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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

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2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
countryKansas
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Kansas gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Kansas gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 4, 2014
image1File:Sam Brownback by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Sam Brownback**
party1Republican Party (United States)
running_mate1**Jeff Colyer**
popular_vote1**433,196**
percentage1**49.82%**
image23x4.svg
nominee2Paul Davis
party2Democratic Party (United States)
running_mate2Jill Docking
popular_vote2401,100
percentage246.13%
map_image2014 Kansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
map_size270px
map_captionCounty results
**Brownback:**
**Davis:**
titleGovernor
before_electionSam Brownback
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionSam Brownback
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
image2_size150x150px

Brownback:
Davis:
The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Kansas. It was held concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term. He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the minority leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. This is the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Sam Brownback, incumbent governor :*Running mate: Jeff Colyer, incumbent lieutenant governor
  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman :*Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner :*Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran

Declined

  • Kris Kobach, secretary of state of Kansas (ran for re-election)
  • Steve Morris, former president of the Kansas Senate
  • Sandy Praeger, Kansas Insurance Commissioner (endorsed Paul Davis)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
BrownbackJennifer
WinnUndecided
url=http://ksn.com/2014/07/24/ksn-news-poll-still-shows-davis-ahead-of-brownback-in-race-for-governor/title=SurveyUSAaccess-date=July 24, 2014archive-date=July 25, 2014archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140725151715/http://ksn.com/2014/07/24/ksn-news-poll-still-shows-davis-ahead-of-brownback-in-race-for-governor/url-status=dead }}July 17–22, 2014691± 3.7%**60%**30%9%
SurveyUSAJune 19–23, 2014508± 4.4%**55%**37%8%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | ]]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Paul Davis, minority leader of the Kansas House of Representatives :*Running mate: Jill Docking, businesswoman, former member of the Kansas Board of Regents and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 (running for lieutenant governor)

Declined

  • Carl Brewer, mayor of Wichita
  • Jill Docking
  • Tom Holland, state senator and nominee for governor in 2010
  • Deb Miller, former secretary of the Kansas Department of Transportation
  • Stephen Morris, former Republican president of the Kansas Senate
  • Mark Parkinson, former governor, president and CEO of the American Health Care Association and the National Center for Assisted Living
  • Sandy Praeger, Republican Kansas Insurance Commissioner
  • Joe Reardon, former mayor of Kansas City
  • Joshua Svaty, vice president of The Land Institute and former Secretary of Agriculture of Kansas

Results

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Keen Umbehr, attorney :*Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr

General election

Debates

Endorsements

Republican politicians

  • Terry Bruce, majority leader of the Kansas Senate
  • Jan Meyers, former U.S. representative

Democratic politicians

  • Nathan Barnes, former Wyandotte County commissioner

Other individuals

  • Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard

Organizations

  • Kansas Rifle Association
  • National Federation of Independent Business

Democratic politicians

  • Jill Docking, businesswoman, former member of the Kansas Board of Regents and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996
  • Anthony Hensley, minority leader of the Kansas Senate
  • John E. Moore, former lieutenant governor of Kansas

