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2014 Texas gubernatorial election

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2014 Texas gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Texas gubernatorial election
countryTexas
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Texas gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Texas gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
turnout33.7% (of registered voters)
25.0% (of voting age population)
image1Greg Abbott crop.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Greg Abbott**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**2,796,547**
percentage1**59.27%**
image2Wendy Davis by Gage Skidmore.jpg
nominee2Wendy Davis
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote21,835,596
percentage238.90%
map_image{{switcher[[File:2014 Texas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg310px]]County results[[File:2014 Texas gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg310px]]Congressional district results[[File:TX GOV 2014.svg310px]]
map_captionPrecinct results}}**Abbott:**
**Davis:**
**Tie:**
titleGovernor
before_electionRick Perry
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionGreg Abbott
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

25.0% (of voting age population) Davis:
Tie:
The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.

The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. Also on the ballot were Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer. Abbott was projected to carry the election, and ultimately won handily with a 20.4 percentage point advantage. As of 2022, this is the most recent gubernatorial election in which Bexar, Harris and Hays counties voted Republican and in which Frio, Jim Wells, and Val Verde counties voted Democratic. Exit polls showed Abbott winning Whites (72% to 25%), while Davis received majorities among African Americans (92% to 7%) and Hispanics (55% to 44%). Abbott won roughly half of Hispanic men, 54% of all women, and 62% of married women.

Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th governor of Texas.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Greg Abbott, attorney general of Texas
  • Lisa Fritsch, author and radio show host
  • Larry Kilgore, perennial candidate
  • Miriam Martinez, former Univision personality

Withdrew

  • Tom Pauken, former Texas Workforce Commissioner and former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas

Declined

  • David Dewhurst, lieutenant governor of Texas (ran for re-election and lost the party primary runoff)
  • Debra Medina, activist and candidate for governor of Texas in 2010 (running for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)
  • Rick Perry, incumbent governor of Texas

Endorsements

Organizations

  • Texas Municipal Police Association

Individuals

Organizations

  • Citizens for the Republic

Individuals

  • Mark Levin, talk radio host, lawyer, and author

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
AbbottLisa
FritschLarry
KilgoreMiriam
MartinezTom
PaukenOtherUndecided
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 7–17, 2014461± 4.56%**90%**4%1%5%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 18–27, 2013519± 5.02%**50%**3%1%2%2%42%
Texas LyceumSeptember 6–20, 2013279± 5.87%**22%****2%**1%0%**74%**
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRick
PerryGreg
AbbottSomeone elseUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013318± ?%**46%**34%20%
**44%**39%17%
UoT/Texas TribuneMay 31–June 9, 2013492± 5.27%**45%**19%11%25%
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 15–24, 2013549± 4.18%**49%**17%31%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**47%**41%13%
**41%**38%20%
Burnt Orange ReportMay 15–16, 2012462± 4.6%**42%**35%7%16%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Wendy Davis, state senator
  • Ray Madrigal, perennial candidate

Declined

  • Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio
  • Kinky Friedman, singer, songwriter, novelist, humorist and independent candidate for governor in 2006 (candidate in May 27 runoff for Texas Commissioner of Agriculture)
  • Annise Parker, mayor of Houston
  • Mike Villarreal, state representative
  • Kirk Watson, state senator and former mayor of Austin
  • Bill White, former mayor of Houston and nominee for governor in 2010

Endorsements

Politicians

  • Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio
  • Howard Dean, former chair of the Democratic National Committee, former governor of Vermont, candidate for president in 2004

Organizations

  • Democracy for America
  • EMILY's List
  • Human Rights Campaign

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorWendy
DavisRay
MadrigalOtherUndecided
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 7–17, 2014263± 6.04%**87%**13%

Results

Results by county:

]]

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Robert Bell, pharmaceutical executive and chemist
  • Robert Garrett, veteran, helicopter mechanic and prison officer
  • Kathie Glass, attorney
  • Robert "Star" Locke, rancher, building contractor, veteran and perennial candidate

Withdrew

  • Gene Chapman, candidate for president of the United States in 2008
  • R. Lee Wrights, vice chair of the Libertarian National Committee and candidate for president of the United States in 2012

Results

Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.

