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2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

none

Field	Value
election_name	2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
country	Rhode Island
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
previous_year	2010
next_election	2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
next_year	2018
election_date	November 4, 2014
image_size	x160px
image1	File:Rhode island governor visits NAVSTA Newport (cropped).jpg
nominee1	Gina Raimondo
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1	131,899
percentage1	40.70%
image2	File:Cranston mayor Allan Fung.jpg
nominee2	Allan Fung
party2	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2	117,428
percentage2	36.24%
image3	File:Robert J. Healey.jpg
nominee3	Robert J. Healey
party3	Moderate Party of Rhode Island
popular_vote3	69,278
percentage3	21.38%
map	{{switcher
map_caption	Raimondo:
Fung:
Healey:
Tie: No Votes:
title	Governor
before_election	Lincoln Chafee
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Gina Raimondo
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|250px]] |County results |[[File:2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg|250px]] |Municipality results |[[File:RIGov2014.svg|250px]] |Precinct results}} Fung:
Healey:
Tie: No Votes: The 2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic governor Lincoln Chafee was eligible to run for re-election to a second term but decided to retire. In primary elections held on September 9, 2014, the Democrats nominated Rhode Island Treasurer Gina Raimondo and the Republicans nominated Cranston Mayor Allan Fung. Also on the ballot were Robert J. Healey of the Moderate Party and two Independent candidates.

Raimondo won the election, becoming the first Democrat to be elected governor since Bruce Sundlun in 1992 (Chafee had been elected as an Independent in 2010, switching to the Democratic Party during his term). Raimondo became the first female governor in Rhode Island history. Democrats won Newport County for the first time in a gubernatorial election since 1998, and Bristol and Washington counties since 1992.

Background

In the 2010 gubernatorial election, Republican incumbent Donald Carcieri was term-limited and unable to seek a third term in office. The Republicans nominated businessman John Robitaille and the Democrats nominated State Treasurer Frank T. Caprio. Also contesting the election were Moderate Party nominee Ken Block and Lincoln Chafee, who served as a Republican U.S. senator from 1999 to 2007. After losing a bid for re-election in 2006, Chafee left the Republican Party and became an Independent, running for governor as such. After a close three-way race between Chafee, Robitaille and Caprio, Chafee won the election with a plurality, taking 36% to Robitaille's 34%, Caprio's 23% and Block's 6%.

After constant speculation during his term, Chafee officially joined the Democratic Party on May 30, 2013. He had previously indicated that he might run for re-election as an Independent or a Democrat. In the face of low approval ratings, polling showing him trailing in both the Democratic primary and the general election, and with weak fundraising, Chafee announced on September 4, 2013, that he would not run for re-election. Chafee thus became just the fourth governor in the history of Rhode Island to decline to seek a second term, after Byron Diman in 1847, Royal C. Taft in 1889 and William S. Flynn in 1924.

Democratic primary

Gina Raimondo and Angel Taveras announced their campaigns in late 2013 and the race initially seemed to be between the more fiscally moderate Raimondo and the more progressive Taveras. However, the entry of Clay Pell into the race complicated things. Unions who had criticised Raimondo for cutting pension benefits and investing in hedge funds during her tenure as Treasurer and for fundraising from Wall Street and national lobbyists were split between whether to back Taveras or Pell. A coalition of unions including firefighters, police, supermarket clerks and city employees backed Taveras, whereas the powerful teachers' unions backed Pell, unimpressed with Taveras' support for charter schools. Raimondo drew support from non-union and private sector workers and some private sector unions including iron workers. Pell spent over $3.4 million of his own money and ran a positive campaign, but he was much criticised for his inexperience and lack of ties to Rhode Island. Taveras emphasised his background as the son of poor Dominican immigrants to appeal to Latino and working-class voters. All three candidates agreed not to seek the endorsement of the state Democratic Party. Ultimately, Taveras and Pell took an almost equal share of the vote as progressive Democrats split their vote between the two, allowing Raimondo to win with a plurality. Raimondo won 36 of the state's 39 municipalities. Taveras won Central Falls and Pell won Burrillville and Foster.

