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2014 Idaho gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election |
| country | Idaho |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2010 |
| election_date | November 4, 2014 |
| next_election | 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2018 |
| image1 | Butch and Lori Otter cropped.jpg |
| nominee1 | **Butch Otter** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **235,405** |
| percentage1 | **53.52%** |
| map_image | {{Switcher |
| map_caption | **Otter:** |
| **Balukoff:** | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Butch Otter |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Butch Otter |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| image2 | 3x4.svg |
| nominee2 | A.J. Balukoff |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 169,556 |
| percentage2 | 38.55% |
|[[File:2014 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|180px]]
|County results
| [[File:2014 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg|180px]] |Congressional district results}}
Balukoff:
The 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Idaho, concurrently with the election to Idaho's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican governor Butch Otter ran for election to a third consecutive term in office. In primary elections held on May 20, 2014, Otter was renominated and the Democrats nominated businessman and president of the Boise School District Board of Trustees A.J. Balukoff. Otter defeated Balukoff and four Independent and Third Party challengers in the general election.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Walt Bayes, perennial candidate
- Harley Brown, candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2000 and 2010 and candidate for Mayor of Boise in 2001
- Russ Fulcher, state senator and future U.S. Representative from Idaho's 1st congressional district
- Butch Otter, incumbent governor
Declined
- Raúl Labrador, U.S. representative
- Brad Little, Lieutenant Governor of Idaho
- Tom Luna, Idaho Superintendent of Public Instruction
- Rex Rammell, activist, veterinarian and candidate for governor in 2010
- Lawrence Wasden, Attorney General of Idaho
Endorsements
- Raúl Labrador, U.S. representative
Primary debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Key: | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Butch Otter | Russ Fulcher | Harley Brown | Walt Bayes | 1 | |||||||||
| May 13, 2014 | IdahoPTV | Melissa Davlin | [PBS](https://www.pbs.org/video/idaho-debates-governor-debate-2014/) |
Results
| | | | | | | | ]]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- A.J. Balukoff, businessman and president of the Boise School District Board of Trustees
- Terry Kerr, former Republican candidate for local office
Declined
- Keith G. Allred, activist, mediator and nominee for governor in 2010
- Cecil D. Andrus, former governor and former United States Secretary of the Interior
- David H. Bieter, Mayor of Boise
Endorsements
- Tommy Ahlquist, developer
Results
| | | | | ]]
Constitution nomination
Nominated
- Steven Pankey, Republican candidate for lieutenant governor in 2010.
Libertarian nomination
Nominated
- John Bujak, former Canyon County prosecutor
Independents
Declared
- Jill Humble, retired nurse educator and candidate for Boise City Council in 2013
- Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, anti-abortion activist and perennial candidate
General election
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Key: | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn | Republican Party (United States)}}" | Idaho Democratic Party}}" | Libertarian Party (United States)}}" | Butch Otter | A.J. Balukoff | John Bujak | 1 | 2 | ||||||||
| September 24, 2014 | Twin Falls Times-News | Autumn Phillips | [C-SPAN](https://www.c-span.org/program/campaign-2014/idaho-gubernatorial-debate/370028) | |||||||||||||
| October 29, 2014 | IdahoPTV | Melissa Davlin | [PBS](https://www.pbs.org/video/idaho-debates-governor-debate-2014-general-election/) |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 3, 2014 | |
| Rothenberg Political Report | November 3, 2014 | |
| Real Clear Politics | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Butch | ||||||
| Otter (R) | A.J. | ||||||
| Balukoff (D) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–November 2, 2014 | 1,001 | ± 3.1% | **49%** | 37% | 10% | 5% |
| **55%** | 42% | — | 3% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 575 | ± 6% | **53%** | 35% | 2% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9–12, 2014 | 522 | ± 4.3% | **39%** | 35% | 12% | 14% |
| **47%** | 38% | — | 15% | ||||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 594 | ± 5% | **57%** | 33% | 1% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 844 | ± 4% | **51%** | 33% | 3% | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 691 | ± 4.2% | **56%** | 34% | 4% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 28–29, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | **50%** | 36% | 8% | 7% |
Results
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Ada (largest municipality: Boise)
- Bannock (largest municipality: Pocatello)
By congressional district
Otter won both congressional districts.
| District | Otter | Balukoff | Representative | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **57%** | 35% | Raúl Labrador | |||||
| **50%** | 42% | Mike Simpson |
References
References
- Dvorak, Todd. (August 6, 2013). "Otter taps industry lobbyist to run re-election campaign". [[KBOI-TV]].
- Sewell, Cynthia. (March 15, 2014). "Nine vie to be next Idaho governor". [[Idaho Statesman]].
- Popkey, Dan. (November 20, 2013). "Bank on it: Fulcher will announce challenge to Gov. Otter in Saturday fly-around". Idaho Statesman.
- (14 August 2013). "Idaho U.S. Rep. Raul Labrador Plans 2014 Re-Election Run For Congress". [[Boise State Public Radio]].
- (September 18, 2013). "Lt. Gov. Brad Little to seek re-election in 2014". [[Times-News (Idaho).
- (2011-12-15). "Luna won't commit on 2014 run for governor, denies seeking national education post". IdahoReporter.com.
- Prentice, George. (2012-06-14). "Rex Rammell 'Gives Up on Idaho,' Leaving State | citydesk". Boiseweekly.com.
- Popkey, Dan. (September 16, 2013). "Wasden says he'll seek record fourth term as Idaho attorney general". [[Idaho Statesman]].
- (May 13, 2014). "Raul Labrador backs Russ Fulcher for Idaho governor". The Spokesman-Review.
- "Republican Primary {{!}} Governor".
- Popkey, Dan. [https://archive.today/20131203221442/http://www.idahostatesman.com/2013/12/03/2906179/democrat-balukoff-joins-race-for.html "Democrat Balukoff joins race for governor"] ''[[Idaho Statesman]]'', December 3, 2013. Archived from [http://www.idahostatesman.com/2013/12/03/2906179/democrat-balukoff-joins-race-for.html the original] on December 3, 2013. (accessed December 3, 2013)
- (2013-07-17). "Keith is not planning on running in 2014". Allredforidaho.com.
- (2013-10-13). "Cecil Andrus: Idaho not doing enough for children". Idahopress.com.
- (August 29, 2013). "Democrat Bieter wanted to hear GOP Speaker Boehner, backed Simpson in 2010". Idaho Statesman.
- (2014). "3408 scanned".
- "Democratic Primary {{!}} Governor".
- (March 14, 2014). "Former prosecutor Bujak running for Idaho governor". Krem.com.
- (December 17, 2012). "Deputize armed volunteers to protect schools, says perennial Idaho candidate Pro-Life". Idaho Statesman.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".
- (November 3, 2014). "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics.
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/IDResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- John Bujak (L) 5%, Jill Humble (I) 1%, Pro Life (I) 2%, Steve Pankey (C) 2%
- [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_ID_1014925.pdf Public Policy Polling]
- John Bujak (L) 4%, Jill Humble (I) 3%, Pro Life (I) 3%, Steve Pankey (C) 2%
- [http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-idaho/#IDgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/idaho/election_2014_idaho_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- "General Election {{!}} Governor".
- "Our Campaigns - ID Governor Race - Nov 04, 2014".
Info: Wikipedia Source
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