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2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election
countryArkansas
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election
previous_year2010
next_election2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election
next_year2018
election_date
image1File:Asa Hutchinson, Mark H. Berry, and William D. Wofford (cropped).jpg
image_sizex150px
nominee1**Asa Hutchinson**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**470,429**
percentage1**55.44%**
image2File:Mike Ross Official (cropped 2) (3x4a).jpg
nominee2Mike Ross
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2352,115
percentage241.49%
map_image{{switcher
map_caption**Hutchinson:**
**Ross:**
titleGovernor
before_electionMike Beebe
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionAsa Hutchinson
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

| [[File:2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|210px]] | County results | [[File:2014 United States Senate election in Arkansas results map by congressional district.svg|210px]] | Congressional district results Ross:
The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This was the last time the Arkansas governor's changed partisan control.

Incumbent Governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of 9 states that limits its governors to two terms for life. Democrats nominated former U.S. representative Mike Ross and Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. representative and 2006 Arkansas gubernatorial nominee Asa Hutchinson. This was the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election.

Hutchinson won the general election by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction, a record held until 2022. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed; his victory gave Republicans complete control of state government for the first time since 1874.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Mike Ross, former U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

  • Lynette "Doc" Bryant, activist

Withdrew

  • Bill Halter, former lieutenant governor of Arkansas and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 (endorsed Ross)
  • Dustin McDaniel, Arkansas Attorney General

Declined

  • Shane Broadway, interim director of the Department of Higher Education and former state senator
  • John Burkhalter, former State Highway Commissioner (running for Lieutenant Governor)
  • Conner Eldridge, U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas
  • G. David Gearhart, chancellor of the University of Arkansas
  • Pat Hays, former mayor of North Little Rock (running for U.S. House)
  • Keith Ingram, state senator (endorsed Ross)
  • Bruce Maloch, state senator
  • Michael Malone, president and CEO of the Northwest Arkansas Council
  • Vic Snyder, former U.S. representative
  • Paul Suskie, former chairman of the Arkansas Public Service Commission and candidate for Attorney General of Arkansas in 2006
  • Chris Thomason, chancellor of the University of Arkansas Community College at Hope and former state representative
  • Robert F. Thompson, state senator (endorsed Ross)
  • Darrin Williams, state representative, former speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives

Endorsements

National political figures

  • Bill Clinton, former president of the United States

Arkansas political figures

  • John Baine, state representative
  • Mike Beebe, incumbent governor of Arkansas
  • Paul Bookout, former state senator
  • Mary Broadway, state representative
  • Harry Brown, Mayor of Stephens
  • John Burkhalter, former State Highway Commissioner and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas in 2014
  • David Burnett, state senator
  • JoAnne Bush, Republican mayor of Lake Village
  • Eddie Cheatham, state senator
  • Wesley Clark, retired U.S. General and candidate for president in 2004
  • Curtis Coleman, businessman and former Republican candidate for governor in 2014
  • Deborah Ferguson, state representative
  • David Fielding, state representative
  • Jimmie Lou Fisher, former Arkansas State Treasurer, nominee for governor in 2002 and former president of the Arkansas Democratic Women's Club
  • John Hall, County Judge of Crawford County
  • Bill Halter, former lieutenant governor of Arkansas and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
  • Fonda Hawthorne, state representative
  • Sherman Hiatt, mayor of Charleston
  • Keith Ingram, state senator
  • David Johnson, state senator
  • Sheila Lampkin, state representative
  • Sue Madison, former state senator
  • Allen Maxwell, mayor of Monticello
  • Stewart Nelson, mayor of Morrilton
  • Steve Northcutt, mayor of Malvern
  • Terry Oliver, mayor of Prescott
  • Harold Perrin, mayor of Jonesboro
  • Johnnie Roebuck, former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives
  • Bob Stacy, mayor of Wynne
  • Brent Talley, state representative
  • Robert F. Thompson, state senator
  • Tab Townsell, mayor of Conway
  • Kathy Webb, former state representative
  • Dane Weindorf, mayor of Hamburg
  • Hank Wilkins, state representative
  • James Lee Witt, former FEMA Director and former County Judge of Yell County
  • David Wyatt, state senator