Candidates

Declared

Todd Giroux, contractor and independent candidate for governor in 2010
Clay Pell, former Deputy Assistant Secretary for International and Foreign Language Education in the United States Department of Education and grandson of Rhode Island's longest serving senator Claiborne Pell
Gina Raimondo, Treasurer of Rhode Island
Angel Taveras, Mayor of Providence

Withdrew

Ernie Almonte, former auditor general of Rhode Island (running for Treasurer of Rhode Island)
Lincoln Chafee, incumbent governor

Declined

Patrick C. Lynch, former attorney general of Rhode Island
Elizabeth H. Roberts, Lieutenant Governor of Rhode Island
Robert Weygand, former U.S. representative

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Todd
Giroux	Clay
Pell	Gina
Raimondo	Angel
Taveras	Other/
Undecided
Fleming & Associates	August 11–14, 2014	503	± 4.38%	1.4%	25.6%	32.2%	26.8%	12.9%
Fleming & Associates	May 27–30, 2014	506	± 4.38%	1.6%	11.5%	29.2%	33.4%	24.3%
Brown University	April 3–5, 2014	395	± 4.9%	—	9.6%	29.4%	25.8%	35.2%
Fleming & Associates	February 3–6, 2014	503	± 4.38%	1.2%	14.7%	27%	31.2%	25.9%
Brown University	October 2–5, 2013	433	± 4.5%	—	—	42%	33.6%	24.4%
Garin-Hart-Yang^	September 10–12, 2013	400	± 5%	—	—	30%	49%	21%

^ Internal poll for the Angel Taveras Campaign

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee	Ernie
Almonte	Gina
Raimondo	Angel
Taveras	Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	320	± 5.5%	22%	11%	35%	19%	12%
—	9%	44%	35%	13%

Results

Results by municipality:

| | | | | | | ]]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Ken Block, Moderate Party nominee for governor in 2010
Allan Fung, Mayor of Cranston

Declined

Scott Avedisian, Mayor of Warwick
Brendan Doherty, former Superintendent of the Rhode Island State Police and nominee for Rhode Island's 1st congressional district in 2012
Barry Hinckley, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
John Robitaille, former aide to Governor Donald Carcieri and nominee for governor in 2010

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Ken
Block	Allan
Fung	Other/
Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Ass.*	April 2014	300	± ?	46%	37%	17%
Brown University	April 3–5, 2014	86	± 10.6%	36%	31.4%	38.5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Ass.*	October 2013	?	± ?	25%	53%	22%

- Internal poll for the Ken Block campaign

Results

Results by county

]]|Results by county|

Results by municipality

| | | | | ]]|Results by municipality}}

Other parties

Candidates

Declared

Robert J. Healey (Moderate), perennial candidate
Kate Fletcher (Independent)
Leon Kayarian (Independent)

Withdrew

Ken Block (Moderate), nominee for governor in 2010 (switched to Republican primary)
James Spooner (Moderate)

Removed from ballot

Thomas Davis (Independent)
Christopher Reynolds (Independent)
Anna Winograd Vrankar (Compassion)

Declined

Gina Raimondo (Independent), Democratic Treasurer of Rhode Island (won the Democratic primary)

General election

Campaign

Union voter dissatisfaction with Raimondo carried over into the general election, with one poll finding they backed Republican Allan Fung over her, 42% to 30%. Moderate Party nominee Robert J. Healey won 22% of the vote, having spent $35.31 to receive 67,707 votes, or $0.0005 (five ten-thousandths of a dollar) for each vote he received. He later joked, "It's amazing what $35 can do. As I've been saying, if we only spent $75, $80, we might've won the race."