Republican politicians

  • Barbara P. Allen, former state senator, former state representative and former assistant attorney general of Kansas
  • Denise Apt, former state representative
  • Jayne Aylward, former state representative
  • Ginger Barr, former state representative
  • Dick Bond, former member of the Kansas State Senate
  • Ken Bower, former mayor of Leavenworth
  • Jim Braden, former speaker of the Kansas House of Representatives
  • Carol Brandert, member of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education
  • Nancy Brown, former state representative, former member of the Kansas State Emergency Response Commission
  • Pete Brungardt, former state senator and former mayor of Salina
  • Mark Buhler, former state senator
  • Bud Burke, former president of the Kansas Senate and former state representative
  • David R. Corbin, former state senator
  • Ray Cox, former state representative
  • Val DeFever, former member of the Kansas State Board of Education
  • Gary Denning, former member of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education and former Salina City prosecutor
  • Brad Dillon, Reno County Commissioner and former Hutchinson city councilman
  • David Drovetta, former mayor of Gardner and former Gardner city councilman
  • Sandy Duncan, former state representative
  • Nedra Elbl, chairwoman of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education and former president of the Kansas National Education Association
  • Jane M. Eldredge, former state senator
  • Roger Elliott, member of the Andover Public Schools Board of Education
  • Tim Emert, member of the Kansas Board of Regents and former majority leader of the Kansas State
  • Cindy Empson, former state representative
  • Bill Falstad, former chairman of the Kansas Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors, former mayor of Fredonia and former chairman of the Kansas Republican Party
  • Ron Fox, former state representative
  • Bob Frey, former judge on the Kansas Board of Tax Appeals, former majority leader of the Kansas State and former state representative
  • Fred Gatlin, former state representative
  • Crosby Gernon, mayor of Hiawatha
  • John Golden, former state representative
  • John Grange, former state representative and former chairman of the El Dorado Public Schools Board of Education
  • Howard Gray, superintendent of Pratt, Plains and Kismet
  • Pat Grimwood, former member of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education
  • Kristin Gunn, former mayor of Salina and former Salina city commissioner
  • Steve Hale, former president of the Gardner-Edgerton USD 231 Board of Education and former Gardner city councilman
  • Floris Jean Hampton, member of the Kansas Association of Community College Trustees Board of Regents and former member of the Kansas Board of Regents
  • Randall Hardy, Salina city commissioner
  • Joleen Hill, former member of the Manhattan–Ogden Board of Education
  • Gennifer House, former president of the Goodland Public Schools Board of Education
  • Dave Huff, former state representative
  • Terrie Huntington, former state senator and former state representative
  • William Kassebaum, former state representative and son of former U.S. senator Nancy Kassebaum
  • Fred Kerr, former majority leader of the Kansas Senate
  • Wendell Lady, former speaker of the Kansas House of Representatives
  • Audrey Langworthy, former state senator
  • Carol Lehman, former mayor of Gardner and former Gardner city councilwoman
  • Fred Lorentz, former 31st Judicial District judge and former state representative
  • Jim Lowther, former state representative
  • Bob Marshall, former state senator
  • R.D. "Bob" Miller, former member of the Kansas State Parole Board and former state representative
  • Robert "R.H." Miller, former speaker of the Kansas House of Representatives
  • Stephen Morris, former president of the Kansas Senate
  • Lana Oleen, former majority leader of the Kansas Senate
  • Bill Otto, former state representative
  • Tim Owens, former state senator and former state representative
  • Sandy Praeger, Kansas Insurance Commissioner
  • Jill Quigley, former state representative
  • Jim Randall, mayor pro tem of Olathe
  • Gerry Ray, former state representative
  • Roger Reitz, former state senator, former state representative and former mayor of Manhattan
  • Marge Roberson, former mayor of Newton, former Newton city commissioner and former Harvey County commissioner
  • Ed Rolfs, former Kansas secretary of revenue and former state representative
  • Charles Roth, former state representative and former mayor of Salina
  • Ellen Samuelson, former state representative
  • Debbie Schauf, former state representative
  • Gary Sherrer, former lieutenant governor of Kansas
  • Shelby Smith, former lieutenant governor of Kansas
  • Sheryl Spalding, former state representative and former regional vice president of the Kansas Association of School Boards
  • Bob W. Storey, former state senator
  • Ralph Tanner, former state representative
  • Ruth Teichman, former state senator
  • Lee Thompson, former United States Attorney for the District of Kansas
  • Carolyn Tillotson, former state senator and former mayor of Leavenworth
  • Dwayne Umbarger, former state senator
  • John Vanier, former mayor of Salina and former Salina city commissioner
  • John Vratil, former state senator
  • Winton A. Winter, Jr., former state senator
  • Robert S. Wunsch, former state representative
  • David Wysong, former state senator and former Johnson County Commissioner
  • Jim Yonally, former state representative

