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2012 United States presidential election in Idaho

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2012 United States presidential election in Idaho

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FieldValue
election_name2012 United States presidential election in Idaho
countryIdaho
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2008 United States presidential election in Idaho
previous_year2008
next_election2016 United States presidential election in Idaho
next_year2016
election_dateNovember 6, 2012
image_sizex200px
image1Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
nominee1**Mitt Romney**
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1**Paul Ryan**
electoral_vote1**4**
popular_vote1**420,911**
percentage1**64.09%**
image2President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
nominee2Barack Obama
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Illinois
running_mate2Joe Biden
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2212,787
percentage232.40%
map_image{{Switcher
map_caption
titlePresident
before_electionBarack Obama
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBarack Obama
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Main article: 2012 United States presidential election

| [[File:Idaho Presidential Election Results 2012.svg|200px]] | County results | [[File:2020 U.S. House elections in Idaho.svg|200px]] | Congressional district results Romney Obama The 2012 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Prior to the election, 17 news organizations considered this a state Romney would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Romney and Ryan carried Idaho with 64.09% of the popular vote to Obama's and Biden's 32.40%, thus winning the state's four electoral votes. Romney's victory in Idaho made it his fourth strongest state in the 2012 election after Utah, Wyoming and Oklahoma. He improved on McCain's performance in 2008, expanding his margin from 25.3% to 31.69% and flipping Teton County which had previously voted for Obama.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

President Obama ran unopposed in the caucuses. The District cast all 31 of its delegate votes at the 2012 Democratic National Convention for Obama.

2012 Idaho Democratic presidential primaryCandidateState convention delegatesPercentageDelegates
**Barack Obama** **(incumbent)****1,400****100%****27**
**Unpledged delegates:**4
**Total:**1,400100%31

Republican caucuses

The Republican caucuses took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012. An advisory primary with no binding effect on delegates, scheduled to be held on Tuesday May 15, 2012, was cancelled by the Idaho Republican Party. Five candidates were on the ballot. In order of filing they are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, and Buddy Roemer. Although Roemer had withdrawn from the Republican race before the Idaho caucus, he still appeared on the ballot.

Idaho has 32 delegates to the Republican national convention, of which 3 are RNC and 29 are AL. The 3 RNC delegates pledged to go with the results of the Boise Straw Poll. The delegates will be determined by the caucuses results, based on a two-step approach. First, the delegates are primarily awarded winner-take-all by county after a series of votes in which candidates are successively removed from the ballot. Then, if a candidate receives half or more of the county delegates, they will receive all the 32 delegates; if not, the delegates will be split proportionately according to the number of county delegates. Mitt Romney won 61% of the vote, thanks to a large majority of support (80-90% in most counties) in majority Mormon southeastern Idaho, rendering it a winner-take-all contest. Santorum and Paul split the Panhandle, winning five counties each, but came away empty in the delegate count.

Straw polls

Despite a complete lack of formal polling in the state, there were a total of five straw polls conducted in Idaho, three of which were online. Ron Paul won three of these, while Mitt Romney won two.

January 2–4 online poll

This was the first ever Idaho straw poll. It was conducted entirely online by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won with over 70% of the vote.

FinishCandidatePercentage
173.53%
28.09%
37.35%
45.15%
53.68%
61.47%
70.74%
80.00%
90.00%
Total100%
January 6 Boise poll

This poll used paper ballots and was conducted in Boise. Ron Paul won this poll. Rick Perry's campaign, although still active in the race at this time, did not participate.

FinishCandidatePercentageVotes
143%173
234%135
312%47
410%40
51%4
Total100%399
February 2–4 online poll

This online straw poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Mitt Romney won the poll by a small margin.

FinishCandidatePercentage
145.39%
242.70%
34.49%
43.82%
53.15%
6sortnameOther0.45%
Total100%
March 1–3 online poll

This poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won by a double-digit margin.

