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2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota

none

Field	Value
election_name	2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota
country	South Dakota
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2008 United States Senate election in South Dakota
previous_year	2008
next_election	2020 United States Senate election in South Dakota
next_year	2020
election_date
image_size	150x150px
image1	File: Mike Rounds official photo.JPG
nominee1	Mike Rounds
party1	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1	140,741
percentage1	50.37%
image2	File: Rick Weiland.jpg
nominee2	Rick Weiland
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2	82,456
percentage2	29.51%
image3	File:Larry Pressler 1989.jpg
nominee3	Larry Pressler
party3	Independent
popular_vote3	47,741
percentage3	17.09%
map_image
map_size	240px
map_caption	Rounds:
Weiland:
Pressler:
Tie:
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Tim Johnson
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Mike Rounds
after_party	Republican Party (United States)

Weiland:
Pressler: Tie:
The 2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of the Governor of South Dakota, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Johnson decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth term in office. As a result, this was the first open seat election since 1978. Former South Dakota Governor Mike Rounds won the open seat, giving South Dakota an all-GOP congressional delegation for the first time since 1963 and giving Republicans control of both of South Dakota's Senate seats for the first time since 1987.

Businessman Rick Weiland ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Also running were two independent candidates: former Republican U.S. Senator Larry Pressler, who held this seat from 1979 to 1997, and former Republican state senator Gordon Howie.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Rick Weiland, businessman, former staffer for Tom Daschle, nominee for South Dakota's at-large congressional district (SD-AL) in 1996 and candidate for SD-AL in 2002

Withdrew

Kevin Artz, businessman
Henry Jo Sinkie, rancher and resort owner

Declined

Jason Frerichs, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate (running for re-election)
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. Representative
Brendan Johnson, United States Attorney for the District of South Dakota and son of incumbent senator Tim Johnson
Tim Johnson, incumbent U.S. Senator
Pat O'Brien, author, television anchor and radio host
Ron J. Volesky, attorney and former state senator

Endorsements

Politicians

Kent Conrad, former U.S. Senator (D-ND)
Tom Daschle, former U.S. Senator (D-SD)
Byron Dorgan, former U.S. Senator (D-ND)
Tim Johnson, incumbent U.S. Senator (D-SD)
Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (D-MN)
Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (D-MA)

Organizations

Council for a Livable World
Democracy for America
Great Plains Tribal Chairman's Association
United Steelworkers

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Brendan
Johnson	Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	390	± 5%	16%	68%	16%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Steve
Jarding	Brendan
Johnson	Rick
Weiland	Undecided
Nielson Brothers Polling	October 2–6, 2013	282	± 5.84%	6.6%	30.7%	10.1%	52.7%

Results

Weiland faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Annette Bosworth, physician
Stace Nelson, state representative
Jason Ravnsborg, attorney
Larry Rhoden, Majority Whip of the South Dakota Senate
Mike Rounds, former Governor of South Dakota

Declined

Steve T. Kirby, former Lieutenant Governor of South Dakota and candidate for governor in 2002
William Napoli, former state senator
Kristi Noem, U.S. Representative
Mark Venner, former state representative

Endorsements

Blaine "Chip" Campbell, state representative
Gordon Howie, radio host, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 2010
Dan Kaiser, state representative
Elizabeth May, state representative
Lance Russell, state representative
Erick Erickson, conservative political commentator and editor-in-chief of RedState
RedState
Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas and candidate for President in 2008
John Thune, U.S. Senator (R-SD)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Annette
Bosworth	Stace
Nelson	Larry
Rhoden	Mike
Rounds	Undecided
Harper Polling	September 4–5, 2013	252	±6.17%	6%	8%	7%	58%	22%
Nielson Brothers Polling	October 2–6, 2013	410	± 4.84%	2.7%	10.4%	3.9%	46.1%	37%
Public Opinion Strategies	April 8–10, 2014	500	± 4.38%	8%	14%	7%	61%	9%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Kristi
Noem	Mike
Rounds	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	501	± 4.4%	39%	43%	17%

Results

Results by county

| | | | | | | | | ]]

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

Gordon Howie (Independent), former Republican state senator and Republican candidate for Governor in 2010
Larry Pressler (Independent), former Republican U.S. Senator

Disqualified

Clayton Walker (Independent), small business consultant and Democratic candidate for state representative in 2010

Withdrew

Kurt Evans (Libertarian), teacher and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002

General election

Campaign

Rounds was widely seen as the front runner throughout the campaign. However, he faced ongoing criticism on the election trail for his possible involvement with the State's ongoing EB-5 visa investigation, concerning the conflict of interest that Rounds' administration had when administering the EB-5 program. State officials misused funds to pay for their salaries, did not disclose that they owned companies which they gave contracts to, directed money towards companies that went bankrupt and arranged for loans from unknown sources from shell companies located in tax havens. In October 2014, Rounds admitted that he had approved a $1 million state loan to meat-packing company Northern Beef shortly after learning that Secretary of Tourism and State Development Richard Benda had agreed to join the company, with Benda then getting another $600,000 in loans that was ultimately used to pay his own salary. Benda committed suicide in October 2013, days before a possible indictment over embezzlement and grand theft charges.