Business leaders

  • Abraham Carpenter Jr., owner and operator of Carpenter's Produce
  • Jim Gaston, owner of Gaston's White River Resort, former Arkansas Business Executive of the Year and emeritus member of the Arkansas Parks & Tourism Commission

Organizations

  • Arkansas Professional Fire Fighters Association
  • Arkansas Timber Producers Association
  • Central South Carpenters Regional Council
  • Laborers International Union of North America
  • Laborers Local 107
  • Laborers Local 1282
  • Southern States Millwright Regional Council
  • Southwest Laborers District Council

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
HalterMike
RossUndecided
Clark ResearchJuly 23–27, 2013370± 5%26%**40%**34%

Results

Results by county:

| | | ]]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Asa Hutchinson, former administrator of the DEA, former U.S. representative and nominee for governor in 2006

Eliminated in primary

  • Curtis Coleman, founder of a food safety company and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Withdrew

Declined

  • Davy Carter, Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives
  • Tom Cotton, U.S. representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015) (running for the U.S. Senate)
  • Rick Crawford, U.S. representative for Arkansas's 1st congressional district (2011–present)
  • Mark Darr, former lieutenant governor of Arkansas
  • G. David Gearhart, chancellor of the University of Arkansas
  • Tim Griffin, U.S. representative for Arkansas's 2nd congressional district (2011–2015) (running for Lieutenant Governor)
  • Missy Irvin, state senator
  • Jim Keet, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2010
  • Johnny Key, state senator
  • Mark Martin, Secretary of State of Arkansas (running for re-election)
  • Sheffield Nelson, businessman and nominee for governor in 1990 and 1994
  • Steve Womack, U.S. representative Arkansas's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)

Endorsements

National politicians

  • Ron Paul, former U.S. representative (R-TX) and candidate for president in 2008 and 2012

Elected legislators

  • Randy Alexander, state representative
  • John Cooper, state senator
  • Joe Farrer, state representative
  • John "Hutch" Hutchison, state representative
  • John Payton, state representative
  • Richard Womack, state representative

Local elected leaders

  • Larry E. Burgess, Miller County Judge
  • Jayme Nicholson, Baxter County Assessor
  • Wayne Smith, Mayor of Texarkana
  • Tim Stockdale, Garland County Treasurer

Organizations

  • Miller County Patriots

Organization leaders

  • Bishop Robert E. Smith Sr., founder of Total Outreach for Christ Ministries, Inc. and Word of Outreach Christian Center
  • Timothy Stephenson, founder of the EAST Initiative

Federal legislators

  • Rick Crawford, U.S. representative
  • Tim Griffin, U.S. representative

State legislators

  • Nate Bell, state representative
  • Cecile Bledsoe, state senator
  • John Burris, state representative
  • Ron Caldwell, state senator
  • Davy Carter, Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives
  • Alan Clark, state senator from Garland County
  • Andy Davis, state representative
  • Jonathan Dismang, Majority Whip of the Arkansas Senate
  • Jon Eubanks, state representative
  • Bill Gossage, state representative
  • Justin Harris, state representative
  • Bart Hester, state senator
  • Michael Lamoureux, President Pro Tempore of the Arkansas Senate
  • Micah Neal, state representative
  • Matthew Shepherd, state representative

Local elected officials

  • Jerry Taylor, Democratic former state senator, state representative, and mayor of Pine Bluff

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorCurtis
ColemanAsa
HutchinsonUndecided
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeApril 29, 20141,516± 2.5%20%**70%**10%
Public Policy PollingApril 25–27, 2014342± 5.3%23%**62%**15%

Results

Results by county:

| | | | | ]]

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

  • Josh Drake (Green), attorney and nominee for Arkansas's 4th congressional district in 2008, 2010 and 2012
  • Frank Gilbert (Libertarian), DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull and nominee for the state senate in 2012

Declined

  • Sheffield Nelson (Independent), businessman and Republican nominee for governor in 1990 and 1994

