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2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
countryWisconsin
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
previous_year2008
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
next_year2016
turnout70.35%
image_sizex200px
image1President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee1**Barack Obama**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
home_state1Illinois
running_mate1**Joe Biden**
electoral_vote1**10**
popular_vote1**1,620,985**
percentage1**52.83%**
map_image{{Switcher
map_caption
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
image2Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee2Mitt Romney
party2Republican Party (United States)
home_state2Massachusetts
running_mate2Paul Ryan
electoral_vote20
popular_vote21,407,966
percentage245.89%

Obama Romney Tie/No Data The 2012 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose 10 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Obama won the state of Wisconsin with 52.83% of the vote to Romney's 45.89%, a 6.94% margin of victory. While this represented half the victory margin of Obama's 13.91% win in 2008, when he won 59 of 72 counties and 7 of 8 congressional districts, it still remains the only other presidential election in the 21st century where the winning candidate won the state by more than 1% of the vote. Obama's win was also surprisingly comfortable even though Wisconsin was the home state of Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, making him the first Republican vice presidential nominee to lose their home state since Jack Kemp lost New York in 1996. Obama's win was attributed to victories in Milwaukee, the state's largest city; Madison, the state capital; northwestern Wisconsin; and the Driftless Region. Romney's strength was concentrated in the loyally Republican Milwaukee suburbs, particularly the WOW counties (Ozaukee, Washington, and Waukesha), where he carried a combined 67.03% of the vote to Obama's 32.00%. He also flipped 24 counties in the Northeast and Central Plain regions, though most of them were rural and, therefore, insufficient to overcome Obama's aforementioned victories. Obama nonetheless became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Iron County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916.

As of 2024, this is the last time the Democratic presidential nominee won the following counties: Adams, Buffalo, Columbia, Crawford, Dunn, Forest, Grant, Jackson, Juneau, Kenosha, Lafayette, Lincoln, Marquette, Pepin, Price, Racine, Richland, Sawyer, Trempealeau, Vernon, and Winnebago. This remains the last time that any candidate won Wisconsin with more than 50% of the vote or by more than 1 percentage point.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

President Barack Obama ran unopposed in the Democratic Primary, winning 293,914 votes, or 97.89%. Uncommitted ballots received 5,092 votes, or 1.89% of the vote, while 849 votes, 0.28%, were scattered. 111 delegates, all of which were pledged to Obama were sent to the 2012 Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Republican primary

The 2012 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary took place on April 3, 2012, the same day as the primaries in the District of Columbia and Maryland. Mitt Romney edged out a victory, with 44.03% of the vote and 33 delegates, with former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania coming in second with 36.83% of the vote and 9 delegates. No other candidates won any delegates nor counties, though representative Ron Paul of Texas's 14th district received 11.15% and former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich received 5.84%. All other candidates received less than 1%. Romney's strength was concentrated in Southeast Wisconsin, carrying Milwaukee and all of its suburbs (including the Kenosha and Racine as well as the ancestrally Republican counties of Ozaukee, Washington, and Waukesha), as well as Madison. Santorum's most significant victories were in Western Wisconsin and in Green Bay and its respective suburbs.

2012 Wisconsin Republican presidential primaryCandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
[[File:America Symbol.svg14px]] **Mitt Romney****346,876****44.03%****33**
Rick Santorum290,13936.83%9
Ron Paul87,85811.15%0
Newt Gingrich45,9785.84%0
Michele Bachmann6,0450.77%0
Jon Huntsman5,0830.65%0
Uninstructed4,2000.53%0
Scattering1,6680.21%0
**Total:**787,847100%**42**

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Results

Although Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan was from Wisconsin, representing the 1st district in Congress, the Republican Party lost by around a seven-point margin, which was, albeit an improved loss from Obama's landslide 13.91% margin in 2008, a crucial loss.