FinishCandidatePercentageVotes
151.37%525
235.03%358
33.91%40
43.23%33
52.84%29
61.96%20
70.98%10
80.49%5
9sortnameOther0.2%2
Total100%1022

Results

Results:

FinishCandidatePercentageVotesEstimated National Delegates
161.6%27,51432
218.2%8,1150
318.1%8,0860
42.1%9400
50.0%170
Total100%32
County totals
CountyNewt GingrichRon PaulMitt RomneyRick SantorumTotalWinner
Ada3071766423318668172Romney
Adams0851320217Romney
Bannock2425416141462038Romney
Bear Lake21530819344Romney
Benewah249026145265Santorum
Bingham2721521721502564Romney
Blaine477923023379Romney
Boise01281630291Romney
Bonner055504871042Paul
Bonneville6548130442353825Romney
Boundary019364101358Paul
Butte102515323211Romney
Camas04038078Paul
Canyon0617205612963969Romney
Caribou72233626391Romney
Cassia2814312791441594Romney
Clark288817115Romney
Clearwater0850151236Santorum
Custer19489824189Romney
Elmore01582810439Romney
Franklin410585629994Romney
Fremont127672638852Romney
Gem0150379143672Romney
Gooding478429986516Romney
Idaho02840191475Paul
Jefferson1121216421141979Romney
Jerome2874331101534Romney
Kootenai049606741170Santorum
Latah78509197188972Paul
Lemhi446021764385Romney
Lewis00254469Santorum
Lincoln141114749221Romney
Madison72602510502827Romney
Minidoka228065392847Romney
Nez Perce01271240251Paul
Oneida33924118301Romney
Owyhee00177263440Santorum
Payette00428302730Romney
Power91328738347Romney
Shoshone006374137Santorum
Teton134429526378Romney
Twin Falls8333212284092052Romney
Valley01231520275Romney
Washington00222269491Santorum

Notes

  • That these totals reflect the final caucus ballots in each county; where only two candidates have votes totaled, this was likely from other candidates being eliminated in previous rounds of voting. Where all candidates have at least one vote, only one ballot was necessary, since the winning candidate had a majority of votes in that county.
  • Vote totals for Buddy Roemer, who had formally withdrawn from the Republican race before the caucus, are not provided.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington PostNovember 6, 2012
CNNNovember 6, 2012
New York TimesNovember 6, 2012
Washington PostNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPoliticsNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEightNovember 6, 2012

Candidate ballot access

  • Barack Obama/Joseph Biden, Democratic
  • Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan, Republican
  • Gary Johnson/James P. Gray, Libertarian
  • Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala, Green
  • Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer, Constitution
  • Rocky Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice

Results

2012 United States presidential election in IdahoPartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Republican****Mitt Romney****Paul Ryan****420,911****64.09%****4**
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)212,78732.40%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray9,4531.44%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala4,4020.67%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez2,4990.38%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer2,2220.34%0
**Totals****656,742****100.00%****4**

