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2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota |
| country | North Dakota |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2008 United States presidential election in North Dakota |
| previous_year | 2008 |
| election_date | November 6, 2012 |
| next_election | 2016 United States presidential election in North Dakota |
| next_year | 2016 |
| image_size | x200px |
| image1 | Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg |
| nominee1 | **Mitt Romney** |
| party1 | North Dakota Republican Party |
| home_state1 | Massachusetts |
| running_mate1 | **Paul Ryan** |
| electoral_vote1 | **3** |
| popular_vote1 | **188,163** |
| percentage1 | **58.32%** |
| image2 | President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg |
| nominee2 | Barack Obama |
| party2 | North Dakota Democratic–Nonpartisan League Party |
| home_state2 | Illinois |
| running_mate2 | Joe Biden |
| electoral_vote2 | 0 |
| popular_vote2 | 124,827 |
| percentage2 | 38.69% |
| map_image | North Dakota Presidential Election Results 2012.svg |
| map_size | 300px |
| map_caption | County results |
| title | President |
| before_election | Barack Obama |
| before_party | Democratic-NPL |
| after_election | Barack Obama |
| after_party | Democratic-NPL |
Main article: 2012 United States presidential election
Romney Obama
The 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.
Mitt Romney handily won the state with 58.32% of the vote to Barack Obama's 38.69%, a 19.63% margin of victory, considerably higher than McCain's 8.65% margin of victory. He flipped seven counties that Obama carried in 2008, including Cass County, home to Fargo, the state's largest city. Obama was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1912 to win without Mountrail County. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time a Democrat won Benson, Ransom, Sargent, and Steele counties.
Despite Romney's comfortable margin of victory, Democratic candidate Heidi Heitkamp narrowly won the concurrent senate election.
Caucuses
Democratic caucuses
Republican caucuses
Main article: 2012 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses
The 2012 North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 6, 2012. North Dakota has 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention; despite Rick Santorum's nominal win in the preference poll conducted during the caucuses, the majority of the delegates elected by the state party convention later in March said they supported Romney.
| 2012 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Rick Santorum** | **4,510** | **39.7%** | 6 | |
| Ron Paul | 3,186 | 28.1% | 2 | |
| Mitt Romney | 2,691 | 23.7% | **20** | |
| Newt Gingrich | 962 | 8.5% | 0 | |
| **Unprojected delegates** | **0** | |||
| **Totals** | **11,349** | **100.0%** | **28** |
Convention controversy
The North Dakota Republican Party held its state convention from Friday, March 30 to Sunday, April 1, where twenty-five unbound National Convention delegates were elected. Rick Santorum had won the straw poll at the Legislative Districts caucuses on Super Tuesday with a large margin to Ron Paul in second place and Mitt Romney in third place. The party leadership's recommended slate of delegates was to reflect this straw poll result. However, the slate gave Romney a large majority of the delegates. Former NDGOP Chairman Gary Emineth called the vote undemocratic and a railroad job.
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| administered | Sample | ||||||
| size | Margin of | ||||||
| error | Barack | ||||||
| Obama (D) | Mitt | ||||||
| Romney (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
| Mason-Dixon | October 26–28 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 40% | **54%** | 3% | 3% |
| Forum/Essman | October 12–15 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 32% | **57%** | - | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 17–18 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 40% | **54%** | 2% | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon | October 3–5 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 40% | **54%** | 1% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 10–11, 2012 | 400 | ± - 5% | 36% | **51%** | 6% | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon | June 4–12 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 39% | **52%** | – | – |
‡Likely primary voters
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Huffington Post | November 6, 2012 | |
| CNN | November 6, 2012 | |
| New York Times | November 6, 2012 | |
| Washington Post | November 6, 2012 | |
| RealClearPolitics | November 6, 2012 | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | November 5, 2012 | |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 6, 2012 |
Results