2012 United States presidential election in WisconsinPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Democratic****Barack Obama** **(incumbent)****Joe Biden** **(incumbent)****1,620,985****52.83%****10**
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,407,96645.89%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray20,4390.67%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala7,6650.25%0
Write-InsWrite-Ins5,1700.17%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer4,9300.16%0
Socialist EqualityJerry WhitePhyllis Scherrer5530.02%0
Socialism and LiberationGloria La RivaFilberto Ramirez Jr.5260.02%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1120.00%0
Peace & FreedomRoseanne BarrCindy Sheehan880.00%0
**Totals****3,068,434****100.00%****10**

By county

CountyBarack Obama
DemocraticMitt Romney
RepublicanVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%Totals1,620,98552.83%1,407,96645.89%39,4831.29%213,0196.94%3,068,434
Adams5,55253.87%4,64445.14%1010.99%8988.73%10,287
Ashland5,39964.49%2,82033.68%1531.83%2,57930.81%8,372
Barron10,89047.99%11,44350.43%3591.58%-553-2.44%22,692
Bayfield6,03361.64%3,60336.81%1521.55%2,43024.83%9,788
Brown62,52648.50%64,83650.29%1,5661.21%-2,310-1.79%128,928
Buffalo3,57050.72%3,36447.79%1051.49%2062.93%7,039
Burnett3,98645.94%4,55052.44%1411.62%-564-6.50%8,677
Calumet11,48943.49%14,53955.03%3921.48%-3,050-11.54%26,420
Chippewa15,23749.26%15,32249.53%3731.21%-85-0.27%30,932
Clark6,17244.72%7,41253.71%2171.57%-1,240-8.99%13,801
Columbia17,17556.23%13,02642.64%3451.13%4,14913.59%30,546
Crawford4,62959.22%3,06739.24%1211.54%1,56219.98%7,817
Dane216,07171.03%83,64427.50%4,4661.47%132,42743.53%304,181
Dodge18,76242.17%25,21156.67%5151.16%-6,449-14.50%44,488
Door9,35752.95%8,12145.96%1931.09%1,2366.99%17,671
Douglas14,86364.92%7,70533.66%3261.42%7,15831.26%22,894
Dunn11,31651.46%10,22446.49%4522.05%1,0924.97%21,992
Eau Claire30,66655.95%23,25642.43%8841.62%7,41013.52%54,806
Florence95336.30%1,64562.67%271.03%-692-26.37%2,625
Fond du Lac22,37941.91%30,35556.84%6681.25%-7,976-14.93%53,402
Forest2,42552.17%2,17246.73%511.10%2535.44%4,648
Grant13,59456.06%10,25542.29%3991.65%3,33913.77%24,248
Green11,20658.00%7,85740.66%2591.34%3,34917.34%19,322
Green Lake3,79339.20%5,78259.76%1001.04%-1,989-20.56%9,675
Iowa8,10564.66%4,28734.20%1421.14%3,81830.46%12,534
Iron1,78449.12%1,79049.28%581.60%-6-0.16%3,632
Jackson5,29856.89%3,90041.88%1151.23%1,39815.01%9,313
Jefferson20,15845.52%23,51753.11%6061.37%-3,359-7.59%44,281
Juneau6,24252.78%5,41145.75%1741.47%8317.03%11,827
Kenosha44,86755.46%34,97743.24%1,0531.30%9,89012.22%80,897
Kewaunee5,15346.69%5,74752.07%1371.24%-594-5.38%11,037
La Crosse36,69357.82%25,75140.58%1,0181.60%10,94217.24%63,462
Lafayette4,53657.04%3,31441.68%1021.28%1,22215.36%7,952
Langlade4,57343.47%5,81655.29%1301.24%-1,243-11.82%10,519
Lincoln7,56349.70%7,45548.99%1981.31%1080.71%15,216
Manitowoc20,40347.88%21,60450.69%6101.43%-1,201-2.81%42,617
Marathon32,36346.32%36,61752.41%8821.27%-4,254-6.09%69,862
Marinette9,88247.56%10,61951.11%2761.33%-737-3.55%20,777
Marquette4,01449.52%3,99249.25%991.23%220.27%8,105
Menominee1,19186.49%17913.00%70.51%1,01273.49%1,377
Milwaukee332,43867.49%154,92431.45%5,2141.06%177,51436.04%492,576
Monroe9,51548.83%9,67549.65%2951.52%-160-0.82%19,485
Oconto8,86544.64%10,74154.09%2531.27%-1,876-9.45%19,859
Oneida10,45248.27%10,91750.42%2831.31%-465-2.15%21,652
Outagamie45,65948.27%47,37250.08%1,5651.65%-1,713-1.81%94,596
Ozaukee19,15934.32%36,07764.63%5811.05%-16,918-30.31%55,817
Pepin1,87650.72%1,79448.50%290.78%822.22%3,699
Pierce10,23548.69%10,39749.46%3881.85%-162-0.77%21,020
Polk10,07344.62%12,09453.58%4061.80%-2,021-8.96%22,573
Portage22,07556.12%16,61542.24%6471.64%5,46013.88%39,337
Price3,88749.20%3,88449.16%1301.64%30.04%7,901
Racine53,00851.28%49,34747.74%1,0090.98%3,6613.54%103,364
Richland4,96957.41%3,57341.28%1131.31%1,39616.13%8,655
Rock49,21961.00%30,51737.82%9541.18%18,70223.18%80,690
Rusk3,39747.24%3,67651.12%1181.64%-279-3.88%7,191
St. Croix19,91043.07%25,50355.17%8121.76%-5,593-12.10%46,225
Sauk18,73658.68%12,83840.21%3531.11%5,89818.47%31,927
Sawyer4,48649.71%4,44249.22%971.07%440.49%9,025
Shawano9,00044.38%11,02254.35%2571.27%-2,022-9.97%20,279
Sheboygan27,91844.56%34,07254.38%6611.06%-6,154-9.82%62,651
Taylor3,76339.56%5,60158.88%1481.56%-1,838-19.32%9,512
Trempealeau7,60556.41%5,70742.33%1691.26%1,89814.08%13,481
Vernon8,04456.37%5,94241.64%2831.99%2,10214.73%14,269
Vilas5,95142.99%7,74955.98%1421.03%-1,798-12.99%13,842
Walworth22,55243.12%29,00655.46%7451.42%-6,454-12.34%52,303
Washburn4,44747.88%4,69950.60%1411.52%-252-2.72%9,287
Washington23,16629.42%54,76569.55%8111.03%-31,599-40.13%78,742
Waukesha78,77932.31%162,79866.76%2,2790.93%-84,019-34.45%243,856
Waupaca11,57844.81%14,00254.19%2601.00%-2,424-9.38%25,840
Waushara5,33544.28%6,56254.47%1511.25%-1,227-10.19%12,048
Winnebago45,44950.97%42,12247.24%1,6021.79%3,3273.73%89,173
Wood18,58147.77%19,70450.65%6151.58%-1,123-2.88%38,900
County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican

  • Barron (largest city: Rice Lake)
  • Brown (largest city: Green Bay)
  • Burnett (largest village: Grantsburg)
  • Calumet (largest city: Chilton)
  • Chippewa (largest city: Chippewa Falls)
  • Clark (largest city: Neillsville)
  • Iron (largest city: Hurley)
  • Jefferson (largest city: Watertown)
  • Kewaunee (largest city: Algoma)
  • Langlade (largest city: Antigo)
  • Manitowoc (largest city: Manitowoc)
  • Marathon (largest city: Wausau)
  • Marinette (largest city: Marinette)
  • Monroe (largest city: Sparta)
  • Oconto (largest city: Oconto)
  • Oneida (largest city: Rhinelander)
  • Outagamie (largest city: Appleton)
  • Pierce (largest city: River Falls)
  • Rusk (largest city: Ladysmith)
  • Shawano (largest city: Shawano)
  • Washburn (largest city: Spooner)
  • Waupaca (largest city: New London)
  • Waushara (largest city: Berlin)
  • Wood (largest city: Marshfield)

By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Romney won five of eight congressional districts.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
**51.65%**47.44%Paul Ryan
30.46%**68.3%**Mark Pocan
43.82%**54.82%**Ron Kind
23.78%**75.33%**Gwen Moore
**61.31%**37.75%Jim Sensenbrenner
**53.1%**45.77%Tom Petri
**50.92%**47.83%Sean Duffy
**51.26%**47.56%Reid Ribble

References

References

  1. "Wisconsin Voter Turnout Statistics | Wisconsin Elections Commission".
  2. "Wisconsin Gov Accountability Board".
  3. Brownstein, Ronald. (September 16, 2024). "Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics". CNN.
  4. (April 3, 2012). "Canvass Results for 2012 Presidential Preferenrce and Spring Election - 4/3/2012".
  5. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". [[CNN]].
  6. "Presidential Primary Dates". [[Federal Election Commission]].
  7. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  8. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  9. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  10. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  11. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  12. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  13. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  14. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  15. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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