Organizations

  • Traditional Republicans for Common Sense

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Paul
Davis (D)Keen
Umbehr (L)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–3, 2014963± 3.2%45%**46%**4%4%
47%**48%**3%
Public Policy PollingOctober 30–31, 2014752± ?44%**48%**5%3%
YouGovOctober 25–31, 20141,137± 4.8%**39%**38%2%1%21%
Fox NewsOctober 28–30, 2014907± 3%42%**48%**4%5%
Survey USAOctober 22–26, 2014623± 4%43%**46%**5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,973± 4%**43%**40%1%16%
NBC News/MaristOctober 18–22, 2014757 LV± 3.6%44%**45%**5%1%6%
1,055 RV± 3%**43%****43%**6%1%7%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 20–21, 2014960± 3%45%**52%**1%2%
Gravis MarketingOctober 20–21, 20141,124± 3%44%**49%**7%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 16–19, 2014429± 4.7%45%**50%**2%5%
Remington ResearchOctober 9–12, 20141,091± 2.97%**48%**45%3%4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 9–12, 20141,081± 3%**42%****42%**6%10%
44%**45%**12%
Fox NewsOctober 4–7, 2014702± 3.5%**46%**40%2%2%11%
CNN/ORCOctober 2–6, 2014687± 3.5%**49%****49%**2%
SurveyUSAOctober 2–5, 2014549± 4.3%42%**47%**4%7%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 30–October 1, 2014850± 3%40%**48%**12%
NBC News/MaristSeptember 27–October 1, 2014636 LV± 3.9%43%**44%**4%1%7%
1,097 RV± 3%41%**43%**5%1%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20142,013± 3%**45%**42%0%12%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 27–30, 2014500± 4.4%42%**46%**6%7%
Fort Hays State UniversitySeptember 10–27, 2014685± 3.8%37%**39%**9%16%
Remington ResearchSeptember 23, 2014625± 3.91%44%**46%**5%5%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 16–17, 2014750± 4%43%**47%**4%6%
Fox NewsSeptember 14–16, 2014604± 4%41%**45%**4%8%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–14, 20141,328± 2.7%38%**42%**7%14%
39%**45%**15%
KSN/SurveyUSASeptember 4–7, 2014555± 4.2%40%**47%**5%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 2014839± 5%**47%**40%2%11%
SurveyUSAAugust 20–23, 2014560± 4.2%40%**48%**5%6%
Public Policy PollingAugust 14–17, 2014903± 3.3%37%**39%**9%15%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 6–7, 2014750± 4%41%**51%**3%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,274± 6.1%**52%**40%3%5%
SurveyUSAJuly 17–22, 20141,208± 2.9%40%**48%**5%7%
SurveyUSAJune 19–23, 20141,068± 3.1%41%**47%**5%7%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 16–17, 2014750± 4%**47%**40%6%7%
Public Policy PollingApril 1–2, 2014886± 3.1%41%**45%**14%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 18–20, 2014693± 3.7%40%**42%**18%
Wilson Perkins AllenJanuary 29, 2014?± ?**42%**31%27%
SurveyUSAOctober 23–24, 2013511± 4.4%39%**43%**12%6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Carl
Brewer (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%**44%**40%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Tom
Holland (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%**45%**38%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Mark
Parkinson (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%**45%**39%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Joe
Reardon (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%**45%**36%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Kathleen
Sebelius (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%**48%**43%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorSam
Brownback (R)Chad
Taylor (D)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,229± 2.8%**44%**34%22%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Crawford (largest city: Pittsburg)
  • Jefferson (largest municipality: Valley Falls)
  • Lyon (largest municipality: Emporia)
  • Riley (largest municipality: Manhattan)
  • Shawnee (largest municipality: Topeka)

References

References

  1. "Brownback defeats Davis in Kansas Governor's race".
  2. (21 June 2013). "Brownback running for re-election". [[Lawrence Journal-World]].
  3. (January 12, 2014). "Wichita woman enters governor's race". [[KAKE]].
  4. Benchaabane, Nassim. (June 2, 2014). "Wichita candidate for governor announces new running mate". [[The Wichita Eagle]].
  5. (February 11, 2014). "Wikileaks Soldier to Run for Ks Lt. Governor". [[The Kansas City Star]].
  6. (1 February 2013). "In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014". Midwest Democracy.
  7. Kraske, Steve. (23 June 2013). "Sandy Praeger finds herself an outsider among Kansas Republicans". [[The Kansas City Star]].
  8. "SurveyUSA".
  9. [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0023d453-4961-455d-b23a-15124b96a205&utm SurveyUSA]
  10. "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals". Kansas Secretary of State.
  11. Carpenter, Tim. (September 17, 2013). "Davis launches Democratic campaign for Kansas governor". [[The Topeka Capital-Journal]].
  12. (16 April 2013). "Brownback and His Opponents". Morning Sun.
  13. John Hanna. (August 8, 2013). "Paul Davis forms committee for Kansas governor's race". [[The Wichita Eagle]].
  14. Loomis, Burdett. (4 August 2013). "Burdett Loomis: Who will take on Brownback?". [[The Wichita Eagle]].
  15. Hanna, John. (31 July 2013). "Ex-Kan. ag chief not thinking about gov.'s race". [[The Wichita Eagle]].
  16. Carpenter, Tim. (August 29, 2013). "Alma lawyer seeks Libertarian nomination for governor". CJOnline.
  17. Kelsey Ryan. (May 27, 2014). "Kansas Man Serving as Dad's Running Mate in Governor's Race". Governing.
  18. [http://cjonline.com/news/state/2014-08-22/nonpartisan-report-davis-tax-freeze-plan-stalls-20m-brownback-endorsed-cuts Nonpartisan report: Davis' tax-freeze plan stalls $20M in Brownback-endorsed cuts]
  19. [https://www2.ljworld.com/news/2014/jul/21/former-congresswoman-endorses-brownback/ Former congresswoman endorses Brownback]
  20. (September 26, 2014). "Wyandotte County Democrats endorse Gov. Brownback". KSN-TV.
  21. "Former CEO in Wichita, Touts Brownback".
  22. [https://archive.today/20140906213600/http://www.wibw.com/home/headlines/Kansas-Rifle-Association-Endorses-Brownback-267648981.html Kansas Rifle Association Endorses Brownback]
  23. [http://www.nfib.com/article/nfib-endorses-brownback-for-second-term-as-governor-66264/ NFIB endorses Brownback for second term as Governor]
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  25. (July 17, 2014). "Republicans for Kansas Values – Biographies and Memberships".
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