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2014 Oregon gubernatorial election

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Field	Value
election_name	2014 Oregon gubernatorial election
country	Oregon
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2010 Oregon gubernatorial election
previous_year	2010
next_election	2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election
next_year	2016 (special)
election_date	November 4, 2014
image1	File:Governor Kitzhaber (cropped).jpg
image_size	x150px
nominee1	John Kitzhaber
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
alliance1	Working Families Party
popular_vote1	733,230
percentage1	49.89%
image2	File:Dennis Richardson cropped National Guard (cropped).jpg
nominee2	Dennis Richardson
party2	Republican Party (United States)
alliance2	Independent Party of Oregon
popular_vote2	648,542
percentage2	44.13%
map_image	2014 Oregon gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
map_size	260px
map_caption	County results
Kitzhaber:
Richardson:
title	Governor
before_election	John Kitzhaber
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	John Kitzhaber
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

Kitzhaber:
Richardson:
The 2014 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with other elections in Oregon and across the United States.

Incumbent Democrat John Kitzhaber defeated Republican state legislator Dennis Richardson, winning his fourth overall, and second consecutive, four-year term as governor.{{cite news

Kitzhaber and Richardson were nominated in the primary election on May 20, 2014. As of 2022, this is the last gubernatorial election in Oregon where Clatsop County supported the Republican candidate, and the last one where Tillamook County supported the Democratic candidate.

If Kitzhaber had served his full term, he would have become the second longest-serving governor in U.S. history. Kitzhaber, however, resigned as governor on February 18, 2015.

This is the last time that a man was elected Governor of Oregon.

Background

Physician and then-President of the Oregon State Senate John Kitzhaber was first elected governor in 1994, and was re-elected in 1998. Term limits prevented him from running in 2002. He considered running in 2006, but decided not to; incumbent Democrat Ted Kulongoski was re-elected. In September 2009, Kitzhaber announced that he would seek a third term as governor in 2010. In May 2010, he won the Democratic primary with 65% of the vote, defeating former secretary of state of Oregon Bill Bradbury. After a close general election campaign, Kitzhaber won the election with 49% to Republican nominee Chris Dudley's 48%.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Ifeanyichukwu Chijioke Diru
John Kitzhaber, incumbent governor

Results

Republican primary

A Republican had not won a statewide race in Oregon since incumbent senator Gordon H. Smith was re-elected in 2002 and a Republican has not been elected governor since Victor G. Atiyeh was re-elected in 1982. At the annual Dorchester Conference for activists in March 2013, Oregon Republicans acknowledged the difficulties they faced. At the Conference, "the lack of activity was so pronounced that the conference's Saturday night satirical show ran a video that began with an announcer intoning, "Now we go live to the 2014 Republican governor's debate." The camera then panned over a debate stage with two empty chairs, the monotony broken only by a broom-wielding janitor." High-profile Republicans have all passed on the election and while attendees split on whether the party needed to change its policies, they agreed that the party needed to be a "big tent" again.

Candidates

Declared

Tim Carr, businessman
Gordon Challstrom, businessman
Bruce Cuff, real estate broker
Darren Karr, businessman and candidate for Governor in 2010
Mae Rafferty, timber merchant
Dennis Richardson, state representative

Withdrew

Jon Justesen, businessman and rancher

Declined

Allen Alley, businessman, former chairman of the Oregon Republican Party, nominee for Oregon State Treasurer in 2008 and candidate for Governor in 2010
Chris Dudley, former NBA basketball player and nominee for Governor in 2010
Bruce Hanna, state representative
Gordon H. Smith, former U.S. Senator
Greg Walden, U.S. Representative and Chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee

Results

Results by county:

| | | | ]]

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Aaron Auer (Constitution Party)
Paul Grad (Libertarian Party)
Chris Henry (Oregon Progressive Party)
Jason Levin (Pacific Green Party)

Additionally, under Oregon's Electoral fusion law, Democratic nominee John Kitzhaber was nominated by the Working Families Party of Oregon, and Republican nominee Dennis Richardson was nominated by the Independent Party of Oregon.

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, September 26, 2014
Complete video of debate, October 14, 2014
Complete video of debate, October 20, 2014

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report		November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Dennis
Richardson (R)	Other	Undecided
Elway Research	October 26–27, 2014	403	± 5%	45%	38%	2%	9%
SurveyUSA	October 23–27, 2014	552	± 4.3%	50%	40%	6%	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	1,421	± 4%	48%	42%	1%	10%
SurveyUSA	October 16–19, 2014	561	± 4.2%	51%	38%	6%	6%
DHM Research	October 2014	?	± 4.3%	50%	29%	6%	15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20–October 1, 2014	1,508	± 3%	49%	42%	0%	8%
SurveyUSA	September 22–24, 2014	568	± 4.2%	50%	38%	5%	8%
Rasmussen Reports	September 2–3, 2014	750	± 4%	48%	38%	4%	10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18–September 2, 2014	1,541	± 4%	48%	42%	1%	8%
Moore Information^	August 5–9, 2014	500	± 4%	45%	41%	—	13%
SurveyUSA	August 1–5, 2014	564	± 4.2%	48%	36%	7%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	2,082	± 2.6%	52%	42%	1%	5%
On Message, Inc.^	June 22–24, 2014	600	± 4%	42%	38%	—	16%
SurveyUSA	June 5–9, 2014	560	± 4.2%	48%	35%	10%	7%
Public Policy Polling	May 22–27, 2014	956	± 3.2%	49%	36%	—	15%
DHM Research	May 2014	400	± 4.9%	48%	36%	—	16%
Harper Polling	April 1–2, 2014	670	± 3.91%	46%	43%	—	11%

