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2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota

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2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota
countryNorth Dakota
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in North Dakota
previous_year2008
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
next_election2016 United States presidential election in North Dakota
next_year2016
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
nominee1**Mitt Romney**
party1North Dakota Republican Party
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1**Paul Ryan**
electoral_vote1**3**
popular_vote1**188,163**
percentage1**58.32%**
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2North Dakota Democratic–Nonpartisan League Party
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2124,827
percentage238.69%
map_imageNorth Dakota Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
map_size300px
map_captionCounty results
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic-NPL
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic-NPL

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

Romney Obama

The 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Mitt Romney handily won the state with 58.32% of the vote to Barack Obama's 38.69%, a 19.63% margin of victory, considerably higher than McCain's 8.65% margin of victory. He flipped seven counties that Obama carried in 2008, including Cass County, home to Fargo, the state's largest city. Obama was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1912 to win without Mountrail County. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time a Democrat won Benson, Ransom, Sargent, and Steele counties.

Despite Romney's comfortable margin of victory, Democratic candidate Heidi Heitkamp narrowly won the concurrent senate election.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Republican caucuses

Main article: 2012 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses

The 2012 North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 6, 2012. North Dakota has 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention; despite Rick Santorum's nominal win in the preference poll conducted during the caucuses, the majority of the delegates elected by the state party convention later in March said they supported Romney.

2012 North Dakota Republican presidential caucusesCandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
**Rick Santorum****4,510****39.7%**6
Ron Paul3,18628.1%2
Mitt Romney2,69123.7%**20**
Newt Gingrich9628.5%0
**Unprojected delegates****0**
**Totals****11,349****100.0%****28**

Convention controversy

The North Dakota Republican Party held its state convention from Friday, March 30 to Sunday, April 1, where twenty-five unbound National Convention delegates were elected. Rick Santorum had won the straw poll at the Legislative Districts caucuses on Super Tuesday with a large margin to Ron Paul in second place and Mitt Romney in third place. The party leadership's recommended slate of delegates was to reflect this straw poll result. However, the slate gave Romney a large majority of the delegates. Former NDGOP Chairman Gary Emineth called the vote undemocratic and a railroad job.

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin of
errorBarack
Obama (D)Mitt
Romney (R)OtherUndecided
Mason-DixonOctober 26–28625± 4.0%40%**54%**3%3%
Forum/EssmanOctober 12–15500± 4.3%32%**57%**-11%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 17–18600± 4.0%40%**54%**2%4%
Mason-DixonOctober 3–5625± 4.0%40%**54%**1%5%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 10–11, 2012400± - 5%36%**51%**6%7%
Mason-DixonJune 4–12625± 4.0%39%**52%**

‡Likely primary voters

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in North DakotaPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votesRepublican Party (United States)}}; width: 3px"North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party}}; width: 3px"Libertarian Party (United States)}}; width: 3px"Green Party (United States)}}; width: 3px"
**Republican****Mitt Romney****Paul Ryan****188,163****58.32%****3**
Democratic-NPLBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)124,82738.69%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray5,2381.62%0
Other1,8600.58%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala1,3620.42%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer1,1860.37%0
**Totals****322,932****100.00%****3**

