2007 Scottish Parliament election

Background

The main issues during the campaign trail were healthcare, education, council tax reform, pensions, the Union, Trident (the submarines are based in Scotland), the Iraq War and more powers for the Scottish Parliament. Some parties proposed raise the school leaving age from 16 to 18 and raising the minimum age to purchase tobacco products from 16 to 18.

Jack McConnell, as First Minister, entered the election defending a small overall majority of five seats via a coalition of Labour and the Liberal Democrats. The Lab-LD social liberal coalition had been in power, with three different First Ministers, since the first Scottish Parliament election in 1999. Opinion polls suggested its majority could be lost in 2007, due to falling support for the Labour Party and rising support for other parties, in particular the Scottish National Party (SNP). The polls suggested that no single party was likely to acquire an overall majority, nor was there an obvious alternative coalition ready to form a new Executive.

A TNS Poll in November 2006 gave Labour an 8% lead over the SNP which was second behind Labour in terms of numbers of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs). As the election approached the SNP gained support while Labour's support declined. Based on pre-election projections, there could have been some possibility of an SNP–Liberal Democrat coalition, which might have extended to include the Scottish Green Party. The other parties represented in the Parliament before the election were the Scottish Conservative Party, the Scottish Socialist Party (SSP), Solidarity and the Scottish Senior Citizens Unity Party. (Solidarity was a new party, having broken away from the SSP in 2006.)

Other parties that campaigned for seats in Holyrood included the UK Independence Party (UKIP), the British National Party (BNP), the Scottish Unionist Party, the Scottish Socialist Labour Party, the Christian Peoples Alliance, the Scottish Christian Party.

Retiring MSPs

Labour

• Susan Deacon, Edinburgh East and Musselburgh
• John Home Robertson, East Lothian
• Janis Hughes, Glasgow Rutherglen
• Kate Maclean, Dundee West

Scottish National Party

• Bruce McFee, West of Scotland list
• George Reid, Ochil

Conservative

• Phil Gallie, South of Scotland list
• James Douglas-Hamilton, Lothians list

Liberal Democrats

• Donald Gorrie, Central Scotland list
• Jim Wallace, Orkney

Scottish Socialist Party

• Frances Curran, West of Scotland list

Independents

• Dennis Canavan, Falkirk West
• Brian Monteith (elected as a Conservative), Mid Scotland and Fife list

Defeated MSPs

Labour

• Gordon Jackson, Glasgow Govan
• Sylvia Jackson, Stirling
• Margaret Jamieson, Kilmarnock and Loudoun
• Maureen Macmillan, Highlands and Islands
• Christine May, Fife Central
• Alasdair Morrison, Western Isles
• Bristow Muldoon, Livingston
• Allan Wilson, Cunninghame North

Lib Dem

• Andrew Arbuckle, Mid Scotland and Fife
• Nora Radcliffe, Gordon
• Euan Robson, Roxburgh and Berwickshire
• George Lyon, Argyll and Bute

Conservative

• Dave Petrie, Highlands and Islands
• Murray Tosh, West of Scotland

[[Scottish Greens]]

• Shiona Baird, North East Scotland
• Chris Ballance, South of Scotland
• Mark Ballard, Lothians
• Mark Ruskell, Mid Scotland and Fife
• Eleanor Scott, Highlands and Islands

[[Scottish Socialist Party]]

• Colin Fox, Lothians
• Rosie Kane, Glasgow
• Carolyn Leckie, Central Scotland

[[Solidarity (Scotland)|Solidarity]]

• Rosemary Byrne, South of Scotland - originally elected as Scottish Socialist Party
• Tommy Sheridan, Glasgow - originally elected as Scottish Socialist Party

[[Scottish Senior Citizens Unity Party]]

• John Swinburne, Central Scotland

Independent

• Campbell Martin, West of Scotland - Former SNP MSP
• Jean Turner, Strathkelvin and Bearsden

Opinion polls

Election results

Turnout in the election was 51.7% in the constituency vote and 52.4% in the regional vote up from 2003 where the turnout was 49.4% in both the constituency and regional vote

Notes: Independents contested 17 seats and three regions. Scottish Greens contested 1 seat, Scottish Socialist Party contested 1 seat, Scottish Christian Party, Scottish Voice etc. contested a small number of seats. A number of local issue parties also stood in single constituencies. The Nine Per Cent Growth Party stood candidates on the regional lists, and had a candidate for the local council elections of the same year. Standing in the Glasgow Regional List the party finished last of 23 candidates, receiving only 80 votes (0.04%), a record low.

