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2010 Maryland gubernatorial election

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Field	Value
election_name	2010 Maryland gubernatorial election
country	Maryland
type	presidential
ongoing	no
turnout	54.02% 3.51%
previous_election	2006 Maryland gubernatorial election
previous_year	2006
next_election	2014 Maryland gubernatorial election
next_year	2014
election_date	November 2, 2010
image_size	x150px
image1	Image:Martin O'Malley promoting Gen. James Adkins (1).jpg
nominee1	Martin O'Malley
running_mate1	Anthony Brown
party1	Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1	1,044,961
percentage1	56.24%
image2	File:Robert ehrlich speaking at healthierUS summit cropped.jpg
nominee2	Bob Ehrlich
running_mate2	Mary Kane
party2	Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote2	776,319
percentage2	41.79%
map_image	{{switcher
default	1}}
map_size	295px
map_caption	O'Malley:
Ehrlich:
Tie:
title	Governor
before_election	Martin O'Malley
before_party	Democratic Party (United States)
after_election	Martin O'Malley
after_party	Democratic Party (United States)

|[[File:2010 Maryland gubernatorial election results map by county.svg|295px]] |County results |[[File:2010 Maryland gubernatorial election results by precinct.svg|295px]] |Precinct results Ehrlich:
Tie:
The 2010 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. The date included the election of the governor, lieutenant governor, and all members of the Maryland General Assembly. Incumbent Democratic Governor Martin O'Malley and Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown won election to a second term in office, defeating Republican former Governor Bob Ehrlich and his running mate Mary Kane.

Ehrlich had previously lost to O'Malley in 2006. O'Malley and Brown became the first gubernatorial ticket in Maryland history to receive more than a million votes.

While Ehrlich won a clear majority of Maryland's counties, he lost in the area between Baltimore and Washington, which accounts for more than 90% of the state's population. This allowed O'Malley to win by a relatively large margin of 14.4%.

Background

In his first term as governor of Maryland, Martin O'Malley had made accomplishments, including raising total state tax collections by 14%. In April 2009 he signed the traffic speed camera enforcement law. He had supported raising revenue to try to overcome an imminent state deficit. Through his strenuous lobbying, he also implemented on a statewide level, Maryland StateStat One, the same CitiStat system he used to manage the city of Baltimore as mayor. One off his first actions as governor was to close the Maryland House of Corrections in Jessup, a notoriously violent maximum-security prison. By 2010, O'Malley's approval ratings had reached 55%, making his chances of reelection very good.

Democratic primary

In the Democratic primary O'Malley faced J. P. Cusick and Ralph Jaffe, placing him in an unusual position, as he had run unopposed in the 2006 Democratic primary. He benefited from being the incumbent, and he handily defeated them in the primary. O'Malley received 86.3% of the vote. Cusick came in second with 9.7%, and Jaffe finished in last place with 5% of the vote. O'Malley again chose incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown as his running mate.

Candidates

J. P. Cusick
:Running mate: Michael Lange
Ralph Jaffe, teacher and perennial candidate
:Running mate: Freda Jaffe
Martin O'Malley, incumbent governor
:Running mate: Anthony Brown, incumbent lieutenant governor

Results

Results by county:

]]

Republican primary

The frontrunner for the Republican primary was former Republican Governor (and O'Malley's predecessor) Bob Ehrlich. He faced Brian Murphy in the primary. Like O'Malley, Erlich had also run unopposed in the 2006 Republican primary. Ehrlich easily defeated Murphy in the Republican primary by a margin of 75.8%-24.2%. He chose his former Secretary of State Mary Kane as his running mate.

