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2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota

none

Field	Value
election_name	2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota
country	Minnesota
flag_year	1983
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2008 United States Senate election in Minnesota
previous_year	2008
next_election	2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota
next_year	2018
(special)
election_date
image1	File:Al Franken, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
image_size	x150px
nominee1	Al Franken
party1	Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party
popular_vote1	1,053,205
percentage1	53.15%
image2	File:Mike McFadden, CD4 Convention, April 2014.png
nominee2	Mike McFadden
party2	Republican Party of Minnesota
popular_vote2	850,227
percentage2	42.91%
map	{{switcher
map_caption	Franken:
McFadden:
*Tie:*
title	U.S. Senator
before_election	Al Franken
before_party	Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
after_election	Al Franken
after_party	Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
flag_image	Flag of Minnesota (1983–2024).svg

(special) |x280px |County results |[[File:2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota results map by congressional district.svg|x280px]] |Congressional district results |x280px |Township results |[[File:2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota results map by precinct.svg|x280px]] |Precinct results McFadden:
Tie:
The 2014 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Minnesota, concurrently with the election of the governor of Minnesota, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor Senator Al Franken ran for re-election to a second term. Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014, in which Franken was renominated and the Republicans picked financial executive Mike McFadden. In the general election, Franken defeated him and Independence Party nominee Steve Carlson and Heather Johnson of the Libertarian Party with 53% of the vote. As of , this is the last time that a male candidate won a U.S. Senate election in Minnesota. This is also the last time that the winner of Minnesota's Class 2 Senate seat won a majority of counties.

Background

Franken challenged incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman in 2008. When the initial count was completed on November 18, Franken was trailing Coleman by 215 votes. This close margin triggered a mandatory recount. After reviewing ballots that had been challenged during the recount and counting 953 wrongly rejected absentee ballots, the State Canvassing Board officially certified the recount results with Franken holding a 225-vote lead.

On January 6, 2009, Coleman's campaign filed an election contest and on April 13, a three-judge panel dismissed Coleman's Notice of Contest and ruled that Franken had won the election by 312 votes. Coleman's appeal of the panel's decision to the Minnesota Supreme Court was unanimously rejected on June 30, and he conceded the election. Franken was sworn in as Minnesota's junior senator on July 7, 2009.

Because Franken's margin of victory was so slim, the seat was initially thought to be a top target for Republicans, but Politico reported in a May 2013 article that Franken's high approval rating, his large war chest, and the Republicans' struggle to find a top-tier candidate meant that Franken was the "heavy favorite" in the 2014 election.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Declared

Al Franken, incumbent U.S. senator
Sandra Henningsgard

Results

Republican primary

At the Republican State Convention on May 30–31, 2014, after ten ballots, Mike McFadden received the party's endorsement. Chris Dahlberg, Monti Moreno, Julianne Ortman and Phillip Parrish had all sought the endorsement but withdrew in favor of McFadden. Only Jim Abeler continued in the race and contested the August primary against McFadden. David Carlson did not participate in the convention after a dispute with party leadership over nominating petitions. He, Patrick D. Munro and Ole Savior also appeared on the ballot.

Candidates

Declared

Jim Abeler, state representative
David Carlson, veteran and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012
Mike McFadden, financial executive
Patrick D. Munro
Ole Savior, perennial candidate

Withdrew

Chris Dahlberg, St. Louis County commissioner
Monti Moreno, bison farmer, former hair salon owner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1996
Julianne Ortman, state senator
Phillip Parrish, U.S. Navy reservist
Harold Shudlick, retired U.S. Army chaplain and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and 2012

Declined

Michele Bachmann, U.S. representative
Laura Brod, former state representative
Norm Coleman, former U.S. senator
Chip Cravaack, former U.S. representative
Bill Guidera, finance chair of the Republican Party of Minnesota
Pete Hegseth, CEO of Concerned Veterans for America, former executive director of Vets For Freedom and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012
John Kline, U.S. representative
Jason Lewis, radio talk show host and political commentator
Erik Paulsen, U.S. representative
Tim Pawlenty, former governor of Minnesota
Rich Stanek, Hennepin County sheriff

Endorsements

Individuals

Norm Coleman, former U.S. senator
Rod Grams, former U.S. senator Individuals
Sarah Palin, former Alaska governor, 2008 Republican vice-presidential candidate

Organizations

Citizens United
Conservative Campaign Committee
Minnesota Gun Owners Political Action Committee
SHE-PAC

Polling

Poll
source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Jim
Abeler	David
Carlson	Chris
Dahlberg	David
Latvaaho	Mike
McFadden	Monti
Moreno	Julianne
Ortman	Phillip
Parrish	Harold
Shudlick	Other	Undecided
PPP	October 27–29, 2013	305	±5.7%	12%	—	10%	—	11%	2%	12%	—	—	—		53%
TPC	February 28–March 1, 2014	400	±4.9%	8%	—	4%	—	8%	1%		16%	0%	1%	—		52%
Suffolk	April 24–28, 2014	800	± ?	8%	1%	2%	1%	12%	0%		14%	1%	—	—		63%
SurveyUSA	June 5–9, 2014	404	± 5%	16%	—	—	—		44%	—	—	—	—	19%	21%

