2006 Texas gubernatorial election

Background

Incumbent Rick Perry became governor in late 2000 when then-Governor George W. Bush resigned following his election as President of the United States. He had been elected lieutenant governor in 1998. Perry was subsequently elected governor in his own right in 2002 and successfully ran for a second full term in 2006.

Perry's overall poll ratings had plummeted since the 2002 election, plagued by budget woes, battles over school financing reform, and a contentious and controversial redistricting battle. His approval rating dropped to 38% during the latter part of the 2005 legislative session.

Qualifications

It is difficult for an independent gubernatorial candidate to gain ballot access in the state of Texas. The election law, summarized briefly, requires the following:

• The candidate must obtain signatures from registered voters, in an amount equalling at least one percent of the total votes cast in the prior gubernatorial election. For the 2006 ballot, this required 45,540 signatures. (This is also the number of signatures required for a third party to gain ballot access, which only the Libertarian Party did in 2006.)
• The signatures must come from registered voters who did not vote in either the Democratic or Republican primaries or in any runoff elections for governor.
• The signatures must come from registered voters who have not signed a petition for any other independent candidate. In other words, a Strayhorn supporter cannot also sign Friedman's petition, nor vice versa. If a supporter signed more than one petition, only the first signature counts.
• The signatures must be obtained within 60 days following the primary election; the window is shortened to 30 days if a runoff election for either party's gubernatorial candidate is required. In 2006, neither party had a runoff election for governor; therefore, the candidates had the full 60 days – until May 11, 2006.

In the event a candidate does not qualify for independent status, they may still run as a write-in candidate. The candidate must pay a $3,750 filing fee and submit 5,000 qualified signatures. However, the filing cannot take place any earlier than July 30, nor later than 5:00 PM on August 29.

Republican primary

Candidates

• Star Locke
• Larry Kilgore, advocate for Texas secession
• Rick Perry, incumbent governor since 2000
• Rhett Smith

Withdrew

• Carole Keeton Strayhorn, Texas Comptroller and former Railroad Commissioner and mayor of Austin (withdrew December 2005, ran as independent)

Declined

• Kay Bailey Hutchison, U.S. senator since 1993 (ran for re-election)

Campaign

The race was initially expected to be a contentious three-way primary between Perry, Comptroller of Public Accounts Carole Keeton Strayhorn, and U.S. senator Kay Bailey Hutchison. Hutchison declined to run for governor in late 2005, instead opting to run for re-election to the Senate. This left Strayhorn and Perry vying for the GOP nomination. Believing her chances to be better running as an independent and appealing directly to voters, rather than those of the Republican Party first, she announced her intent to challenge him in the general election instead. Had she run in the primary, the December 2005 Scripps Howard Texas Poll of match ups had Perry in the lead against Strayhorn by a 55%-24% margin.

Despite weak polling numbers, Perry had the support of the Texas Republican Party. According to Perry's campaign website, he gained 142 separate endorsements. Perry had endorsements from virtually the entire Texas Republican congressional delegation (all but two members), every Republican statewide officeholder (except Strayhorn and judicial officeholders, who by law cannot endorse political candidates), 51 of the 62 members of the Texas Republican Party executive committee, and nearly every major Texas pro-business, fiscal conservative, and social conservative organization and PAC. Perry even managed to gain the endorsement of the Teamsters Union, notwithstanding Texas's strong right to work laws.

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

• Chris Bell, former U.S. representative from Houston and member of the Houston City Council
• Bob Gammage, former justice of the Texas Supreme Court and U.S. representative from Houston
• Rashad Jafer

Chris Bell, a former congressman from Houston, had been defeated in his party's 2004 primary after the controversial mid-decade redistricting in the state. Bell announced his run in July 2005.

Results

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General election

Candidates

• Chris Bell, former U.S. representative from Houston and member of the Houston City Council (Democratic)
• James "Patriot" Dillon (Independent) (write-in)
• Kinky Friedman, country singer and mystery author (Independent)
• Rick Perry, incumbent governor since 2001 (Republican)
• Carole Keeton Strayhorn, Texas Comptroller and former Railroad Commissioner and mayor of Austin (Independent)
• James Werner, sales consultant and candidate for U.S. House in 2004 (Libertarian) Kinky Friedman, an independent candidate, claimed that country-music lovers, college students, animal lovers, ranchers, and anyone who did not vote in the last election were among his supporters.

Campaign

Bell's official strategy was to get Democrats to unite behind and vote for a Democrat, predicting (and betting on) a splintering of the Republican vote among Perry, Strayhorn, and Friedman, giving the Democrats the needed plurality to win the election. Running on a platform of ethics reform and education issues, he stayed with the pack of three candidates with better name recognition. After a good debate performance, his poll numbers improved significantly to where he had taken second place in nearly every poll afterward.

Friedman briefly enjoyed a high standing in the polls, and surpassed Democrat Chris Bell for second place by Independence Day. As election day drew near, the Friedman campaign fizzled out as much of his wide support was among young voters. He finished fourth in the election with under 13% of the vote. His website claimed that "he doesn't put much stock in unscientific political polls among "likely" voters, saying, "It's Kinky Friedman versus apathy". Friedman stated during the campaign that he was going after the 71% who had not made it to the polls in 2002.

Perry's position in polling improved during the campaign, with a 44% approval rating and 51% disapproving as of September 2006.

Debates

Predictions

Endorsements

Individuals

• Wesley Clark, general, 2004 Democratic presidential candidate}}

Polling

Graphical summary

Results

| | | | | | Texas election laws do not require a run-off in the event that a majority is not achieved, so Governor Perry joined only two other Texas governors to achieve the office by a plurality of less than 40%. The Texas gubernatorial elections of 1853 and 1861 were both won with less than 40% of the vote.

Strayhorn was seen as a moderate alternative to Perry, and found support among moderate Republicans and independent voters. Although a few polls had her tied for second going into election day, she finished with 18.13%.{{Election box begin

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Cass (largest city: Atlanta)
• Hudspeth (largest city: Fort Hancock)
• Pecos (largest city: Fort Stockton)
• Terrell (largest city: Sanderson)
• Cameron (largest city: Brownsville)
• Kenedy (largest municipality: Sarita)
• Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
• Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

• Falls (largest city: Marlin)
• Nolan (largest city: Sweetwater)
• Coke (largest city: Robert Lee)
• Goliad (largest city: Goliad)
• Wilson (largest city: Floresville)
• Wharton (largest city: El Campo)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Calhoun (largest city: Port Lavaca)
• Bastrop (largest city: Elgin)
• Stonewall (largest city: Aspermont)
• Swisher (largest city: Tulia)
• Crosby (largest city: Crosbyton)
• Red River (largest city: Clarksville)
• Haskell (largest city: Haskell)
• Dallas (largest city: Dallas)

References

References

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