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 21, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Gina
Raimondo (D)	Allan
Fung (R)	Robert J.
Healey (M)	Other	Undecided
Brown University	October 25–26, 2014	500	± 4.4%	40%	39%	13%	1%	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	866	± 6%	40%	35%	—	4%	21%
Brown University	October 14–17, 2014	1,129	± 2.9%	42%	31%	9%	1%	18%
Fleming & Associates	October 6–9, 2014	505	± 4%	42%	36%	8%	1%	14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20–October 1, 2014	724	± 4%	41%	38%	—	2%	19%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23–25, 2014	750	± 4%	42%	37%	—	11%	11%
Public Opinion Strategies*	September 10–11, 2014	500	± 4.38%	42%	42%	—	—	16%
Brown University	October 2–5, 2013	638	± 3.9%	38%	36%	—	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	46%	27%	—	12%	14%

- Internal poll for the Allan Fung campaign

With Raimondo

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Gina
Raimondo (D)	Brendan
Doherty (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	44%	32%	10%	14%

With Taveras

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Angel
Taveras (D)	Ken
Block (R)	Other	Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	919	± 3.4%	49%	24%	15%	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Angel
Taveras (D)	Brendan
Doherty (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	39%	35%	13%	13%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Angel
Taveras (D)	Allan
Fung (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Other	Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18–September 2, 2014	764	± 4%	33%	33%	—	20%	14%
Brown University	October 2–5, 2013	638	± 3.9%	42%	33%	—	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	37%	31%	15%	—	17%

With Chafee

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee (D)	Brendan
Doherty (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	35%	39%	13%	9%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee (D)	Allan
Fung (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	32%	36%	16%	15%

Four-way race

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee (I)	Gina
Raimondo (D)	Brendan
Doherty (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	22%	32%	28%	8%	9%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee (I)	Gina
Raimondo (D)	Allan
Fung (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	21%	35%	23%	10%	12%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee (I)	Angel
Taveras (D)	Brendan
Doherty (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	23%	26%	31%	10%	10%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Lincoln
Chafee (I)	Angel
Taveras (D)	Allan
Fung (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	January 28–30, 2013	614	± 4%	20%	26%	26%	13%	14%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Gina
Raimondo (D)	Angel
Taveras (D)	Allan
Fung (R)	Ken
Block (I)	Undecided
Brown University	October 2–5, 2013	638	± 4.5%	27%	21%	19%	9%	24%

Results

By county

Gina Raimondo
Democratic	Allan Fung
Republican	Robert J. Healey
Moderate	Others	Total	County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Bristol	7,312	39.88%	4,806	26.21%	6,060	33.05%	158	0.86%	18,336
Kent	20,176	34.19%	23,009	38.99%	14,937	25.31%	893	1.51%	59,015
Newport	12,888	43.74%	10,122	34.35%	5,898	20.01%	560	1.90%	29,468
Providence	73,262	43.16%	61,519	36.24%	32,086	18.90%	2,883	1.70%	169,750
Washington	18,261	38.46%	17,972	37.85%	10,297	21.68%	956	2.01%	47,486

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Newport (largest municipality: Newport)

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Bristol (largest municipality: Bristol)
Providence (largest municipality: Providence)
Washington (largest municipality: South Kingstown)