Constituency and regional summary

Central Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Linda Fabiani Jamie Hepburn Christina McKelvie John Wilson

Glasgow

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Sandra White Bob Doris Bill Kidd

Highlands and Islands

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- David Thompson Rhoda Grant David Stewart Jamie McGrigor

Lothians

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Ian McKee Stefan Tymkewycz

Mid Scotland and Fife

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Claire Brennan-Baker Richard Simpson Liz Smith Ted Brocklebank

North East Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Nigel Don Marlyn Glen Nanette Milne

South of Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Michael Russell Adam Ingram Alasdair Morgan Aileen Campbell

West of Scotland

|- ! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency ! style="width: 150px"|Elected member ! style="width: 300px"|Result |- ! colspan="2" style="width: 150px"|Party ! Elected candidates ! style="width: 40px"|Seats ! style="width: 40px"|+/− ! style="width: 50px"|Votes ! style="width: 40px"|% ! style="width: 40px"|+/−% |- Gil Paterson Bill Wilson Stuart McMillan Jackson Carlaw

Incidents

Delayed counts

Some counts in the Western Isles (Barra & the Uists) were delayed because the chartered helicopter sent to pick up the ballot boxes was delayed by bad weather. The boxes were instead transferred by sea and road to be counted in Stornoway. The votes were announced around 12.00 on Friday 4 May.

Vandalism

A man smashed ballot boxes with a golf club at a polling station at Carrick Knowe in Corstorphine in Edinburgh. About 100 ballots were damaged, some having to be taped back together. The man was arrested on the scene.

High number of rejected votes

The number of 'invalid' ballot papers (residual votes) in this election was significantly higher than usual, with a total of 146,099 ballot papers (regional: 60,455 or 2.88%; constituency: 85,644 or 4.075%) being rejected, with some constituencies such as Glasgow Shettleston having rejection rates as high as 12.1%. For comparison, the rejected ballot paper rate in 2003 was 0.65% for regional ballot papers and 0.66% for constituency ballot papers. In total there were 16 constituencies where the number of rejected ballot papers exceeded the winning candidate's majority. This led to calls for an independent enquiry into the implementation of the new voting system. The BBC Scotland Chief Political Editor, Brian Taylor, described the situation as "a disgrace" during their Election Night coverage.

There are several reasons for the unusually high levels of rejected ballot papers in the election. One primary reason is that both the regional and constituency choices were placed on a single sheet of paper. A large-type instruction at the top indicated "you have two votes." Being told that they had two votes, far too many voters used both votes on parties in the regional list. Although a rough template of the ballot was provided to voters by VoteScotland prior to the election, many ballot papers in reality had subtle yet consequential differences. Taking the ballot from Glasgow Shettleston for example, although its layout is similar to the sample ballot it has many more parties on the regional ballot, giving the illusion that the list continues onto the next side (constituency ballot). Furthermore, instructions provided to voters using these sheets were abbreviated. While the brief written instructions remained, they were presented in a much smaller font size. The column headings moved above the bold lines defining the columns and the visual prompt of the split arrow leading to the two columns is completely missing. This misleading ballot was made more complicated by two additional features of the balloting: several small parties like the Green Party ran one or fewer candidates in the constituency seats and parties were able to choose to put the name of their leader instead of the name of the party in the label for the list seats (For example, the SNP was listed as "Alex Salmond for First Minister", rather than the party name).

Another reason presented was that local elections took place on the same day with a different voting system and different design. Whereas the parliamentary election asked voters to mark a cross, the local council elections asked voters to number/ rank their candidates, as the council elections were under the single transferable vote system. Undercutting this theory, however, was the fact that the invalid rate in the local elections was far lower than the parliamentary elections (although still greater than in previous local elections) despite single transferable vote being a new system for most voters.