Candidates

Bob Ehrlich, former governor :*Running mate: Mary Kane, former Maryland Secretary of State
Brian Murphy, businessman :*Running mate: Mike Ryman, former federal and congressional inspector and candidate for the State Senate in 2006 :*Former running mate: Carmen Amedori, former State Delegate

Results

Results by county:

]]

Minor party candidates

Constitution Party

Eric Delano Knowles :*Running mate: Michael Hargadon

Green Party

Maria Allwine :*Running mate: Ken Eidel

Libertarian Party

Susan Gaztanaga :*Running mate: Doug McNeil

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report		October 14, 2010
Rothenberg		October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics		November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball		October 28, 2010
CQ Politics		October 28, 2010

Polling

Polling for the election overwhelmingly showed O'Malley would be reelected. The first poll taken in September 2009 showed him with an 11-point lead over Ehrlich. Throughout the election, only a few polls showed Ehrlich with a lead. By the last few months of the campaign, O'Malley held a strong double-digit lead over Ehrlich. The last poll taken showed him with a 10-point lead over Ehrlich: 52%-42%.

Poll source	Dates administered	Bob
Ehrlich (R)	Martin
O'Malley (D)
Rasmussen Reports	October 24, 2010	42%		52%
Rasmussen Reports	October 5, 2010	41%		49%
The Washington Post	September 22–26, 2010	41%		52%
Rasmussen Reports	September 15, 2010	47%		50%
Center Maryland/Opinion Works	August 13–18, 2010	41%		47%
Rasmussen Reports	August 17, 2010	44%		45%
Gonzales poll	July 13–21, 2010	42%		45%
Public Policy Polling	July 10–12, 2010	42%		45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 12, 2010		47%	46%
Magellan Strategies	June 29, 2010		46%	43%
The Polling Company	June 8–10, 2010	43%		44%
Rasmussen Reports	June 8, 2010	45%	45%
The Washington Post	May 3–6, 2010	41%		49%
Rasmussen Reports	April 20, 2010	44%		47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 23, 2010	43%		49%
Gonzales poll	September 17, 2009	38%		49%

Endorsements

Ehrlich was endorsed by high-profile people. These include Terrapin basketball standout and Memphis Grizzlies NBA draft pick Greivis Vásquez and his former lieutenant governor who was then the chairman of the Republican National Committee, Michael Steele. He was also supported by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and former New York city mayor Rudy Giuliani. The support of these individuals elevated support to his campaign.

Results

On election night, Ehrlich won a majority of Maryland counties, but O'Malley's strong showing in the highly populated counties allowed him to win in a landslide over Ehrlich. He significantly increased his margin from 2006. In a year when Republicans made significant gains over Democrats, O'Malley received 56.2% of the vote while Ehrlich received 41.8%. The only county to flip from one party to another was Baltimore County, which Ehrlich had carried in 2006, but O'Malley carried by a narrow margin in 2010. O'Malley was certified as the winner, and was sworn in for his second term in January 2011.

By county

County	Martin O'Malley
Democratic	Bob Ehrlich
Republican	Others	#	%	#	%	#	%	Allegany	Anne Arundel	Baltimore	Baltimore City	Calvert	Caroline	Carroll	Cecil	Charles	Dorchester	Frederick	Garrett	Harford	Howard	Kent	Montgomery	Prince George's	Queen Anne's	Somerset	St. Mary's	Talbot	Washington	Wicomico	Worcester	Totals
	7,933		35.9%		13,394		60.5%	797	3.6%
	88,161		43.4%		110,002		54.2%	4,797	2.4%
	141,802		49.2%		140,476		48.7%	5,976	2.0%
	133,068		81.9%		26,073		16.1%	3,279	2.0%
	13,864		43.3%		17,444		54.5%	682	2.1%
	3,185		31.7%		6,571		65.4%	290	2.9%
	16,733		26.2%		45,357		71.1%	1,743	2.7%
	10,833		35.9%		18,273		60.6%	1,054	3.4%
	28,818		61.3%		17,531		37.3%	660	1.3%
	4,756		40.3%		6,780		57.5%	257	2.2%
	32,222		42.6%		41,410		54.7%	2,021	2.6%
	2,530		26.0%		6,972		71.6%	232	2.4%
	31,220		33.0%		61,068		64.5%	2,346	2.6%
	58,215		54.0%		47,642		44.2%	1,947	1.8%
	3,574		43.4%		4,485		54.4%	185	2.2%
	198,950		68.1%		89,108		30.5%	4,000	1.3%
	203,957		87.9%		26,156		11.3%	1,841	0.8%
	6,278		31.6%		13,238		66.6%	372	1.9%
	3,198		41.5%		4,318		56.0%	189	2.4%
	12,990		41.0%		17,804		56.2%	874	2.8%
	6,331		38.7%		9,707		59.3%	319	2.0%
	15,155		37.5%		23,651		58.6%	1,578	3.9%
	12,661		42.6%		16,325		54.9%	734	2.5%
	8,527		39.7%		12,534		58.3%	427	1.9%
1,044,961	56.3%	776,319	41.8%	35,072	1.9%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Baltimore County (largest municipality: Dundalk)

