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2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
countryRhode Island
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
previous_year2006
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
next_election2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
next_year2014
image1File:Lincoln Chafee official portrait (cropped 2).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Lincoln Chafee**
party1Independent
popular_vote1**123,571**
percentage1**36.10%**
map{{switcher[[File:2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by county.svg250px]]
map_caption**Chafee:**
**Robitaille:**
**Caprio:**
titleGovernor
before_electionDonald Carcieri
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionLincoln Chafee
after_partyIndependent (politician)
image2File:John robitaille.jpg
nominee2John Robitaille
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2114,911
percentage233.57%
image4File:Frank Caprio (cropped).JPG
nominee4Frank Caprio
party4Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote478,896
percentage423.05%
image53x4.svg
nominee5Ken Block
party5Moderate Party of Rhode Island
popular_vote522,146
percentage56.47%

|County results |[[File:2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg|250px]] |Municipality results}} Robitaille:
Caprio: The 2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held in the US state on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Donald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisan Cook Political Report, The New York Times and CQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up.

With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, Independent Lincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36.1% of the vote. , this was the last time Newport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election. Chafee had served Rhode Island in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from 1999 to 2007; he later joined the Democratic Party in 2013.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Frank Caprio, State Treasurer

Polling (D)

Poll sourceDates administeredFrank CaprioPatrick C. LynchDavid CicillineElizabeth H. Roberts
Quest ResearchFebruary 24–25, 2009**30%**17.4%13%12.4%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Victor Moffitt, former state representative
  • John Robitaille, businessman

Polling (R)

Poll sourceDates administeredSteve LaffeyJoseph Trillo
Quest ResearchFebruary 24–25, 2009**29.3%**6.9%

Results

General election

Candidates

Major

  • Frank Caprio (D)
  • Lincoln Chafee (I)
  • John Robitaille (R)

Minor

  • Ronald Algieri (I)
  • Ken Block (M)
  • Todd Giroux (I)
  • Joseph Lusi (I)

Campaign

The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when President Barack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned."

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political ReportOctober 14, 2010
RothenbergOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPoliticsNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010
CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredLincoln Chafee (I)Frank Caprio (D)John Robitaille (R)Ken Block (M)
WJAR Channel 10October 23–26, 2010**35%**25%28%2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 21, 2010**35%**28%25%—
WJAR Channel 10October 4–6, 201033%**37%**22%2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 6, 2010**33%**30%22%4%
Brown UniversitySeptember 27–29, 201023%**30%**14%2%
WPRI-TVSeptember 22–26, 201030%**33%**19%4%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 16, 2010**33%**30%23%5%
Quest ResearchSeptember 15–17, 201024%**36%**13%2%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 17, 201032%**38%**20%—
Brown UniversityJuly 27–30, 201026%**28%**7%3%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 21, 2010**37%**30%23%—
Rasmussen ReportsJune 1, 2010**35%**32%25%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 21, 201033%**34%**21%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 25, 2010**37%**27%19%
Brown UniversityFebruary 9–12, 2010**34%**28%12%

Results

By county

Lincoln Chafee
IndependentJohn Robitaille
RepublicanFrank Caprio
DemocraticKenneth Block
ModerateOthersTotalCountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Bristol**7,323****37.04%**6,79634.37%3,95019.98%1,5477.82%1550.78%19,771
Kent22,56335.62%**23,303****36.79%**12,19919.26%4,7457.49%5330.85%63,343
Newport11,31337.55%**11,885****39.45%**5,16517.15%1,4974.97%2640.88%30,124
Providence**62,608****34.90%**55,25830.80%49,26627.46%10,8376.04%1,4170.79%179,386
Washington**19,734****39.80%**17,63735.57%8,19216.73%3,5187.10%3960.80%49,577

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

  • Bristol (largest municipality: Bristol)
  • Washington (largest municipality: South Kingstown)

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

  • Providence (largest municipality: Providence)

References

References

  1. (2010-08-17). "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com.
  2. "CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map". Innovation.cq.com.
  3. "Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com.
  4. (2010-11-02). "Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com". wpri.com.
  5. (2013-05-29). "Facing difficult re-election, Chafee officially becomes a Democrat".
  6. Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau. (2009-11-10). "R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal". projo.com.
  7. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101029012957/http://newsblog.projo.com/2009/03/poll-caprio-lyn.html Quest Research]
  8. "RI.gov: Election Results".
  9. "Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense". Moderate-ri.org.
  10. (April 2019). "The Latest News". Riloveslusiforgov.com.
  11. Condon, Stephanie. (October 25, 2010). "Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It"". CBS News.
  12. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
  13. "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
  14. "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  15. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
  16. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
  17. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101029084629/http://www2.turnto10.com/news/2010/oct/28/8/nbc-10-quest-research-poll-caprio-loses-ground-ar-273309/ WJAR Channel 10]
  18. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/election_2010_rhode_island_governor Rasmussen Reports]
  19. [http://www.projo.com/news/content/CHANNEL_10_POLL_10-13-10_75KBGUE_v72.24c0b40.html WJAR Channel 10]
  20. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101008161426/http://newsblog.projo.com/2010/10/brown-poll-shows-caprio-wideni.html Brown University]
  21. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110715122457/http://politicsblog.projo.com/2010/09/latest-tv-poll.html WPRI-TV]
  22. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/toplines/toplines_rhode_island_governor_september_16_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
  23. [https://web.archive.org/web/20101010172235/http://www2.turnto10.com/news/politics/2010/sep/21/nbc-10-quest-research-poll-shows-caprio-leading-ch-ar-237484/ Quest Research]
  24. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/toplines/toplines_rhode_island_governor_august_17_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  25. [https://news.brown.edu/pressreleases/2010/08/poll Brown University]
  26. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/toplines/toplines_rhode_island_governor_july_21_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  27. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/toplines/toplines_rhode_island_governor_may_27_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  28. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/toplines/toplines_2010_rhode_island_governor_april_21_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  29. [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/rhode_island/toplines/toplines_rhode_island_governor_february_25_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
  30. [https://news.brown.edu/pressreleases/2010/02/taubman Brown University]
  31. "RI.gov: Election Results".
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