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2014
Inside ElectionsNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Ross (D)Asa
Hutchinson (R)OtherUndecided
Opinion Research AssociatesOctober 30–November 1, 2014400± 5%**43%**39%5%14%
Public Policy PollingOctober 30–November 1, 20141,092± 3%41%**51%**4%4%
44%**53%**3%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 27–29, 2014967± 3%43%**50%**3%4%
Issues & Answers NetworkOctober 21–27, 2014568± 4.1%39%**50%**11%
Opinion Research AssociatesOctober 25–26, 2014401± 5%**44%**42%2%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,567± 4%38%**47%**0%15%
NBC News/MaristOctober 19–23, 2014621± 3.9%44%**47%**4%5%
971± 3.1%**44%**43%5%8%
Hendrix PollOctober 15–16, 20142,075± 2.2%41%**49%**5%6%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 13–15, 2014940± 3%47%**49%**1%3%
Fox NewsOctober 4–7, 2014707± 3.5%37%**46%**5%12%
Opinion Research AssociatesOctober 1–5, 2014400± 5%**45%**41%3%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20141,991± 2%38%**49%**1%12%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 24–25, 2014750± 4%42%**46%**4%8%
SuffolkSeptember 20–23, 2014500± 4.4%41%**43%**5%11%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 18–21, 20141,453± 2.6%38%**44%**5%13%
40%**46%**14%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 8–11, 2014902± 4%42%**46%**2%10%
Answers UnlimitedSeptember 7–9, 2014600± 3.5%**44%****44%**4%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 20141,572± 3%38%**45%**1%15%
NBC News/MaristSeptember 2–4, 2014639 LV± 3.9%39%**48%**6%7%
1,068 RV± 3%39%**46%**7%8%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 25–26, 2014750± 4%**46%**44%3%7%
Opinion Research AssociatesAugust 6–14, 2014414± 4.9%**44%****44%**3%9%
Public Policy PollingAugust 1–3, 20141,066± 3%38%**43%**7%12%
40%**46%**14%
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeJuly 22–25, 20141,780± 2.3%41%**46%**6%7.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,616± 3.5%45%**48%**2%4%
Gravis MarketingJuly 7–8, 2014987± 3%46%**49%**5%
Public Opinion StrategiesMay 27–29, 2014500± 4.39%42%**48%**10%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 27–28, 2014750± 4%41%**48%**4%6%
NBC News/MaristApril 30–May 4, 2014876± 3.3%42%**49%**2%7%
Public Policy PollingApril 25–27, 2014840± 3.4%38%**46%**16%
New York Times/Kaiser FamilyApril 8–15, 2014857± ?40%**41%**4%16%
Opinion Research AssociatesApril 1–8, 2014400± 5%**45%**39%17%
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeApril 3–4, 20141,068± 3%**44%**43%5%8%
Impact Management GroupFebruary 10, 20141,202± 2.83%**42%****42%**17%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 4–5, 2014500± 4.5%**44%**41%3%12%
Public Policy PollingDecember 13–15, 20131,004± 3.1%43%**44%**14%
Impact Management GroupOctober 24, 2013911± 3.2%37%**40%**23%
University of ArkansasOctober 10–17, 2013800± 3.5%30%**32%****38%**
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeOctober 8, 2013603± 4.%37%**41%**22%
Harper PollingAugust 4–5, 2013587± 4.04%38%**46%**16%
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeFebruary 20, 2013675± 3.8%38%**43%**19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorLynette
Bryant (D)Asa
Hutchinson (R)OtherUndecided
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeApril 3–4, 20141,068± 3%27.5%**48%**8%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBill
Halter (D)Asa
Hutchinson (R)OtherUndecided
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeFebruary 20, 2013675± 3.8%31%**47%**22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorDustin
McDaniel (D)Asa
Hutchinson (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 10–13, 2013600± 4.0%33%**46%**22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorMike
Ross (D)Curtis
Coleman (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 25–27, 2014840± 3.4%**43%**33%24%
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeApril 3–4, 20141,068± 3%**48%**30%7%15%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Arkansas (Largest city: Stuttgart)
  • Baxter (Largest city: Mountain Home)
  • Benton (Largest city: Rogers)
  • Boone (Largest city: Harrison)
  • Calhoun (Largest city: Hampton)
  • Carroll (Largest city: Berryville)
  • Clay (largest city: Piggott)
  • Cleburne (Largest city: Heber Springs)
  • Cleveland (Largest city: Rison)
  • Columbia (Largest city: Magnolia)
  • Conway (Largest city: Morrilton)
  • Craighead (Largest city: Jonesboro)
  • Crawford (Largest city: Van Buren)
  • Cross (Largest city: Wynne)
  • Faulkner (Largest city: Conway)
  • Franklin (Largest city: Ozark)
  • Fulton (Largest city: Salem)
  • Garland (Largest city: Hot Springs)
  • Grant (Largest city: Sheridan)
  • Greene (Largest city: Paragould)
  • Hempstead (largest city: Hope)
  • Hot Spring (Largest city: Malvern)
  • Independence (Largest city: Batesville)
  • Izard (Largest city: Horseshoe Bend)
  • Johnson (Largest city: Clarksville)
  • Lawrence (largest city: Walnut Ridge)
  • Logan (Largest city: Booneville)
  • Lonoke (Largest city: Cabot)
  • Madison (Largest city: Huntsville)
  • Marion (Largest city: Bull Shoals)
  • Miller (Largest city: Texarkana)
  • Montgomery (Largest city: Mount Ida)
  • Newton (Largest city: Jasper)
  • Perry (Largest city: Perryville)
  • Pike (Largest city: Glenwood)
  • Poinsett (largest city: Harrisburg)
  • Polk (Largest city: Mena)
  • Pope (Largest city: Russellville)
  • Prairie (Largest city: Des Arc)
  • Randolph (largest city: Pocahontas)
  • Saline (Largest city: Benton)
  • Scott (Largest city: Waldron)
  • Searcy (Largest city: Marshall)
  • Sebastian (Largest city: Fort Smith)
  • Sevier (Largest city: De Queen)
  • Sharp (Largest city: Cherokee Village)
  • Stone (Largest city: Mountain View)
  • Union (Largest city: El Dorado)
  • Van Buren (Largest city: Clinton)
  • Washington (Largest city: Fayetteville)
  • White (Largest city: Searcy)
  • Yell (Largest city: Dardanelle)

