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2012 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2012 United States Senate election in Maryland

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States Senate election in Maryland
countryMaryland
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2006 United States Senate election in Maryland
previous_year2006
next_election2018 United States Senate election in Maryland
next_year2018
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
turnout68.2%
image_sizex150px
image1Ben Cardin, official Senate photo portrait (cropped).jpg
nominee1**Ben Cardin**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,474,028**
percentage1**55.98%**
image2Bongino Senate (cropped).jpg
nominee2Dan Bongino
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2693,291
percentage226.33%
image3File:S. R. Sobhani (cropped).jpg
nominee3Rob Sobhani
party3Independent
popular_vote3430,934
percentage316.37%
map_image{{switcher
map_size300px
map_caption**Cardin:**
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionBen Cardin
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBen Cardin
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Maryland results map by county.svg|300px]] |County results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Maryland results map by congressional district.svg|300px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Maryland results by precinct.svg|300px]] |Precinct results}}

Bongino:
Sobhani:
Tie:
The 2012 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate, House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Dan Bongino and independent Rob Sobhani.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Raymond Blagmon
  • Ben Cardin, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • J.P. Cusick
  • Christopher Garner, engineer and businessman
  • Ralph Jaffe, former political science teacher
  • C. Anthony Muse, State Senator
  • Blaine Taylor
  • Ed Tinus
  • Lih Young, perennial candidate

Results

Results by county:

]]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Joseph Alexander
  • Dan Bongino, former United States Secret Service agent
  • Bro Broadus
  • William Capps
  • Richard Douglas, attorney and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense
  • Rick Hoover
  • David Jones
  • John B. Kimble, behavioral scientist and perennial candidate
  • Brian Vaeth, retired firefighter
  • Corrogan R. Vaughn, perennial candidate

Declined

  • Bob Ehrlich, former Governor of Maryland
  • Brian Murphy, candidate for Governor in 2010
  • Eric Wargotz, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Results

Results by county:

]]

General election

Candidates

  • Ben Cardin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator and former U.S. Representative
  • Daniel Bongino (Republican), former United States Secret Service agent
  • Dean Ahmad (Libertarian), president of the Minaret of Freedom Institute
  • S. Rob Sobhani (independent), chairman and CEO of Caspian Group Holdings
  • Brandy Baker (Socialist, certified write-in)

Debates

A candidate's forum was held on Baltimore's WOLB radio on October 24 including Senator Ben Cardin, Rob Sobhani, Dean Ahmad and Daniel Bongino. An October 30 debate at Salisbury University to have featured those candidates and independent Ed Tinus was cancelled in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.

Campaign

In 2006, then-U.S. Representative Ben Cardin defeated then-Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele 54%–44%. Eric Wargotz, the Republican nominee in 2010 had considered entering the race but ultimately did not.

In both 2009 and 2010, National Journal magazine rated Cardin as tied for most liberal senator, based on his voting record. As of June 30, Cardin had $1.8 million in his campaign account.

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Ben Cardin (D)$3,758,957$2,248,013$1,896,329$0
Daniel Bongino (R)$188,419$172,509$15,909$0
Dean Ahmad (L)$8,565$6,288$2,276$0
S. Rob Sobhani (I)$6,472,715$6,043,030$429,683$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Top contributors

Ben CardinDaniel Bongino
Exelon Corp$39,250
News Corp$35,375
Johns Hopkins University$30,300
Comcast Corp$26,123
Ernst & Young$26,000
Gallagher, Evelius & Jones$24,250
Venable LLP$23,750
DLA Piper$23,250
DaVita Inc.$22,000
Blue Cross & Blue Shield$20,750

Top industries

Ben CardinDaniel Bongino
Lawyers/Law Firms$441,242
Real Estate$354,920
Health Professionals$317,509
Financial Institutions$301,161
Pro-Israel$236,792
Retired$222,410
Lobbyists$213,559
Insurance$191,300
Leadership PACs$191,000
Entertainment industry$188,806

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political ReportNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear PoliticsNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBen
Cardin (D)Daniel
Bongino (R)Rob
Sobhani (I)OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research & Marketing StrategiesSeptember 17–23, 2012813±3.5%**50%**22%21%—7%
*The Washington Post*October 11–15, 2012843±4%**53%**22%14%2%9%
OpinionWorksOctober 20–23, 2012801±3.5%**50%**24%14%2%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBen
Cardin (D)Generic
RepublicanOtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 10–12, 2010569±4.1%**51%**33%—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBen
Cardin (D)Michael
Steele (R)OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 10–12, 2010569±4.1%**58%**28%—14%