A third proposed reason was that this was the first election where electronic counting of papers had taken place. Many blamed e-counting for the increase in rejected papers, in part because the new machine counting system abandoned many counts during the early hours of Friday morning before all results had been counted. Furthermore, the primary reason for the regional and constituency ballot papers being placed on the same sheet of paper is due to restrictions on the size of paper the machines could accurately scan. The main company concerned was DRS Ltd. Nevertheless, nearly all invalid ballot papers would have been spoiled no matter how they were counted. However, the last minute redesign of ballot papers that was blamed for the high number of rejections in two electoral regions was done to make electronic voting easier.

Threatened legal actions

On 5 May 2007, the BBC reported that Labour were considering legal action against some results (particularly Cunninghame North, where the SNP beat Labour by just 48 votes) due to the high number of rejected votes. A further challenge was expected from Mike Dailly from the Govan Law Centre, a member of the Labour Party, purportedly on behalf of voters in the Glasgow region. He said that the result should be challenged because there were over 10,000 rejected ballot papers which could have caused a different result if they had counted. Tommy Sheridan of Solidarity was only 2,215 votes short of beating the Greens for the last place as an MSP.

There were no election petitions raised to challenge the results.

Election system

There are 73 constituencies, each electing one Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) by the plurality (first past the post) system of election, which are grouped into eight regions. These regions each elect seven additional member MSPs so as to produce an overall proportional result. The D'Hondt method is used to calculate which additional member MSPs the regions elect. Each constituency is a sub-division of a region; the additional members system is designed to produce proportional representation for each region, and the total number of MSPs elected to the parliament is 129.

The election was the first using constituencies (see Scottish Parliament constituencies and regions) that are not identical to constituencies of the House of Commons (Parliament of the United Kingdom). Scottish Westminster constituencies were replaced with a new set of generally larger constituencies, fewer in number, in 2005.

The Arbuthnott Commission reported in January 2006, concerning the multiplicity of voting systems and electoral divisions in Scotland. Council elections on the same day used Single Transferable Vote for the first time, but there was no change to the Holyrood election system, except regarding use of vote-counting machines, before the 2007 election. Scanners supplied by DRS Data Services Limited of Milton Keynes, in partnership with Electoral Reform Services, the trading arm of the Electoral Reform Society, were used to electronically count the paper ballots in both the Scottish Parliament general election and the Scottish council elections, which took place on the same day.

Top target seats of the main parties

Below are listed all the constituencies which required a swing of less than 5% from the 2003 result to change hands.

Many of the seats that changed hands are not listed here. For example, the Scottish National Party gained several seats (Stirling, Edinburgh East & Musselburgh, Gordon, Livingston and Argyll & Bute) with very large swings, yet did not gain any of their top three targets.

Labour targets

SNP targets

Conservative targets

Liberal Democrat targets

Election of First Minister

The Scottish Parliament officially met on 9 May, and met again on 14 May to elect a Presiding Officer. On 16 May, the Parliament met to hold the election of the First Minister. Four nominations were made: Annabel Goldie of the Conservatives, Jack McConnell of Labour, Nicol Stephen of the Liberal Democrats, and Alex Salmond of the Scottish National Party.

Salmond was elected in the second round of voting by 49 votes to McConnell's 46. 33 abstentions were recorded. The election provided for a minority administration which did not have the explicit support of Parliament. Salmond was supported in the election by the two Green MSPs. Otherwise, voting was conducted strictly along party lines.

Party leaders

Major parties

At time of dissolution of the Scottish Parliament at midnight on Monday 2 April 2007, there were five party 'groups' represented on the Parliament's Bureau: Labour (50), SNP (25), Conservative (17), LibDem (17), and the Greens (7). There was also one 'mixed' administrative grouping of 5 independent MSPs and 1 Scottish Senior Citizens Unity Party MSP.

Of the major party leaders in the Scottish Parliament, only one, Jack McConnell, of the Scottish Labour Party fought the 2003 Scottish Parliamentary election as leader. Nicol Stephen succeeded Jim Wallace as Deputy First Minister and Leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats in June 2005, after the latter announced that he would not be contesting the 2007 election.{{cite news | access-date = 11 October 2006

Other parties

Robin Harper and Shiona Baird were elected as Greens Co-convenors in 2004, but as the sole Green MSP Harper was effectively party spokesperson from 1999.{{cite web |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071007001923/http://www.scottishgreens.org.uk/site/id/3936/title/SCOTTISH_GREEN_PARTY_ELECTS_NEW_PARTY_CO_CONVENERS_First_Party_In_Scotland_To_Elect_Gender_Balanced_Leadership.html |archive-date=7 October 2007

Colin Fox was elected as the Scottish Socialist Party Convenor in 2005. In 2006 Tommy Sheridan left the party to form Solidarity.