By congressional district

Hutchinson won all four congressional districts.

DistrictRossHutchinsonRepresentative
43%**54%**Rick Crawford
46%**52%**French Hill
33%**64%**Steve Womack
44%**53%**Bruce Westerman

References

References

  1. Demillo, Andrew. (December 5, 2011). "Coleman mulling 2014 bid for Ark. governor". [[RealClearPolitics]].
  2. (22 February 2013). "Mike Ross for governor: Rumours mount". Ark Times.
  3. (28 February 2013). "Election filings include Democratic gubernatorial candidate". Ark Times.
  4. (29 July 2013). "Bill Halter Withdraws from Governor's Race".
  5. "Attorney General Dustin McDaniel dropping out of 2014 governor race".
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  7. "Twitter / TolbertReport: By the way Shane Broadway tells". Twitter.com.
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  39. "Representative John Payton Endorses Curtis Coleman". Coleman For Arkansas.
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  43. (2013-04-16). "Texarkana Mayor Wayne Smith Announces Gubernatorial Endorsement | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com.
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  60. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
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  62. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
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  66. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
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  68. [https://maristpoll.marist.edu/1026-arkansas-cotton-and-pryor-in-tight-match-in-u-s-senate-contest-hutchinson-and-ross-closely-paired-in-governors-race/ NBC News/Marist]
  69. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  70. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
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  73. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
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  78. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
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  80. Frank Gilbert (L)
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  84. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
  85. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
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  87. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
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  89. Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
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  91. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
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  96. [https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/04/23/upshot/24upshot-south-poll.html New York Times/Kaiser Family]
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  102. [https://web.archive.org/web/20131102204305/http://plsc.uark.edu/2013_Arkansas_Poll_News_Release.doc University of Arkansas]
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  106. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 5%
  107. [https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/ArkansasResults1.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  108. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%
  109. "November 4, 2014 General election and nonpartisan runoff election Official results". Arkansas Secretary of State.
  110. "Both Mike Ross and Mark Pryor ran ahead of Obama in Arkansas in 2014".
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