Ehrlich campaign robocall controversy

In the summer before the election, Ehrlich's campaign hired a consultant who advised that "the first and most desired outcome is voter suppression", in the form of having "African-American voters stay home." To that end, the Republicans placed thousands of Election Day robocalls to Democratic voters, telling them that O'Malley had won, although in fact the polls were still open for some two more hours. The Republicans' call, worded to seem as if it came from Democrats, told the voters, "Relax. Everything's fine. The only thing left is to watch it on TV tonight." The calls reached 112,000 voters in majority-African American areas. In 2011, Ehrlich's campaign manager, Paul Schurick, was convicted of fraud and other charges because of the calls. Ehrlich denied knowing about the calls.

References

"2010 Gubernatorial Primary Election - Voter Turnout". [[Maryland State Board of Elections]].
(1956-11-06). "Maryland Elections, forthcoming". Msa.md.gov.
"State Gubernatorial Term Limits".
"Maryland State Board of Elections").
"2010 Gubernatorial Primary Election".
(September 19, 2010). "Maryland Gubernatorial Primary Results". Maryland State Board of Elections.
(2010-03-31). "Ehrlich Announces Run For Maryland Governor". wjz.com.
"Brian Murphy for Governor of Maryland. Leading a Return to Principled Governance". Brianmurphy2010.com.
Wagner, John. (2010-07-06). "Maryland Politics – GOP hopeful Murphy offers second running mate". Voices.washingtonpost.com.
"2010 Governors Race Ratings". [[Cook Political Report]].
"Governor Ratings". [[Rothenberg Political Report]].
"2010 Governor Races". [[RealClearPolitics]].
"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]].
"Race Ratings Chart: Governor". [[CQ Politics]].
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/maryland/election_2010_maryland_governor Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/maryland/toplines/toplines_maryland_governor_september_15_2010 Rasmussen Reports]
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_092910.html?sid=ST2010092806162 Washington Post]
link. (2010-09-06)
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/maryland/toplines/toplines_maryland_governor_august_17_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
[http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/news/local/politics/2010/07/gonzales_poll_shows_statistica.html Gonzales poll]
[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MD_713.pdf Public Policy Polling]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/maryland/toplines/toplines_maryland_governor_june_8_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/Magellan-Maryland-Governor-Survey-Release-070110.pdf Magellan Strategies]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20100621010405/http://www.brianmurphy2010.com/pages/pr14.shtml The Polling Company]
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_050910_koDp3.html?sid=ST2010051000829 Washington Post]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/maryland/toplines/toplines_2010_maryland_governor_april_20_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/maryland/toplines/toplines_2010_maryland_governor_february_23_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]
[https://web.archive.org/web/20111212193824/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/annapolis/2009/09/omalley_vs_ehrlich_2009_looks.html Gonzales poll]
"2010 General Election Official Results".
Broadwater, Luke. (December 6, 2011). "Schurick guilty of election fraud in robocall case". [[The Baltimore Sun]].
Wagner, John. (December 6, 2011). "Ex-Ehrlich campaign manager Schurick convicted in robocall case". [[The Washington Post]].

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