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2010 Idaho gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election |
| country | Idaho |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | Yes |
| previous_election | 2006 Idaho gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2006 |
| election_date | November 2, 2010 |
| next_election | 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2014 |
| image1 | File:Butchotter (cropped).jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | **Butch Otter** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **267,483** |
| percentage1 | **59.11%** |
| map_image | 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg |
| map_size | 180px |
| map_caption | County results |
| **Otter**: | |
| **Allred**: | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Butch Otter |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Butch Otter |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| image2 | 3x4.svg |
| nominee2 | Keith G. Allred |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 148,680 |
| percentage2 | 32.85% |
| image3 | 3x4.svg |
| nominee3 | Jana Kemp |
| party3 | Independent |
| popular_vote3 | 26,655 |
| percentage3 | 5.89% |
Otter:
Allred:
The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
- Walt Bayes, perennial candidate
- Fred Nichols
- Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho
- Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primary)
- Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
- Sharon Ullman, Ada County Commissioner
- Tamara Wells
Campaign
Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.
In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.
Polling
| Poll | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| source | Date(s) | ||||||||||
| administered | Sample | ||||||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||||||
| error | Walt | ||||||||||
| Bayes | Butch | ||||||||||
| Otter | Ron"Pete" | ||||||||||
| Peterson | Rex | ||||||||||
| Rammell | Sharon | ||||||||||
| Ullman | Tamara | ||||||||||
| Wells | Un- | ||||||||||
| decided | |||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon ([report](https://web.archive.org/web/20100524164038/http://media.idahostatesman.com/smedia/2010/05/21/22/0522_Local_poll_Governor.source.prod_affiliate.36.pdf)) | May 17–19, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 1% | **60%** | 3% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 25% |
Results
]]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator
- Lee Chaney, laborer
Declined
- Jerry Brady, nominee for governor in 2002 and 2006
Results
]]
Third party candidates
Libertarian Party
- Ted Dunlap
Independents
- Jana Kemp, former Republican State Representative
- Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, Constitution Party nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
General election
Campaign
Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.
Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | October 14, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | October 28, 2010 | |
| RealClearPolitics | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 28, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Butch Otter (R) | Keith Allred (D) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 31, 2010 | **52%** | 36% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15, 2010 | **53%** | 36% | ||
| url=http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/idaho/election_2010_idaho_governor | title=Election 2010: Idaho Governor | website=www.rasmussenreports.com}} | May 11, 2010 | **54%** | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 23, 2010 | **60%** | 28% |
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Ada (largest municipality: Boise)
- Bannock (largest municipality: Pocatello)
- Nez Perce (Largest city: Lewiston)
- Shoshone (Largest city: Kellogg)
- Valley (Largest city: McCall)
References
References
- (March 12, 2010). "Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election". [[KBOI-TV]].
- (March 8, 2010). "Three in, one out in Guv's race". [[The Spokesman-Review]].
- Kunz, Aaron. (May 13, 2009). "Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor". [[KPVI-DT]].
- (July 14, 2009). "Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010". [[Idaho Statesman]].
- (August 28, 2009). "Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama". [[Daily News (New York).
- (May 25, 2010). "Idaho Governor Primary Results".
- Popkey, Dan. (December 11, 2009). "Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor". [[Idaho Statesman]].
- Kunz, Aaron. (July 7, 2009). "Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat". [[KPVI-DT]].
- [http://www.idaho-democrats.org/ht/display/ArticleDetails/i/978071/pid/304476 Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again] Accessed 16 August 2007 {{webarchive. link. (July 18, 2011)
- "Pro-Life For Governor, 2010". ProLifeIdaho.com.
- Iverson-Long, Brad. (May 18, 2010). "Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010". Idaho Reporter.
- Miller, John. (May 25, 2010). "Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries". [[Idaho State Journal]].
- "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
- "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
- "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
- (October 28, 2010). "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
- "Toplines - Idaho Governor - August 31, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports".
- "Toplines - 2010 Idaho Governor Election - July 15, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports".
- "Election 2010: Idaho Governor".
- "2010 General Results statewide".
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