Columnist Jonathan Ellis of the Argus Leader called Rounds' fundraising "anemic" compared to the amount of outside money coming into the state on Weiland's side, and criticized the entire Rounds campaign as "more suited for sheriff of Mayberry County than U.S. Senate."

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 29, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Rick
Weiland (D)	Mike
Rounds (R)	Larry
Pressler (I)	Gordon
Howie (I)	Other	Undecided
Nielson Brothers Polling	June 10–14, 2013	500	± 4.4%	27%		54%	—	—	—	19%
Harper Polling	September 4–5, 2013	517	± 4.31%	38%		52%	—	—	—	10%
Nielson Brothers Polling	October 2–6, 2013	818	± 3.43%	35%		50%	—	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	October 10–13, 2013	882	± 3.3%	34%		40%	—	—	11%	15%
Rasmussen Reports	February 25–26, 2014	500	± 4.5%	31%		51%	—	—	6%	11%
Public Policy Polling^	April 30 – May 1, 2014	745	± 3.6%	28%		38%	15%	4%	—	15%
SurveyUSA	May 6–10, 2014	504	± 4.5%	30%		44%	17%	3%	2%	5%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4–5, 2014	750	± 4%	29%		44%	18%	—	2%	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	631	± 4.5%	34%		59%	—	—	3%	5%
Clarity Campaign Labs^	July 16–23, 2014	3,837	± 1.44%	24%		34%	10%	3%	—	29%
Nielson Brothers Polling	July 23–28, 2014	578	± 4.04%	30%		43%	14%	4%	—	9%
Public Opinion Strategies*	August 11–13, 2014	500	± 4.38%	24%		49%	15%	4%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling^	August 12–13, 2014	726	± 3.6%	31%		39%	16%	5%	—	9%
Public Policy Polling^	August 27–28, 2014	709	± 3.7%	33%		39%	17%	4%	—	7%
42%		45%	—	—	—	13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	526	± 6%	29%		43%	6%	—	1%	21%
SurveyUSA	September 3–7, 2014	510	± 4.4%	28%		39%	25%	3%	—	5%
42%		44%	—	3%	—	11%
ccAdvertising	September 22–23, 2014	1,769	± ?	17%		39%	17%	—	—	27%
Public Opinion Strategies*	September 22–23, 2014	500	± 4.38%	23%		41%	19%	4%	—	12%
Nielson Brothers Polling	September 21–25, 2014	647	± 3.24%	26%		39%	24%	4%	—	7%
636	± 3.27%	37.1%		45%	—	7%	—	10%
623	± 3.3%	—		40%	39%	8%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling^	September 29–30, 2014	703	± 3.7%	28%		35%	24%	8%	—	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	382	± 7%	27%		42%	12%	—	1%	17%
SurveyUSA	October 1–5, 2014	616	± 4%	28%		35%	32%	3%	—	2%
47%	47%	—	3%	—	3%
—	39%		54%	3%	—	4%
Harper Polling	October 9–11, 2014	630	± 3.9%	33%		37%	23%	5%	—	2%
Public Opinion Strategies*	October 18–20, 2014	500	± 4.38%	24%		48%	16%	3%	—	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	527	± 8%	25%		38%	17%	—	0%	21%
NBC News/Marist	October 19–23, 2014	730 LV	± 3.6%	29%		43%	16%	3%		7%
990 RV	± 3.1%	28%		43%	16%	4%		9%
Mason-Dixon	October 20–23, 2014	800	± 3.5%	33%		42%	13%	2%	—	10%
SurveyUSA	October 21–26, 2014	611	± 4%	32%		43%	19%	2%	—	4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 22–26, 2014	908	± 3.5%	31%		45%	21%	—	—	3%
Monmouth University	October 24–27, 2014	429	± 4.7%	31%		45%	19%	1%	—	4%
40%		48%	—	1%	—	11%

With Herseth Sandlin

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin (D)	Kristi
Noem (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	1,069	± 3%	48%	47%	—	5%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Stephanie Herseth
Sandlin (D)	Mike
Rounds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	1,069	± 3%	44%	49%	—	7%

With B. Johnson

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Brendan
Johnson (D)	Kristi
Noem (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	1,069	± 3%	37%	49%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Brendan
Johnson (D)	Mike
Rounds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	1,069	± 3%	32%	53%	—	15%

With T. Johnson

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Tim
Johnson (D)	Kristi
Noem (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	1,069	± 3%	45%	49%	—	7%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Tim
Johnson (D)	Mike
Rounds (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 18–19, 2013	1,069	± 3%	41%	52%	—	7%

