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2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election
countrySouth Dakota
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 South Dakota gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image1File:Dennis Daugaard in 2017.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Dennis Daugaard**
party1Republican Party (United States)
running_mate1**Matt Michels**
popular_vote1**195,477**
percentage1**70.47%**
image23x4.svg
nominee2Susan Wismer
party2Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate2Susy Blake
popular_vote270,549
percentage225.43%
map_image
map_size251px
map_caption**Daugaard:**
**Wismer:**
**Tie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionDennis Daugaard
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionDennis Daugaard
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Wismer:
Tie: The 2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of South Dakota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Dennis Daugaard ran for re-election to a second term in office. He won the Republican primary and ran again with incumbent lieutenant governor Matt Michels. The Democrats nominated State Representative Susan Wismer, who chose former state representative Susy Blake as her running mate. Independent Mike Myers also ran, whose running mate was former Republican state representative Lora Hubbel.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Dennis Daugaard, incumbent governor
  • Lora Hubbel, former state representative and former chair of the Minnehaha County Republican Party

Declined

  • Stan Adelstein, state senator
  • Stace Nelson, state representative (running for the U.S. Senate)

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Joe Lowe, former state director of wildland fire suppression and former mayor of Mission Viejo, California
  • Susan Wismer, state representative

Declined

  • Jason Frerichs, minority leader of the South Dakota Senate
  • Bryce Healy, former commissioner of schools and public lands
  • Scott Heidepriem, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2010
  • Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. representative
  • Mike Huether, mayor of Sioux Falls (running for re-election)
  • Steve Jarding, educator, lecturer and political consultant
  • Pat O'Brien, author, television anchor and radio host

Results

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Myers (Independent), former University of South Dakota School of Law professor and former CEO of Mayo Clinic :* Running mate: Lora Hubbel, former Republican state representative and Republican candidate for governor in 2014. Myers' initial running mate was Caitlin Collier, an attorney and Democratic candidate for the state house in 2008. After Collier announced her withdrawal from the race in June 2014 because of a family illness, Myers attempted to replace her with Hubbel, who had run against Daugaard in the Republican primary. However, Secretary of State of South Dakota Jason Gant refused to remove Collier's name, saying that state law had no provision for replacing an Independent candidate on the ballot. On August 18, federal judge Lawrence L. Piersol of the United States District Court for the District of South Dakota ruled in Myers' favor.

Failed to make the ballot

  • Curtis Strong (Constitution), Tea Party activist

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDennis
Daugaard (R)Susan
Wismer (D)Mike
Myers (I)OtherUndecided
Monmouth UniversityOctober 24–27, 2014429± 4.7%**68%**29%1%2%
SurveyUSAOctober 21–26, 2014611± 4%**54%**34%5%7%
Mason-DixonOctober 20–23, 2014800± 3.5%**62%**26%5%7%
NBC News/MaristOctober 19–23, 2014730 LV± 3.6%**67%**28%1%4%
990 RV± 3.1%**67%**26%2%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 2014527± 8%**54%**28%3%15%
url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141021023508/http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/hp-14-10-sd-senate-toplines.pdf?sfvrsn=0date=2014-10-21 }}October 9–11, 2014630± 3.9%**53%**35%8%4%
SurveyUSAOctober 1–5, 2014616± 4%**59%**30%7%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 2014382± 7%**57%**31%2%10%
Nielson Brothers PollingSeptember 21–25, 2014607± 3.35%**53%**28%10%9%
SurveyUSASeptember 3–7, 2014510± 4.4%**54%**34%6%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 2014526± 6%**55%**28%1%16%
Nielson Brothers PollingJuly 23–28, 2014572± 4.07%**53%**29%7%12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 2014630± 4.5%**66%**27%2%5%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 4–5, 2014750± 4%**55%**35%3%7%
SurveyUSAMay 6–10, 2014504± 4.5%**56%**23%13%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDennis
Daugaard (R)Joe
Lowe (D)Mike
Myers (I)OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAMay 6–10, 2014504± 4.5%**57%**21%11%10%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 25–26, 2014500± 4.5%**63%**23%5%9%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Clay (largest city: Vermillion)
  • Corson (largest city: McLaughlin)
  • Day (largest city: Webster)
  • Dewey (largest city: North Eagle Butte)
  • Roberts (largest city: Sisseton)
  • Ziebach (largest city: Dupree)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Marshall (largest city: Britton)