^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Allen
Alley (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 3–5, 2012	614	± 4%	52%	37%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	June 21–24, 2012	686	± 3.7%	46%	36%	—	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Jason
Atkinson (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 21–24, 2012	686	± 3.7%	45%	30%	—	24%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Bruce
Hanna (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 3–5, 2012	614	± 4%	52%	33%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	June 21–24, 2012	686	± 3.7%	46%	33%	—	21%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Gordon H.
Smith (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 3–5, 2012	614	± 4%	47%	42%	—	11%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Bruce
Starr (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 3–5, 2012	614	± 4%	53%	31%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	John
Kitzhaber (D)	Greg
Walden (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 3–5, 2012	614	± 4%	49%	40%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 21–24, 2012	686	± 3.7%	42%	41%	—	17%

Results

By county

County	John Kitzhaber
Democratic	Dennis Richardson
Republican	Various candidates
Other parties	Margin	Total votes cast	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total	733,230	49.9%	648,542	44.1%	87,945	6.0%	84,688	5.8%	1,469,717
	Baker		1,951		27.4%		4,842		68.0%		323		4.5%		-2,891		-40.6%		7,116
	Benton		21,694		58.5%		13,245		35.7%		2,160		5.8%		8,449		22.8%		37,009
	Clackamas		70,071		45.2%		77,059		49.7%		7,867		5.1%		-6,988		-4.5%		154,997
	Clatsop		6,449		45.6%		6,550		46.3%		1,138		8.1%		-101		-0.7%		19,835
	Columbia		8,477		42.7%		9,887		49.8%		1,471		7.4%		-1,410		-7.1%		19,835
	Coos		10,120		42.3%		12,260		51.2%		1,546		6.5%		-2,140		-8.9%		23,926
	Crook		2,601		29.4%		5,753		64.9%		508		5.8%		-3,152		-35.5%		8,862
	Curry		3,946		40.7%		5,211		53.8%		535		5.5%		-1,265		-13.1%		9,692
	Deschutes		31,518		45.6%		34,104		49.4%		3,441		5.0%		-2,586		-3.8%		69,063
	Douglas		13,829		33.5%		24,553		59.5%		2,899		7.1%		-10,724		-26.0%		41,281
	Gilliam		284		32.3%		546		62.2%		48		5.5%		-262		-29.9%		878
	Grant		834		25.5%		2,294		70.2%		141		4.5%		-1,460		-44.7%		3,269
	Harney		724		24.5%		2,083		70.4%		151		5.0%		-1,359		-45.9%		2,958
	Hood River		4,875		58.8%		2,988		36.0%		426		5.1%		1,887		22.8%		8,289
	Jackson		35,235		42.7%		43,498		52.7%		3,855		4.7%		-8,263		-10.0%		82,588
	Jefferson		2,333		34.2%		4,048		59.4%		432		6.3%		-1,715		-25.2%		6,813
	Josephine		12,032		35.4%		19,926		58.7%		2,002		5.9%		-7,894		-24.3%		33,960
	Klamath		6,416		28.1%		15,155		66.4%		1,265		5.6%		-8,739		-38.3%		22,836
	Lake		736		23.1%		2,310		72.4%		145		4.5%		-1,574		-49.3%		3,191
	Lane		82,132		57.1%		53,156		37.0%		8,535		20.1%		28,976		5.9%		143,823
	Lincoln		10,469		54.1%		7,609		39.3%		1,289		6.7%		2,860		14.8%		19,367
	Linn		14,890		34.5%		25,463		59.0%		2,831		6.6%		-10,573		-24.5%		43,184
	Malheur		1,904		25.2%		5,226		69.2%		418		5.5%		-3,322		-44.0%		7,548
	Marion		41,858		41.3%		53,377		52.7%		6,021		5.9%		-11,519		-11.4%		101,256
	Morrow		870		27.8%		2,065		65.9%		198		6.3%		-1,195		-38.1%		3,133
	Multnomah		202,617		69.9%		66,780		23.1%		20,273		7.0%		135,837		46.8%		289,670
	Polk		12,375		41.4%		15,809		52.9%		1,686		5.7%		-3,434		-11.5%		29,870
	Sherman		252		28.3%		596		66.9%		43		4.8%		-344		-38.6%		891
	Tillamook		4,907		46.7%		4,895		46.6%		706		6.7%		12		0.1%		10,508
	Umatilla		5,517		29.3%		12,337		65.5%		994		5.3%		-6,820		-36.2%		18,848
	Union		3,087		30.4%		6,526		64.3%		536		5.3%		-3,439		-33.9%		10,149
	Wallowa		1,008		27.9%		2,474		68.5%		129		3.6%		-1,466		-40.6%		3,611
	Wasco		3,959		43.3%		4,557		49.8%		629		6.9%		-598		-6.5%		9,145
	Washington		98,203		51.4%		81,484		42.7%		11,185		5.9%		16,719		8.7%		190,872
	Wheeler		203		29.6%		440		64.2%		42		5.2%		-237		-34.6%		685
	Yamhill		14,854		40.8%		19,436		53.4%		2,077		5.7%		-4,582		-12.6%		36,367