By municipality

Gina Raimondo
Democratic	Allan Fung
Republican	Robert J. Healey
Moderate	Others	Total	Municipality	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Barrington	3,566	49.6%	2,022	28.1%	1,554	21.6%	50	0.7%	7,192
Bristol	2,628	35.7%	1,959	26.6%	2,709	36.8%	75	1.0%	7,368
Burrillville	1,334	28.6%	1,861	39.9%	1,371	29.4%	104	2.2%	4,670
Central Falls	1,359	66.4%	358	17.5%	280	13.7%	50	2.4%	2,047
Charlestown	1,177	38.0%	1,137	36.7%	728	23.5%	59	1.9%	3,101
Coventry	3,812	30.2%	4,979	39.4%	3,610	28.6%	233	1.8%	12,634
Cranston	8,159	30.2%	14,853	55.0%	3,716	13.8%	278	1.0%	27,006
Cumberland	4,661	39.9%	4,325	37.0%	2,478	21.2%	220	1.9%	11,684
East Greenwich	2,364	42.3%	2,315	41.4%	848	15.2%	65	1.2%	5,592
East Providence	5,958	43.5%	3,718	27.1%	3,804	27.8%	225	1.6%	13,705
Exeter	771	28.4%	1,147	42.3%	742	27.3%	53	2.0%	2,713
Foster	534	28.0%	732	38.3%	604	31.6%	40	2.1%	1,910
Glocester	963	27.2%	1,503	42.5%	1,019	28.8%	55	1.5%	3,540
Hopkinton	836	30.9%	1,080	39.9%	723	26.7%	68	2.3%	2,707
Jamestown	1,325	46.2%	901	31.4%	590	20.6%	63	1.9%	2,879
Johnston	3,270	32.6%	4,502	44.9%	2,126	21.2%	134	1.5%	10,032
Lincoln	2,974	36.2%	3,249	39.6%	1,870	22.8%	119	1.4%	8,212
Little Compton	674	41.2%	648	39.7%	288	17.6%	22	1.4%	1,632
Middletown	2,241	41.9%	1,902	35.5%	1,090	20.4%	119	2.3%	5,352
Narragansett	2,395	39.3%	2,410	39.6%	1,198	19.7%	84	1.4%	6,087
New Shoreham	365	50.3%	174	24.0%	173	23.8%	14	1.9%	726
Newport	3,734	49.4%	2,312	30.6%	1,331	17.6%	177	2.3%	7,554
North Kingstown	4,166	37.6%	4,305	38.8%	2,422	21.8%	195	1.7%	11,088
North Providence	4,013	36.1%	4,505	40.6%	2,414	21.7%	170	1.6%	11,102
North Smithfield	1,456	33.2%	1,870	42.7%	986	22.5%	68	1.6%	4,380
Pawtucket	7,144	51.8%	3,391	24.6%	2,960	21.5%	284	2.1%	13,779
Portsmouth	2,824	41.1%	2,477	36.1%	1,426	20.8%	136	2.0%	6,863
Providence	24,662	65.0%	8,445	22.3%	4,116	10.8%	720	1.9%	37,943
Richmond	851	29.5%	1,153	40.0%	825	28.6%	53	1.8%	2,882
Scituate	1,170	25.5%	2,203	48.1%	1,146	25.0%	63	1.3%	4,582
Smithfield	2,587	33.7%	3,241	42.2%	1,725	22.5%	119	1.6%	7,672
South Kingstown	4,606	43.1%	3,562	33.3%	2,291	21.4%	233	2.2%	10,692
Tiverton	2,090	39.8%	1,882	35.9%	1,173	22.4%	103	2.0%	5,248
Warren	1,118	29.6%	825	21.9%	1,797	47.6%	33	0.9%	3,773
Warwick	10,559	35.0%	11,383	37.7%	7,795	25.8%	428	1.4%	30,165
West Greenwich	605	25.0%	1,097	45.3%	684	28.3%	33	1.3%	2,419
West Warwick	2,836	34.6%	3,235	39.4%	2,000	24.4%	134	1.6%	8,205
Westerly	3,094	41.3%	3,004	40.1%	1,195	16.0%	197	2.6%	7,490
Woonsocket	3,018	40.6%	2,763	37.2%	1,471	19.8%	182	2.4%	7,434