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarack Obama
Democratic-NPLVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals188,16358.32%124,82738.69%9,6372.99%63,33619.63%322,627
Adams91871.38%32825.51%403.11%59045.87%1,286
Barnes2,96453.68%2,39443.35%1642.97%57010.33%5,522
Benson86840.24%1,23557.26%542.50%-367-17.02%2,157
Billings47281.66%8915.40%162.94%38366.26%578
Bottineau2,28064.14%1,18333.28%922.58%1,09730.86%3,555
Bowman1,28073.69%41423.83%432.48%86649.86%1,737
Burke76975.17%23022.48%242.35%53952.69%1,023
Burleigh27,95164.42%14,12232.55%1,3143.03%13,82931.87%43,387
Cass36,85549.90%34,71247.00%2,2883.10%2,1432.90%73,855
Cavalier1,19557.76%81839.54%562.70%37718.22%2,069
Dickey1,61063.51%85333.65%722.84%75729.86%2,535
Divide73363.08%38533.13%443.79%34829.95%1,162
Dunn1,50674.04%50824.98%200.98%99849.06%2,034
Eddy63454.80%48642.01%373.19%14812.79%1,157
Emmons1,43576.17%38320.33%663.50%1,05255.84%1,884
Foster1,03061.24%60736.09%452.67%42325.15%1,682
Golden Valley74279.96%16217.46%242.58%58062.50%928
Grand Forks15,06050.15%14,03246.73%9373.12%1,0283.42%30,029
Grant1,02572.54%33423.64%543.82%69148.90%1,413
Griggs77157.41%53639.91%362.68%23517.50%1,343
Hettinger1,00073.42%31322.98%493.60%68750.44%1,362
Kidder87065.51%39329.59%654.90%47735.92%1,328
LaMoure1,37762.76%74033.73%773.51%63729.03%2,194
Logan81075.49%23221.62%312.89%57853.87%1,073
McHenry1,67861.87%94334.77%913.36%73527.10%2,712
McIntosh1,03567.65%45930.00%362.35%57637.65%1,530
McKenzie2,45871.23%92726.86%661.91%1,53144.37%3,451
McLean3,14163.61%1,67033.82%1272.57%1,47129.79%4,938
Mercer3,15270.75%1,16626.17%1373.08%1,98644.58%4,455
Morton8,68063.76%4,46932.83%4643.41%4,21130.93%13,613
Mountrail1,96256.75%1,40340.58%922.67%55916.17%3,457
Nelson86551.55%76745.71%462.74%985.84%1,678
Oliver69368.41%28127.74%393.85%41240.67%1,013
Pembina1,89958.34%1,25338.49%1033.17%64619.85%3,255
Pierce1,46567.26%66030.30%532.44%80536.96%2,178
Ramsey2,66553.31%2,16443.29%1703.40%50110.02%4,999
Ransom1,00941.61%1,34355.38%733.01%-334-13.77%2,425
Renville85166.59%39831.14%292.27%45335.45%1,278
Richland4,22955.55%3,19842.01%1862.44%1,03113.54%7,613
Rolette1,09223.99%3,35373.66%1072.35%-2,261-49.67%4,552
Sargent87943.80%1,07553.56%532.64%-196-9.76%2,007
Sheridan64278.10%16319.83%172.07%47958.27%822
Sioux22519.67%90078.67%191.66%-675-59.00%1,144
Slope34178.03%8318.99%132.98%25859.04%437
Stark8,52173.25%2,81224.17%3002.58%5,70949.08%11,633
Steele49847.79%51849.71%262.50%-20-1.92%1,042
Stutsman5,68559.48%3,58537.51%2883.01%2,10021.97%9,558
Towner62352.71%51643.65%433.64%1079.06%1,182
Traill1,99650.91%1,81146.19%1142.90%1854.72%3,921
Walsh2,65655.44%1,98541.43%1503.13%67114.01%4,791
Ward16,23063.74%8,44133.15%7923.11%7,78930.59%25,463
Wells1,65469.53%67328.29%522.18%98141.24%2,379
Williams7,18473.25%2,32223.67%3023.08%4,86249.58%9,808
County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Cass (largest city: Fargo)
  • Eddy (largest city: New Rockford)
  • Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
  • Mountrail (largest city: Stanley)
  • Nelson (largest city: Lakota)
  • Towner (largest city: Cando)
  • Traill (largest city: Mayville)

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is an at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentativeAt-large
**58.32%**38.7%Kevin Cramer

References

References

  1. "North Dakota Republican Delegation 2012". [[The Green Papers]].
  2. Silver, Nate. (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
  3. Wetzel, Dale. (2012-04-07). "Santorum delegate plan hits wall in North Dakota". [[WTOP-FM]].
  4. "NDGOP Presidential Caucus Information". [[North Dakota Republican Party]].
  5. "RealClearPolitics - Politics - Mar 31, 2012 - Unrest over ND GOP national convention delegates".
  6. "Valley News Live / Mason-Dixon Poll #3 - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks".
  7. (February 1, 2013). "Poll Watch: Forum Communications North Dakota 2012 Presidential Surve…".
  8. "Election 2012: North Dakota President".
  9. "Poll - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks".
  10. "Primary Election Poll: House and President on KFYR-TV North Dakota's NBC News Leader".
  11. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  12. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  13. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  14. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  15. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  16. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  17. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  18. "North Dakota Secretary of State".
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