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Tillamook (largest city: Tillamook)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Clatsop (largest city: Astoria)

References

Ostermeier, Eric. (December 10, 2013). "Kitzhaber Launches Bid to Become 2nd Longest-Serving Governor in History". Smart Politics.
Nakamura, Beth. (February 13, 2015). "Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber resigns amid criminal investigation, growing scandal". The Oregonian.
Mapes, Jeff. (September 2, 2009). "Kitzhaber files committee to run for governor". OregonLive.com.
[http://www.kptv.com/yourvote/23601768/detail.html Kitzhaber, Dudley To Face Off For Governor - Your Vote News Story - KPTV Portland] {{webarchive. link. (2010-07-04)
Christian Gaston. (March 11, 2014). "Election 2014: Who filed for Oregon statewide and congressional office". [[The Oregonian]].
Esteve, Harry. (December 9, 2013). "John Kitzhaber announces for historic fourth term". [[The Oregonian]].
"May 20, 2014 Primary Election Abstract of Votes: Governor". Oregon Secretary of State.
Mapes, Jeff. (March 10, 2013). "Republicans search for ways to revive GOP brand in Oregon". [[The Oregonian]].
Mapes, Jeff. (March 8, 2013). "At Dorchester Conference, Oregon Republicans ponder how to restore their party". [[The Oregonian]].
Esteve, Harry. (January 13, 2014). "Portland businessman becomes latest to join growing group of Republican candidates for governor". [[The Oregonian]].
Esteve, Harry. (January 9, 2014). "Another Republican files to run for Oregon governor". [[The Oregonian]].
Esteve, Harry. (January 6, 2014). "Salem-area real estate broker, Bruce Cuff, enters Republican primary for governor". [[The Oregonian]].
Gaston, Christian. (July 24, 2013). "Oregon Rep. Dennis Richardson announces run for governor". [[The Oregonian]].
Mapes, Jeff. (January 30, 2014). "Republican Jon Justesen, questioning his party's priorities, drops bid for Oregon governorship". [[The Oregonian]].
Gaston, Christian. (March 10, 2014). "Allen Alley, former gubernatorial hopeful, won't challenge Oregon Gov. John Kitzhaber". [[The Oregonian]].
(April 7, 2012). "Chris Dudley, ending his political aspirations, says move to San Diego makes sense for his family". Oregon Live.
(September 20, 2013). "Bruce Hanna decides not to run for re-election -- or, for now, another seat: Oregon politics today". Oregon Live.
(August 6, 2012). "Gordon Smith finds happiness in private sector, has no plans to seek office". Oregon Live.
(November 14, 2012). "Republicans Pick Walden as New NRCC Chairman". Roll Call.
"Oregon Secretary Of State".
"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
[http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/10/john_kitzhaber_dennis_richards_11.html Elway Research]
Aaron Auer (C)
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=75ff4fa8-60ee-470b-af50-0934993b283d SurveyUSA]
[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9b06ee8f-0665-4c61-87b9-e3d8fa4cb91c SurveyUSA]
[http://www.opb.org/news/article/poll-shows-both-statewide-races-swinging-toward-incumbents/ DHM Research] {{Webarchive. link. (October 17, 2014)
[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a2828710-8eac-4663-973d-3912ca87f337 SurveyUSA]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/oregon/election_2014_oregon_governor Rasmussen Reports]
[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-oregon/#ORgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/08/rep_dennis_richardson_making_g.html Moore Information^]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=83bebf2b-2c57-4fdd-932b-8378d93d5eb3 SurveyUSA]
[http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/dennisrichardson/pages/152/attachments/original/1408571043/Oregon_Polling_Memo_8.20.pdf?1408571043 On Message, Inc.^]
[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=005a915d-93f5-4dc8-b982-324b58e9eaa7 SurveyUSA]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_OR_529.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.opb.org/news/article/poll-majority-of-oregon-voters-approve-of-john-kitzhaber-but-he-has-vulnerabilities/ DHM Research]
[http://www.harperpolling.com/polls/oregon-poll-too-close-for-comfort Harper Polling] {{Webarchive. link. (April 7, 2014)
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OR_12712.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OR_062712.pdf Public Policy Polling]
"November 4, 2014, General Election, Official Abstract of Votes: Governor". Oregon Secretary of State.

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