By county

CountyMitt Romney
RepublicanBarack Obama
DemocraticVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals420,91164.09%212,78732.40%23,0443.51%208,12431.69%656,742
Ada97,55453.53%77,13742.33%7,5554.14%20,41711.20%182,246
Adams1,41368.56%57728.00%713.44%83640.56%2,061
Bannock21,01059.14%13,21437.20%1,2993.66%7,79621.94%35,523
Bear Lake2,48988.20%30210.70%311.10%2,18777.50%2,822
Benewah2,59666.82%1,16429.96%1253.22%1,43236.86%3,885
Bingham13,44076.03%3,82221.62%4162.35%9,61854.41%17,678
Blaine3,93938.64%5,99258.78%2632.58%-2,053-20.14%10,194
Boise2,28466.28%1,05330.56%1093.16%1,23135.72%3,446
Bonner11,36760.45%6,50034.57%9364.98%4,86725.88%18,803
Bonneville32,27674.68%9,90322.91%1,0382.41%22,37351.77%43,217
Boundary3,13869.06%1,22526.96%1813.98%1,91342.10%4,544
Butte1,00177.84%25820.06%272.10%74357.78%1,286
Camas40269.55%15927.51%172.94%24342.04%578
Canyon44,36966.47%19,86629.76%2,5123.77%24,50336.71%66,747
Caribou2,60885.45%38612.65%581.90%2,22272.80%3,052
Cassia7,15484.84%1,09813.02%1802.14%6,05671.82%8,432
Clark23571.65%6620.12%278.23%16951.53%328
Clearwater2,54168.75%1,03227.92%1233.33%1,50940.83%3,696
Custer1,74474.06%53022.51%813.43%1,21451.55%2,355
Elmore5,22765.31%2,51331.40%2633.29%2,71433.91%8,003
Franklin5,19592.77%3255.80%801.43%4,87086.97%5,600
Fremont4,90784.57%81013.96%851.47%4,09770.61%5,802
Gem5,31170.90%1,95726.12%2232.98%3,35444.78%7,491
Gooding3,69672.22%1,28725.15%1352.63%2,40947.07%5,118
Idaho5,92175.52%1,70821.79%2112.69%4,21353.73%7,840
Jefferson9,89586.94%1,30311.45%1831.61%8,59275.49%11,381
Jerome4,80471.52%1,69925.29%2143.19%3,10546.23%6,717
Kootenai39,38165.09%18,85131.16%2,2733.75%20,53033.93%60,505
Latah7,58944.32%8,30648.51%1,2297.17%-717-4.19%17,124
Lemhi3,02973.70%96023.36%1212.94%2,06950.34%4,110
Lewis1,17372.63%39624.52%462.85%77748.11%1,615
Lincoln1,14168.61%46928.20%533.19%67240.41%1,663
Madison13,44593.29%8325.77%1350.94%12,61387.52%14,412
Minidoka5,44278.04%1,39019.93%1412.03%4,05258.11%6,973
Nez Perce9,96758.65%6,45137.96%5753.39%3,51620.69%16,993
Oneida1,83887.98%21710.39%341.63%1,62177.59%2,089
Owyhee2,79475.03%83322.37%972.60%1,96152.66%3,724
Payette6,00470.68%2,27126.73%2202.59%3,73343.95%8,495
Power1,87064.39%98233.82%521.79%88830.57%2,904
Shoshone2,69952.43%2,27744.23%1723.34%4228.20%5,148
Teton2,45854.34%1,92642.58%1393.08%53211.76%4,523
Twin Falls19,77369.70%7,54126.58%1,0553.72%12,23243.12%28,369
Valley2,66454.16%2,09542.59%1603.25%56911.57%4,919
Washington3,12872.22%1,10425.49%992.29%2,02446.73%4,331
County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Teton (largest city: Victor)

By congressional district

Romney won both congressional districts.

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
32.19%**64.91%**Raúl Labrador
33.07%**64.14%**Mike Simpson

References

References

  1. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Idaho".
  2. "2012 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  3. "Idaho Democratic Delegation 2012".
  4. "District of Columbia Democratic Delegation 2012".
  5. "Idaho Republican Delegation 2012".
  6. "Election and voting information".
  7. "Idaho Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers.
  8. (27 May 2018). "Declared 2012 Republican Presidential Candidates".
  9. Nate Silver. (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". [[FiveThirtyEight]].
  10. "Presidential Race Graph".
  11. http://www.kivitv.com/news/local/136861888.html {{Dead link. (April 2019)
  12. "Presidential Race Graph".
  13. "Presidential Race Graph".
  14. "Idaho GOP Gears Up For 2012 Straw Poll, Caucus". NPG of Idaho, Inc..
  15. "Caucus Results {{!}} Idaho GOPIdaho GOP".
  16. "Idaho County Map". CNN.
  17. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". [[HuffPost]].
  18. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". [[CNN]].
  19. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". [[The New York Times]].
  20. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  21. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House".
  22. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  23. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  24. "2012 Presidential General Election Results - Idaho". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  25. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
Info: Wikipedia Source

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