Republican primary

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Michele
Bachmann	Laura
Brod	Chip
Cravaack	John
Kline	Erik
Paulsen	Rich
Stanek	Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 18–20, 2013	275	± 5.9%	45%	4%	13%	19%	11%	2%	6%

Results

Independence primary

The Independence Party of Minnesota state convention was held on May 17, 2014, at Minnesota State University, Mankato. Businessman Kevin Terrell won the party's endorsement, but lost the primary to Steve Carlson. Carlson did not ask for an endorsement from the Independence Party, and self-identified with the Tea Party. For their part, the Independence Party disowned Carlson, who defended Todd Akin's controversial "legitimate rape" comments and said that George Zimmerman "provided a valuable service" by killing Trayvon Martin.

Candidates

Declared

Jack Shepard, dentist, convicted felon, fugitive and perennial candidate
Kevin Terrell, business consultant

Withdrew

Hannah Nicollet (running for governor)

Results

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian Party of Minnesota state convention was held on April 26, 2014, in Maple Grove.

Candidates

Nominee

Heather Johnson

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 1, 2014
Complete video of debate, October 26, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Mike
McFadden (R)	Steve
Carlson (IP)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–19, 2013	712	± 3.7%	51%	36%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	October 27–29, 2013	895	± 3.3%	49%	38%	—	—	13%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV	February 25–27, 2014	545	± 4.3%	50%	40%	—	—	11%
Suffolk University	April 24–28, 2014	800	± ?	44%	29%	—	7%	20%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV	June 5–9, 2014	1,017	± 3.1%	48%	42%	—	5%	5%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	633	± 3.9%	49%	38%	—	—	13%
Gravis Marketing	July 2–3, 2014	879	± 3%	51%	35%	13%	—	—
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	3,185	± 2%	53%	40%	—	2%	4%
Rasmussen Reports	August 13–14, 2014	750	± 4%	50%	42%	—	2%	6%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV	August 19–21, 2014	600	± 4.1%	51%	42%	2%	2%	3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	3,607	± 2%	49%	41%	—	1%	9%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune	September 8–10, 2014	800	± 3.5%	49%	36%	3%	1%	11%
Rasmussen Reports	September 29–30, 2014	750	± 4%	49%	41%	—	3%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	2,562	± 2%	49%	42%	—	0%	8%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV	September 30 – October 2, 2014	577	± 4.2%	55%	37%	3%	2%	3%
Public Opinion Strategies	October 5–7, 2014	500	± 4.4%	46%	39%	—	15%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV	October 14–16, 2014	597	± 4.1%	53%	38%	3%	3%	3%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune	October 20–22, 2014	800	± 3.5%	48%	39%	3%	1%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	2,430	± 3%	51%	41%	—	1%	7%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV	October 27–30, 2014	596	± 4.1%	51%	40%	4%	3%	3%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Jim
Abeler (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	October 27–29, 2013	895	± 3.3%	50%	39%	—	11%
SurveyUSA	February 25–27, 2014	545	± 4.3%	49%	37%	—	14%
Suffolk	April 24–28, 2014	800	± ?	45%	29%	8%	19%
SurveyUSA	June 5–9, 2014	1,017	± 3.1%	48%	39%	8%	5%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	633	± 3.9%	50%	39%	—	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Michele
Bachmann (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 21–22, 2012	1,236	± 2.8%	54%	39%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	May 31 – June 3, 2012	973	± 3.1%	57%	35%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	September 10–11, 2012	824	± 3.4%	52%	40%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	October 5–8, 2012	937	± 3.2%	55%	37%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	January 18–20, 2013	1,065	± 3%	54%	40%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	May 17–19, 2013	712	± 3.7%	55%	38%	—	7%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	David
Carlson (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	633	± 3.9%	49%	38%	—	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Norm
Coleman (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 31 – June 3, 2012	973	± 3.1%	51%	41%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	September 10–11, 2012	824	± 3.4%	50%	43%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	October 5–8, 2012	937	± 3.2%	51%	41%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	January 18–20, 2013	1,065	± 3%	50%	44%	—	7%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Chris
Dahlberg (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	October 27–29, 2013	895	± 3.3%	49%	39%	—	12%
SurveyUSA	February 25–27, 2014	545	± 4.3%	49%	41%	—	10%
Suffolk	April 24–28, 2014	800	± ?	45%	28%	8%	20%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	John
Kline (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 18–20, 2013	1,065	± 3%	49%	41%	—	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Jason
Lewis (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–19, 2013	712	± 3.7%	54%	37%	—	9%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Monti
Moreno (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	October 27–29, 2013	895	± 3.3%	49%	36%	—	15%
SurveyUSA	February 25–27, 2014	545	± 4.3%	50%	36%	—	15%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Patrick
Munro (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	633	± 3.9%	50%	35%	—	15%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Julianne
Ortman (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–19, 2013	712	± 3.7%	52%	35%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	October 27–29, 2013	895	± 3.3%	49%	37%	—	14%
SurveyUSA	February 25–27, 2014	545	± 4.3%	49%	41%	—	10%
Suffolk	April 24–28, 2014	800	± ?	44%	29%	7%	20%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Erik
Paulsen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 18–20, 2013	1,065	± 3%	50%	39%	—	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Tim
Pawlenty (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 21–22, 2012	1,236	± 2.8%	49%	43%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	May 31 – June 3, 2012	973	± 3.1%	52%	41%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	September 10–11, 2012	824	± 3.4%	50%	43%	—	7%
Public Policy Polling	October 5–8, 2012	937	± 3.2%	51%	42%	—	7%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Julie
Rosen (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–19, 2013	712	± 3.7%	52%	36%	—	12%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Ole
Savior (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	633	± 3.9%	50%	33%	—	17%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Harold
Shudlick (R)	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	February 25–27, 2014	545	± 4.3%	50%	36%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Al
Franken (DFL)	Rich
Stanek (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 17–19, 2013	712	± 3.7%	51%	36%	—	13%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Lincoln (largest municipality: Tyler)
Fillmore (largest city: Spring Valley)
Grant (largest city: Elbow Lake)
Houston (largest city: La Crescent)
Kanabec (largest city: Mora)
Kandiyohi (largest city: Willmar)
Le Sueur (largest city: Le Sueur)
Marshall (largest city: Warren)
Mille Lacs (largest city: Princeton)
Pennington (largest city: Thief River Falls)
Polk (largest city: East Grand Forks)
Pope (largest city: Glenwood)
Red Lake (largest city: Red Lake Falls)
Renville (largest city: Olivia)
Stevens (largest city: Morris)
Traverse (largest city: Wheaton)
Wabasha (largest city: Lake City)
Waseca (largest city: Waseca)
Watonwan (largest city: St. James)
Yellow Medicine (largest city: Granite Falls)
Clay (largest city: Moorhead)
Dakota (largest city: Hastings)
Olmsted (largest city: Rochester)
Washington (largest city: Stillwater)

