Martin1999
GlasgowHanzala Malik2011
Anne McTaggart2011Shadow Minister for Democracy
LothianSarah Boyack1999Spokesperson for Environmental Justice
DunfermlineCara Hilton2013Shadow Minister for Opportunity
Mid Scotland and FifeJayne Baxter2012Shadow Minister for Community
DumfriesshireElaine Murray1999Shadow Minister for Justice
North East ScotlandLesley Brennan2016
Highlands and IslandsMike MacKenzieScottish National Party2011
North East FifeRoderick Campbell2011
Edinburgh SouthernJim Eadie2011
Aberdeenshire WestDennis Robertson2011
Angus North and MearnsNigel Don2007Convener of the Scottish Parliament Delegated Powers and Law Reform Committee
North East ScotlandChristian Allard2013
South ScotlandAileen McLeod2011Minister for Environment, Climate Change and Land Reform
Chic Brodie2011
West ScotlandStewart Maxwell2003Convener of the Scottish Parliament Education and Culture Committee
North East ScotlandAlison McInnesLiberal Democrats2007
South ScotlandJim Hume2007
Central ScotlandJohn WilsonScottish Greens*2007
Highlands and IslandsJean UrquhartRISE*2011
  • Formerly SNP

Footnotes

--

References

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