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2012 Vermont gubernatorial election

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Field	Value
election_name	2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
country	Vermont
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2010 Vermont gubernatorial election
previous_year	2010
next_election	2014 Vermont gubernatorial election
next_year	2014
election_date
image1	File:Peter Shumlin (cropped).jpg
image_size	150x150px
nominee1	Peter Shumlin
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1	170,749
percentage1	57.80%
image2	File:Randy Brock for Vermont Lt Governor 2016 - 20151020-IMG 7818 (cropped).jpg
nominee2	Randy Brock
party2	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2	110,940
percentage2	37.55%
map	{{switcher
map_caption	Shumlin:
Brock:
Tie:
title	Governor
before_election	Peter Shumlin
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Peter Shumlin
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

|x220px |County results |x220px |Municipality results |x220px |Precinct results}} Brock:
Tie:

The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority. This is the last time that Democrats carried Grand Isle, Lamoille, and Rutland counties in a gubernatorial election.

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Peter Shumlin, incumbent

Republican nomination

Candidates

Randy Brock, state senator and former state auditor

Declined

Brian Dubie, former lieutenant governor and 2010 gubernatorial nominee
Thom Lauzon, mayor of Barre
Patricia McDonald, Vermont Republican Party Chairwoman and former state representative
Roy Newton, newspaper publisher (did not file)
Tom Salmon, state auditor
Phil Scott, lieutenant governor
Mark Snelling, 2010 candidate for lieutenant governor and son of former governor Richard Snelling

Progressive nomination

Candidates

Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)

General election

Candidates

Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate
Emily Peyton (Independent)
Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report		November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics		November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Peter
Shumlin (D)	Randy
Brock (R)	Undecided
Castleton Polling	August 11–21, 2012	477	± 4.5%	60%	26%	13%
Vermont Business Magazine	May 7–16, 2012	607	± 4.0%	60%	27%	11%
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	1,233	± 2.8%	51%	29%	20%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Peter
Shumlin (D)	Brian
Dubie (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	1,233	± 2.8%	48%	40%	12%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Peter
Shumlin (D)	Thom
Lauzon (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	1,233	± 2.8%	52%	25%	23%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Peter
Shumlin (D)	Tom
Salmon (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	1,233	± 2.8%	50%	31%	18%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Peter
Shumlin (D)	Phil
Scott (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	1,233	± 2.8%	50%	33%	17%

Poll source	Date(s)
administered	Sample
size	Margin of
error	Peter
Shumlin (D)	Mark
Snelling (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 28–31, 2011	1,233	± 2.8%	50%	29%	21%

Results

By county

County	Peter Shumlin
Democratic	Randy Brock
Republican	Various candidates
Other parties	#	%	#	%	#	%		Addison		Bennington		Caledonia	Chittenden	Essex	Franklin	Grand Isle	Lamoille	Orange	Orleans	Rutland	Washington	Windham	Windsor	Totals
	10,442		58.9%		6,664		37.6%		624		3.5%
	10,855		63.1%		5,109		29.7%		1,228		7.1%
	6,373		47.1%		6,479		47.9%		679		5.1%
	47,115		62.2%		25,609		33.8%		3,028		4.0%
	1,207		43.8%		1,377		50.0%		171		6.3%
	8,937		45.1%		10,265		51.8%		606		3.1%
	2,089		51.7%		1,811		44.8%		143		3.5%
	6,539		55.3%		4,686		39.6%		610		5.1%
	7,918		57.0%		5,387		38.8%		576		4.2%
	5,186		44.8%		5,737		49.5%		660		5.7%
	13,954		49.3%		13,005		45.9%		1,355		4.8%
	17,216		59.4%		10,540		36.3%		1,240		4.3%
	14,747		68.4%		5,364		24.9%		1,456		6.7%
	18,020		63.7%		8,907		31.5%		1,347		4.8%
170,598	57.8%	110,940	37.6%	13,723	4.6%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Grand Isle (largest municipality: Alburgh)
Lamoille (largest municipality: Morristown)
Rutland (largest municipality: Rutland)

References

(June 12, 2012). "Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid". [[Vermont Public Radio]].
Galloway, Anne. (December 7, 2011). "Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid". VTDigger.org.
Steimle, Susie. (December 7, 2011). "Brock to run for governor". [[WCAX]].
(December 21, 2011). "Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre". Vermont Today.
Hallenbeck, Terri. (April 25, 2012). "Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor". [[The Burlington Free Press]].
Remsen}}{{Dead link, Nancy. (September 23, 2011). "Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor". [[The Burlington Free Press]].
Heintz, Paul. (May 21, 2012). "Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now". [[Seven Days (newspaper).
McCarty, Alicia. (November 13, 2011). "A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012". [[USA Today]].
Dobbs, Taylor. (June 13, 2012). "Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor". VTDigger.org.
"2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".
"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
"2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
"2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics.
[https://web.archive.org/web/20130723103611/http://www.castleton.edu/polling/aug12/8-22-12results.htm Castleton Polling]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20120522161611/http://www.wcax.com/story/18579959/poll-shumlin-would-win-gubernatorial-race Vermont Business Magazine]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VT_0803513.pdf Public Policy Polling]
"American Airlines - Login".

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