Green nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Brandon Parmer, candidate for Texas's 6th congressional district in 2012

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Sarah M. Pavitt, Army veteran and cousin of former SOCOM commander William H. McRaven; ran as a write-in candidate

Declined

  • Debra Medina, activist and Republican candidate for governor in 2010 (ran unsuccessfully for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)

General election

Debates

The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV. KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here. The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas." The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
Abbott (R)Wendy
Davis (D)OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,987± 3%**57%**37%0%6%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 10–19, 2014866± 3.6%**54%**38%8%
Survey Research CenterSeptember 22–October 16, 2014781± 3.5%**47%**32%2%17%
Crosswind CommunicationsOctober 9–12, 2014500± 4.33%**52%**31%0%16%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 1–2, 2014840± 3.5%**51%**40%3%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20144,177± 2%**54%**40%0%5%
Texas LyceumSeptember 11–25, 2014666± 3.8%**49%**40%4%8%
Benenson*September 2–4, 2014800± 3.5%**46%**38%16%
WPA Opinion Research^September 3, 2014?± ?**53%**35%12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 20144,189± 2%**56%**38%2%5%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 4–5, 2014850± 3.5%**48%**40%3%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20144,320± 3.7%**54%**37%1%9%
UoT/Texas TribuneMay 30–June 8, 20141,200± 2.83%**44%**32%7%17%
Texas Tech UniversityApril 14–17, 2014454± 4.6%**54%**25%6%15%
Public Policy PollingApril 10–13, 2014559± 4.1%**51%**37%13%
Emerson CollegeMarch 7–12, 2014494± ?**49%**42%9%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 3–4, 2014500± 4.5%**53%**41%1%4%
UoT/Texas TribuneFebruary 7–17, 20141,200± 2.83%**47%**36%17%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%**50%**35%15%
**47%**37%9%8%
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 18–27, 20131,200± 3.3%**40%**34%25%
**40%**35%5%20%
Texas LyceumSeptember 6–20, 2013798± 3.47%29%21%**50%**
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**48%**40%12%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**46%**34%20%

With Castro

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
Abbott (R)Julian
Castro (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**48%**34%18%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**46%**36%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRick
Perry (R)Julian
Castro (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**50%**43%8%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**47%**42%11%

With Davis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorTom
Pauken (R)Wendy
Davis (D)OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas TribuneOctober 18–27, 20131,200± 3.3%34%**38%**28%
33%**36%**6%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRick
Perry (R)Wendy
Davis (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**53%**39%8%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**47%**41%13%

With Parker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
Abbott (R)Annise
Parker (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**50%**31%20%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**47%**35%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRick
Perry (R)Annise
Parker (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**52%**35%13%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**47%**40%13%

With White

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorGreg
Abbott (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**48%**36%16%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%**46%**39%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorRick
Perry (R)Bill
White (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 28–July 1, 2013500± 4.4%**50%**40%10%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 24–27, 2013400± 4.9%44%**47%**9%
    • Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
  • ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Bexar (largest city: San Antonio)
  • Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
  • Falls (largest city: Marlin)
  • Foard (largest city: Crowell)
  • Harris (largest community: Houston)
  • Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
  • La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
  • Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
  • Trinity (largest city: Trinity)

By congressional district

Abbott won 25 of 36 congressional districts.

DistrictAbbottDavisRepresentative
**77%**23%Louie Gohmert
**64%**36%Ted Poe
**66%**34%Sam Johnson
**77%**23%Ralph Hall ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
John Ratcliffe ([114th Congress](114th-united-states-congress))
**67%**33%Jeb Hensarling
**59%**41%Joe Barton
**61%**39%John Culberson
**79%**21%Kevin Brady
24%**76%**Al Green
**60%**40%Michael McCaul
**85%**15%Mike Conaway
**66%**34%Kay Granger
**84%**16%Mac Thornberry
**61%**39%Randy Weber
47%**53%**Rubén Hinojosa
40%**60%**Beto O'Rourke
**64%**36%Bill Flores
24%**76%**Sheila Jackson Lee
**82%**18%Randy Neugebauer
43%**57%**Joaquín Castro
**60%**40%Lamar Smith
**65%**35%Pete Olson
**57%**43%Pete Gallego ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
Will Hurd ([114th Congress](114th-united-states-congress))
**63%**37%Kenny Marchant
**60%**40%Roger Williams
**69%**31%Michael Burgess
**65%**35%Blake Farenthold
46%**54%**Henry Cuellar
37%**63%**Gene Green
21%**79%**Eddie Bernice Johnson
**63%**37%John Carter
**58%**42%Pete Sessions
30%**70%**Marc Veasey
47%**53%**Filemon Vela Jr.
36%**64%**Lloyd Doggett
**76%**24%Steve Stockman ([113th Congress](113th-united-states-congress))
Brian Babin ([114th Congress](114th-united-states-congress))