By congressional district

Franken won six of eight congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.

District	Franken	Representative
49%	45%	Tim Walz
49%	48%	John Kline
48.5%	48.7%	Erik Paulsen
61%	35%	Betty McCollum
74%	23%	Keith Ellison
42%	54%	Tom Emmer
48%	47%	Collin Peterson
54%	42%	Rick Nolan

References

(November 18, 2008). "State of Minnesota Canvassing Report". [[Minnesota Secretary of State]].
Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. and Dave Orrick. (November 19, 2008). "Recount begins in U.S. Senate race; Ritchie hit with 'blizzard' of filings". [[St. Paul Pioneer Press.
Lopez, Patricia and Kevin Duchschere. (November 5, 2008). "Senate race 100% counted: Coleman up; recount coming". [[Star Tribune]].
Duchschere, Kevin and Larry Oakes. (November 22, 2008). "Day 4: Ballot-counters press on, find glitches". [[Star Tribune]].
(January 5, 2009). "Minnesota canvassing board certifies Franken win". [[CNN]] Political Ticker.
Stern, Christopher. (January 5, 2009). "Democrat Franken Wins Minnesota Recount, Coleman Vows Challenge". [[Bloomberg News]].
Doyle, Pat. (April 14, 2009). "Judges rule Franken winner; Coleman to appeal". [[Star Tribune]].
Bakst, Brian. (June 30, 2009). "Minn. Court Rules for Franken in Senate Fight".
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Fiore, Faye. (July 8, 2009). "Al Franken sworn in, with a straight face". [[Los Angeles Times]].
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(November 17, 2012). "Republicans look to oust Franken". [[The Hill (newspaper).
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(May 16, 2014). "Fugitive dentist Jack Shepard just wants to come home… and hold Al Franken's seat in Congress". TwinCities.com.
Cassie Hart. (May 18, 2014). "Independence Party Endorses Candidates for Statewide Races". [[KSTP-TV]].
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(April 23, 2014). "Five statewide candidates up for nomination at LPMN Convention". [[Libertarian Party of Minnesota]].
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Kevin Terrell (IP) 4%, Other 1%
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[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=eaafac97-2b0e-47ff-bf93-20fac9fdbf9c SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV]
Heather Johnson (L) 1%, Other 1%
[http://atr.rollcall.com/al-franken-up-7-points-in-republican-poll/ Public Opinion Strategies] {{Webarchive. link. (October 10, 2014)
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6e53c270-0a35-4e3e-9b88-252b24226c9e SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV]
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[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=55be798e-cb2a-4112-a9af-70117fe73b65 SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV]
Heather Johnson (L) 2%, Other 1%
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9227c0d0-11db-49db-a110-9e8777fa08a3 SurveyUSA]
Kevin Terrell (IP) 6%, Other 2%
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MN_012312.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MN_060812.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MN_912121.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MN_1008.pdf Public Policy Polling]
"Statewide Results for U.S. Senator". Minnesota Secretary of State.
"Home - Election Results".

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