Aftermath

This was Scottish Labour's first defeat since the 1979 European Parliament election, which was won by the Conservtives. In his memoir, A Journey (2010), Tony Blair claimed responsibility for the SNP's victory, stating that he believed his leadership had cost Labour votes and that things could have been different had his successor Gordon Brown been in office at the time.

These elections were realigning elections as Scottish National Party would win plurarity of the votes in every Scottish Parliament election since 2007.

References

References

1. "Scotland Act 1998 – Part I – Section 2 – General elections". opsi.gov.uk.
2. (7 May 2007). "Lib Dems rule out SNP coalition". BBC News.
3. (11 May 2007). "SNP and Greens sign working deal". BBC News.
4. (11 May 2005). "''Somewhere over the Rainbow Coalition...'' Scotsman 12 May 2005". The Scotsman.
5. Macleod, Murdo. (5 March 2006). "''Panic within Labour as membership falls''". The Scotsman.
6. Macdonell, Hamish. (7 March 2006). "''Lib Dems open door to coalition with SNP'' Scotsman 7 March 2006". The Scotsman.
7. Macdonell, Hamish. (24 March 2006). "''Is this the end of Lab–Lib Dem pact?'' Scotsman 24 March 2006". The Scotsman.
8. (14 August 2006). "Former minister to leave Holyrood". BBC News.
9. Knox, John. (10 November 2006). "Kriss casts shadow over Holyrood". BBC News.
10. "Scotsman.com News - Politics". Election.scotsman.com.
11. (21 June 2006). "Maclean to quit Scots Parliament". BBC News.
12. "Retiring MSPs". Alba.org.uk.
13. Knox, John. (30 March 2007). "Another chapter ends at Holyrood". BBC News.
14. (23 January 2007). "Canavan will not fight election". BBC News.
15. Swanson, Ian. (1 November 2006). "Monteith to stand down as MSP". [[The Scotsman]].
16. "2007 Scottish Parliament Election: Analysis of Results".
17. (8 May 2007). "Election 2007: SPICe briefing 07/21". Scottish Parliament.
18. "Glasgow Council candidates".
19. [http://www.glasgow.gov.uk/en/YourCouncil/Elections_Voting/ElectionScotland2007/WheretoVote/ScottishParliamentGlasgowRegionWTV.htm Glasgow Region elections]{{dead link. (February 2011)
20. (3 May 2007). "Polling clerk tells of 'bedlam'". BBC News.
21. (October 2007). "Scottish elections 2007 The independent review of the Scottish Parliamentary and local government elections 3 May 2007". Electoral Commission.
22. (February 2008). "The unfortunate natural experiment in ballot design:The Scottish Parliamentary elections of 2007". Elsevier.
23. (3 May 2007). "Elections marred by vote problems". BBC News.
24. Barnes, Eddie. (6 May 2007). "The Scotsman". News.scotsman.com.
25. "Electronic automated data capture services and document scanning specialists". DRS.
26. (15 May 2007). "Clue over voter ballot confusion". BBC News.
27. (6 May 2007). "Holyrood vote may face challenges". BBC News.
28. (19 April 2006). "Electronic counting to take over from tellers at elections". [[The Scotsman]].
29. (26 June 2006). "Green light for DRS & ERS to deliver e-Count for 2007 Scottish Elections". DRS Data Services Limited.
30. (24 January 2014). "Official Report: Plenary, 16th May 2007". Scottish Parliament.
31. Swanson, Ian. (3 September 2004). "Salmond is SNP leader again with Sturgeon as No 2". [[Scotsman]].
32. MacDonell, Hamish. (3 November 2005). "Tories have their 'coronation' as Goldie becomes leader unopposed". [[Scotsman]].
33. MacDonell, Hamish. (1 November 2005). "McLetchie finally quits over taxi row". [[Scotsman]].
34. (September 2010). "Blair admits role in 2007 Holyrood election defeat". BBC News.