Results

By county

CountyBen CardinDan BonginoRob SobhaniDean AhmadOtherMarginTotal#%#%#%#%#%#%
**Allegany**950733.38%**14667****51.50%**392014.60%3671.29%180.06%-5160-18.12%28479
**Anne Arundel****108328****42.62%**9380436.90%4850319.08%33201.31%2410.09%145245.71%254196
**Baltimore****198290****52.55%**9529725.25%7888720.91%44341.18%4390.12%10299327.29%377347
**Baltimore City****189128****77.21%**169316.91%3572414.58%29301.20%2320.09%17219762.63%244945
**Calvert****17296****39.36%**1727239.31%880620.04%5231.19%430.10%240.05%43940
**Caroline**442333.93%**5898****45.24%**257519.75%1220.94%180.14%-1475-11.31%13036
**Carroll**2283726.69%**41795****48.86%**1973323.07%11181.31%660.08%-18958-22.16%85549
**Cecil**1499436.41%**18452****44.81%**713717.33%5491.33%470.11%-3458-8.40%41179
**Charles****42638****58.24%**1675222.88%1303617.81%7210.98%580.08%2588635.36%73205
**Dorchester****6552****44.29%**552637.36%256717.35%1320.89%160.11%10266.94%14793
**Frederick**4516139.80%**48563****42.80%**1791315.79%17201.52%1120.10%-3402-3.00%113469
**Garrett**344827.87%**8263****66.79%**4923.98%1631.32%60.05%-4815-38.92%12372
**Harford**4327435.04%**45404****36.77%**3314826.84%15351.24%1260.10%-2130-1.72%123487
**Howard****80265****53.66%**4289228.67%2381515.92%24621.65%1480.10%3737324.98%149582
**Kent****4312****44.45%**360837.20%166017.11%880.91%320.33%7047.26%9700
**Montgomery****293715****66.21%**9401021.19%4961111.18%57901.31%4550.10%19970545.02%443581
**Prince George's****305771****81.40%**250806.68%4093710.90%35210.94%3390.09%28069170.50%375648
**Queen Anne's**738530.13%**12540****51.15%**434417.72%2170.89%280.11%-5155-21.03%24514
**St. Mary's**1756638.29%**19480****42.46%**806517.58%7231.58%420.09%-1914-4.17%45876
**Somerset****4686****46.70%**356835.56%168216.76%860.86%130.13%111811.14%10035
**Talbot**810040.46%**8986****44.89%**272913.63%1730.86%320.16%-886-4.43%20020
**Washington**1970232.56%**28161****46.53%**1178819.48%8241.36%410.07%-8459-13.98%60516
**Wicomico****16974****41.41%**1507236.77%842620.56%4521.10%630.15%19024.64%40987
**Worcester**967636.21%**11270****42.18%**543620.34%2821.06%560.21%-1594-5.97%26720
Total147402855.98%69329126.33%43093416.37%322521.22%27290.10%78073728.90%2633234

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Anne Arundel (largest municipality: Annapolis)
  • Calvert (largest municipality: Chesapeake Beach)
  • Dorchester (largest municipality: Cambridge)
  • Somerset (largest municipality: Princess Anne)
  • Wicomico (largest municipality: Salisbury)

References

References

  1. (September 21, 2011). "Md. Former Teacher Plans Run for U.S. Senate". [[WJZ-TV.
  2. "Maryland Politics: Cardin to kick off campaign - Politics and Policy from Baltimore, Annapolis and Washington". [[The Baltimore Sun]].
  3. (January 12, 2012). "Political Notes: O'Malley receives planning award". [[The Capital]].
  4. (January 5, 2012). "State Sen. Muse to challenge Cardin for Senate". The Baltimore Sun.
  5. Fritze, John. (April 3, 2012). "Ben Cardin wins Senate primary". The Baltimore Sun.
  6. (April 4, 2012). "Ex-agent Bongino wins Republican Senate primary; will face Sen. Benjamin Cardin in November". [[The Washington Post]].
  7. "Official 2012 Presidential Primary Election results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections.
  8. (May 31, 2011). "Ex-Secret Service Agent To Run For Senate". [[CBS Baltimore]].
  9. (March 6, 2012). "John Bolton says Md. is "winnable" for GOP". The Baltimore Sun.
  10. (November 28, 2011). "Politics1 Online Guide to Maryland Politics". politics1.com.
  11. Farrell, Liam. (December 8, 2010). "Ehrlich not interested in another office". The Capital.
  12. "Maryland Politics: Murphy to chair Senate campaign, not run, in 2012 - Politics and Policy from Baltimore, Annapolis and Washington". The Baltimore Sun.
  13. Fritze, John. (November 3, 2011). "Wargotz forgoes Senate run". The Baltimore Sun.
  14. "Facebook".
  15. Razzi, Robin. (October 24, 2012). "Senatorial Debate 2012: What You Missed". [[WOLB]].
  16. White, Brian. (October 25, 2012). "Maryland Senate candidates debate on economy". [[Cumberland Times-News]].
  17. (October 20, 2012). "Maryland Gazette Political Notes: Cardin, Bongino, Sobhani set first debate in Salisbury". [[Maryland Gazette]].
  18. Kunkle, Fredrick. (November 2, 2012). "Rob Sobhani, independent in Maryland Senate race, makes closing argument". The Washington Post.
  19. (September 28, 2011). "In Md., Anthony Muse considers primary challenge to Sen. Cardin". The Washington Post.
  20. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Ben Cardin]
  21. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do Daniel Bongino Campaign Finances]
  22. "Committee/Candidate Search".
  23. [https://web.archive.org/web/20110421070013/http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do S. Rob Sobhani Campaign Finances]
  24. "Congressional Elections: Maryland Senate Race: 2012 Cycle - OpenSecrets".
  25. "Congressional Elections: New York District 01 Race: 2012 Cycle - OpenSecrets".
  26. "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".
  27. "2012 Senate".
  28. "2012 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report.
  29. "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics.
  30. [https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/maryland-politics/post/maryland-senate-poll-second-place-too-close-to-call/2012/09/26/4034cecc-078c-11e2-afff-d6c7f20a83bf_blog.html Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies]
  31. [https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_20121015.html The Washington Post]
  32. [http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/bs-md-senate-poll-20121028,0,2338651.story OpinionWorks]
  33. [https://web.archive.org/web/20120414161210/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MD_715.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  34. [http://www.elections.maryland.gov/elections/2012/results/general/gen_results_2012_4_007-.html 2012 General Election Results], ''Maryland State Board of Elections'', November 28, 2012. Retrieved January 16, 2018.
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