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2014 Tasmanian state election

State election in Australia

Field	Value
election_name	2014 Tasmanian state election
country	Tasmania
type	parliamentary
ongoing	no
previous_election	2010 Tasmanian state election
previous_year	2010
next_election	2018 Tasmanian state election
next_year	2018
seats_for_election	All 25 seats in the House of Assembly
majority_seats	13
turnout	93.49% ( 0.36pp)
election_date	15 March 2014
image1
leader1	Will Hodgman
leader_since1	30 March 2006
party1	Tasmanian Liberal Party
leaders_seat1	Franklin
popular_vote1	167,051
percentage1	51.22%
swing1	12.23pp
last_election1	10 seats; 38.99%
seats1	15
seat_change1	5
image2
leader2	Lara Giddings
leader_since2	24 January 2011
party2	Tasmanian Labor Party
leaders_seat2	Franklin
popular_vote2	89,130
percentage2	27.33%
swing2	9.55pp
last_election2	10 seats; 36.88%
seats2	7
seat_change2	3
image3
leader3	Nick McKim
leader_since3	7 July 2008
party3	Tasmanian Greens
leaders_seat3	Franklin
last_election3	5 seats; 21.61%
seats3	3
seat_change3	2
popular_vote3	45,098
percentage3	13.83%
swing3	7.78pp
map_image	2014 Tasmanian state election - Results.svg
map_size	350px
map_caption	Results of the election
title	Premier
before_election	Lara Giddings
before_party	Tasmanian Labor Party
after_election	Will Hodgman
after_party	Tasmanian Liberal Party

The 2014 Tasmanian state election was held on 15 March 2014 to elect all 25 members to the House of Assembly. The 16-year incumbent Labor government, led by the Premier of Tasmania Lara Giddings, sought to win a fifth consecutive term in government, but was defeated by the Liberal opposition, led by Opposition Leader Will Hodgman, in a landslide victory. Also contesting the election was the Greens led by Nick McKim. The Palmer United Party made a significant effort in the election.

The House of Assembly uses the proportional Hare-Clark system to elect 25 members in five constituencies electing five members each. Elections to the Legislative Council are conducted separately from House of Assembly elections. The election was conducted by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Before the election, Hodgman had indicated that he would only govern in majority. ABC News election analyst Antony Green suggested Hodgman's promise could have come back to haunt him if Palmer United were to siphon off enough votes to deny the Liberals enough seats for a majority in their own right. However, this became moot after the Liberals picked up an additional seat in every electorate except Denison, assuring them a majority. By 10:00 pm on election night, with the Liberals assured of winning at least 14 seats, Giddings conceded defeat on behalf of Labor. Ultimately, the Liberals won 15 seats, a decisive majority. Although this was just two more seats than necessary for a majority, under Tasmanian electoral practice of the time, winning 15 seats was considered a comprehensive victory.

Hodgman took office on 31 March 2014, becoming only the fifth non-Labor premier in 80 years and only the third to govern in majority.

Later, Giddings resigned as Labor party leader, and was succeeded by outgoing Deputy Premier Bryan Green on 31 March 2014.

Date

Under section 23 of the Constitution Act 1934, the House of Assembly expires four years from the return of the writs for its election, in this case 7 April 2010. The Governor must issue writs of election between five and ten days thereafter. Nominations must close on a date seven to 21 days after the issuance of the writ, and polling day must be a Saturday between 15 and 30 days after nominations close, making the last possible date 7 June 2014.

On 16 January 2014, Premier Lara Giddings announced she would recall Parliament for a single session on 28 January for the sole purpose of ensuring the validity of permits for the Bell Bay Pulp Mill. She said that once the legislation was passed, she would ask the Governor of Tasmania to prorogue the parliament and issue writs for an election to be held on 15 March. Giddings announced that Greens Nick McKim and Cassy O'Connor would be expelled from cabinet as of 17 January, that the power sharing arrangement between Labor and the Greens was over, and that Labor would no longer govern with Greens in cabinet.

The 2014 South Australian state election occurred on the same day for the third time in a row.

Background

Main article: 2010 Tasmanian state election

The results from the previous election saw a tie between the two major parties, who both won ten seats. The Greens, led by Nick McKim, won five seats and held the balance of power. The outcome in all five multimember seats was two Labor, two Liberal, and one Green. The Liberals were ahead on the popular vote by a margin of over 6,700 votes and both Premier David Bartlett and Opposition Leader Hodgman agreed that Hodgman thus had the right to form a government. Labor went as far as to vote to relinquish power and advise the Governor, Peter Underwood, to summon Hodgman to be commissioned as the new premier.

However, on 9 April, Underwood recommissioned Bartlett, detailing several reasons for his decision including incumbency and a higher chance of stability. The Liberal Party tabled motions of no-confidence in parliament against the Labor government, but these were unsuccessful.

An interim cabinet was sworn in on 13 April, with Bartlett as Premier and Labor deputy leader Lara Giddings as Deputy Premier. On 24 January 2011, Bartlett stood down from the premiership to be replaced by Giddings who was elected unopposed as Tasmania's first female Premier.

Retiring MPs

Labor

Michael Polley (Lyons) – announced on 6 June 2013.
Graeme Sturges (Denison) – announced on 30 June 2013.

Polling

Polling is regularly conducted for Tasmanian state politics by Enterprise Marketing and Research Services (EMRS). Unlike other pollsters, EMRS don't "prompt" their respondents for an answer on the first request, contributing to the large "undecided" percentage. The sample size for each poll is 1,000 Tasmanian voters.