References

Klepper, David. (December 14, 2012). "RI Gov. Chafee open to running for 2nd term as Dem". [[Boston.com]].
Sullivan, Sean. (September 4, 2013). "Why Lincoln Chafee's decision not to run for reelection is more good news for Democrats". The Washington Post.
Taylor, Jessica. (September 4, 2013). "Gov. Chafee won't run for a second term". NBC News.
Ostermeier, Eric. (September 6, 2013). "Chafee Just 4th Rhode Island Governor Since 1790 to Pass On 2nd Term". Smart Politics.
Stephanie Simon. (September 8, 2014). "Dem divisions on display in Rhode Island race". Politico.
Faccenda, Anthony. (October 4, 2013). "The Scoop: Giroux to Run for Gov, RI Tea Party Talks Obamacare". GoLocalProv.
The Associated Press. (January 27, 2014). "Clay Pell, husband of Michelle Kwan, to run for Rhode Island gov". [[POLITICO]].
Nesi, Ted. (December 18, 2013). "Gina Raimondo announces she'll run for governor". [[WPRI-TV]].
Gregg, Katherine. (October 26, 2013). "Providence Mayor Taveras confirms run for R.I. governor". [[The Providence Journal]].
DeQuattro, Dee. (April 30, 2013). "Almonte to run for General Treasurer, not Governor". ABC 6.
Nesi, Ted. (May 16, 2013). "Ernie Almonte abandons campaign for governor to run for RI treasurer". WPRI.
[http://www.wpri.com/dpp/news/politics/state_politics/lt-gov-roberts-wont-challenge-chafee Lt. Gov. Roberts won't challenge Chafee] {{webarchive. link. (May 15, 2013)
"Former Congressman Bob Weygand mulling run for governor - WPRI.com Blogs".
"Fleming & Associates".
[https://web.archive.org/web/20141105025937/http://www.providencejournal.com/politics/content/20140604-taveras-holds-small-lead-over-raimondo-in-r.i.-governor-s-race-journalwpri-poll-shows.ece Fleming & Associates]
[https://news.brown.edu/pressreleases/2014/04/survey Brown University]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20140222140106/http://www.providencejournal.com/breaking-news/content/20140212-providence-journalwpri-poll-providence-mayor-taveras-has-slight-edge-in-democratic-primary-race-for-r.i.-governor.ece Fleming & Associates]
[https://news.brown.edu/pressreleases/2013/10/survey Brown University]
"Garin-Hart-Yang^".
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_RI_131.pdf Public Policy Polling]
"2014 Statewide Primary". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections.
Gregg, Katherine. (October 28, 2013). "Ken Block, Moderate Party's 2010 candidate for governor, seeking GOP nomination in 2014". [[The Providence Journal]].
Rob Borkowski. (November 4, 2013). "Mayor Fung Announces Bid For Governor". Woonsocket Patch.
Nesi, Ted. (July 12, 2013). "Warwick's Avedisian may run for lieutenant governor in '14". [[WPRI-TV]].
Kalunian, Kim. (May 17, 2013). "NEWS: Brendan Doherty will not seek office in 2014".
"Dan McGowan on Twitter: "Barry Hinckley tells me he has no interest in running for Governor. Clears field for @peterbaptista"".
(October 18, 2013). "Robitaille says no plans to run for RI governor". [[WJAR.
[https://web.archive.org/web/20140520221112/http://blogs.wpri.com/2014/05/17/the-saturday-morning-post-quick-hits-on-politics-more-in-ri-117/ Fabrizio, Lee & Ass. *]
Towne, Shaun. (September 12, 2014). "Moderate candidate Healey could impact governor's race". WPRI.
(June 25, 2014). "12 candidates file papers in RI governor's race". [[WJAR.
Katherine Gregg. (September 15, 2014). "R.I. GOP challenges Healey as Moderate Party's 11th-hour candidate for governor". Providence Journal.
Nesi, Ted. (October 26, 2013). "The Saturday Morning Post: Quick hits on politics & more in RI". WPRI.
(October 28, 2014). "Pension Cuts Cost Democrat Union Support in Rhode Island". Wall Street Journal.
(November 5, 2014). "Bob Healey spent $0.0005 for every vote he got". WPRI-12.
(November 5, 2014). "Healey: It's amazing what $35 can do". WPRI-12.
"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
(November 3, 2014). "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
[https://news.brown.edu/articles/2014/10/taubman Brown University]
Kate Fletcher (I) 1%, Leon Kayarian (I) 0%
[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[https://news.brown.edu/articles/2014/10/survey Brown University]
Kate Fletcher (I) 0%, Leon Kayarian (I) 1%
[http://www.providencejournal.com/politics/content/20141015-journalwpri-poll-raimondo-leads-fung-in-race-for-governor-many-still-undecided.ece Fleming & Associates]
Kate Fletcher (I) 0%, Leon Kayarian (I) 0%
[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/rhode_island/election_2014_rhode_island_governor Rasmussen Reports]
"Public Opinion Strategies*".
Ken Block (I)
[http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-rhode-island/#RIgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.ri.gov/election/results/2014/general_election/ RI.gov: Election Results]

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