With Weiland

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Rick
Weiland (D)	Annette
Bosworth (R)	Other	Undecided
Harper Polling	September 4–5, 2013	517	± 4.31%	38%	36%	—	26%
Nielson Brothers Polling	October 2–6, 2013	815	± 3.43%	38%	33%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Rick
Weiland (D)	Stace
Nelson (R)	Other	Undecided
Harper Polling	September 4–5, 2013	517	± 4.31%	38%		40%	—	22%
Nielson Brothers Polling	October 2–6, 2013	815	± 3.43%		36%	35%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Rick
Weiland (D)	Larry
Rhoden (R)	Other	Undecided
Harper Polling	September 4–5, 2013	517	± 4.31%	35%		41%	—	23%
Nielson Brothers Polling	October 2–6, 2013	815	± 3.43%		37%	32%	—	31%

- Internal polling for the Mike Rounds campaign
^ Internal polling for the Rick Weiland campaign

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Beadle (Largest city: Huron)
Bon Homme (Largest city: Springfield)
Brown (Largest city: Aberdeen)
Brule (Largest city: Chamberlain)
Charles Mix (Largest city: Wagner)
Corson (Largest city: McLaughlin)
Deuel (Largest city: Clear Lake)
Grant (Largest city: Milbank)
Jerauld (Largest city: Wessington Springs)
Kingsbury (Largest city: De Smet)
Lake (Largest city: Madison)
Miner (Largest city: Howard)
Minnehaha (Largest city: Sioux Falls)
Moody (Largest city: Flandreau)
Sanborn (Largest city: Woonsocket)
Union (Largest city: Dakota Dunes)
Brookings (largest city: Brookings)
Aurora (largest city: Plankinton)
Bennett (largest city: Martin)
Butte (largest city: Belle Fourche)
Campbell (largest city: Herreid)
Clark (largest city: Clark)
Codington (largest city: Watertown)
Custer (largest city: Custer)
Davison (largest city: Mitchell)
Douglas (largest city: Armour)
Edmunds (largest city: Ipswich)
Fall River (largest city: Hot Springs)
Faulk (largest city: Faulkton)
Gregory (largest city: Gregory)
Hamlin (largest city: Estelline)
Hand (largest city: Miller)
Hanson (largest city: Alexandria)
Hughes (largest city: Pierre)
Hutchinson (largest city: Parkston)
Hyde (largest city: Highmore)
Jackson (largest city: Kadoka)
Lawrence (largest city: Spearfish)
Lincoln (largest city: Sioux Falls)
Lyman (largest city: Lower Brule)
McCook (largest city: Salem)
McPherson (largest city: Eureka)
Meade (largest city: Sturgis)
Pennington (largest city: Rapid City)
Potter (largest city: Gettysburg)
Spink (largest city: Redfield)
Stanley (largest city: Fort Pierre)
Sully (largest city: Onida)
Tripp (largest city: Winner)
Turner (largest city: Parker)
Walworth (largest city: Mobridge)
Yankton (largest city: Yankton)

Maps

File:South Dakota Senate Election Results by County, 2014 (Howie).svg|Support for Howie by county: {{legend|#7bff9c|

References

(May 8, 2013). "Update: Rick Weiland's Senate run draws support from Daschle, others". Argus Leader.
(March 26, 2014). "Field for South Dakota US Senate seat set". CTPost.
Wynn, Kimberly. (February 14, 2014). "Resident set to run for Democratic nomination for Senate". Aberdeen News.
(February 14, 2014). "2nd Democrat Joins Senate Race". [[WNAX (AM)]].
(May 29, 2013). "Frerichs' political future". Political Smokeout.
"Current Candidates for Primary Election".
Trygstad, Kyle. (May 13, 2013). "Stephanie Herseth Sandlin Not Running for Senate". [[Roll Call]].
[https://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/stephanie-herseth-sandlin-south-dakota-senate-seat-91251.html Stephanie Herseth Sandlin won't run in South Dakota - James Hohmann - POLITICO.com]
Carnia, Catalina. (March 25, 2013). "Report: Democratic Sen. Johnson to retire". [[USA Today]].
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(March 1, 2014). "Volesky decides against entering U.S. Senate race". [[Plainsman (South Dakota).
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Kurt Evans (L) 11%
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Clayton Walker (I) 2%
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[https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/494597760952193025 Clarity Campaign Labs^]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20140827150102/http://www.scribd.com/doc/235955502/NBP-Press-Release-for-Senate-July-23-28-Final Nielson Brothers Polling]
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[http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/SDpolls/SD141018/Complete%20October%202014%20South%20Dakota%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf NBC News/Marist]
[http://www.argusleader.com/story/davidmontgomery/2014/10/27/argus-kelo-poll/17975803/ Mason-Dixon]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b79aa9e7-88e4-4236-a4cc-3381244eda1b SurveyUSA]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20141028212907/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/df3d3c36-54a7-40f7-beab-17cd2a0e8ba7.pdf Monmouth University]
[http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/hp-13-09-sd-senate-toplines.pdf Harper Polling] {{Webarchive. link. (June 6, 2014)
[http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/hp-13-09-sd-senate-toplines.pdf Harper Polling] {{Webarchive. link. (June 6, 2014)
[http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/hp-13-09-sd-senate-toplines.pdf Harper Polling] {{Webarchive. link. (June 6, 2014)
[https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/election-resources/election-history/2014/2014GeneralStateCanvass.pdf 2014 General State Canvass]

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