Political parties	Lib	ALP	Grn	PUP	Ind
44%	20%	15%	5%	3%	13%
44%	20%	17%	5%	4%	10%
46%	25%	13%	0%	4%	12%
40%	19%	9%	–	2%	30%
44%	23%	11%	–	3%	29%
43%	20%	12%	–	2%	24%
38%	18%	17%	–	2%	25%
38%	17%	17%	–	4%	25%
39%	19%	14%	–	3%	25%
42%	17%	15%	–	2%	24%
44%	16%	14%	–	4%	22%
38%	19%	17%	–	4%	22%
36%	20%	20%	–	2%	23%
35%	23%	20%	–	3%	19%
30%	29%	23%	–	3%	14%
38%	23%	24%	–	3%	12%
39.0%	36.9%	21.6%	–	2.5%	–
30%	23%	22%	–	2%	23%
[Polling](https://web.archive.org/web/20130921053534/http://www.emrs.com.au/pdfs/State%20Voting%20Intentions%20September%202013.pdf) conducted by EMRS.

Labor
Giddings	Liberal
Hodgman	Green
McKim	Feb 2014	Nov 2013	Sep 2013	May 2013	Feb 2013	Nov 2012	Aug 2012	May 2012	Feb 2012	Nov 2011	Aug 2011	May 2011	Feb 2011	Nov 2010	Aug 2010	May 2010	[2010 election](2010-tasmanian-state-election)	Feb 2010
21%	48%	13%
22%	47%	12%
18%	48%	12%
25%	46%	10%
24%	46%	13%
25%	47%	11%
22%	45%	15%
21%	43%	17%
24%	44%	15%
19%	48%	14%
19%	52%	13%
22%	42%	18%
27%	38%	16%
23%1	39%	21%
27%1	34%	22%
26%1	40%	23%
–	–	–
29%1	34%	21%
[Polling](https://web.archive.org/web/20131205102614/http://www.emrs.com.au/pdfs/State%20Voting%20Intentions%20November%202013.pdf) conducted by EMRS.
^ Remainder were "uncommitted".
1 David Bartlett.

Results

Primary vote percentages by division

Braddon	Denison	Franklin	Lyons
Labor Party	23.27%	23.24%	33.79%	28.61%
Liberal Party	57.22%	58.76%	38.28%	49.84%
Tasmanian Greens	12.72%	7.03%	21.19%	16.79%
Other	6.79%	10.97%	6.74%	4.76%

Current distribution of seats

Electorate	Seats held
	Bass	Liberal}}
	Braddon	Liberal}}
	Denison	Liberal}}
	Franklin	Liberal}}
	Lyons	Liberal}}

		Green

Damage to ballot papers

On 16 March, the day after the election, the Tasmanian Electoral Commission announced that a machine being used to open envelopes containing postal votes from the Denison electorate had been operated improperly, resulting in damage to 2,338 ballot papers. Whilst 2,175 ballot papers were repaired and admitted to the count, 163 papers were too badly damaged to be used and were counted as informal.

References

(16 January 2014). "Tasmanian Premier names election date as March 15". [[ABC News (Australia).
(26 March 2014). "Final Figures for the 2014 Tasmanian Election". ABC News.
[[Antony Green. Green, Antony]]. [http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-17/tasmanian-election-preview/5187740 2014 Tasmanian election preview]. [[ABC News (Australia). ABC News]], 2014-01-17.
Lehman, Ros. (15 March 2014). "Tasmania votes: Liberals sweep to power, ending 16 years of Labor rule". [[ABC News (Australia).
Atherton, Ben. (15 March 2014). "Liberals swept to power in Tasmania, Labor fights to the death in South Australia". [[ABC News (Australia).
"Tasmanian state election 2014: an overview".
"Parliamentary Elections, 2007–2010". Tasmanian Electoral Commission.
Electoral Act 2004, [http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/tas/consol_act/ea2004103/s63.html section 63].
Electoral Act 2004, [http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/tas/consol_act/ea2004103/s69.html section 69].
Electoral Act 2004, [http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/tas/consol_act/ea2004103/s70.html section 70].
Denholm, Matthew. (16 January 2014). "Lara Giddings sets March 15 as date for Tasmania election". The Australian.
(31 March 2010). "Hodgman in box seat after Tasmania count complete". ABC Online.
Denholm, Matthew. (1 April 2010). "Bartlett's Labor gives up power in Tasmania to Will Hodgman's Liberals". [[The Australian]].
Hon [[Peter Underwood]] AC. (9 April 2010). "The reasons of the Governor of Tasmania for the commissioning of the Honourable David Bartlett to form a government following the 2010 House of Assembly Election".
[https://web.archive.org/web/20100510035409/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/05/05/2890951.htm Labor, Greens defeat 'no confidence' move], ABC News, 5 May 2010.
[https://archive.today/20120724033113/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/04/13/2871225.htm Media ban as Bartlett government sworn in], ''ABC News'', 13 April 2010.
(23 January 2011). "Bartlett confirms resignation on Facebook". Abc.net.au.
(23 January 2011). "Tasmanian premier resigns". Smh.com.au.
Prismall, Barry. (6 June 2013). "Polley retires with House in order". The Examiner.
Smith, Matt. (30 June 2013). "Giddings' agenda for change". The Mercury.
[http://www.emrs.com.au/pdfs/State%20Voting%20Intentions%20November%202013.pdf] {{Webarchive. link. (5 December 2013, EMRS, November 2013.)
"2014 House of Assembly Results". Tasmanian Electoral Commission.
[http://www.tec.tas.gov.au/StateElection/media/8%20-%20Denison%20ballot%20papers.pdf Damage to Denison ballot papers] {{Webarchive. link. (4 March 2015 , Tasmanian Electoral Commission, 16 March 2014.)

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