References

References

  1. Ellis, Jonathan. (March 25, 2014). "Daugaard officially launches re-election bid in Sioux Falls". [[Argus Leader]].
  2. Montgomery, David. (October 15, 2013). "Political Smokeout blog: Lora Hubbel running for governor". Political Smokeout.
  3. (February 24, 2013). "Could Rapid City's Stan Adelstein still run for Governor?".
  4. Ellis, Jonathan. (January 2, 2014). "Health problem forces Stan Adelstein to resign from state Senate". [[Argus Leader]].
  5. (August 13, 2013). "Stace Nelson to announce run for U.S. Senate". [[Argus Leader]].
  6. "Primary Election - June 3, 2014". South Dakota Secretary of State.
  7. (December 1, 2013). "Former S.D. wildfire suppression manager running for governor as Democrat". [[Argus Leader]].
  8. Montgomery, David. (January 28, 2014). "Rep. Susan Wismer, a Democrat, enters governor's race". [[Argus Leader]].
  9. Oster, Jerry. (November 4, 2013). "SD Democrats Still Searching for A Governor Candidate". [[WNAX (AM).
  10. (October 24, 2013). "A sign from the MSM that Wismer might be the Democrat's candidate". South Dakota War College.
  11. (29 May 2013). "Frerichs' political future". Political Smokeout.
  12. "Archived copy".
  13. (May 13, 2013). "Now what about U.S. House and governor".
  14. (February 27, 2013). "Clarity Polls SD Governor's Race: Herseth Sandlin, Huether, or Heidepriem?".
  15. (May 13, 2013). "UPDATED: South Dakota's Stephanie Herseth Sandlin will not run for U.S. Senate seat". [[Chicago Tribune]].
  16. Heidelberger, Cory. (January 26, 2014). "Jarding Not Running, Not Jumping to Support Robinson and Lowe". Madville Times.
  17. Montgomery, David. (May 21, 2013). "Next up for SD politics — Pat O'Brien?". Political Smokeout.
  18. Ellis, Jonathan. (August 17, 2013). "Former USD law professor to run for governor". [[Argus Leader]].
  19. (June 26, 2014). "VERY QUIETLY, MIKE MYERS LOSES RUNNING MATE. MAYBE. COLLIER ATTEMPTS TO WITHDRAW FROM BALLOT, BUT MAY BE BARRED BY LAW FROM LEAVING.". Dakota War College.
  20. (July 3, 2014). "A new lieutenant for Myers, but law doesn't allow switch". Argus Leader.
  21. (July 29, 2014). "Myers Plans Lawsuit To Get Running Mate Change On Ballot". Keloland Television.
  22. (August 18, 2014). "Judge Rules In Favor Of SD Gubernatorial Candidate". KDLT.
  23. (August 18, 2014). "Judge orders Gant to add Lora Hubbel to LG ballot". Argus Leader.
  24. Montgomery, David. (November 25, 2013). "Curtis Strong enters gubernatorial race". Political Smokeout.
  25. (March 28, 2014). "South Dakota Constitution Party Gubernatorial Nominee's Primary Petition Rejected by Secretary of State". Ballot Access News.
  26. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
  27. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
  28. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  29. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
  30. [https://web.archive.org/web/20141028212907/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/df3d3c36-54a7-40f7-beab-17cd2a0e8ba7.pdf Monmouth University]
  31. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b79aa9e7-88e4-4236-a4cc-3381244eda1b SurveyUSA]
  32. [http://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/28/poll-argus-leader-daugaard/18039223/ Mason-Dixon]
  33. [http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/SDpolls/SD141018/Complete%20October%202014%20South%20Dakota%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf NBC News/Marist]
  34. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  35. link. (2014-10-21)
  36. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=459ff79a-7e55-4e15-acd5-f86f146ae3a7 SurveyUSA]
  37. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  38. [http://npntestfeed.blogspot.co.uk/2014/09/2014-election-daugaard-noem-maintain.html Nielson Brothers Polling]
  39. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=09d5ab56-e7a9-48a4-abb4-403949a2c17d SurveyUSA]
  40. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-south-dakota/#SDgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  41. [https://www.scribd.com/doc/237162063/SD-Gov-Nielson-Brothers-Aug-6-2014 Nielson Brothers Polling]
  42. [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  43. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/south_dakota/election_2014_south_dakota_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  44. [https://web.archive.org/web/20140517151942/http://ww2.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=29863e15-255e-42f2-b507-c3fdca7d8c5c SurveyUSA]
  45. [https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/election-resources/election-history/2014/2014GeneralStateCanvass.pdf General Election - November 4.2014]
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