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2010 Vermont gubernatorial election
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2010 Vermont gubernatorial election |
| country | Vermont |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 Vermont gubernatorial election |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| election_date | November 2, 2010 |
| next_election | 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election |
| next_year | 2012 |
| image1 | File:Peter Shumlin 2012 (cropped).jpg |
| image_size | 150x150px |
| nominee1 | **Peter Shumlin** |
| party1 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| popular_vote1 | **119,543** |
| percentage1 | **49.48%** |
| electoral_vote1 | **145** |
| image2 | File:Brian Dubie headshot.jpg |
| nominee2 | Brian Dubie |
| party2 | Republican Party (United States) |
| popular_vote2 | 115,212 |
| percentage2 | 47.69% |
| electoral_vote2 | 28 |
| map | {{switcher |
| map_caption | **Shumlin:** |
| **Dubie:** | |
| title | Governor |
| before_election | Jim Douglas |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | Peter Shumlin |
| after_party | Democratic Party (United States) |
|x220px |County results |x220px |Municipality results }} Dubie:
The 2010 Vermont gubernatorial general election took place on November 2. Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states where the governor serves a two-year term instead of four. Primary elections took place on August 24.
Incumbent Republican governor Jim Douglas was not a candidate for re-election. Brian Dubie, the incumbent Lieutenant Governor, was the Republican nominee. The Democratic nomination was won by Peter Shumlin, the President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate.
The result was a 119,543 (49.5 percent) to 115,212 (47.7 percent) plurality for Shumlin. Several minor candidates got between 600 and 2,000 votes each. In accordance with the Vermont Constitution, if no candidate receives a majority, the contest is decided by the Vermont General Assembly. In such races, the combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. Dubie indicated on November 3 that he did not intend to ask for a recount or contest the election in the legislature, and conceded to Shumlin. On January 6, 2011, with 173 of 180 members voting, 87 votes were necessary for a choice. The General Assembly elected Shumlin on the first ballot, 145–28.
Republican primary
Candidate
- Brian Dubie, Lieutenant Governor
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Susan Bartlett, state senator
- Matt Dunne, Google executive and former state senator
- Deborah Markowitz, Secretary of State of Vermont
- Doug Racine, state senator, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2002
- Peter Shumlin, Senate President Pro Tempore
Peter Shumlin won the Democratic primary according to the uncertified tabulation of statewide votes released by the Office of the Secretary of State on August 27, 2010, by 197 votes over Doug Racine, who requested a recount. The recount began September 8. Racine conceded on September 10.
Results
]]
Progressive primary
Candidates
- Martha Abbott, state party chair; Abbott won the primary, then withdrew from the election, so the party did not have a candidate on the ballot. The Party had promised not to play a "spoiler" role in the election if Shumlin supported single-payer health care, which he did.
Results
Independent and third-party candidates
- Cris Ericson, United States Marijuana Party
- Dan Feliciano, Independent
- Ben Mitchell, Liberty Union Party
- Em Payton, Independent
- Dennis Steele, Independent
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | October 14, 2010 | |
| Rothenberg | October 28, 2010 | |
| RealClearPolitics | November 1, 2010 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | October 28, 2010 | |
| CQ Politics | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Brian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dubie (R) | Peter | ||
| Shumlin (D) | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2010 | 45% | **50%** |
| Vermont Public Radio | October 12, 2010 | **44%** | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 13, 2010 | 46% | **49%** |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17, 2010 | **55%** | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 18, 2010 | **51%** | 33% |
Results
By county
| County | Peter Shumlin | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Dubie | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Republican | Various candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other parties | # | % | # | % | # | % | Addison | Bennington | Caledonia | Chittenden | Essex | Franklin | Grand Isle | Lamoille | Orange | Orleans | Rutland | Washington | Windham | Windsor | Totals | ||||||||||||||
| **7,739** | **50.8%** | 7,129 | 46.8% | 370 | 2.4% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **7,662** | **55.3%** | 5,700 | 41.2% | 484 | 3.4% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4,353 | 39.0% | **6,392** | **57.3%** | 409 | 3.7% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **32,280** | **52.4%** | 28,050 | 45.6% | 1,216 | 2.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 797 | 34.4% | **1,413** | **61.0%** | 107 | 4.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5,999 | 36.8% | **9,840** | **60.4%** | 451 | 2.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1,495 | 42.8% | **1,906** | **54.6%** | 92 | 2.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4,564 | 47.6% | **4,755** | **49.6%** | 274 | 2.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **5,678** | **49.5%** | 5,412 | 47.2% | 378 | 3.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3,874 | 41.1% | **5,235** | **55.5%** | 325 | 3.4% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9,483 | 41.6% | **12,583** | **55.2%** | 738 | 3.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **13,275** | **53.1%** | 10,973 | 43.9% | 758 | 3.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **10,442** | **60.6%** | 6,278 | 36.4% | 515 | 3.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **11,902** | **53.7%** | 9,546 | 43.0% | 733 | 3.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **119,543** | **49.5%** | 115,212 | 47.7% | 6,850 | 2.8% |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Addison (largest municipality: Middlebury)
- Bennington (largest municipality: Bennington)
- Chittenden (largest municipality: Burlington)
- Orange (Largest city: Randolph)
- Washington (largest municipality: Barre)
- Windham (largest municipality: Brattleboro)
- Windsor (largest municipality: Hartford)
General Assembly results
Vermont's Constitution requires the Vermont General Assembly to select if no candidate obtains a majority. The combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. The legislature officially elected Peter Shumlin on January 6, 2011.
References
References
- "Vermont Gubernatorial Election, 2010". Lucy Burns Institute.
- Allen, Anne Wallace. (February 3, 2019). "Vermont governors are divided on question of 4-year terms". VT Digger.
- (August 27, 2009). "Vermont Governor Douglas will not seek re-election". Vermont Business Magazine.
- Dobbs, Taylor. (November 6, 2014). "Wait, The Legislature Is Choosing The Governor?". Vermont Public Radio.
- Galloway, Anne. (November 3, 2010). "Dubie concedes; Shumlin holds victory presser at noon". VT Digger.
- Remsen, Nancy. (January 7, 2011). "'Regular Guy' Phil Scott sworn in as lt. governor". [[The Burlington Free Press]].
- Sneyd, Ross. (1 October 2009). "Dubie will run for governor". [[Vermont Public Radio]].
- (2009-11-03). "Dunne will run: Times Argus Online". Timesargus.com.
- Hallenbeck, Terri. (2009-02-24). "Democrats crowd race for governor". The Burlington Free Press.
- (2009-11-19). "Sen. Shumlin Confirms He'll Run for Governor | www.rherald.com | Randolph Herald". www.rherald.com.
- (August 27, 2010). "Shumlin wins; Racine calls for recount". [[The Burlington Free Press]].
- [http://www.benningtonbanner.com/ci_15988782 Judge will speed up Vt. primary recount] {{Webarchive. link. (September 9, 2010 , ''[[Bennington Banner]]'', September 3, 2010)
- Remsen, Nancy. (September 10, 2010). "Racine concedes". [[The Burlington Free Press]].
- "Archived copy".
- (August 28, 2010). "Abbott drops out of governor's race". The Burlington Free Press.
- Molly Worthen. (April 5, 2014). "As Vermont Goes, So Goes the Nation?". The New York Times.
- "2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
- "Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
- "2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
- "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
- "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.vpr.net/news_detail/89024/ Vermont Public Radio]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/toplines/toplines_vermont_governor_september_13_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/toplines/toplines_2010_vermont_governor_june_17_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_governor Rasmussen Reports]
- "Archived copy".
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