Notes

References

References

  1. "Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)".
  2. "2014 Statewide Offices List". Libertarian Party of Texas.
  3. "Green Party of Texas - Peace * Justice * Democracy * Ecology".
  4. (November 5, 2014). "Up and down the ballot, a night of dominance for GOP in Texas and in Harris County". Houston Chronicle.
  5. "2014 Exit Polls - Politics - Fox News". Fox News.
  6. Hoppe, Christy. (July 14, 2013). "Greg Abbott makes it official: He's running for governor of Texas".
  7. Rauf, David. (October 8, 2013). "Another Republican jumps into the race for Texas governor". San Antonio Express-News.
  8. Fernandez, Manny. (November 23, 2012). "With Stickers, a Petition and Even a Middle Name, Secession Fever Hits Texas". [[The New York Times]].
  9. "Miriam Martinez says she'll run for governor". The Monitor.
  10. (5 December 2013). "Tom Pauken withdraws from GOP governor's race". The Dallas Morning News.
  11. Stutz, Terrence. "David Dewhurst '101 percent' sure he'll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor | Dallasnews.com - News for Dallas, Texas - The Dallas Morning News". Dallasnews.com.
  12. (August 7, 2013). "Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign". KTRK-TV Houston.
  13. "Debra Medina - Looking forward to a weekend of...". Facebook.
  14. (February 20, 2012). "Medina may run for Texas office again in 2014 - PoliTex". Blogs.star-telegram.com.
  15. Root, Jay. (2013-07-08). "Rick Perry Says He Won't Run for Re-election".
  16. (July 29, 2013). "Texas Municipal Police Association Endorses Greg Abbott". Abbott for Governor.
  17. Mccalmont, Lucy. (February 19, 2014). "Palin backs Abbott in Texas".
  18. (July 19, 2013). "TOM PAUKEN FOR GOVERNOR OF TEXAS". Citizens for the Republic.
  19. (September 21, 2013). "I want to thank my good friend and fellow Reaganite Mark Levin". Facebook.
  20. [http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/utttpoll-201402-1summary.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune]
  21. [http://www.texastribune.org/2013/11/04/uttt-poll-governor-race-abbott-leads-davis-6/ UoT/Texas Tribune]
  22. [https://web.archive.org/web/20131004234341/http://www.texaslyceum.org/media/staticContent/PubCon_Journals/2013/2013_Poll_Results.pdf Texas Lyceum]
  23. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_070213.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  24. [http://www.texastribune.org/2013/06/17/uttt-poll-texans-favor-cruz-over-perry-president/ UoT/Texas Tribune]
  25. [http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/ut-tt-feb2013-summary1.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune]
  26. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_129.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  27. [http://www.burntorangereport.com/diary/12308/bor-poll-republicans-satisfied-with-romney-split-on-senate-and-railroad-race Burnt Orange Report]
  28. http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist169_state.htm 2014 Republican Party Primary Election
  29. (September 26, 2013). "Wendy Davis tells Democrats she's in". Politico.
  30. (September 26, 2013). "Wendy Davis, of filibuster fame, to run for Texas governor". Reuters.
  31. (November 9, 2013). "2014 campaign now off and running in Texas". Star-Telegram.
  32. Cooper, Gary. (January 17, 2013). "Mayor Julian Castro says he's not running for governor in 2014". KENS 5.
  33. "First Reading". www.statesman.com.
  34. Kennedy, Bud. (June 29, 2013). "To Kinky Friedman, a Wendy-for-governor campaign is no joke | Bud Kennedy | Fort Worth, Arlin". Star-telegram.com.
  35. "Twitter / anniseparker: LOL. I appreciate the". Twitter.com.
  36. "Mike Villarreal - My mother was the first to call me about...". Facebook.
  37. (February 18, 2013). "2014 Texas Governor's Race: Democratic Primary Preview". Burnt Orange Report.
  38. (February 28, 2013). "Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs - Houston Chronicle". Chron.com.
  39. Gonzalez, John W.. (October 7, 2013). "Mayor Castro endorses Wendy Davis for governor". [[San Antonio Express-News]].
  40. Joseph, Cameron. (October 4, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Wendy Davis". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  41. (January 29, 2014). "HRC Endorses Wendy Davis for Texas Governor". Human Rights Campaign.
  42. http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist170_state.htm 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election