| 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota | Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | Republican Party (United States)}}; width: 3px" | North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party}}; width: 3px" | Libertarian Party (United States)}}; width: 3px" | Green Party (United States)}}; width: 3px" | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Republican** | **Mitt Romney** | **Paul Ryan** | **188,163** | **58.32%** | **3** | |||||||||
| Democratic-NPL | Barack Obama (incumbent) | Joe Biden (incumbent) | 124,827 | 38.69% | 0 | |||||||||
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | Jim Gray | 5,238 | 1.62% | 0 | |||||||||
| Other | 1,860 | 0.58% | 0 | |||||||||||
| Green | Jill Stein | Cheri Honkala | 1,362 | 0.42% | 0 | |||||||||
| Constitution | Virgil Goode | Jim Clymer | 1,186 | 0.37% | 0 | |||||||||
| **Totals** | **322,932** | **100.00%** | **3** |
By county
| County | Mitt Romney | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Barack Obama | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic-NPL | Various candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other parties | Margin | Total | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Totals | 188,163 | 58.32% | 124,827 | 38.69% | 9,637 | 2.99% | 63,336 | 19.63% | 322,627 | |||||||||||||
| Adams | 918 | 71.38% | 328 | 25.51% | 40 | 3.11% | 590 | 45.87% | 1,286 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Barnes | 2,964 | 53.68% | 2,394 | 43.35% | 164 | 2.97% | 570 | 10.33% | 5,522 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Benson | 868 | 40.24% | 1,235 | 57.26% | 54 | 2.50% | -367 | -17.02% | 2,157 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Billings | 472 | 81.66% | 89 | 15.40% | 16 | 2.94% | 383 | 66.26% | 578 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bottineau | 2,280 | 64.14% | 1,183 | 33.28% | 92 | 2.58% | 1,097 | 30.86% | 3,555 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bowman | 1,280 | 73.69% | 414 | 23.83% | 43 | 2.48% | 866 | 49.86% | 1,737 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Burke | 769 | 75.17% | 230 | 22.48% | 24 | 2.35% | 539 | 52.69% | 1,023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Burleigh | 27,951 | 64.42% | 14,122 | 32.55% | 1,314 | 3.03% | 13,829 | 31.87% | 43,387 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cass | 36,855 | 49.90% | 34,712 | 47.00% | 2,288 | 3.10% | 2,143 | 2.90% | 73,855 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cavalier | 1,195 | 57.76% | 818 | 39.54% | 56 | 2.70% | 377 | 18.22% | 2,069 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dickey | 1,610 | 63.51% | 853 | 33.65% | 72 | 2.84% | 757 | 29.86% | 2,535 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Divide | 733 | 63.08% | 385 | 33.13% | 44 | 3.79% | 348 | 29.95% | 1,162 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dunn | 1,506 | 74.04% | 508 | 24.98% | 20 | 0.98% | 998 | 49.06% | 2,034 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Eddy | 634 | 54.80% | 486 | 42.01% | 37 | 3.19% | 148 | 12.79% | 1,157 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Emmons | 1,435 | 76.17% | 383 | 20.33% | 66 | 3.50% | 1,052 | 55.84% | 1,884 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Foster | 1,030 | 61.24% | 607 | 36.09% | 45 | 2.67% | 423 | 25.15% | 1,682 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Golden Valley | 742 | 79.96% | 162 | 17.46% | 24 | 2.58% | 580 | 62.50% | 928 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Grand Forks | 15,060 | 50.15% | 14,032 | 46.73% | 937 | 3.12% | 1,028 | 3.42% | 30,029 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Grant | 1,025 | 72.54% | 334 | 23.64% | 54 | 3.82% | 691 | 48.90% | 1,413 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Griggs | 771 | 57.41% | 536 | 39.91% | 36 | 2.68% | 235 | 17.50% | 1,343 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hettinger | 1,000 | 73.42% | 313 | 22.98% | 49 | 3.60% | 687 | 50.44% | 1,362 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kidder | 870 | 65.51% | 393 | 29.59% | 65 | 4.90% | 477 | 35.92% | 1,328 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LaMoure | 1,377 | 62.76% | 740 | 33.73% | 77 | 3.51% | 637 | 29.03% | 2,194 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Logan | 810 | 75.49% | 232 | 21.62% | 31 | 2.89% | 578 | 53.87% | 1,073 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McHenry | 1,678 | 61.87% | 943 | 34.77% | 91 | 3.36% | 735 | 27.10% | 2,712 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McIntosh | 1,035 | 67.65% | 459 | 30.00% | 36 | 2.35% | 576 | 37.65% | 1,530 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McKenzie | 2,458 | 71.23% | 927 | 26.86% | 66 | 1.91% | 1,531 | 44.37% | 3,451 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McLean | 3,141 | 63.61% | 1,670 | 33.82% | 127 | 2.57% | 1,471 | 29.79% | 4,938 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mercer | 3,152 | 70.75% | 1,166 | 26.17% | 137 | 3.08% | 1,986 | 44.58% | 4,455 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Morton | 8,680 | 63.76% | 4,469 | 32.83% | 464 | 3.41% | 4,211 | 30.93% | 13,613 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mountrail | 1,962 | 56.75% | 1,403 | 40.58% | 92 | 2.67% | 559 | 16.17% | 3,457 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nelson | 865 | 51.55% | 767 | 45.71% | 46 | 2.74% | 98 | 5.84% | 1,678 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Oliver | 693 | 68.41% | 281 | 27.74% | 39 | 3.85% | 412 | 40.67% | 1,013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pembina | 1,899 | 58.34% | 1,253 | 38.49% | 103 | 3.17% | 646 | 19.85% | 3,255 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pierce | 1,465 | 67.26% | 660 | 30.30% | 53 | 2.44% | 805 | 36.96% | 2,178 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ramsey | 2,665 | 53.31% | 2,164 | 43.29% | 170 | 3.40% | 501 | 10.02% | 4,999 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ransom | 1,009 | 41.61% | 1,343 | 55.38% | 73 | 3.01% | -334 | -13.77% | 2,425 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Renville | 851 | 66.59% | 398 | 31.14% | 29 | 2.27% | 453 | 35.45% | 1,278 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Richland | 4,229 | 55.55% | 3,198 | 42.01% | 186 | 2.44% | 1,031 | 13.54% | 7,613 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rolette | 1,092 | 23.99% | 3,353 | 73.66% | 107 | 2.35% | -2,261 | -49.67% | 4,552 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sargent | 879 | 43.80% | 1,075 | 53.56% | 53 | 2.64% | -196 | -9.76% | 2,007 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sheridan | 642 | 78.10% | 163 | 19.83% | 17 | 2.07% | 479 | 58.27% | 822 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sioux | 225 | 19.67% | 900 | 78.67% | 19 | 1.66% | -675 | -59.00% | 1,144 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Slope | 341 | 78.03% | 83 | 18.99% | 13 | 2.98% | 258 | 59.04% | 437 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stark | 8,521 | 73.25% | 2,812 | 24.17% | 300 | 2.58% | 5,709 | 49.08% | 11,633 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Steele | 498 | 47.79% | 518 | 49.71% | 26 | 2.50% | -20 | -1.92% | 1,042 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stutsman | 5,685 | 59.48% | 3,585 | 37.51% | 288 | 3.01% | 2,100 | 21.97% | 9,558 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Towner | 623 | 52.71% | 516 | 43.65% | 43 | 3.64% | 107 | 9.06% | 1,182 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Traill | 1,996 | 50.91% | 1,811 | 46.19% | 114 | 2.90% | 185 | 4.72% | 3,921 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Walsh | 2,656 | 55.44% | 1,985 | 41.43% | 150 | 3.13% | 671 | 14.01% | 4,791 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ward | 16,230 | 63.74% | 8,441 | 33.15% | 792 | 3.11% | 7,789 | 30.59% | 25,463 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wells | 1,654 | 69.53% | 673 | 28.29% | 52 | 2.18% | 981 | 41.24% | 2,379 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Williams | 7,184 | 73.25% | 2,322 | 23.67% | 302 | 3.08% | 4,862 | 49.58% | 9,808 |
Democratic Republican ]]
;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cass (largest city: Fargo)
- Eddy (largest city: New Rockford)
- Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
- Mountrail (largest city: Stanley)
- Nelson (largest city: Lakota)
- Towner (largest city: Cando)
- Traill (largest city: Mayville)
By congressional district
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is an at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Romney | Obama | Representative | At-large | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **58.32%** | 38.7% | Kevin Cramer |
References
References
- "North Dakota Republican Delegation 2012". [[The Green Papers]].
- Silver, Nate. (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
- Wetzel, Dale. (2012-04-07). "Santorum delegate plan hits wall in North Dakota". [[WTOP-FM]].
- "NDGOP Presidential Caucus Information". [[North Dakota Republican Party]].
- "RealClearPolitics - Politics - Mar 31, 2012 - Unrest over ND GOP national convention delegates".
- "Valley News Live / Mason-Dixon Poll #3 - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks".
- (February 1, 2013). "Poll Watch: Forum Communications North Dakota 2012 Presidential Surve…".
- "Election 2012: North Dakota President".
- "Poll - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks".
- "Primary Election Poll: House and President on KFYR-TV North Dakota's NBC News Leader".
- "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
- "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
- "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
- "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
- "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
- "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
- "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
- "North Dakota Secretary of State".
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