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  44. (January 5, 2014). "Retired Army sergeant running for governor". Killeen Daily Herald.
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  46. "2014 Texas Statewide Candidates". Burnt Orange Report.
  47. (July 15, 2013). "Chapman for Governor". The Dalhart Texan.
  48. [http://verygoodcitizenshiptoday.blogspot.com.au/2014/01/chapman-withdraws-from-texas.html "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race"] – Very Good Citizenship Today, personal blog of Gene Chapman. Published 8 January 2014. Retrieved 12 January 2014.
  49. (July 5, 2013). "Lee Wrights Considering Run for Texas Governor | Independent Political Report: Third Party News". Independent Political Report.
  50. Ziggler, Jed. (January 20, 2014). "Lee Wrights Drops Out of Texas Gubernatorial Race". Independent Political Report.
  51. (December 10, 2013). "Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014". Green Party.
  52. Jeff Winkler. (October 31, 2014). "If Three's a Crowd...". Texas Monthly.
  53. Peggy Fikac. (October 28, 2013). "Medina not about to run for governor". Express News.
  54. [http://www.valleycentral.com/debate/ Abbott, Davis to debate in the Rio Grande Valley], staff, Action 4 News, September 19, 2014
  55. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FThK3OglizQ Texas Governor Debate], KGBT-TV, September 19, 2014
  56. (September 20, 2014). "Texas gubernatorial candidates court Hispanic vote in debate". Reuters.
  57. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
  58. (November 3, 2014). "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
  59. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  60. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
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  62. [http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/uttt-oct14-summary-2.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune]
  63. Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  64. [https://web.archive.org/web/20141023010225/http://www.khou.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/19/abbott-patrick-command-big-leads-in-khou--houston-public-media-poll/17586309/ Survey Research Center]
  65. Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
  66. [http://www.crosswindcommunications.com/#!Crosswind-Poll-Shows-Abbott-with-Significant-Lead/c7a5/33C91DE4-CACE-4B1D-9B9C-4A73C3FD9218 Crosswind Communications]
  67. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/texas/election_2014_texas_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  68. [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  69. [http://www.texaslyceum.org/assets/cms/uploads/files/2014%20Poll%20Day%202%20news%20release%20FINAL.pdf Texas Lyceum] {{Dead link. (April 2019)
  70. Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  71. [http://blog.chron.com/texaspolitics/2014/09/internal-survey-davis-trails-abbott-by-single-digits/ Benenson*]
  72. [http://blog.chron.com/texaspolitics/2014/09/internal-poll-abbott-leads-davis-by-18/ WPA Opinion Research^]
  73. [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-texas/#TXgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  74. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2014_archive/texas/texas_governor_abbott_r_48_davis_d_40 Rasmussen Reports]
  75. [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
  76. [http://s3.amazonaws.com/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/uttt-jun2014-summary-1.pdf UoT/Texas Tribune]
  77. Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
  78. [http://www.newswise.com/articles/texas-tech-survey-abbott-to-win-texas-governor-voter-id-law-didn-t-cause-problems-and-texans-split-on-gay-marriage Texas Tech University]
  79. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_TX_415.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  80. [http://texasresearchinstitute.org/poll/davis-closes-gap-single-digits-first-post-primary-poll Emerson College] {{Webarchive. link. (March 18, 2014)
  81. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2014_archive/texas/texas_governor_abbott_r_53_davis_d_41 Rasmussen Reports]
  82. [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_TX_1105.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  83. Kathie Glass (L)
  84. "Office of the Secretary of State Race Summary Report 2014 General Election". Texas Secretary of State.
  85. https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::19b1b774-7706-485b-a21a-896bbcbddbba
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